Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox 2 | 13 | 11 | 43 | 194 | 36 | 32 | 1 | 85% | 3.3 | 12.6% | 20.6% | -8.0% | 0.7% | 3.16 | 5.04 | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox 2 | 13 | 11 | 43 | 194 | 36 | 32 | 1 | 85% | 3.3 | 18.6% | 16.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 3.16 | 3.97 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Red Sox 2 | 17 | 1 | 33 | 161 | 21 | 38 | 1 | 6% | 1.9 | 8.9% | 29.5% | -20.6% | 0.9% | 3.03 | 6.57 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Red Sox 2 | 17 | 1 | 33 | 161 | 21 | 38 | 1 | 6% | 1.9 | 13.0% | 23.6% | -10.6% | 0.6% | 3.03 | 5.70 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL BOS Red | 13 | 11 | 50 | 210 | 46 | 19 | 0 | 85% | 3.8 | 14.9% | 11.3% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 2.36 | 3.27 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL BOS Red | 13 | 11 | 50 | 210 | 46 | 19 | 0 | 85% | 3.8 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 0.0% | 2.36 | 2.40 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 5 | 48 | 228 | 55 | 32 | 2 | 31% | 3.0 | 16.7% | 15.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 5.96 | 4.52 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 5 | 48 | 228 | 55 | 32 | 2 | 31% | 3.0 | 24.1% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 0.9% | 5.96 | 3.35 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Salem Red Sox | 21 | 20 | 90 | 407 | 78 | 49 | 2 | 95% | 4.3 | 14.2% | 14.2% | -0.0% | 0.6% | 3.80 | 4.05 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Salem Red Sox | 21 | 20 | 90 | 407 | 78 | 49 | 2 | 95% | 4.3 | 19.2% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 0.5% | 3.80 | 3.29 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 5 | 80 | 363 | 52 | 43 | 6 | 16% | 2.6 | 11.5% | 13.3% | -1.8% | 3.0% | 6.41 | 5.46 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 5 | 80 | 363 | 52 | 43 | 6 | 16% | 2.6 | 14.3% | 11.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 6.41 | 4.39 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | CWS | 52 | 0 | 54 | 230 | 46 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 4.72 | 4.72 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CWS | 52 | 0 | 54 | 230 | 48 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 2.9% | 4.66 | 4.65 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 51 | 0 | 54 | 226 | 47 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.65 | 4.67 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CWS | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 2.9% | 4.66 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.65 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 50 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.65 | 4.28 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 175 | 88 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.65 | 4.28 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 111 | 53 | 343 | 1563 | 208 | 252 | 20 | 48% | 3.1 | 13.3% | 16.1% | -2.9% | 1.3% | 4.35 | 4.73 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 65 | 31 | 200 | 910 | 121 | 147 | 12 | 48% | 3.1 | 13.3% | 16.1% | -2.9% | 1.3% | 4.35 | 4.73 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jose Ramirez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.72 | 20.1% | 10.5% | 2.9% | — | 4.66 | 20.8% | 10.4% | 108 | -0.06 | — | — | — |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 88 |
| Yaisel Sierra R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .338 | 3.01 | 22.4% | 12.3% | 71 | -1.30 | 3.01 | 176 | 84 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 83 |
| Noah Bremer R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 18.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .292 | 5.88 | 13.1% | 1.2% | 46 | +1.64 | 3.14 | 271 | 81 |
| Phil Klein R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 1.6% | .280 | 3.17 | 24.5% | 17.9% | 97 | -0.66 | 3.17 | 178 | 81 |
| Hunter Adkins R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.37 | 16.2% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.81 | 11.8% | 0.5% | 58 | +0.44 | 4.37 | 160 | 81 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 81 |
| Jake Bray R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.02 | 15.4% | 11.2% | 3.3% | .294 | 5.41 | 20.5% | 7.7% | 61 | +0.39 | 2.76 | 198 | 80 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.26 | 17.4% | 11.5% | 4.0% | .321 | 3.22 | 25.9% | 16.8% | 60 | -2.04 | 2.63 | 213 | 80 |
| Tristan Stevens R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .411 | 3.71 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 91 | -0.57 | 3.71 | 126 | 80 |
| Jose Samayoa R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.56 | 16.6% | 9.9% | 1.1% | .286 | 4.12 | 17.3% | 9.4% | 226 | +0.56 | 3.56 | 262 | 79 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 79 |
| Ryan Tapani R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.89 | 19.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .331 | 5.46 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 47 | +1.57 | 3.89 | 141 | 79 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.71 | 18.3% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .337 | 3.27 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 50 | -1.44 | 3.27 | 339 | 79 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2028 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 78 |
| Mike Franco R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.74 | 17.2% | 12.9% | 2.6% | .251 | 4.30 | 21.9% | 12.7% | 98 | -0.44 | 3.06 | 322 | 78 |
| Erich Uelmen R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.19 | 17.9% | 11.0% | 4.0% | .267 | 3.90 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 112 | -1.29 | 3.53 | 383 | 78 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 77 |
| Greyfer Eregua R 2024 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.85 | 18.3% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 126 | 77 |
| TJ Shook R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.41 | 21.0% | 9.6% | 3.4% | .273 | 4.29 | 23.1% | 14.9% | 172 | -0.12 | 3.36 | 432 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 54 | 20.5% | 10.4% | 1.14 | 4.68 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |