Fabian Alcantara

Fabian AlcantaraIF ACL Padres

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION112 act + 74 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†35

AVG/OBP/SLG.160 / .228 / .233

PA74

HR1

K%40

BB%7

BABIP265

ISO73

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	18	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	171	149	16	4	0	3	17	87	4	12	1	107	218	195	412	87	217	51	10	190	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	171	137	25	7	0	4	29	57	4	12	1	182	341	321	662	139	273	33	17	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	111	99	15	2	0	5	9	48	1	6	2	152	229	323	553	172	208	43	8	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	111	91	25	5	0	7	17	31	1	6	2	275	394	560	955	286	327	28	15	409	171	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	ROK	SD	—	112	105	12	2	0	2	6	68	1	4	1	114	170	190	360	76	286	61	5	152	-25	-16	+0	+0	+0	+3	-1.3
YTD	20	ROK	SD	—	112	101	21	4	0	3	10	47	1	4	1	208	286	337	622	129	353	42	9	284	75	-3	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.0
ROS	20	ROK	SD	0%	74	68	11	2	0	1	5	30	1	2	0	160	228	233	461	73	268	40	7	231	35	-6	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.3
ROS	20	MLB	SD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		264	—	—	221	27	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	ROK	SD	—	112	106	12	2	0	2	6	68	1	4	1	113	170	189	358	75	278	61	5	152	-25	-16	+0	+0	+0	+3	-1.3
TOT	20	ROK	SD	—	186	173	23	4	0	3	11	98	2	6	1	132	193	207	400	75	275	52	6	184	-1	-21	+1	+0	+0	+5	-1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	SD	34%	224	203	36	6	1	5	17	86	2	5	1	177	248	291	538	113	270	38	8	244	45	-14	+1	+0	+0	+6	-0.7
2027	21	MLB	SD	34%	77	70	12	2	0	2	6	30	1	2	0	171	247	286	532	114	267	39	8	233	37	-6	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	77	71	12	2	0	2	6	30	1	2	0	169	247	282	528	113	256	39	8	233	37	-6	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	599	102	17	0	17	51	253	8	17	0	170	248	284	531	114	258	39	8	233	37	-46	+3	+0	+0	+18	-2.5
Career	—			—	580	519	78	14	1	14	48	251	8	25	4	150	233	262	494	112	247	43	8	228	33	-44	+3	+0	+0	+16	-2.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	88	16	1	16	54	281	9	28	4	151	234	265	499	113	249	43	8	228	33	-49	+4	+0	+0	+18	-2.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	18	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	171	137	25	7	0	4	29	57	4	12	1	182	341	321	662	139	273	33	17	311	96	-1	+2	—	—	+5	0.6
2025	19	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	111	91	25	5	0	7	17	31	1	6	2	275	394	560	955	286	327	28	15	409	171	+9	+0	—	—	+3	1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Fabian Alcantara (OGILVIE)	20	20→25	45→50	52→57	55	132/193/207	75	275	3	6	52%	6%	-1	-1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brayan Buelvas 2022 · A	20	38→40	44→50	51→55	40	195/255/315	120	270	12	13	32%	6%	55	-1.4	189/251/317	128	263	13	17	32%	6%	54	-1.4	182/244/294	112	275	11	14	36%	7%	42	-1.3
✕Junior Perez 2021 · A	20	37→40	44→50	50→55	40	186/256/304	118	288	12	11	38%	8%	53	-1.5	183/255/292	109	329	10	20	44%	8%	50	-1.8	168/243/272	104	301	10	25	44%	8%	37	-2.0
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→29	42→45	49→50	44	189/258/299	110	261	8	12	30%	8%	53	-1.5	172/250/256	84	262	6	9	34%	9%	38	-2.6	154/242/228	74	235	5	8	33%	9%	26	-2.0
✕Carlos Pacheco 2019 · A	20	34	40→45	45→50	40	171/240/260	88	276	8	9	39%	8%	35	-2.8	188/245/276	88	325	7	9	41%	7%	40	-2.4	155/212/245	90	274	9	10	44%	6%	17	-1.3
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/248/282	94	270	8	13	32%	6%	43	-2.2	195/260/276	81	313	7	10	37%	7%	47	-1.9	186/257/265	79	290	10	10	37%	7%	41	-1.1
✕Kelvin Diaz 2023 · A	20	37	43→50	56→60	36	185/253/297	112	281	10	19	36%	6%	50	-1.7	173/244/264	91	301	8	23	42%	7%	38	-2.6	140/212/218	79	253	8	29	45%	7%	12	-1.4
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→28	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	43	-2.2	211/277/317	106	330	9	15	36%	7%	64	-0.8	193/256/311	118	287	12	16	35%	6%	52	-0.7
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	36	40→50	54→45	36	177/234/268	91	293	8	13	40%	6%	33	-2.9	180/242/287	107	318	12	11	44%	6%	43	-2.2	173/237/300	127	283	16	9	43%	6%	41	-0.8
✕Miguel Rico 2014 · A	20	35	43→50	45→40	37	183/247/288	105	265	12	5	35%	6%	46	-2.0	199/267/298	99	241	10	4	21%	6%	56	-1.3	184/261/270	86	199	9	1	13%	6%	46	-0.9
✕Garrett Whitley 2017 · A	20	40→36	42→50	47→55	44	197/267/302	105	280	9	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	191/270/310	119	334	12	13	42%	9%	61	-1.0	169/260/316	147	293	15	18	44%	10%	55	-0.9
✕Juan Carlos Negret 2019 · A	20	36→26	43→45	48→50	36	184/249/295	111	273	11	12	35%	5%	48	-1.9	165/236/279	114	275	13	6	42%	6%	39	-2.5	127/201/251	124	190	17	2	43%	7%	17	-2.1
✕Ericson Leonora 2013 · A	20	37→29	43→50	47→50	40	190/242/293	104	249	11	7	28%	6%	44	-2.1	203/243/336	133	293	14	5	35%	4%	56	-1.3	191/222/342	151	278	18	2	38%	3%	45	-0.9
✕Rafael Mejia 2018 · A	20	35	42→40	47→50	36	182/227/281	99	253	10	6	32%	5%	33	-2.9	211/251/341	130	301	15	8	34%	4%	60	-1.0	206/233/374	168	276	24	10	35%	2%	56	-0.3
✕Jhailyn Ortiz 2018 · A	19	40→33	45→50	50→45	37	198/261/317	119	303	13	9	37%	6%	59	-1.1	168/227/281	113	297	14	3	46%	6%	35	-2.8	178/247/314	136	275	18	5	40%	7%	49	-1.3
✕William Lugo 2022 · A	20	35→37	42→45	46→45	40	174/250/271	96	279	10	7	39%	8%	43	-2.2	188/256/301	113	277	12	4	34%	7%	53	-1.5	172/248/281	109	249	11	4	34%	8%	42	-1.6
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A	21	38→31	43→45	51→50	41	190/257/298	109	284	11	12	35%	8%	52	-1.6	205/269/317	112	309	11	12	35%	7%	62	-0.9	180/254/293	113	270	13	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Bryan Gonzalez 2022 · A	20	38→35	43→45	53→50	36	184/246/291	107	315	11	10	43%	7%	45	-2.1	180/236/279	99	333	10	12	46%	6%	37	-2.6	170/224/280	109	305	13	14	46%	6%	30	-1.7
✕Walking Cabrera 2022 · A	21	40→34	45	53→45	44	202/261/325	122	265	13	13	28%	7%	60	-1.0	193/246/299	106	286	11	8	34%	6%	46	-2.0	180/233/283	103	266	11	6	35%	6%	36	-1.6
✕David Calabrese 2023 · A	20	38→37	41→45	56→50	41	186/249/288	102	279	8	15	35%	7%	45	-2.1	184/254/304	120	272	13	13	35%	8%	53	-1.5	166/230/262	96	226	11	13	31%	7%	28	-1.4
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	36→34	45→50	54→50	37	187/249/310	124	268	12	13	34%	6%	52	-1.6	201/258/355	154	293	19	14	37%	6%	68	-0.5	192/251/359	168	278	23	15	39%	7%	64	-0.4