Israfell Bautista3B
DSL Tampa Bay
Age 19
S/R
6'2" / 155 lbs
ROK
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 3.2 · 2034
wRC+73
AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .293 / .319
PA187
HR3
K%26
BB%9
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
45→45
PWR
20→20
SPD
60→60
EYE
50↗60
trajectory · 10 yrs
3.2peak
2033
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +3.0 | $29M | +$28M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +3.1 | $31M | +$30M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +3.2 | $32M | +$31M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $6M | +3.0 | $31M | +$25M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $9M | +2.8 | $30M | +$21M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $12M | +2.6 | $29M | +$16M |
| Totals | $31M | $182M | +$151M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | 168 | 154 | 34 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 49 | 2 | 39 | 5 | .221 | .273 | .247 | .519 | .026 | .318 | 29 | 5 | .236 | 39 | -12 | +6 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | 218 | 191 | 37 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 50 | 2 | 45 | 5 | .194 | .287 | .220 | .507 | .026 | .262 | 23 | 11 | .238 | 40 | -15 | +7 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | MLB | — | 187 | 166 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 49 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .223 | .303 | .331 | .634 | .108 | .287 | 26 | 9 | .281 | 73 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB 11% | — | 265 | 234 | 54 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 66 | 3 | 7 | 1 | .231 | .316 | .355 | .670 | .124 | .294 | 25 | 10 | .302 | 90 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 0.6 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB 28% | — | 383 | 336 | 79 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 93 | 5 | 11 | 2 | .235 | .324 | .369 | .693 | .134 | .295 | 24 | 10 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +11 | 1.3 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB 48% | — | 467 | 409 | 99 | 18 | 3 | 12 | 49 | 109 | 6 | 13 | 2 | .242 | .332 | .389 | .721 | .147 | .295 | 23 | 10 | .321 | 104 | +2 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +13 | 1.9 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB 65% | — | 522 | 455 | 110 | 20 | 3 | 14 | 56 | 120 | 6 | 14 | 3 | .242 | .333 | .391 | .724 | .149 | .296 | 23 | 11 | .327 | 109 | +5 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +15 | 2.4 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB 82% | — | 558 | 484 | 118 | 21 | 3 | 16 | 62 | 126 | 7 | 15 | 3 | .244 | .338 | .399 | .737 | .155 | .296 | 23 | 11 | .331 | 112 | +7 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +16 | 2.8 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB | — | 579 | 502 | 123 | 22 | 3 | 17 | 65 | 130 | 7 | 15 | 3 | .245 | .340 | .402 | .742 | .157 | .297 | 22 | 11 | .334 | 114 | +9 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +16 | 3.0 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB | — | 589 | 509 | 126 | 22 | 3 | 18 | 68 | 132 | 7 | 15 | 3 | .248 | .344 | .409 | .753 | .161 | .297 | 22 | 12 | .336 | 115 | +10 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +17 | 3.1 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB | — | 591 | 510 | 126 | 22 | 3 | 18 | 69 | 133 | 7 | 15 | 2 | .247 | .345 | .408 | .753 | .161 | .297 | 23 | 12 | .336 | 115 | +10 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +17 | 3.2 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB | — | 588 | 507 | 124 | 22 | 3 | 17 | 69 | 134 | 7 | 14 | 2 | .245 | .343 | .400 | .743 | .156 | .297 | 23 | 12 | .335 | 115 | +10 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +17 | 3.0 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB | — | 579 | 499 | 121 | 21 | 3 | 17 | 68 | 133 | 7 | 13 | 2 | .242 | .341 | .399 | .740 | .156 | .296 | 23 | 12 | .333 | 113 | +8 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +16 | 2.8 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB | — | 569 | 490 | 118 | 21 | 3 | 16 | 67 | 133 | 7 | 13 | 1 | .241 | .340 | .394 | .734 | .153 | .295 | 23 | 12 | .330 | 111 | +7 | +2 | -2 | +2 | +16 | 2.6 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB | — | 555 | 478 | 114 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 65 | 132 | 7 | 11 | 0 | .238 | .338 | .387 | .725 | .149 | .293 | 24 | 12 | .326 | 108 | +5 | +2 | -3 | +2 | +16 | 2.2 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB | — | 537 | 463 | 109 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 63 | 130 | 6 | 11 | 0 | .235 | .335 | .380 | .715 | .145 | .292 | 24 | 12 | .321 | 104 | +2 | +2 | -4 | +2 | +15 | 1.9 |
| 2040 | 33 | MLB | — | 507 | 437 | 100 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 59 | 127 | 6 | 10 | 0 | .229 | .329 | .366 | .695 | .137 | .290 | 25 | 12 | .316 | 100 | -0 | +2 | -4 | +2 | +14 | 1.4 |
| 2041 | 34 | MLB | — | 461 | 400 | 89 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 53 | 119 | 5 | 9 | 0 | .223 | .321 | .352 | .673 | .130 | .288 | 26 | 11 | .309 | 95 | -3 | +2 | -5 | +2 | +13 | 0.9 |
| 2042 | 35 | MLB | — | 405 | 351 | 77 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 47 | 109 | 4 | 8 | 0 | .219 | .318 | .345 | .663 | .125 | .286 | 27 | 12 | .302 | 89 | -5 | +2 | -6 | +1 | +11 | 0.4 |
| 2043 | 36 | MLB | — | 345 | 299 | 63 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 39 | 96 | 4 | 7 | 0 | .211 | .310 | .328 | .638 | .117 | .283 | 28 | 11 | .293 | 82 | -7 | +1 | -6 | +1 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2044 | 37 | MLB | — | 281 | 245 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 81 | 3 | 6 | 0 | .200 | .297 | .302 | .600 | .102 | .279 | 29 | 11 | .283 | 75 | -8 | +1 | -7 | +1 | +8 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9354 | 8119 | 1907 | 327 | 49 | 236 | 1044 | 2251 | 110 | 295 | 35 | .235 | .330 | .374 | .705 | .140 | .294 | 24 | 11 | .318 | 102 | +18 | +45 | -38 | +33 | +265 | 32.9 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 564 | 132 | 23 | 3 | 16 | 73 | 156 | 8 | 20 | 2 | .234 | .330 | .371 | .701 | .137 | .294 | 24 | 11 | .318 | 102 | +1 | +3 | -3 | +2 | +18 | 2.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | 168 | 148 | 41 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 32 | 2 | 39 | 5 | .277 | .352 | .311 | .662 | .034 | .347 | 19 | 9 | .303 | 90 | -2 | +6 | — | — | +5 | 0.9 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | 218 | 176 | 49 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 38 | 35 | 2 | 45 | 5 | .278 | .412 | .324 | .736 | .045 | .348 | 16 | 17 | .345 | 122 | +6 | +7 | — | — | +6 | 1.9 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Israfell Bautista (OGILVIE) | 19 | 45 | 20 | 60 | 60 | .215/.293/.319 | .104 | .287 | 3 | 4 | 26% | 9% | 73 | -0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
★Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A |
19 | 46→56 | 36→45 | 53→55 | 55 | .212/.301/.276 | .064 | .273 | 3 | 16 | 22% | 11% | 65 | -0.7 | .218/.304/.295 | .077 | .280 | 4 | 15 | 21% | 9% | 71 | -0.3 | .256/.355/.382 | .126 | .288 | 11 | 19 | 14% | 12% | 111 | +2.2 |
|
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A |
19 | 52→62 | 37→40 | 55→60 | 49 | .241/.304/.317 | .076 | .306 | 3 | 17 | 21% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | .250/.296/.310 | .060 | .296 | 1 | 19 | 15% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .299/.358/.381 | .081 | .343 | 4 | 36 | 13% | 8% | 110 | +2.1 |
|
●Leo Rivas 2018 · A |
20 | 47→54 | 37→40 | 55→65 | 53 | .217/.311/.293 | .076 | .288 | 3 | 19 | 24% | 10% | 74 | -0.1 | .194/.278/.275 | .081 | .289 | 5 | 10 | 31% | 10% | 55 | -1.4 | .238/.354/.331 | .093 | .320 | 9 | 44 | 25% | 14% | 100 | +1.2 |
|
✕Ricardo Ferreira 2015 · A |
20 | 48 | 36→40 | 54→60 | 50 | .215/.310/.286 | .072 | .325 | 3 | 19 | 31% | 11% | 72 | -0.2 | .247/.324/.323 | .076 | .343 | 3 | 23 | 26% | 9% | 85 | +0.7 | .263/.336/.338 | .075 | .360 | 3 | 29 | 25% | 9% | 91 | +0.5 |
|
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A |
19 | 43→42 | 45→40 | 53→65 | 45 | .213/.281/.336 | .123 | .279 | 13 | 11 | 28% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .194/.288/.298 | .104 | .270 | 9 | 21 | 29% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .165/.260/.259 | .093 | .238 | 9 | 30 | 32% | 10% | 44 | -1.1 |
|
✕Miguel Chacoa 2008 · A |
19 | 50 | 38→30 | 52→50 | 46 | .236/.296/.315 | .079 | .307 | 5 | 16 | 24% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .236/.298/.295 | .059 | .279 | 3 | 15 | 15% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .241/.304/.284 | .043 | .277 | 1 | 17 | 12% | 7% | 63 | -0.3 |
|
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A |
19 | 40→50 | 41→45 | 56→55 | 44 | .195/.266/.289 | .094 | .272 | 9 | 17 | 30% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .217/.283/.315 | .098 | .299 | 7 | 21 | 28% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .253/.315/.362 | .109 | .325 | 7 | 28 | 23% | 8% | 88 | +0.8 |
|
●César Hernández 2009 · A |
19 | 48→58 | 38→45 | 54→55 | 48 | .224/.278/.312 | .088 | .269 | 4 | 13 | 18% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .222/.274/.287 | .065 | .277 | 3 | 16 | 20% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .277/.367/.382 | .105 | .344 | 8 | 16 | 20% | 12% | 114 | +2.9 |
|
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A |
19 | 47→48 | 41→50 | 53→45 | 48 | .227/.287/.331 | .103 | .273 | 8 | 13 | 20% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .229/.306/.353 | .124 | .285 | 12 | 10 | 22% | 9% | 86 | +0.8 | .226/.311/.371 | .145 | .266 | 15 | 9 | 20% | 10% | 91 | +1.0 |
|
●Angel Genao 2023 · A |
19 | 45→55 | 37→45 | 52→50 | 47 | .212/.286/.285 | .072 | .288 | 5 | 12 | 26% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .241/.293/.346 | .105 | .309 | 7 | 11 | 23% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 | .255/.302/.371 | .117 | .316 | 8 | 12 | 21% | 6% | 85 | +0.5 |
|
✕Juan Matheus 2023 · A |
19 | 42→46 | 41→40 | 50→55 | 53 | .198/.304/.305 | .107 | .295 | 7 | 15 | 32% | 12% | 75 | -0.0 | .207/.301/.301 | .094 | .296 | 6 | 20 | 29% | 11% | 72 | -0.2 | .211/.291/.296 | .085 | .285 | 5 | 23 | 25% | 9% | 64 | -0.5 |
|
✕Manuel Guzman 2014 · A |
19 | 48 | 37→45 | 47→55 | 50 | .226/.292/.301 | .075 | .272 | 4 | 14 | 18% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .220/.286/.278 | .058 | .274 | 2 | 18 | 19% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .238/.306/.305 | .068 | .287 | 4 | 15 | 17% | 9% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Ramón Cabrera 2009 · A |
19 | 44→54 | 40 | 51→40 | 49 | .210/.275/.306 | .096 | .257 | 7 | 7 | 21% | 8% | 61 | -1.0 | .232/.280/.319 | .087 | .274 | 5 | 5 | 16% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .274/.327/.360 | .086 | .313 | 3 | 3 | 13% | 7% | 93 | +0.9 |
|
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A |
19 | 43 | 38→30 | 52→60 | 41 | .205/.262/.288 | .083 | .287 | 4 | 12 | 29% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .223/.282/.290 | .067 | .291 | 2 | 11 | 22% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .224/.333/.269 | .045 | .305 | 1 | 34 | 23% | 14% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A |
19 | 47→56 | 41→45 | 56→70 | 47 | .226/.290/.328 | .102 | .300 | 7 | 17 | 26% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .218/.270/.316 | .098 | .284 | 7 | 16 | 24% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .260/.332/.371 | .111 | .354 | 9 | 50 | 27% | 9% | 98 | +1.0 |
|
✕Jaison Chourio 2023 · A |
18 | 47→49 | 38→40 | 53→55 | 57 | .220/.313/.307 | .086 | .278 | 4 | 14 | 20% | 12% | 78 | +0.2 | .225/.315/.310 | .085 | .316 | 4 | 20 | 27% | 11% | 79 | +0.3 | .219/.316/.296 | .077 | .309 | 5 | 23 | 27% | 12% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
✕Carlos Willoughby 2008 · A |
19 | 48→41 | 36→40 | 53→60 | 49 | .224/.300/.292 | .068 | .279 | 3 | 16 | 20% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .230/.314/.297 | .067 | .297 | 2 | 27 | 21% | 9% | 76 | +0.0 | .235/.320/.307 | .072 | .303 | 1 | 35 | 20% | 9% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Ian Lewis Jr. 2023 · A |
20 | 47→40 | 40 | 56→55 | 43 | .223/.279/.318 | .095 | .302 | 7 | 17 | 28% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .211/.272/.306 | .095 | .291 | 7 | 22 | 28% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .209/.274/.312 | .103 | .279 | 7 | 30 | 26% | 7% | 59 | -0.7 |
|
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A |
19 | 47 | 39→45 | 51→50 | 42 | .223/.278/.315 | .092 | .300 | 5 | 13 | 26% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .211/.257/.296 | .085 | .311 | 4 | 11 | 32% | 5% | 50 | -1.8 | .178/.220/.246 | .068 | .283 | 3 | 12 | 36% | 4% | 17 | -1.1 |
|
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A |
19 | 49→37 | 40→45 | 54→55 | 45 | .229/.303/.328 | .098 | .328 | 7 | 17 | 30% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .197/.323/.323 | .126 | .275 | 12 | 20 | 30% | 11% | 89 | +1.0 | .179/.324/.312 | .133 | .244 | 14 | 22 | 29% | 12% | 86 | +0.5 |