Jesus LizardoC DSL Pirates Black
Age 19 S/R 5'11" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION67 act + 46 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†63
AVG/OBP/SLG.171 / .261 / .195
PA46
HR0
K%26
BB%11
BABIP241
ISO24
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -4.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +3.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
0.01.12.10.30.71.11.41.61.61.61.61.51.41.1+$95M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE65
scouting grade only
SPEED51
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.6$8M+$8M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.6$8M+$7M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.6$7M+$7M
2035Arb-1$3M+1.5$6M+$5M
2036Arb-2$4M+1.4$5M+$4M
2037Arb-3$5M+1.1$4M+$2M
Totals $16M $38M +$32M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Pirates Black — 10190 12200 9350 10 133212156368 22211 359 174 -9 — — — — — —
202417 ROKDSL Pirates Black — 10185 16300 14240 10 188303224527 35254 2414 251 51 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Pirates Gold — 136117 21110 15300 20 179273205478 26233 2211 222 28 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Pirates Gold — 136108 24210 24200 20 222364259623 37264 1518 294 83 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD19 ROKPIT — 6756 10211 11170 30 179313304617 125237 2516 273 67 -2 +1 +0 +1 +2 0.1
YTD19 ROKPIT — 6749 12311 17120 30 245433408841 163306 1825 384 152 +4 +1 +0 +1 +2 0.8
ROS19 ROKPIT 0% 4641 7100 5120 10 171261195456 24275 2611 267 63 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
ROS19 MLBPIT 0% 01 0000 000 00 —— 274 —— 262 59 — — +0 +0 — —
FULL19 ROKPIT — 6757 10211 11170 30 175313298612 123231 2516 273 67 -2 +1 +0 +1 +2 0.1
TOT19 ROKPIT — 11397 17311 16290 40 175292258550 82239 2614 271 65 -4 +1 +0 +2 +3 0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720 MLBPIT 34% 202179 38713 20521 41 212295313608 101279 2610 277 70 -7 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.3
202821 MLBPIT 48% 334295 631125 33843 61 214299315614 102281 2510 285 76 -9 +1 +0 +6 +9 0.7
202922 MLBPIT 54% 430381 841538 421074 82 220304339643 118282 2510 289 80 -10 +1 +0 +8 +12 1.1
203023 MLBPIT 57% 494438 961739 491224 92 219303333637 114283 2510 293 82 -10 +1 +0 +9 +14 1.4
203124 MLBPIT 57% 520459 10318410 511285 102 224309346655 122284 2510 294 83 -10 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.6
203225 MLBPIT 57% 520459 10318410 511275 102 224309346655 122284 2410 295 84 -9 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.6
203326 MLBPIT 56% 520458 10318410 521275 102 225311347658 122284 2410 296 84 -9 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.6
203427 MLBPIT 55% 520458 10318410 521285 102 225311347658 122284 2510 296 84 -9 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.6
203528 MLBPIT 55% 520457 10318410 531285 102 225313348661 123283 2510 295 84 -10 +1 -1 +9 +15 1.5
203629 MLBPIT 53% 520457 10118310 531295 102 221309339648 118282 2510 293 82 -11 +1 -1 +9 +15 1.4
203730 MLBPIT 53% 520458 991739 531314 92 216303325628 109281 2510 290 80 -12 +1 -2 +9 +15 1.1
