Israfell Bautista
3B FCL Rays| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROKDSL Tampa Bay | 168 | .277/.352/.311 | 0 | 39 | 30 | — | .196/.255/.222 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROKDSL Tampa Bay | 218 | .278/.412/.324 | 0 | 45 | 41 | — | .176/.282/.202 |
| 2026 | 19 | ROKTB | 207 | .224/.381/.242 | 0 | 34 | 36 | — | .170/.277/.188 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 20 | MLBTB | 317 | .200/.276/.260 | 2 | 10 | 55 | -0.2 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 21 | MLBTB | 54 | .209/.286/.285 | 0 | 2 | 63 | -0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 22 | MLBTB | 124 | .214/.291/.301 | 2 | 4 | 69 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 168 | 148 | 41 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 32 | 2 | 39 | 5 | 277 | 352 | 311 | 662 | 34 | 347 | 19 | 9 | 303 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 218 | 176 | 49 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 38 | 35 | 2 | 45 | 5 | 278 | 412 | 324 | 736 | 45 | 348 | 16 | 17 | 345 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | FCL Rays | — | 207 | 161 | 36 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 38 | 50 | 3 | 34 | 6 | 224 | 381 | 242 | 623 | 19 | 313 | 24 | 18 | 301 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 168 | 153 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 2 | 39 | 5 | 196 | 255 | 222 | 477 | 26 | 250 | 24 | 6 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 218 | 188 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 43 | 2 | 45 | 5 | 176 | 282 | 202 | 485 | 27 | 224 | 20 | 12 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Rays | — | 207 | 176 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 72 | 3 | 34 | 6 | 170 | 277 | 188 | 465 | 17 | 264 | 35 | 11 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 168 | 153 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 2 | 39 | 5 | 196 | 255 | 222 | 477 | 26 | 261 | 24 | 6 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 168 | 148 | 41 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 32 | 2 | 39 | 5 | 277 | 352 | 311 | 662 | 34 | 347 | 19 | 9 | 303 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 218 | 188 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 43 | 2 | 45 | 5 | 176 | 282 | 202 | 485 | 27 | 228 | 20 | 12 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 218 | 176 | 49 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 38 | 35 | 2 | 45 | 5 | 278 | 412 | 324 | 736 | 45 | 348 | 16 | 17 | 345 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Rays | — | 207 | 176 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 72 | 3 | 34 | 6 | 170 | 277 | 188 | 465 | 17 | 278 | 35 | 11 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK RAW | FCL Rays | — | 207 | 161 | 36 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 38 | 50 | 3 | 34 | 6 | 224 | 381 | 242 | 623 | 19 | 313 | 24 | 18 | 301 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 168 | 154 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 2 | 39 | 5 | 195 | 255 | 221 | 475 | 26 | 250 | 24 | 6 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 218 | 188 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 43 | 2 | 45 | 5 | 176 | 282 | 202 | 485 | 27 | 224 | 20 | 12 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Rays | — | 207 | 179 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 72 | 3 | 34 | 6 | 168 | 277 | 184 | 462 | 17 | 264 | 35 | 11 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 168 | 154 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 2 | 39 | 5 | 195 | 255 | 221 | 475 | 26 | 250 | 24 | 6 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 218 | 188 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 43 | 2 | 45 | 5 | 176 | 282 | 202 | 485 | 27 | 224 | 20 | 12 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Rays | — | 207 | 179 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 72 | 3 | 34 | 6 | 168 | 277 | 184 | 462 | 17 | 264 | 35 | 11 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | TB | 0% | 317 | 284 | 58 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 87 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 200 | 276 | 260 | 537 | 61 | 279 | 27 | 9 | 249 | 55 | -17 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | TB | 34% | 156 | 140 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 42 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 206 | 283 | 283 | 566 | 77 | 281 | 27 | 8 | 261 | 63 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB MLE | TB | 48% | 255 | 228 | 48 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 68 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 211 | 288 | 300 | 589 | 89 | 283 | 27 | 9 | 270 | 69 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB MLE | TB | 54% | 349 | 312 | 66 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 92 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 215 | 292 | 313 | 605 | 98 | 284 | 26 | 9 | 276 | 73 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB MLE | TB | 55% | 409 | 366 | 80 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 106 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 218 | 295 | 323 | 618 | 105 | 285 | 26 | 9 | 281 | 76 | -12 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +9 | 0.0 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB MLE | TB | 56% | 444 | 398 | 88 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 115 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 220 | 297 | 330 | 627 | 109 | 286 | 26 | 9 | 284 | 79 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB MLE | TB | 56% | 462 | 414 | 91 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 40 | 119 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 220 | 297 | 331 | 628 | 110 | 286 | 26 | 9 | 285 | 79 | -12 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB MLE | TB | 55% | 468 | 419 | 93 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 41 | 121 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 219 | 296 | 328 | 624 | 108 | 285 | 26 | 9 | 283 | 78 | -12 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB MLE | TB | 55% | 467 | 419 | 91 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 41 | 122 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 217 | 294 | 323 | 617 | 105 | 284 | 26 | 9 | 280 | 76 | -13 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB MLE | TB | 58% | 458 | 411 | 88 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 121 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 