Angel Soriano — OGILVIE

Angel Soriano P FCL Pirates

Age 19 LHP 6'1" / 188 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114122vR 130

ERA5.11

FIP5.11

K%22.2%

BB%14.7%

K-BB%7.4%

ROS IP21

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	4	4	11	48	11	6	0	100%	2.8	22.9%	12.5%	10.4%	0.0%	1.59	2.75	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	4	4	11	48	11	6	0	100%	2.8	22.9%	12.5%	10.4%	0.0%	1.59	2.75	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	4	4	11	48	11	6	0	100%	2.8	22.9%	12.5%	10.4%	0.0%	1.59	2.75	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	13	2	30	139	18	29	0	15%	2.3	8.8%	26.1%	-17.3%	0.0%	5.16	5.66	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	13	2	30	139	18	29	0	15%	2.3	8.8%	26.1%	-17.3%	0.0%	5.16	5.66	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	19	ROK RAW	PIT	13	2	30	139	18	29	0	15%	2.3	12.9%	20.9%	-7.9%	0.0%	5.16	4.65	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	PIT	29	0	31	129	29	17	4	0%	1.1	22.7%	13.0%	9.7%	2.9%	4.90	4.81	-0.1
2027	20	MLB CTX	PIT	14	0	15	63	14	8	2	0%	1.1	22.7%	13.0%	9.7%	2.9%	4.90	4.81	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	64	14	8	2	0%	1.1	22.7%	13.0%	9.7%	2.9%	4.90	4.43	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	186	106	27	0%	1.1	22.7%	13.0%	9.7%	2.9%	4.90	4.43	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		17	6	41	187	23	42	0	35%	2.4	12.4%	22.6%	-10.2%	0.0%	4.17	4.91	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		83	29	200	912	113	206	0	35%	2.4	12.4%	22.6%	-10.2%	0.0%	4.17	4.91	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Angel Soriano (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.11	22.2%	14.7%	3.0%	—	4.81	22.7%	9.7%	31	-0.30	—	—	—
Alex Ayala Jr. L 2022 · 4.20 FIP	20	SW	4.20	20.7%	12.3%	2.3%	.271	5.99	13.6%	-3.1%	71	+1.79	4.20	128	77
Juan Diaz L 2017 · 3.96 FIP	19	SW	3.96	17.5%	14.4%	0.9%	.239	3.00	16.8%	9.8%	43	-0.96	3.00	100	77
Daniel Juarez L 2019 · 4.45 FIP	18	SU	4.45	24.9%	14.7%	2.9%	.389	4.24	26.5%	9.0%	68	-0.21	3.68	221	76
Esmerlin Vinicio L 2022 · 4.71 FIP	19	SW	4.71	17.6%	15.7%	2.0%	.365	4.87	17.2%	0.5%	207	+0.16	3.79	382	75
Jeremy Peguero L 2021 · 4.63 FIP	19	SW	4.63	17.3%	17.2%	1.5%	.345	4.08	20.1%	0.6%	87	-0.55	3.52	126	75
Spencer Giesting L 2022 · 5.80 FIP	21	SP-	5.80	20.8%	16.6%	4.3%	.290	4.31	18.9%	7.9%	394	-1.49	3.58	457	74
Edgardo Ibarra L 2022 · 5.37 FIP	19	SW	5.37	16.2%	16.6%	2.8%	.250	5.26	14.4%	-5.7%	63	-0.11	5.26	142	74
Taylor Hearn L 2016 · 3.99 FIP	21	SW	3.99	26.1%	10.6%	3.2%	.347	4.01	22.3%	11.7%	236	+0.02	3.72	572	73
Anfernny Reyes L 2023 · 4.98 FIP	19	SU	4.98	21.6%	13.6%	3.6%	.282	4.34	21.0%	1.8%	99	-0.64	2.89	175	73
Jordi Martinez L 2019 · 4.73 FIP	19	SW	4.73	17.7%	12.5%	2.8%	.258	4.17	16.6%	7.5%	104	-0.56	3.15	205	73
Francisco Villegas L 2017 · 4.55 FIP	19	SW	4.55	17.0%	8.1%	3.4%	.256	5.85	17.9%	3.1%	59	+1.30	4.55	131	72
Yokelvin Reyes L 2023 · 3.94 FIP	19	SU	3.94	20.1%	12.8%	1.7%	.293	4.48	16.0%	4.1%	166	+0.54	3.50	221	71
Jesus Toledo L 2019 · 4.16 FIP	19	SW	4.16	17.5%	14.3%	1.3%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	122	70
Nate Bertness L 2015 · 4.53 FIP	19	SW	4.53	13.9%	11.4%	2.1%	.396	4.65	14.2%	2.8%	291	+0.12	3.78	382	70
Rovaldis Cabrera L 2019 · 5.41 FIP	19	SW	5.41	16.0%	10.1%	4.3%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	2.72	127	69
Jonathan Hennigan L 2017 · 4.08 FIP	22	SU	4.08	22.0%	13.6%	2.0%	.341	3.57	17.5%	5.8%	119	-0.51	3.46	265	69
Alex Winkelman L 2016 · 4.44 FIP	22	SW	4.44	15.8%	14.7%	1.5%	.344	3.77	18.8%	6.5%	181	-0.67	3.40	246	69
Yeury Gervacio L 2018 · 4.88 FIP	19	SW	4.88	13.9%	13.8%	2.2%	.376	4.70	17.8%	4.2%	65	-0.18	4.10	184	69
Joey Marciano L 2017 · 3.97 FIP	22	SW	3.97	15.1%	11.8%	1.2%	.266	4.99	16.3%	6.1%	153	+1.02	3.65	330	69
Kevin Escorcia L 2015 · 5.63 FIP	20	SW	5.63	14.3%	10.8%	4.3%	.394	3.59	22.4%	8.2%	118	-2.04	3.16	189	69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	22.5%	13.7%	1.14	4.98
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64