Kendy Richard — OGILVIE

Kendy Richard P Augusta GreenJackets

Age 21 RHP 6'2" / 195 lbs A peak 0.3 · 2031

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 42 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141133vR 124

ERA5.66

FIP5.66

K%15.2%

BB%15.0%

K-BB%0.2%

ROS IP42

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 42 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL3535

CMD3030

K†3050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	13	0	21	84	16	8	2	0%	1.6	13.0%	11.9%	1.0%	3.8%	3.48	5.62	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	13	0	21	84	16	8	2	0%	1.6	13.0%	11.9%	1.0%	3.8%	3.48	5.62	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	13	0	21	84	16	8	2	0%	1.6	19.0%	9.5%	9.5%	2.4%	3.48	3.97	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	10	68	281	64	30	3	62%	4.2	16.1%	13.1%	3.0%	1.5%	2.38	4.24	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	10	68	281	64	30	3	62%	4.2	16.1%	13.1%	3.0%	1.5%	2.38	4.24	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	10	68	281	64	30	3	62%	4.2	22.8%	10.7%	12.1%	1.1%	2.38	3.11	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	19	7	58	252	41	31	7	37%	3.0	12.0%	14.5%	-2.5%	3.6%	6.40	5.90	—
YTD	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	19	7	58	252	41	31	7	37%	3.0	12.0%	14.5%	-2.5%	3.6%	6.40	5.90	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	A RAW	ATL	19	7	58	252	41	31	7	37%	3.0	16.3%	12.3%	4.0%	2.8%	6.40	4.81	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	ATL	61	0	64	271	47	37	8	0%	1.1	17.3%	13.5%	3.8%	2.8%	5.37	5.27	-0.5
2028	23	MLB MLE	ATL	64	0	67	282	52	35	8	0%	1.0	18.5%	12.6%	5.9%	2.8%	5.14	5.03	-0.4
2029	24	MLB MLE	ATL	65	0	68	289	56	35	8	0%	1.1	19.3%	12.0%	7.3%	2.8%	4.97	4.89	-0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	ATL	66	0	69	293	58	34	8	0%	1.1	19.8%	11.8%	8.1%	2.7%	4.86	4.81	-0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	ATL	66	0	69	293	59	34	8	0%	1.1	20.0%	11.7%	8.3%	2.7%	4.81	4.78	-0.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	ATL	65	0	68	288	58	34	8	0%	1.1	20.0%	11.8%	8.2%	2.8%	4.82	4.82	-0.2
2033	28	MLB MLE	ATL	63	0	66	280	56	33	8	0%	1.1	19.9%	11.9%	7.9%	2.9%	4.87	4.90	-0.3
2034	29	MLB MLE	ATL	60	0	63	267	52	32	8	0%	1.1	19.6%	12.2%	7.5%	3.0%	4.97	5.04	-0.3
2027	22	MLB CTX	ATL	30	0	32	135	23	18	4	0%	1.1	17.3%	13.5%	3.8%	2.8%	5.37	5.27	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	ATL	47	0	49	207	38	26	6	0%	1.0	18.5%	12.6%	5.9%	2.8%	5.14	5.03	-0.3
2029	24	MLB CTX	ATL	54	0	57	241	46	29	7	0%	1.1	19.3%	12.0%	7.3%	2.8%	4.97	4.89	-0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	ATL	58	0	61	258	51	30	7	0%	1.1	19.8%	11.8%	8.1%	2.7%	4.86	4.81	-0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	ATL	60	0	63	266	53	31	7	0%	1.1	20.0%	11.7%	8.3%	2.7%	4.81	4.78	-0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	ATL	60	0	63	266	53	31	7	0%	1.1	20.0%	11.8%	8.2%	2.8%	4.82	4.82	-0.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	ATL	59	0	62	262	52	31	8	0%	1.1	19.9%	11.9%	7.9%	2.9%	4.87	4.90	-0.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	ATL	57	0	60	253	50	31	8	0%	1.1	19.6%	12.2%	7.5%	3.0%	4.97	5.04	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		426	0	447	1887	367	228	53	0%	1.0	19.5%	12.1%	7.4%	2.8%	4.94	4.54	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	164	102	24	0%	1.1	19.5%	12.1%	7.4%	2.8%	4.94	4.54	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		48	17	146	617	86	83	17	35%	3.0	14.0%	13.5%	0.5%	2.7%	4.12	5.11	-2.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		66	23	200	843	118	114	23	35%	3.0	14.0%	13.5%	0.5%	2.7%	4.12	5.11	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kendy Richard (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.66	15.2%	15.0%	2.9%	—	5.06	18.4%	5.7%	199	-0.60	—	—	—
Juan Perez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	21	SW	5.39	15.4%	14.1%	3.3%	.321	4.52	10.8%	0.0%	56	-0.87	4.52	113	92
Luis Rujano R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	20	SW	4.68	17.1%	16.6%	1.7%	.309	4.74	17.4%	0.9%	149	+0.06	4.54	202	86
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	85
Axel Rios R 2016 · 4.70 FIP	23	SW	4.70	13.1%	13.5%	1.8%	.333	4.06	15.2%	3.2%	97	-0.64	3.50	153	84
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	84
Garrett Nuss R 2015 · 5.71 FIP	22	SW	5.71	14.1%	14.9%	3.5%	.352	4.58	15.0%	5.3%	92	-1.13	4.57	174	83
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	82
Kristian Cardozo R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	20	SW	4.89	16.3%	13.5%	2.7%	.358	6.76	13.6%	-4.3%	15	+1.87	3.49	138	82
Trent Fennell R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	22	SP-	4.48	14.5%	12.5%	1.9%	.317	4.46	20.9%	7.5%	89	-0.02	4.08	163	82
Alain Pena R 2023 · 5.48 FIP	20	SP-	5.48	14.2%	13.9%	3.3%	.222	5.68	15.6%	3.5%	191	+0.20	3.66	266	82
Dante Mendoza R 2018 · 5.90 FIP	19	SW	5.90	14.9%	14.1%	4.1%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	113	82
Michael Martinez R 2019 · 4.50 FIP	20	SW	4.50	15.7%	16.5%	1.2%	.303	5.67	20.7%	7.0%	18	+1.17	3.69	146	82
Nolberto Henriquez R 2021 · 4.99 FIP	21	SP-	4.99	16.0%	13.4%	2.8%	.305	5.60	11.3%	-3.1%	52	+0.61	4.99	108	81
Andinson Ferrer R 2023 · 4.72 FIP	19	SW	4.72	17.4%	13.7%	2.5%	.287	4.64	21.7%	2.1%	34	-0.08	4.04	101	81
Jose Ramirez R 2022 · 4.47 FIP	21	SW	4.47	16.7%	15.4%	1.5%	.240	4.52	13.0%	-0.8%	164	+0.05	3.27	331	81
Jheyson Caraballo R 2017 · 5.25 FIP	21	SW	5.25	11.9%	10.6%	3.3%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	101	81
Torey Deshazier R 2015 · 5.45 FIP	21	SW	5.45	12.7%	12.8%	3.3%	.319	5.33	14.8%	-10.6%	41	-0.12	5.33	127	81
Anyelo Gómez R 2016 · 4.66 FIP	23	SW	4.66	17.1%	12.2%	2.7%	.292	2.66	24.2%	15.6%	68	-2.00	2.66	145	81
Brayner Sánchez R 2022 · 4.94 FIP	21	SW	4.94	16.5%	16.4%	2.1%	.339	3.79	19.9%	4.6%	31	-1.15	2.84	128	81
Nestor Lorant R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SW	5.53	18.7%	18.2%	3.1%	.280	3.86	20.5%	11.3%	249	-1.67	2.73	373	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.9	64	19.0%	12.4%	1.09	5.02
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41