215 | 291 | 316 | 607 | 101 | 282 | 26 | 9 | 276 | 73 | -15 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +10 | -0.4 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB MLE | TB | 60% | 447 | 401 | 84 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 39 | 120 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 211 | 287 | 308 | 595 | 96 | 280 | 27 | 9 | 271 | 70 | -16 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +10 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | TB | 34% | 54 | 48 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 209 | 286 | 285 | 570 | 76 | 285 | 28 | 9 | 263 | 63 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB CTX | TB | 48% | 124 | 111 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 33 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 214 | 291 | 301 | 592 | 88 | 286 | 27 | 9 | 271 | 69 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB CTX | TB | 54% | 189 | 169 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 50 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 218 | 294 | 314 | 608 | 96 | 288 | 26 | 8 | 277 | 73 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB CTX | TB | 55% | 227 | 203 | 45 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 59 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 221 | 297 | 324 | 621 | 103 | 289 | 26 | 9 | 282 | 76 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 0.0 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB CTX | TB | 56% | 249 | 222 | 50 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 64 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 223 | 299 | 330 | 629 | 107 | 290 | 26 | 9 | 286 | 79 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB CTX | TB | 56% | 260 | 232 | 53 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 67 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 223 | 299 | 331 | 630 | 108 | 289 | 26 | 9 | 286 | 79 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB CTX | TB | 55% | 259 | 231 | 52 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 67 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 221 | 298 | 328 | 626 | 107 | 289 | 26 | 9 | 284 | 78 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB CTX | TB | 55% | 256 | 230 | 50 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 67 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 219 | 296 | 323 | 619 | 104 | 287 | 26 | 9 | 281 | 76 | -7 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +6 | -0.0 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB CTX | TB | 58% | 266 | 239 | 51 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 70 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 217 | 293 | 317 | 610 | 100 | 286 | 26 | 9 | 278 | 73 | -8 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB CTX | TB | 60% | 269 | 242 | 51 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 72 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 214 | 289 | 308 | 598 | 95 | 283 | 27 | 9 | 273 | 70 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +6 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2153 | 1927 | 424 | 67 | 12 | 35 | 188 | 564 | 21 | 51 | 9 | 220 | 296 | 322 | 618 | 102 | 291 | 26 | 9 | 280 | 69 | -65 | +7 | -2 | +8 | +47 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 582 | 129 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 57 | 170 | 6 | 15 | 3 | 222 | 298 | 326 | 624 | 105 | 292 | 26 | 9 | 280 | 69 | -20 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +14 | -0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4617 | 4123 | 870 | 127 | 27 | 66 | 409 | 1211 | 47 | 215 | 35 | 211 | 290 | 303 | 593 | 92 | 280 | 26 | 9 | 270 | 69 | -124 | +12 | -4 | +14 | +87 | -1.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 580 | 123 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 58 | 170 | 7 | 30 | 5 | 212 | 292 | 303 | 595 | 91 | 281 | 26 | 9 | 270 | 69 | -20 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +14 | -0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ROKFCL Rays · 207 PAwOBA .301 → .221 (−80)K% 24.2% → 34.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.15% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 34.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.36% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 11.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.45% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.040 | ×0.995 | 25.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.040 | ×0.995 | 0.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.040 | ×0.995 | 0.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.
Result: wOBA .301 → .221; ISO .019 → .014; BABIP .313 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 DSLDSL Tampa Bay · 218 PAwOBA .338 → .229 (−108)K% 16.1% → 19.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.06% | ÷1.005 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.43% | ÷1.011 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 12.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.92% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.50% | ÷1.054 | ×0.680 | ×1.014 | ×0.995 | 19.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.84% | ÷0.944 | ×0.600 | ×1.014 | ×0.995 | 1.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.42% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×1.014 | ×0.995 | 0.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.952 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 111, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 101, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .338 → .229; ISO .045 → .028; BABIP .348 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Tampa Bay · 168 PAwOBA .299 → .213 (−86)K% 19.0% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.05% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.93% | ÷1.011 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 6.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.19% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.90% | ÷0.963 | ×0.680 | ×1.019 | ×1.008 | 23.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.59% | ÷0.945 | ×0.600 | ×1.019 | ×1.008 | 1.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.86% | ÷0.900 | ×0.600 | ×1.019 | ×1.008 | 0.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.982 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 93, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .299 → .213; ISO .034 → .022; BABIP .347 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).