Deivy Victora — OGILVIE

Deivy Victora P DSL Mets Orange

Age 21 RHP 6'4" / 209 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 19 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 113

ERA5.08

FIP5.08

K%21.2%

BB%13.8%

K-BB%7.4%

ROS IP19

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	11	6	22	119	26	18	1	55%	2.0	14.9%	18.9%	-4.1%	1.2%	8.06	4.91	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	11	6	22	119	26	18	1	55%	2.0	14.9%	18.9%	-4.1%	1.2%	8.06	4.91	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	11	6	22	119	26	18	1	55%	2.0	21.8%	15.1%	6.7%	0.8%	8.06	3.77	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	17	0	35	155	36	19	3	0%	2.1	15.8%	15.3%	0.5%	3.1%	4.08	5.41	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	17	0	35	155	36	19	3	0%	2.1	15.8%	15.3%	0.5%	3.1%	4.08	5.41	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Orange	17	0	35	155	36	19	3	0%	2.1	23.2%	12.3%	11.0%	1.9%	4.08	3.78	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	NYM	18	0	19	80	17	11	2	0%	1.1	21.2%	13.8%	7.4%	3.0%	5.08	5.08	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	NYM	32	0	33	141	31	17	4	0%	1.0	22.3%	12.1%	10.3%	2.9%	4.84	4.73	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	NYM	15	0	16	68	15	8	2	0%	1.1	22.3%	12.1%	10.3%	2.9%	4.84	4.73	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		16	0	16	69	15	8	2	0%	1.0	22.3%	12.1%	10.3%	2.9%	4.84	4.35	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	97	24	0%	1.1	22.3%	12.1%	10.3%	2.9%	4.84	4.35	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		28	6	58	274	42	46	6	21%	2.1	15.4%	16.9%	-1.5%	2.3%	5.62	5.19	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		97	21	200	950	146	160	22	21%	2.1	15.4%	16.9%	-1.5%	2.3%	5.62	5.19	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Deivy Victora (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.08	21.2%	13.8%	3.0%	—	4.73	22.3%	10.3%	33	-0.35	—	—	—
Rolddy Muñoz R 2021 · 4.32 FIP	21	SU	4.32	21.4%	13.7%	2.4%	.342	3.54	21.1%	9.8%	149	-0.78	3.18	290	85
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	84
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	84
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	401	84
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	84
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.73	23.4%	12.7%	156	-0.82	3.22	258	84
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	83
Joangel Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.23 FIP	20	SU	4.23	18.3%	11.7%	2.1%	.312	5.15	18.3%	2.5%	116	+0.92	3.93	151	83
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	82
Brandon Komar R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	17.7%	11.6%	3.1%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.16	3.00	538	82
Joan Ogando R 2024 · 3.98 FIP	20	SU	3.98	20.3%	14.9%	1.3%	.333	5.35	20.3%	-1.4%	132	+1.37	3.98	172	82
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	81
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	81
Luis Romero R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	22.1%	11.9%	4.1%	.367	4.26	21.6%	12.5%	132	-0.74	4.00	293	81
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	81
Kyle Hinton R 2018 · 4.17 FIP	21	SU	4.17	23.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.275	5.69	17.7%	-0.7%	75	+1.52	4.17	106	80
William Kempner R 2023 · 4.02 FIP	22	SU	4.02	21.5%	12.2%	2.2%	.277	3.17	28.8%	15.2%	112	-0.85	3.14	173	80
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	80
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	80
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	21.9%	12.7%	1.14	4.93
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
Mike Holtz ('06)	1.2	34	20.4%	12.0%	0.94	4.76
Yorkis Perez ('02)	1.4	40	20.8%	11.8%	0.93	4.44
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57