Ivan Cespedes — OGILVIE

Ivan CespedesC ACL Cubs

Age 20 R/R 5'8" / 190 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION220 act + 20 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .250 / .421

PA20

HR0

K%30

BB%5

BABIP271

ISO211

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$30M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 26 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT26

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$4M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	25	20	2	0	0	1	5	8	0	1	0	100	280	250	530	150	91	32	20	259	61	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	19	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	126	113	33	3	0	7	11	31	1	4	1	292	360	504	864	212	342	25	9	378	142	+6	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	25	22	2	0	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	91	200	227	427	136	73	48	12	169	1	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	126	117	24	2	0	6	7	46	1	4	1	205	256	376	632	171	264	37	6	260	62	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	25	22	2	0	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	91	200	227	427	136	111	48	12	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	25	20	2	0	0	1	5	8	0	1	0	100	280	250	530	150	91	32	20	259	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	126	117	24	2	0	6	7	46	1	4	1	205	256	376	632	171	273	37	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	126	113	33	3	0	7	11	31	1	4	1	292	360	504	864	212	342	25	9	378	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	25	22	2	0	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	91	200	227	427	136	73	48	12	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	126	117	24	2	0	6	7	46	1	4	1	205	256	376	632	171	264	37	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	25	22	2	0	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	91	200	227	427	136	73	48	12	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	126	117	24	2	0	6	7	46	1	4	1	205	256	376	632	171	264	37	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	CHC	—	220	202	38	6	0	6	16	81	2	1	1	188	255	307	561	119	278	37	7	247	54	-12	-0	+0	+4	+5	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK RAW	CHC	—	116	102	31	7	0	5	14	26	0	1	1	304	388	520	908	216	366	22	12	400	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A RAW	CHC	—	104	90	19	2	0	3	12	31	2	0	0	211	317	333	651	122	286	30	12	301	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	ROK MLE	CHC	0%	20	19	4	1	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	211	250	421	671	211	270	30	5	263	64	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	ROK MLE	CHC	—	240	221	42	7	0	7	17	87	2	1	1	190	254	317	571	127	276	36	7	249	54	-13	-0	+0	+4	+5	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	CHC	34%	276	251	52	9	1	8	20	85	3	4	1	207	274	347	620	139	274	31	7	275	72	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2028	22	MLB MLE	CHC	48%	383	347	73	12	1	12	29	115	4	6	2	210	279	354	633	144	276	30	8	284	78	-10	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.6
2029	23	MLB MLE	CHC	54%	451	410	88	15	2	14	34	132	4	8	3	215	281	363	645	149	278	29	8	289	82	-10	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2030	24	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	495	449	97	16	2	16	38	144	5	9	3	216	285	367	652	151	279	29	8	293	84	-9	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	CHC	56%	518	468	102	17	2	17	40	150	5	10	3	218	287	372	658	154	280	29	8	294	85	-9	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2032	26	MLB MLE	CHC	56%	520	470	102	17	2	17	40	151	5	10	3	217	285	370	656	153	279	29	8	295	86	-9	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2033	27	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	520	469	102	17	2	17	41	151	5	10	3	217	287	371	658	154	279	29	8	295	86	-9	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2034	28	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	520	469	102	17	2	17	41	152	5	10	3	217	287	371	658	154	279	29	8	294	85	-9	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.2
2035	29	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	520	469	102	17	2	17	41	153	5	9	3	217	287	371	658	154	278	29	8	292	84	-10	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.0
2036	30	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	512	461	99	16	2	17	41	152	5	9	3	215	286	369	655	154	276	30	8	290	82	-11	+1	-2	+9	+11	0.8
2037	31	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	484	438	91	15	1	15	38	145	5	8	3	208	279	349	628	142	274	30	8	286	79	-12	+0	-3	+9	+10	0.5
2038	32	MLB MLE	CHC	59%	452	409	84	13	1	14	36	137	4	7	2	205	276	345	621	139	270	30	8	280	76	-13	+1	-4	+8	+10	0.2
2039	33	MLB MLE	CHC	61%	410	371	75	12	1	12	32	127	4	6	2	202	273	337	610	135	266	31	8	273	71	-14	+0	-4	+7	+9	-0.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	CHC	34%	95	87	18	3	0	3	7	29	1	1	0	207	274	345	619	138	275	31	7	268	72	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	CHC	48%	186	168	36	6	1	5	14	56	2	3	1	214	283	351	634	137	278	30	8	276	78	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2029	23	MLB CTX	CHC	54%	245	222	47	8	1	7	19	72	2	4	1	212	280	351	631	140	280	29	8	281	82	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2030	24	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	274	248	54	9	1	9	21	80	3	5	2	218	287	371	658	153	281	29	8	284	84	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2031	25	MLB CTX	CHC	56%	290	263	57	10	1	9	22	84	3	5	2	217	285	365	650	148	281	29	8	286	85	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2032	26	MLB CTX	CHC	56%	292	265	57	10	1	9	22	85	3	5	2	215	283	362	645	147	281	29	8	287	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2033	27	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	288	261	57	10	1	9	22	84	3	5	2	218	287	368	655	149	281	29	8	287	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2034	28	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	285	258	55	9	1	9	22	83	3	5	2	213	283	360	643	147	280	29	8	286	85	-5	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.6
2035	29	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	278	251	54	9	1	9	22	82	3	5	2	215	286	367	653	151	279	29	8	284	84	-5	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2036	30	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	269	243	52	9	1	8	21	80	3	5	2	214	285	358	643	144	278	30	8	281	82	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2037	31	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	274	247	52	9	1	8	22	82	3	5	2	211	283	352	635	142	275	30	8	277	79	-7	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.3
2038	32	MLB CTX	CHC	59%	268	242	50	8	1	8	21	81	3	4	1	207	278	347	625	140	272	30	8	272	76	-8	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.1
2039	33	MLB CTX	CHC	61%	250	226	46	7	1	7	20	77	2	4	1	204	274	336	610	133	267	31	8	265	71	-9	+0	-3	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3294	2981	635	107	12	100	255	975	34	56	20	213	283	358	640	145	279	30	8	281	81	-72	+3	-8	+59	+71	5.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	125	21	2	20	50	192	7	11	4	213	282	357	639	145	278	30	8	281	81	-14	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	6232	5639	1199	196	21	201	482	1858	60	111	35	213	282	362	643	149	276	30	8	288	81	-134	+8	-15	+109	+132	10.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	124	20	2	21	50	194	6	12	4	211	279	359	638	148	274	30	8	288	81	-14	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.2	3,445	109	60	214	280	363	+62	+32	8.0	6.8
/162	664	21	11	+11.9	+6.2	1.5	pk7: 6
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ivan Cespedes (OGILVIE)	20	21→26	50→55	45→50	50	197/260/320	123	270	4	2	32%	7%	64	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sean Coyle 2012 · A	20	39→36	48→50	53→50	43	199/278/351	152	282	14	13	33%	8%	78	-0.3	201/259/343	142	288	16	14	35%	6%	69	-0.9	194/255/352	157	279	21	15	37%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Orelvis Martinez 2021 · A	19	42→34	47→60	53→40	42	213/270/351	139	273	14	6	27%	6%	74	-0.5	198/263/384	186	253	25	4	32%	7%	80	-0.1	183/252/373	190	223	27	3	32%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Kevin Padlo 2016 · A	20	38→40	46→50	50	46	194/272/327	133	266	12	8	31%	9%	70	-0.8	183/267/307	124	271	12	8	34%	10%	64	-1.3	190/261/345	156	258	19	12	33%	8%	68	-0.7
✕René Pinto 2017 · A	20	41	46→55	47→40	39	209/251/339	130	263	13	5	26%	4%	64	-1.3	227/272/323	96	293	7	3	24%	5%	68	-1.0	229/275/316	87	296	5	1	23%	5%	65	-0.6
✕Francisco Murillo 2007 · A	20	42	47→50	49→50	43	213/279/346	134	292	15	8	32%	8%	76	-0.4	199/260/320	121	303	12	6	36%	7%	63	-1.3	150/210/278	128	229	14	3	40%	6%	34	-1.2
✕Miguel Amaya 2019 · A	20	43→41	43→50	48→40	44	212/277/322	110	267	11	4	25%	6%	70	-0.8	210/288/334	124	267	13	4	25%	8%	78	-0.3	212/319/354	142	290	16	3	30%	10%	93	+0.3
✕Jeter Downs 2018 · A	20	42→40	43→50	47→55	47	208/276/316	107	257	11	9	23%	7%	68	-1.0	211/277/351	140	270	15	17	27%	7%	78	-0.3	171/263/306	134	238	15	26	33%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Bryan Ramos 2022 · A	20	40→42	45→50	49→50	41	200/269/322	122	272	12	8	30%	6%	68	-1.0	213/273/348	135	267	17	5	26%	6%	75	-0.5	208/267/338	130	255	17	5	26%	6%	68	-0.8
✕Maxwell Morales 2018 · A	20	35	47→50	47→45	39	184/254/313	129	278	16	6	38%	8%	61	-1.5	208/264/342	134	298	15	6	33%	6%	70	-0.8	203/251/379	176	261	20	2	30%	5%	74	-0.1
✕Cristian Santana 2023 · A	19	38→20	45	46→45	47	184/303/304	121	280	12	11	35%	10%	78	-0.3	155/294/273	118	250	14	6	39%	14%	70	-0.9	138/279/280	142	192	20	5	38%	14%	65	-0.7
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	39	43→45	42→50	48	193/294/300	106	278	11	10	32%	10%	73	-0.6	183/264/287	104	286	10	6	37%	8%	58	-1.7	153/236/254	101	237	11	2	38%	9%	40	-0.9
✕Austin Hedges 2013 · A	20	45→40	43→60	45	42	221/270/333	111	270	10	12	22%	5%	70	-0.9	212/257/309	97	267	8	7	23%	5%	59	-1.7	227/269/410	183	271	25	4	26%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Sherten Apostel 2019 · A	20	39→34	46→50	44→40	49	197/287/326	129	280	14	5	33%	10%	76	-0.4	197/264/321	124	290	14	3	35%	8%	65	-1.2	187/252/312	125	273	16	1	36%	7%	56	-1.2
✕Thayron Liranzo 2023 · A	20	39→42	47→50	48→30	42	199/269/337	138	287	14	5	34%	8%	71	-0.8	207/294/369	162	306	19	2	36%	11%	88	+0.4	193/285/346	152	284	18	1	36%	11%	76	-0.3
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	41→33	45→55	52→50	39	207/251/337	130	273	12	14	29%	5%	63	-1.3	187/234/345	158	264	20	4	37%	5%	60	-1.6	191/265/355	164	235	23	7	30%	7%	72	-0.4
✕Rodolfo Castro 2019 · A	20	38→41	43→55	47→50	36	195/235/310	115	269	11	5	32%	5%	51	-2.3	198/239/343	145	274	17	6	33%	5%	61	-1.5	206/269/359	153	269	19	7	30%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→40	44→55	44→45	43	197/263/310	113	267	13	9	30%	8%	63	-1.4	199/261/321	122	254	13	9	26%	7%	64	-1.3	217/271/392	175	242	26	8	23%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Rey Duran 2009 · A	20	36	41→50	49→40	41	183/243/277	94	256	9	6	31%	6%	47	-2.5	213/267/338	125	268	14	5	25%	6%	70	-0.8	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Sam Huff 2018 · A	20	40	44→55	46→45	37	195/255/311	116	314	12	4	40%	7%	59	-1.6	193/236/327	134	312	16	6	42%	4%	56	-1.9	214/277/388	174	309	26	1	38%	7%	83	+0.0
✕Jhonkensy Noel 2021 · A	20	41→40	44→55	47→45	41	205/267/321	116	274	12	7	29%	6%	66	-1.1	215/264/381	166	280	22	5	31%	5%	80	-0.2	195/249/365	169	248	24	1	32%	5%	68	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps