Fabian Alcantara

Fabian AlcantaraIF DSL Padres Gold

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK HR +13%BB +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 2.1 · 2033

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .278 / .332

PA95

HR2

K%32

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

20↗25

PWR

48↗53

SPD

54↗59

EYE

53↗58

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.1peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.0	$19M	+$18M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.1	$21M	+$20M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+1.9	$19M	+$18M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+1.7	$18M	+$14M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+1.5	$16M	+$11M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+1.3	$14M	+$8M
Totals		$17M		$107M	+$90M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	18	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	171	149	16	4	0	3	17	86	4	12	1	.107	.218	.195	.412	.087	.213	50	10	.191	4	-18	+2	+0	+0	+5	-1.2
2025	19	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	111	99	15	2	0	5	9	48	1	6	2	.152	.229	.323	.553	.172	.208	43	8	.254	53	-6	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	SD	95	86	17	3	1	2	8	31	1	2	0	.198	.274	.326	.599	.128	.281	33	8	.277	70	-3	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	SD	181	160	34	6	1	5	17	55	2	4	1	.212	.296	.356	.652	.144	.284	30	9	.297	85	-3	+0	+0	+0	+5	0.3
2028	22	MLB 28%	SD	312	276	61	11	2	10	30	91	3	8	2	.221	.304	.384	.688	.163	.286	29	10	.308	94	-2	+1	+0	+0	+9	0.8
2029	23	MLB 48%	SD	401	353	79	14	2	14	40	114	5	10	2	.224	.312	.394	.705	.170	.287	28	10	.315	99	-0	+1	+0	+0	+11	1.2
2030	24	MLB 62%	SD	461	406	92	16	3	16	47	129	5	11	2	.227	.314	.399	.713	.172	.287	28	10	.319	102	+1	+1	+0	+0	+13	1.6
2031	25	MLB 80%	SD	496	435	99	17	3	18	52	138	6	12	2	.228	.318	.405	.723	.177	.288	28	10	.322	105	+3	+2	+0	+0	+14	1.9
2032	26	MLB 94%	SD	515	449	104	18	3	19	55	143	6	12	2	.232	.324	.412	.736	.180	.289	28	11	.324	106	+4	+2	+0	+0	+15	2.0
2033	27	MLB	SD	523	456	104	18	3	19	56	146	6	13	2	.228	.320	.406	.726	.178	.289	28	11	.324	106	+4	+2	+0	+0	+15	2.1
2034	28	MLB	SD	524	456	104	18	3	19	57	148	6	12	2	.228	.322	.406	.727	.178	.288	28	11	.323	105	+3	+2	-1	+0	+15	1.9
2035	29	MLB	SD	517	450	102	17	3	19	56	147	6	12	2	.227	.320	.404	.725	.178	.287	28	11	.321	104	+2	+2	-1	+0	+15	1.7
2036	30	MLB	SD	509	443	100	17	3	18	55	146	6	11	1	.226	.319	.400	.719	.174	.286	29	11	.318	101	+1	+2	-2	+0	+14	1.5
2037	31	MLB	SD	496	434	94	16	2	17	54	145	5	10	0	.217	.310	.380	.691	.164	.284	29	11	.314	98	-1	+2	-3	+0	+14	1.3
2038	32	MLB	SD	479	419	90	15	2	16	52	142	5	9	0	.215	.309	.375	.684	.160	.282	30	11	.309	95	-3	+2	-4	+0	+14	0.9
2039	33	MLB	SD	450	393	84	14	2	15	49	137	5	9	0	.214	.309	.374	.683	.160	.281	30	11	.304	91	-5	+2	-4	+0	+13	0.6
2040	34	MLB	SD	404	354	73	12	2	12	43	126	4	8	0	.206	.299	.353	.652	.147	.279	31	11	.297	85	-7	+2	-5	+0	+11	0.2
2041	35	MLB	SD	349	306	62	10	2	10	37	113	3	7	0	.203	.295	.346	.641	.144	.276	32	11	.289	79	-8	+1	-6	+0	+10	-0.2
2042	36	MLB	SD	291	255	49	8	1	8	31	97	3	6	0	.192	.287	.325	.613	.133	.273	33	11	.280	72	-9	+1	-6	+0	+8	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7285	6379	1379	236	38	245	765	2182	82	174	21	.216	.308	.380	.688	.164	.284	30	11	.308	94	-48	+26	-31	+0	+206	15.7
/ 162G	—			650	569	123	21	3	22	68	195	7	16	2	.216	.307	.380	.687	.163	.285	30	10	.308	94	-4	+2	-3	+0	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	18	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	171	137	25	7	0	4	29	57	4	12	1	.182	.341	.321	.662	.139	.273	33	17	.311	96	-1	+2	—	—	+5	0.6
2025	19	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	111	91	25	5	0	7	17	31	1	6	2	.275	.394	.560	.955	.286	.327	28	15	.409	171	+9	+0	—	—	+3	1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Fabian Alcantara (OGILVIE)	20	20→25	48→53	54→59	58	.200/.278/.332	.132	.281	2	2	32%	9%	70	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→41	46→50	53→55	45	.189/.278/.319	.129	.289	14	15	37%	10%	67	-0.5	.210/.289/.331	.121	.326	12	16	36%	9%	74	-0.1	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
●Jerry Sands 2009 · A	21	37→46	49→60	51→45	45	.195/.277/.339	.144	.267	18	8	33%	9%	72	-0.2	.231/.297/.425	.194	.284	25	6	27%	8%	102	+1.9	.233/.299/.438	.204	.278	26	7	26%	8%	105	+1.8
✕Sean Coyle 2012 · A	20	38→36	49→50	53→50	42	.198/.271/.352	.155	.274	16	13	33%	7%	72	-0.2	.199/.257/.341	.142	.284	16	13	34%	6%	63	-0.8	.197/.258/.362	.165	.284	22	15	38%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Kevin Padlo 2016 · A	20	39→40	46→55	50	46	.198/.273/.333	.136	.268	13	8	30%	8%	68	-0.5	.186/.271/.313	.127	.268	12	8	33%	10%	63	-0.9	.191/.263/.361	.170	.260	21	12	35%	8%	69	-0.3
✕Alexander Canario 2021 · A	21	43→34	49→60	48→50	40	.217/.277/.364	.147	.303	17	8	33%	7%	77	+0.1	.205/.259/.386	.181	.288	24	14	36%	7%	76	+0.1	.209/.277/.424	.216	.279	30	13	36%	8%	90	+0.6
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	41→32	45→55	53→50	39	.208/.253/.334	.126	.273	12	15	28%	5%	59	-1.1	.188/.236/.349	.161	.267	20	5	37%	5%	56	-1.3	.194/.269/.375	.181	.237	26	7	31%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Orelvis Martinez 2021 · A	19	42→35	47→60	53→40	42	.213/.270/.351	.139	.273	14	6	27%	6%	71	-0.3	.204/.270/.403	.199	.260	27	4	33%	7%	85	+0.7	.189/.259/.396	.207	.229	30	3	33%	7%	77	+0.1
●Aristides Aquino 2015 · A	21	36→40	46→65	49→50	35	.190/.230/.319	.130	.259	13	10	32%	4%	45	-2.1	.201/.240/.341	.140	.267	15	9	30%	4%	55	-1.4	.218/.283/.452	.234	.267	35	9	33%	7%	98	+1.0
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→50	49→50	40	.188/.259/.305	.117	.281	12	9	36%	7%	55	-1.4	.194/.278/.291	.097	.346	7	8	42%	9%	59	-1.1	.146/.273/.221	.075	.359	3	4	52%	12%	39	-0.5
✕Bryan Ramos 2022 · A	20	40	45→50	49→50	41	.203/.270/.328	.125	.273	12	8	30%	6%	66	-0.6	.212/.271/.357	.145	.264	19	5	27%	6%	73	-0.1	.206/.264/.348	.141	.251	20	5	26%	6%	65	-0.5
●Will Benson 2019 · A	21	30→40	47→55	47→55	44	.163/.256/.291	.128	.251	16	9	40%	10%	51	-1.7	.179/.262/.333	.154	.273	19	14	39%	10%	64	-0.8	.221/.322/.401	.180	.313	18	26	32%	12%	102	+1.4
●Coby Mayo 2023 · AA	21	42→46	51→60	52→45	41	.220/.279/.381	.161	.292	20	8	31%	6%	83	+0.6	.228/.303/.416	.188	.302	22	6	31%	8%	102	+1.9	.224/.304/.422	.198	.291	24	4	30%	9%	102	+1.6
✕Brian Sanchez 2016 · A	20	38	41→60	47→45	34	.187/.243/.288	.102	.298	9	8	38%	5%	43	-2.2	.202/.260/.333	.131	.304	14	4	36%	6%	62	-0.9	.203/.267/.358	.155	.292	18	0	35%	7%	70	-0.1
✕Daz Cameron 2018 · A	21	40→45	44→55	52→55	41	.201/.263/.319	.117	.279	11	19	31%	6%	59	-1.1	.203/.270/.325	.122	.295	10	17	33%	7%	65	-0.7	.220/.291/.388	.168	.274	20	25	27%	8%	88	+0.6
●Lewis Brinson 2014 · A	20	36→46	47→55	52→50	31	.178/.230/.308	.130	.314	15	14	46%	5%	43	-2.2	.220/.268/.368	.148	.324	17	14	36%	6%	75	-0.0	.237/.289/.413	.176	.298	20	17	27%	6%	92	+0.8
●Davis Schneider 2018 · A	19	40→44	41→55	48→50	50	.198/.276/.300	.102	.259	8	6	26%	9%	60	-1.0	.193/.268/.290	.097	.299	8	7	35%	8%	54	-1.4	.213/.322/.409	.196	.275	24	9	30%	12%	106	+1.6
✕Max Muncy 2023 · A	20	38→46	48→45	50	41	.192/.267/.331	.138	.299	16	12	39%	8%	65	-0.7	.212/.277/.338	.126	.320	13	10	36%	7%	71	-0.3	.217/.280/.344	.127	.316	14	8	34%	6%	71	-0.2
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	41	40→45	54→60	47	.189/.291/.289	.100	.303	7	8	36%	10%	66	-0.6	.201/.301/.282	.081	.273	6	17	26%	10%	68	-0.5	.180/.308/.228	.048	.225	5	30	19%	12%	56	-0.5
✕Jhonkensy Noel 2021 · A	20	40→41	45→60	46→45	40	.202/.266/.319	.118	.270	13	7	30%	6%	62	-0.9	.219/.268/.394	.175	.282	24	5	31%	5%	82	+0.5	.196/.258/.385	.189	.242	26	1	31%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Brayan Buelvas 2022 · A	20	38→43	45→50	51→55	40	.196/.255/.323	.127	.270	13	13	32%	6%	57	-1.2	.191/.252/.320	.129	.260	13	16	31%	6%	55	-1.4	.185/.251/.309	.123	.255	12	21	31%	7%	49	-1.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)