Tyler Whitaker
OF Corpus Christi Hooks| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A+HOU | 155 | .205/.318/.311 | 2 | 6 | 19 | — | .137/.221/.194 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+HOU | 402 | .200/.313/.326 | 5 | 16 | 18 | — | .134/.215/.209 |
| 2026 | 23 | AAHOU | 428 | .228/.343/.364 | 10 | 21 | 66 | — | .200/.291/.309 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBHOU | 4 | .175/.257/.269 | 0 | 0 | 49 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 25 | MLBHOU | 79 | .180/.262/.282 | 1 | 2 | 54 | -0.3 |
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | FCL Astros | — | 114 | 104 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 40 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 202 | 265 | 327 | 592 | 125 | 290 | 35 | 8 | 266 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 515 | 460 | 86 | 19 | 3 | 11 | 41 | 180 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 187 | 268 | 313 | 581 | 126 | 275 | 35 | 8 | 264 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | — | 73 | 64 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 203 | 301 | 406 | 708 | 203 | 256 | 30 | 11 | 317 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 249 | 199 | 47 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 71 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 236 | 382 | 322 | 704 | 85 | 344 | 29 | 15 | 330 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | — | 155 | 132 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 56 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 205 | 318 | 311 | 629 | 106 | 333 | 36 | 12 | 292 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | — | 402 | 340 | 68 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 47 | 137 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 200 | 313 | 326 | 640 | 126 | 309 | 34 | 12 | 292 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 428 | 360 | 82 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 51 | 121 | 12 | 21 | 8 | 228 | 343 | 364 | 707 | 136 | 309 | 28 | 12 | 321 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Astros | — | 114 | 108 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 58 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 130 | 168 | 213 | 381 | 83 | 238 | 51 | 4 | 165 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 515 | 472 | 65 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 251 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 138 | 204 | 227 | 430 | 89 | 258 | 49 | 6 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 73 | 67 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 149 | 219 | 284 | 503 | 134 | 213 | 41 | 7 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 249 | 210 | 42 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 95 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 200 | 317 | 262 | 579 | 62 | 325 | 38 | 11 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 155 | 139 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 74 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 137 | 221 | 194 | 415 | 58 | 268 | 48 | 7 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 402 | 359 | 48 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 184 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 134 | 215 | 209 | 424 | 75 | 245 | 46 | 7 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 428 | 375 | 75 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 148 | 12 | 21 | 8 | 200 | 291 | 309 | 600 | 109 | 289 | 35 | 8 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Astros | — | 114 | 108 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 58 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 130 | 168 | 213 | 381 | 83 | 245 | 51 | 4 | 165 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | FCL Astros | — | 114 | 104 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 40 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 202 | 265 | 327 | 592 | 125 | 290 | 35 | 8 | 266 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 515 | 472 | 65 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 251 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 138 | 204 | 227 | 430 | 89 | 263 | 49 | 6 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A RAW | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 515 | 460 | 86 | 19 | 3 | 11 | 41 | 180 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 187 | 268 | 313 | 581 | 126 | 275 | 35 | 8 | 264 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 322 | 277 | 51 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 125 | 10 | 16 | 5 | 184 | 292 | 260 | 551 | 76 | 311 | 39 | 10 | 253 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 322 | 263 | 60 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 46 | 93 | 10 | 16 | 5 | 228 | 364 | 342 | 706 | 114 | 323 | 29 | 14 | 327 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 155 | 139 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 74 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 137 | 221 | 194 | 415 | 58 | 277 | 48 | 7 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ RAW | Asheville Tourists | — | 155 | 132 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 56 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 205 | 318 | 311 | 629 | 106 | 333 | 36 | 12 | 292 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 402 | 359 | 48 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 184 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 134 | 215 | 209 | 424 | 75 | 253 | 46 | 7 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ RAW | Asheville Tourists | — | 402 | 340 | 68 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 47 | 137 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 200 | 313 | 326 | 640 | 126 | 309 | 34 | 12 | 292 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 428 | 375 | 75 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 148 | 12 | 21 | 8 | 200 | 291 | 309 | 600 | 109 | 300 | 35 | 8 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA RAW | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 428 | 360 | 82 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 51 | 121 | 12 | 21 | 8 | 228 | 343 | 364 | 707 | 136 | 309 | 28 | 12 | 321 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Astros | — | 114 | 108 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 58 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 130 | 168 | 213 | 381 | 83 | 238 | 51 | 4 | 165 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 515 | 471 | 65 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 251 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 138 | 204 | 227 | 431 | 89 | 258 | 49 | 6 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 322 | 277 | 51 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 125 | 10 | 16 | 5 | 184 | 292 | 260 | 551 | 76 | 300 | 39 | 10 | 253 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 155 | 139 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 74 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 137 | 221 | 194 | 415 | 58 | 268 | 48 | 7 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 402 | 362 | 48 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 184 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 133 | 215 | 207 | 422 | 75 | 245 | 46 | 7 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 428 | 377 | 75 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 148 | 12 | 21 | 8 | 199 | 291 | 308 | 598 | 109 | 289 | 35 | 8 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 155 | 139 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 74 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 137 | 221 | 194 | 415 | 58 | 268 | 48 | 7 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 402 | 362 | 48 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 184 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 133 | 215 | 207 | 422 | 75 | 245 | 46 | 7 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 428 | 377 | 75 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 148 | 12 | 21 | 8 | 199 | 291 | 308 | 598 | 109 | 289 | 35 | 8 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | HOU | 2% | 380 | 339 | 58 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 138 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 173 | 255 | 266 | 521 | 93 | 267 | 36 | 8 | 241 | 49 | -23 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +8 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | HOU | 2% | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 257 | 269 | 526 | 94 | 272 | 25 | 0 | 243 | 49 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | HOU | 31% | 254 | 227 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 90 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 178 | 260 | 279 | 539 | 101 | 269 | 35 | 8 | 248 | 54 | -14 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +6 | -0.9 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | HOU | 31% | 79 | 71 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 180 | 262 | 282 | 544 | 102 | 273 | 35 | 8 | 250 | 54 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 79 | 71 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 169 | 253 | 254 | 507 | 85 | 262 | 35 | 8 | 250 | 37 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 584 | 99 | 25 | 0 | 8 | 49 | 230 | 16 | 16 | 8 | 170 | 252 | 253 | 506 | 84 | 263 | 35 | 8 | 250 | 37 | -35 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -2.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2400 | 2145 | 345 | 67 | 11 | 33 | 177 | 1006 | 54 | 96 | 26 | 161 | 242 | 248 | 491 | 88 | 277 | 42 | 7 | 223 | 37 | -27 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +10 | -1.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 581 | 93 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 48 | 272 | 15 | 26 | 7 | 160 | 243 | 248 | 490 | 88 | 275 | 42 | 7 | 223 | 37 | -37 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -2.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 428 PAwOBA .316 → .266 (−50)K% 28.3% → 34.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.27% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 8.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.80% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 2.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.01% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.032 | ×1.012 | 22.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.032 | ×1.012 | 5.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.032 | ×1.012 | 0.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 3.39% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .316 → .266; ISO .136 → .112; BABIP .309 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Asheville Tourists · 402 PAwOBA .289 → .195 (−94)K% 34.1% → 45.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.08% | ÷0.977 | ×1.310 | — | — | 45.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.69% | ÷1.016 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 6.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.24% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 1.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.21% | ÷0.984 | ×0.870 | ×0.966 | ×0.998 | 16.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.85% | ÷1.095 | ×0.780 | ×0.966 | ×0.998 | 6.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.97% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×0.966 | ×0.998 | 1.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.46% | ÷1.297 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 1.67% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 159, 1B 97, 2B 119, 3B 80, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .289 → .195; ISO .126 → .083; BABIP .309 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Asheville Tourists · 155 PAwOBA .287 → .197 (−90)K% 36.1% → 47.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.13% | ÷0.991 | ×1.310 | — | — | 47.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.61% | ÷0.977 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 7.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.58% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 2.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.37% | ÷0.988 | ×0.870 | ×0.963 | ×1.012 | 19.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.53% | ÷1.079 | ×0.780 | ×0.963 | ×1.012 | 7.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.963 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.073 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 2.18% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 98, 2B 116, 3B 100, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .287 → .197; ISO .106 → .071; BABIP .333 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 249 PAwOBA .327 → .265 (−61)K% 28.5% → 38.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.51% | ÷1.016 | ×1.360 | — | — | 38.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.26% | ÷0.985 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 10.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.61% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 2.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.91% | ÷0.972 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×1.015 | 27.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.008 | ×1.015 | 3.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.008 | ×1.015 | 0.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.34% | ÷0.993 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.92% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 94, 2B 100, 3B 100, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .327 → .265; ISO .085 → .067; BABIP .344 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Asheville Tourists · 73 PAwOBA .308 → .213 (−96)K% 30.1% → 40.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.14% | ÷0.971 | ×1.310 | — | — | 40.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.96% | ÷1.033 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 6.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.37% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 1.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷0.968 | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 13.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.099 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 6.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.980 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.218 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 5.30% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 144, 1B 94, 2B 120, 3B 96, K 94, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .308 → .213; ISO .203 → .135; BABIP .256 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 515 PAwOBA .259 → .193 (−66)K% 35.0% → 48.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.95% | ÷0.976 | ×1.360 | — | — | 48.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.96% | ÷0.999 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 5.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.94% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.93% | ÷0.992 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×1.030 | 18.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.79% | ÷0.930 | ×0.830 | ×1.008 | ×1.030 | 6.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.07% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.008 | ×1.030 | 0.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.93% | ÷0.949 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 3.41% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 98, 2B 86, 3B 130, K 95, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .259 → .193; ISO .126 → .090; BABIP .275 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKFCL Astros · 114 PAwOBA .261 → .165 (−96)K% 35.1% → 50.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.09% | ÷0.994 | ×1.440 | — | — | 50.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.89% | ÷1.052 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 4.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.44% | ÷0.978 | ×0.820 | ×1.020 | ×1.008 | 20.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.105 | ×0.720 | ×1.020 | ×1.008 | 2.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.56% | ÷1.027 | ×0.720 | ×1.020 | ×1.008 | 1.13% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 3.68% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 96, 2B 121, 3B 105, K 99, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .261 → .165; ISO .125 → .075; BABIP .290 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).