Lenixon Armas

P DSL Colorado

Age 21 RHP 6'0" / 168 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKCOL	1	0	1	18.00	3.10	0.0%	0.0%	—	K 0.0% · BB 0.0% · FIP 3.10
2026	20	ROKDSL Colorado	11	2	27	4.67	4.14	18.9%	13.1%	—	K 12.8% · BB 16.4% · FIP 5.35
2027PROJ	21	MLBCOL	15	0	16	5.25	5.25	19.9%	14.4%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBCOL	12	0	13	4.98	4.86	21.3%	12.5%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsTanner Cooper (age 21) · Yunior Montero (age 22) · Tyler Santana (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA5.25

FIP5.25

K%19.9%

BB%14.4%

K-BB%5.6%

Proj IP16

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	1	0	1	5	0	0	0	0%	1.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	18.00	3.10	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	1	0	1	5	0	0	0	0%	1.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	18.00	3.10	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	1	0	1	5	0	0	0	0%	1.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	18.00	3.10	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	11	2	27	122	23	16	2	18%	2.5	12.8%	16.4%	-3.6%	2.3%	4.67	5.35	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	11	2	27	122	23	16	2	18%	2.5	12.8%	16.4%	-3.6%	2.3%	4.67	5.35	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	11	2	27	122	23	16	2	18%	2.5	18.9%	13.1%	5.7%	1.6%	4.67	4.14	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	COL	15	0	16	68	13	10	2	0%	1.1	19.9%	14.4%	5.6%	3.0%	5.25	5.25	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	COL	24	0	26	108	23	13	3	0%	1.1	21.3%	12.5%	8.8%	2.9%	4.98	4.86	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	COL	12	0	13	55	12	7	2	0%	1.1	21.3%	12.5%	8.8%	2.9%	4.98	4.86	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	13	53	11	7	2	0%	1.0	21.3%	12.5%	8.8%	2.9%	4.98	4.48	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	175	112	32	0%	1.1	21.3%	12.5%	8.8%	2.9%	4.98	4.48	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		12	2	28	127	16	20	3	17%	2.3	12.3%	15.7%	-3.4%	2.2%	5.14	5.26	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		86	14	200	907	112	143	20	17%	2.3	12.3%	15.7%	-3.4%	2.2%	5.14	5.26	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Lenixon Armas (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.25	19.9%	14.4%	3.0%	—	4.86	21.3%	8.8%	26	-0.39	—	—	—
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	87
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	86
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	401	85
Brandon Komar R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	17.7%	11.6%	3.1%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.16	3.00	538	85
Joangel Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.23 FIP	20	SU	4.23	18.3%	11.7%	2.1%	.312	5.15	18.3%	2.5%	116	+0.92	3.93	151	85
Rolddy Muñoz R 2021 · 4.32 FIP	21	SU	4.32	21.4%	13.7%	2.4%	.342	3.54	21.1%	9.8%	149	-0.78	3.18	290	85
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	84
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	84
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	83
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.73	23.4%	12.7%	156	-0.82	3.22	258	82
Alix Hernandez R 2024 · 4.44 FIP	20	SU	4.44	21.7%	13.7%	2.6%	.300	5.16	23.0%	11.4%	78	+0.72	3.55	170	82
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	81
Adam Ravenelle R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	22	SU	4.32	19.6%	14.8%	1.8%	.322	5.06	17.1%	4.3%	130	+0.74	4.32	165	81
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	81
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	81
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	81
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	81
Justin Kelly R 2021 · 5.93 FIP	22	SU	5.93	15.5%	14.3%	4.2%	.259	4.93	15.4%	6.8%	149	-1.00	3.17	196	80
Miguel Guerrero R 2021 · 5.00 FIP	21	SU	5.00	16.4%	12.9%	3.0%	.349	4.96	17.5%	5.4%	115	-0.04	4.56	171	80
José Mesa Jr. R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	22	SU	5.41	22.4%	17.2%	3.7%	.311	4.00	22.8%	9.6%	113	-1.41	3.33	176	80