203831 MLBPIT 57% 504444 951639 511284 92 214301324625 110279 2510 286 77 -13 +1 -3 +9 +14 0.8
203932 MLBPIT 54% 489432 911538 501264 82 211298315613 104275 2610 280 73 -15 +1 -4 +9 +14 0.5
204033 MLBPIT 58% 451398 821337 461194 72 206295307601 101271 2610 274 68 -16 +1 -4 +8 +13 0.1
204134 MLBPIT 53% 395349 701126 401073 61 201288295583 95266 2710 266 61 -17 +1 -5 +7 +11 -0.3
202720 MLBPIT 34% 6961 13211 7181 10 213304328632 115277 2610 271 65 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
202821 MLBPIT 48% 162144 31513 16411 31 215298326625 111279 2510 277 71 -5 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.2
202922 MLBPIT 54% 233206 46824 23582 41 223307340647 117281 2510 282 74 -7 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.4
203023 MLBPIT 57% 280248 551025 28692 51 222306339644 117282 2510 285 76 -7 +1 +0 +5 +8 0.6
203124 MLBPIT 57% 294260 581026 29723 61 223308346654 123283 2410 287 78 -7 +1 +0 +5 +8 0.7
203225 MLBPIT 57% 294260 581026 29723 61 223308346654 123283 2410 288 78 -7 +1 +0 +5 +8 0.7
203326 MLBPIT 56% 294260 581026 29723 61 223308346654 123283 2410 288 79 -7 +1 +0 +5 +8 0.7
203427 MLBPIT 55% 288254 571026 29713 61 224311350662 126282 2510 288 79 -7 +1 +0 +5 +8 0.7
203528 MLBPIT 55% 285251 561025 29703 51 223311339650 116282 2510 287 78 -7 +1 -0 +5 +8 0.6
203629 MLBPIT 53% 278246 53925 28692 51 215301329630 114281 2510 285 76 -7 +1 -1 +5 +8 0.5
203730 MLBPIT 53% 274242 53925 28692 51 219305335640 116280 2510 282 74 -8 +1 -1 +5 +8 0.4
203831 MLBPIT 57% 285252 54925 29732 51 214300325626 111277 2610 279 71 -9 +1 -2 +5 +8 0.3
203932 MLBPIT 54% 266235 49824 27692 41 209295311606 102274 2610 273 67 -10 +0 -2 +5 +8 0.1
204033 MLBPIT 58% 260230 48824 26692 41 209295313608 104270 2710 267 63 -11 +0 -2 +5 +7 -0.1
204134 MLBPIT 53% 210185 37613 21572 31 200288292580 92265 2710 259 57 -10 +0 -3 +4 +6 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 37723335 7261242768 37894933 6814 218304332636 115282 2510 281 73 -114 +8 -11 +67 +107 5.9
/ 162G— — 650575 12521512 651646 122 217303334637 117282 2510 281 73 -20 +2 -2 +12 +18 1.0
Career— — 72226370 137423447124 725182061 13027 216302326627 110280 2510 285 76 -193 +15 -20 +129 +205 13.9
/ 162G— — 650573 12321411 651645 122 215300323623 108279 2510 285 76 -17 +2 -2 +12 +18 1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Pirates Black — 10185 16300 14240 10 188303224527 35254 2414 251 51 -6 +0 — — +3 -0.3
202518 ROKDSL Pirates Gold — 136108 24210 24200 20 222364259623 37264 1518 294 83 -3 +0 — — +4 0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24
career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA
113,088538241318351+55+5716.616.1
/162664112+11.9+12.33.6pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
#3Brad Ausmuslast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA
114,2963939244319326+39+4312.412.0
/16266466+6.1+6.61.9pk7: 12
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA
103,1083684243310341+28+299.29.5
/162664818+5.9+6.22.0pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons
93,8866870218300331+69+368.57.2
/1626641212+11.9+6.21.5pk7: 6
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jesus Lizardo (OGILVIE) 19 40→45 30→35 46→51 65 175/292/258 82239 14 26% 14% 65 +0.2 ————————— —————————
✕Ramón Cabrera
2009 · A 		19 43→53 40 51→40 49 209/274/305 96254 77 20% 8% 60 -1.0 234/282/320 86276 45 16% 6% 66 -0.6 263/317/347843013313%7%86+0.6
✕Oswaldo Linares
2022 · A 		19 42 36→40 47→40 54 195/298/259 64275 48 28% 12% 60 -1.0 196/296/284 88277 85 29% 11% 66 -0.6 173/283/253792469230%12%51-0.6
✕Jorge Minyety
2010 · A 		19 46 35→30 50 55 208/299/269 61275 114 22% 11% 63 -0.9 216/285/281 65304 29 27% 9% 59 -1.1 227/294/263363220427%9%53-0.3
✕Jose Perez
2023 · A 		19 41 36→40 44→45 51 193/275/258 65253 38 24% 9% 50 -1.8 200/306/292 92270 56 25% 12% 72 -0.2 182/303/271882445524%13%64-0.3
✕Dervy Ventura
2023 · A 		19 43→51 36→40 50→55 47 200/276/275 74283 26 28% 9% 53 -1.5 220/297/313 93288 714 24% 10% 72 -0.2 227/311/3219429882225%11%78+0.1
✕Maick Collado
2022 · A 		19 42 38→40 47→45 52 199/288/278 79258 56 23% 10% 60 -1.0 217/293/293 76279 57 22% 9% 66 -0.6 213/293/279662695621%9%62-0.4
✕Jose Herrera
2016 · A 		19 45 36→40 48→40 47 210/281/271 61281 34 25% 8% 55 -1.4 204/254/286 82260 63 23% 6% 46 -2.0 206/288/299932749326%10%63-0.4
✕Adderly Rosa
2010 · A 		19 45 35→40 48→50 55 208/309/268 60269 213 21% 11% 67 -0.5 199/283/255 56263 212 23% 9% 52 -1.6 188/270/2354724711322%9%39-1.0
✕Michael Chirinos
2019 · A 		19 49 36→40 51→55 56 226/296/292 67252 411 12% 9% 66 -0.6 223/285/300 77247 614 12% 8% 63 -0.8 217/274/284672247227%7%60-0.4
✕Jon Del Campo
2007 · A 		19 43 38→45 45→55 46 205/268/282 77271 65 26% 8% 52 -1.6 205/257/287 82297 45 30% 6% 47 -1.9 259/294/370111330121824%4%85+0.4
✕Juan Mora
2019 · A 		19 45 38→45 46→55 49 211/291/293 83275 48 23% 9% 65 -0.7 213/293/327 114268 1014 23% 8% 75 -0.0 214/280/327113274111225%6%67-0.2
✕Francisco Aponte
2010 · A 		19 48 36→30 44→60 46 226/292/291 64293 310 23% 7% 64 -0.8 225/299/283 58281 119 18% 9% 65 -0.7 221/287/2674527002216%8%54-0.5
✕Josh Johnson
2006 · A 		20 43→49 39→45 48→50 50 203/280/297 94266 59 24% 9% 61 -1.0 218/304/287 69285 310 22% 11% 69 -0.4 249/317/35911029691618%9%89+0.6
✕Omar Casamayor
2006 · A 		19 45 37→40 43→55 46 212/282/286 74280 37 24% 7% 59 -1.1 233/290/299 66278 210 16% 6% 65 -0.7 249/301/3086028811213%5%67-0.2
✕Douglas Duran
2012 · A 		19 45 40 44→50 49 218/283/312 95272 79 22% 8% 66 -0.6 188/250/251 63279 38 31% 8% 36 -2.7 120/187/132122010837%8%-23-1.5
✕Walter Ibarra
2007 · A 		19 46→56 36→40 46→50 50 215/282/279 63263 38 19% 8% 56 -1.3 205/252/272 67266 38 23% 5% 42 -2.3 263/296/36610233161221%3%82+0.3
✕Thayron Liranzo
2022 · A 		19 45→43 39→50 49→30 44 211/285/298 86311 68 32% 8% 63 -0.8 210/293/378 168310 193 36% 10% 89 +0.9 201/295/38318329122136%11%86+0.4
✕Cole Tucker
2015 · A 		19 44→46 37→45 50→55 45 209/273/283 74281 513 26% 7% 54 -1.4 222/267/297 75295 418 24% 6% 54 -1.4 211/274/331120275101226%8%63-0.5
✕Bengie González
2009 · A 		19 41→51 34→45 51→50 47 194/264/244 51272 211 28% 8% 40 -2.4 205/256/250 45276 112 24% 6% 37 -2.6 262/314/36510331951218%7%89+0.7
✕Yolmer Sánchez
2011 · A 		19 45→55 36→50 49→50 55 209/304/274 65270 38 22% 11% 66 -0.6 243/294/305 62311 212 21% 5% 68 -0.5 247/310/3591123087921%7%86+0.7