Enyel Rosario

2B DSL Cubs Blue

Age 20 S/R 6'0" / 160 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1875ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	17	ROKDSL Cubs Red	136	.289/.358/.339	0	7	31	—	.200/.254/.240
2025	18	ROKDSL Cubs Blue	143	.242/.324/.339	1	15	19	—	.164/.230/.227
2027PROJMLE	20	MLBCHC	253	.217/.275/.291	2	8	60	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBCHC	26	.224/.284/.313	0	1	67	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBCHC	80	.227/.288/.326	1	3	72	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

K%92

Speed91

Whiff%85

Z-Con%79

ISO49

Chase%36

CompsBrainer Bonaci (age 20) · Geraldo Quintero (age 20) · Frainyer Chavez (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 44 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .273 / .288

PA44

HR0

K%25

BB%7

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	136	121	35	4	1	0	12	30	1	7	3	289	358	339	697	50	376	22	9	316	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	143	124	30	1	4	1	14	17	1	15	6	242	324	339	662	97	264	12	10	294	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	136	125	25	3	1	0	8	38	1	7	3	200	254	240	494	40	263	28	6	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	143	128	21	1	2	1	10	21	1	15	6	164	230	227	457	62	170	15	7	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	136	125	25	3	1	0	8	38	1	7	3	200	254	240	494	40	281	28	6	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	136	121	35	4	1	0	12	30	1	7	3	289	358	339	697	50	376	22	9	316	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	143	128	21	1	2	1	10	21	1	15	6	164	230	227	457	62	182	15	7	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	143	124	30	1	4	1	14	17	1	15	6	242	324	339	662	97	264	12	10	294	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	136	126	25	3	1	0	8	38	1	7	3	198	254	238	492	40	263	28	6	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	143	131	21	1	2	1	10	21	1	15	6	160	230	221	452	61	170	15	7	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	136	126	25	3	1	0	8	38	1	7	3	198	254	238	492	40	263	28	6	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	143	131	21	1	2	1	10	21	1	15	6	160	230	221	452	61	170	15	7	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	253	232	51	7	3	2	17	62	2	8	1	217	275	291	566	74	285	25	7	258	60	-12	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	CHC	34%	75	69	16	2	1	1	5	18	1	3	0	221	281	307	588	86	286	24	7	267	67	-3	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	CHC	48%	165	152	34	5	2	2	11	40	1	6	1	225	286	321	607	96	288	24	7	274	72	-6	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	CHC	54%	260	238	55	8	3	4	18	62	2	9	2	228	290	333	622	105	289	24	7	280	76	-7	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.0
2031	24	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	349	318	73	10	3	6	25	83	3	13	2	231	293	343	636	112	290	24	7	286	79	-9	+2	+0	+1	+8	0.2
2032	25	MLB MLE	CHC	56%	401	365	85	12	4	8	29	95	4	14	3	233	295	350	645	118	291	24	7	289	82	-9	+2	+0	+1	+9	0.3
2033	26	MLB MLE	CHC	56%	432	394	92	13	4	9	31	102	4	16	3	233	296	353	649	120	290	24	7	291	83	-9	+2	+0	+2	+9	0.4
2034	27	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	445	406	94	13	4	9	32	106	4	16	3	232	295	350	645	119	290	24	7	289	82	-10	+2	+0	+2	+10	0.4
2035	28	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	448	409	94	13	4	9	32	108	4	16	3	230	293	346	638	116	289	24	7	287	80	-11	+2	-1	+2	+10	0.2
2036	29	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	443	404	92	13	4	8	32	108	4	15	3	228	290	339	629	112	287	24	7	283	78	-12	+2	-1	+2	+10	-0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	CHC	34%	26	24	5	1	0	0	2	6	0	1	0	224	284	313	597	89	291	23	8	270	67	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	CHC	48%	80	73	16	2	1	1	6	19	1	3	1	227	288	326	615	99	292	24	8	277	72	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	CHC	54%	141	129	30	4	2	2	10	34	1	5	1	231	292	338	629	107	293	24	7	283	76	-4	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2031	24	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	193	175	41	6	2	3	14	46	2	7	1	233	295	347	642	114	294	24	7	288	79	-5	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.1
2032	25	MLB CTX	CHC	56%	225	205	47	7	2	4	16	53	2	8	2	235	297	354	652	119	294	24	7	292	82	-5	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.2
2033	26	MLB CTX	CHC	56%	243	221	53	8	3	5	18	58	2	9	2	235	298	357	655	122	294	24	7	293	83	-5	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.2
2034	27	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	246	224	54	8	3	5	18	59	2	9	2	234	297	354	651	120	294	24	7	292	82	-5	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.2
2035	28	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	246	224	53	8	3	5	18	59	2	9	2	232	295	350	644	117	293	24	7	289	80	-6	+1	-0	+1	+5	0.1
2036	29	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	237	216	49	7	2	4	17	58	2	8	2	230	292	343	635	114	291	24	7	285	78	-6	+1	-1	+1	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1637	1491	348	51	18	29	119	392	14	59	13	233	296	350	646	117	296	24	7	288	75	-40	+7	-1	+6	+35	0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	138	20	7	12	47	156	6	23	5	233	296	351	647	118	295	24	7	288	75	-16	+3	-0	+2	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	3341	3049	689	94	32	57	236	792	29	131	29	226	288	334	622	108	285	24	7	279	75	-76	+14	-2	+11	+66	1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	133	18	6	11	46	154	6	25	6	224	287	331	617	106	282	24	7	279	75	-16	+3	-0	+2	+14	0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 DSLDSL Cubs Blue · 143 PAwOBA .295 → .197 (−98)K% 11.9% → 14.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.89%	÷1.001	×1.220	—	—	14.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.79%	÷1.006	×0.700	—	×1.008	6.86%
HBP% /PA	0.70%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	0.49%
Singles /BIP	22.43%	÷1.016	×0.680	×0.977	×1.008	14.77%
Doubles /BIP	0.93%	÷0.928	×0.600	×0.977	×1.008	0.59%
Triples /BIP	3.74%	÷1.038	×0.600	×0.977	×1.008	2.13%
Home runs /BIP	0.93%	÷0.926	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.48%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 103, 2B 86, 3B 108, K 100, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.

Result: wOBA .295 → .197; ISO .097 → .057; BABIP .264 → .170. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Cubs Red · 136 PAwOBA .313 → .214 (−99)K% 22.1% → 27.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.06%	÷0.964	×1.220	—	—	27.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.82%	÷1.047	×0.700	—	×1.022	6.03%
HBP% /PA	0.74%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	0.53%
Singles /BIP	32.97%	÷1.018	×0.680	×1.036	×1.022	23.31%
Doubles /BIP	4.40%	÷0.960	×0.600	×1.036	×1.022	2.91%
Triples /BIP	1.10%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.036	×1.022	0.70%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.025	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 104, 2B 92, 3B 100, K 93, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.

Result: wOBA .313 → .214; ISO .050 → .032; BABIP .376 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Pat Kelly'91-'99 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,235 PA	3.4	2,235	36	61	242*	299*	375*	+6	+11	3.7	3.8
/162	664	11	18	+1.7	+3.2	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Kiko Garcia'76-'85 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,595 PA	2.4	1,595	12	34	232*	283*	343*	+14	+14	2.2	3.0
/162	664	5	14	+5.7	+6.0	0.9	pk7: 4
#5Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.5	1,680	31	59	231	290	344	+6	+6	1.8	1.8
/162	664	12	23	+2.4	+2.4	0.7	pk7: 2
#6Jose Macias'99-'05 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,789 PA	2.7	1,789	26	43	247*	289*	362*	+2	+12	1.0	1.0
/162	664	10	16	+0.7	+4.3	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Enyel Rosario (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	215/273/288	74	285	0	1	25%	7%	60	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	40→46	38→45	53→50	43	192/253/278	86	262	5	13	27%	7%	51	-2.3	219/294/329	110	303	9	13	28%	9%	78	-0.3	221/301/335	114	300	11	14	28%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Geraldo Quintero 2022 · A	20	38→47	35→40	52→60	47	181/251/244	63	237	2	17	23%	8%	42	-2.9	216/281/305	89	285	5	23	24%	7%	68	-1.0	218/285/304	87	285	5	28	24%	7%	66	-0.9
✕Frainyer Chavez 2019 · A	20	46→47	38→40	54→50	42	217/271/293	76	299	5	21	28%	6%	61	-1.5	207/269/264	57	287	2	13	26%	7%	53	-2.1	223/291/306	84	291	8	18	25%	8%	69	-0.7
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	37→45	40→45	54→50	42	182/250/279	97	263	6	9	32%	7%	50	-2.3	207/280/322	115	282	9	13	28%	9%	71	-0.8	209/284/324	115	280	10	14	27%	9%	71	-0.6
✕Lucius Fox 2017 · A	20	42→50	38→40	55→60	43	198/264/277	79	283	5	20	30%	7%	55	-2.0	217/285/288	71	314	4	22	30%	7%	65	-1.2	194/260/277	83	283	8	24	32%	8%	50	-0.9
✕Angelo Mora 2013 · A	20	41→51	34→45	50→45	39	194/231/251	57	258	1	14	25%	4%	34	-3.5	213/256/289	76	288	4	9	26%	5%	53	-2.1	259/294/363	103	333	5	4	23%	4%	81	-0.0
✕Jorge Barrosa 2021 · A	20	46→52	38→45	55	45	218/283/303	84	283	5	18	24%	6%	68	-1.0	233/297/347	114	294	9	19	23%	7%	83	+0.1	234/307/360	127	282	11	18	20%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Karexon Sanchez 2008 · A	20	40→47	38→45	50	46	194/262/268	74	258	6	14	26%	8%	52	-2.2	208/274/317	109	299	10	11	32%	7%	68	-1.0	220/298/324	104	305	10	11	29%	8%	76	-0.3
✕Jonatan Clase 2022 · A	20	43→48	40→50	59→65	47	205/283/296	91	289	7	26	30%	9%	66	-1.1	211/287/356	145	315	14	39	35%	9%	82	-0.0	210/288/361	151	303	15	47	33%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Wilmer Difo 2012 · A	20	44→54	36→45	57→55	50	202/267/273	71	243	2	21	17%	8%	55	-2.0	221/279/307	86	271	6	20	19%	7%	66	-1.1	258/296/362	104	307	8	28	18%	4%	82	+0.0
✕Rosell Herrera 2013 · A	20	40→50	37→45	48→55	42	193/245/268	75	263	5	9	28%	6%	45	-2.7	238/286/328	90	316	8	10	26%	6%	74	-0.6	253/308/344	91	321	4	24	21%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Jeison Guzmán 2019 · A	20	42→43	37→45	53→50	41	199/250/268	69	276	4	14	28%	6%	47	-2.6	210/250/303	93	285	7	12	28%	4%	55	-2.0	202/251/311	109	284	10	10	31%	5%	54	-1.2
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2013 · A	20	38	35→30	51→65	50	176/248/238	62	212	2	18	18%	8%	40	-3.1	199/280/263	64	250	2	26	19%	9%	57	-1.8	195/284/251	56	248	1	34	20%	10%	54	-0.7
✕Luis Liberato 2016 · A	20	37→47	37→50	53→50	42	177/241/251	73	261	4	13	32%	7%	40	-3.1	211/262/329	118	307	9	6	32%	7%	65	-1.2	221/286/368	148	299	15	9	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Angel Martínez 2022 · A	20	42→50	41→50	50	45	204/264/307	103	268	7	10	26%	7%	61	-1.5	231/294/358	127	293	12	10	24%	7%	84	+0.2	236/284/389	154	280	16	12	22%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Roberto Caro 2014 · A	20	41→40	35→40	55→60	51	191/273/258	66	249	1	16	22%	9%	54	-2.0	191/269/267	76	262	2	18	25%	8%	54	-2.0	211/282/288	76	323	2	26	32%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	41→51	40→45	55	44	198/266/291	93	280	8	16	30%	8%	59	-1.7	243/305/349	106	326	7	24	25%	8%	86	+0.3	269/328/372	103	341	7	29	22%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Steward Berroa 2018 · A	19	40→50	36→45	52→65	45	189/257/257	67	264	2	17	28%	8%	47	-2.5	204/269/271	67	302	2	17	30%	8%	55	-2.0	227/306/323	96	332	8	52	31%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	37	36→45	53→55	50	177/255/242	65	229	3	14	23%	9%	44	-2.8	224/287/320	96	315	6	19	28%	7%	73	-0.6	208/269/327	119	312	11	21	35%	6%	65	-0.5

Enyel Rosario

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps