Israfell Bautista

Israfell Bautista3B FCL Rays

Age 19 S/R 6'2" / 155 lbs ROK HR +6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION207 act + 20 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .250 / .167

PA20

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP291

ISO62

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	168	148	41	3	1	0	15	32	2	39	5	277	352	311	662	34	347	19	9	303	91	-2	+6	—	—	+4	0.8
2025	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	218	176	49	4	2	0	38	35	2	45	5	278	412	324	736	45	348	16	17	345	120	+5	+7	—	—	+5	1.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	168	154	33	2	1	0	9	47	2	39	5	214	267	240	507	26	298	28	5	230	42	-12	+6	—	—	+4	-0.2
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	218	191	38	3	1	0	23	50	2	45	5	199	292	225	517	26	271	23	11	245	52	-12	+7	—	—	+5	-0.1
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	168	154	33	2	1	0	9	47	2	39	5	214	267	240	507	26	303	28	5	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	—	168	148	41	3	1	0	15	32	2	39	5	277	352	311	662	34	347	19	9	303	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	218	191	38	3	1	0	23	50	2	45	5	199	292	225	517	26	270	23	11	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	—	218	176	49	4	2	0	38	35	2	45	5	278	412	324	736	45	348	16	17	345	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	168	155	33	2	1	0	9	47	2	39	5	213	267	239	505	26	298	28	5	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	218	191	38	3	1	0	23	50	2	45	5	199	292	225	517	26	271	23	11	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	168	155	33	2	1	0	9	47	2	39	5	213	267	239	505	26	298	28	5	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	218	191	38	3	1	0	23	50	2	45	5	199	292	225	517	26	271	23	11	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	TB	—	207	175	31	1	1	0	24	72	3	34	6	177	287	194	481	17	290	35	12	222	36	-16	+4	+0	+1	+4	-0.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	TB	—	207	161	36	1	1	0	38	50	3	34	6	224	381	242	623	19	313	24	18	301	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	TB	0%	20	18	3	0	0	0	2	6	0	2	0	167	250	167	417		284	30	10	247	53	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	TB	—	227	193	34	1	1	0	26	78	3	36	6	176	284	192	475	16	286	34	11	224	38	-17	+5	+0	+1	+5	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	TB	34%	269	238	49	7	1	3	26	76	3	10	2	206	292	282	574	76	286	28	10	264	64	-11	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.3
2028	21	MLB MLE	TB	48%	386	342	72	10	2	5	37	105	4	13	2	211	295	295	590	85	287	27	10	275	72	-13	+2	+0	+1	+8	-0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	TB	54%	469	415	90	13	2	8	45	126	6	14	2	217	303	316	618	99	288	27	10	283	77	-13	+2	+0	+2	+10	0.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	TB	57%	524	462	102	15	3	9	51	139	6	15	3	221	306	325	631	104	289	27	10	287	80	-12	+2	+0	+2	+11	0.3
2031	24	MLB MLE	TB	57%	559	493	110	16	3	11	54	148	7	15	3	223	309	335	643	112	290	26	10	290	82	-12	+2	+0	+2	+12	0.4
2032	25	MLB MLE	TB	57%	579	511	114	17	3	11	56	153	7	15	3	223	308	333	641	110	290	26	10	291	83	-12	+2	+0	+2	+13	0.5
2033	26	MLB MLE	TB	56%	590	520	116	17	3	12	58	155	7	15	3	223	309	337	646	113	290	26	10	292	83	-12	+2	+0	+2	+13	0.5
2034	27	MLB MLE	TB	55%	592	522	116	17	3	12	58	156	7	15	3	222	308	335	644	113	290	26	10	292	83	-12	+2	+0	+2	+13	0.5
2035	28	MLB MLE	TB	55%	588	517	113	16	3	11	59	156	7	14	2	219	307	325	632	106	289	27	10	290	83	-12	+2	-1	+2	+13	0.4
2036	29	MLB MLE	TB	53%	579	509	112	16	3	11	58	155	7	14	2	220	308	328	636	108	288	27	10	288	81	-13	+2	-1	+2	+13	0.2
2037	30	MLB MLE	TB	57%	569	500	107	15	2	10	57	154	7	13	2	214	303	312	615	98	287	27	10	285	79	-14	+2	-2	+2	+12	0.0
2027	20	MLB CTX	TB	34%	92	82	17	2	1	1	9	26	1	4	1	207	293	293	586	85	293	28	10	261	64	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	TB	48%	187	165	36	5	1	3	18	51	2	6	1	218	303	315	618	97	295	27	10	273	72	-6	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	TB	54%	254	225	49	7	1	4	24	68	3	8	1	218	302	311	613	93	297	27	9	280	77	-7	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	TB	57%	297	262	60	9	2	6	29	79	4	8	1	229	315	347	663	118	298	27	10	285	80	-7	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	TB	57%	316	278	64	10	2	6	31	83	4	9	1	230	316	345	662	115	298	26	10	287	82	-7	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.3
2032	25	MLB CTX	TB	57%	327	288	67	10	2	7	32	86	4	9	1	233	318	354	672	122	299	26	10	289	83	-7	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.3
2033	26	MLB CTX	TB	56%	333	294	67	10	2	7	32	88	4	9	1	228	312	347	659	119	298	26	10	289	83	-7	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.3
2034	27	MLB CTX	TB	55%	328	289	67	10	2	7	32	87	4	8	1	232	317	353	670	121	298	27	10	289	83	-6	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.3
2035	28	MLB CTX	TB	55%	323	284	65	10	2	6	32	86	4	8	1	229	316	342	657	113	297	27	10	288	83	-7	+1	-0	+1	+7	0.2
2036	29	MLB CTX	TB	53%	310	272	62	9	2	6	31	83	4	7	1	228	316	342	658	114	296	27	10	286	81	-7	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.1
2037	30	MLB CTX	TB	57%	325	285	64	9	2	6	33	88	4	7	1	225	314	333	647	109	295	27	10	283	79	-8	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3092	2724	618	91	19	59	303	825	38	83	11	227	313	339	652	112	301	27	10	285	78	-72	+12	-2	+11	+67	1.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	129	19	4	12	64	173	8	17	2	225	312	335	647	110	298	27	10	285	78	-15	+3	-0	+2	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	6110	5392	1175	164	30	103	593	1626	72	239	37	218	304	317	621	99	290	27	10	284	78	-136	+20	-4	+20	+124	2.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	124	17	3	11	63	173	8	25	4	216	302	314	616	98	288	27	10	284	78	-15	+2	-0	+2	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#2Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.9	3,282	57	88	219	302	322	+12	+4	3.3	3.2
/162	664	12	18	+2.4	+0.7	0.7	pk7: 3
#5Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Israfell Bautista (OGILVIE)	19	45	20	60	60	193/280/240	47	284	1	15	29%	10%	53	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Emmanuel Morel 2016 · A	19	45	35→30	53→55	49	207/286/270	62	293	2	17	28%	9%	61	-1.5	187/257/246	59	306	2	15	36%	8%	45	-2.7	139/207/173	34	251	0	17	41%	7%	8	-1.1
✕Yonny Hernández 2017 · A	19	47→57	34→30	53→60	52	216/292/271	55	261	1	19	16%	8%	64	-1.3	225/304/280	55	278	1	24	18%	9%	70	-0.8	265/327/322	57	316	2	17	16%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Jose Constanza 2007 · A	19	47	34→30	51→60	54	213/308/264	51	310	2	22	28%	12%	69	-0.9	225/318/285	60	306	2	17	24%	12%	77	-0.3	236/346/282	46	308	0	21	20%	14%	85	+0.1
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→45	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	55	-2.0	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	223/334/268	45	305	1	34	23%	14%	77	-0.2
✕Jorge Minyety 2010 · A	19	46	35→30	50	55	208/299/269	61	275	1	14	22%	11%	67	-1.1	215/285/280	65	301	2	9	27%	9%	63	-1.4	224/291/259	35	315	0	4	26%	9%	56	-0.4
✕Julio Izturis 2009 · A	19	47	34→30	55→60	55	215/311/263	48	261	2	25	17%	10%	70	-0.8	226/302/298	72	296	4	17	23%	8%	74	-0.6	242/304/298	57	323	4	23	25%	6%	74	-0.1
✕Carlos Willoughby 2008 · A	19	48→44	36→40	53→60	49	225/302/290	65	279	3	17	19%	7%	72	-0.7	231/314/298	67	298	2	28	21%	9%	78	-0.3	235/320/307	72	303	1	35	20%	9%	80	-0.0
✕Jesus Galindo 2010 · A	19	45→51	35→30	55→65	47	202/293/259	57	310	2	19	32%	9%	63	-1.4	210/289/263	53	286	1	32	24%	9%	61	-1.5	235/286/299	64	320	2	38	25%	5%	64	-0.8
✕Alberto Figuereo 2019 · A	19	45	35→30	61→60	47	209/277/273	64	266	1	25	21%	7%	59	-1.7	204/263/266	62	282	2	14	26%	6%	51	-2.2	195/238/226	31	268	0	9	26%	4%	29	-0.8
✕Kevin Encarnacion 2012 · A	20	45	36→40	56→55	51	210/281/283	74	266	2	20	21%	8%	62	-1.4	218/295/315	97	275	7	13	22%	9%	75	-0.5	227/301/318	90	284	8	11	22%	8%	74	-0.2
✕Leo Rivas 2017 · A	19	45→54	36→40	54→65	48	210/293/282	73	289	3	21	26%	8%	68	-1.0	200/289/277	77	290	4	13	29%	10%	65	-1.2	241/356/333	92	321	9	44	24%	14%	102	+1.0
✕Bengie González 2009 · A	19	41→51	34→40	51→50	47	194/264/244	51	272	2	11	28%	8%	47	-2.5	207/258/252	45	280	1	12	25%	6%	46	-2.6	255/307/351	95	309	4	12	18%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Roberto Caro 2014 · A	20	46→41	35→40	56→60	48	210/285/283	73	287	1	16	25%	8%	63	-1.3	206/280/293	87	291	3	18	27%	8%	64	-1.3	215/287/293	78	329	2	26	32%	8%	65	-0.6
✕Nasim Nuñez 2021 · A	20	41→49	35→30	57→65	47	191/265/249	58	276	2	20	30%	9%	49	-2.4	210/296/260	50	309	2	38	29%	11%	63	-1.3	208/293/264	56	293	5	52	28%	10%	61	-1.2
✕Dubal Baez 2012 · A	19	46	34→30	52→60	47	210/307/262	52	296	2	16	27%	8%	69	-0.9	218/295/268	50	299	1	19	25%	7%	65	-1.2	222/294/257	35	301	0	26	24%	7%	58	-0.5
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	38	35→30	49→55	44	180/246/238	57	263	3	15	31%	8%	38	-3.2	201/290/246	45	281	1	14	26%	10%	58	-1.7	210/308/237	27	280	0	17	22%	11%	61	-0.5
✕Jodaneli Carvajal 2011 · A	19	46	36→30	55	44	215/271/282	67	278	3	20	23%	6%	57	-1.8	212/262/279	67	270	3	14	21%	5%	53	-2.1	207/251/266	59	256	1	14	19%	4%	42	-0.8
✕Candido Pimentel 2010 · A	20	48	36→30	54→55	51	223/302/295	72	308	3	17	26%	10%	73	-0.6	217/280/273	56	305	2	15	27%	8%	59	-1.7	238/288/280	42	332	1	17	27%	6%	59	-0.6
✕Miguel Chacoa 2008 · A	19	51	38→30	52→50	47	238/298/316	77	309	5	17	24%	7%	76	-0.4	235/296/294	59	278	3	14	15%	7%	70	-0.8	241/304/284	43	277	1	17	12%	7%	67	-0.4
✕Jilbert Rosario 2014 · A	19	46	36→30	52→55	46	216/291/285	69	292	3	15	25%	8%	67	-1.1	221/290/273	52	289	2	19	22%	8%	63	-1.4	225/295/260	35	292	0	25	21%	7%	59	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps