Jared Davis — OGILVIE

Jared DavisSS ACL Athletics

Age 23 R/R ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 197 proj PA

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .286 / .284

PA197

HR2

K%28

BB%9

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 44 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT44

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE64

scouting grade only

SPEED61

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	58	49	18	6	1	0	8	7	0	5	1	367	456	531	987	163	429	12	14	429	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	170	130	39	7	2	0	32	38	7	10	2	300	462	385	846	85	419	22	19	393	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	58	51	17	5	1	0	6	9	0	5	1	333	404	471	874	137	381	16	10	362	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	170	143	30	5	1	0	19	55	7	10	2	210	331	259	590	49	328	32	11	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	228	194	46	10	2	0	25	64	7	15	3	237	345	309	654	72	351	28	11	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	228	179	57	13	3	0	40	45	7	15	3	318	460	425	885	106	422	20	18	402	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	228	194	46	10	2	0	25	64	7	15	3	237	345	309	654	72	341	28	11	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	228	194	46	10	2	0	25	64	7	15	3	237	345	309	654	72	341	28	11	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	OAK	0%	338	300	62	12	3	3	31	95	4	8	2	204	288	287	575	83	286	28	9	265	66	-14	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	OAK	30%	247	219	46	9	2	2	23	68	3	6	1	208	292	298	590	90	287	28	9	271	69	-9	+1	+0	+3	+5	-0.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	OAK	44%	327	290	61	12	2	4	30	90	4	8	2	211	294	307	601	96	287	28	9	275	72	-11	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	OAK	51%	380	337	72	14	3	5	35	103	5	9	2	213	295	314	609	101	287	27	9	278	74	-12	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	OAK	52%	407	362	78	15	3	6	37	110	5	10	2	213	296	316	612	103	287	27	9	279	75	-12	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	OAK	53%	420	374	80	15	3	6	38	114	5	10	2	213	295	316	611	103	287	27	9	279	75	-13	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.2
2033	29	MLB MLE	OAK	53%	422	376	80	15	3	6	38	115	5	9	2	211	292	311	603	99	285	27	9	275	73	-14	+1	-1	+5	+9	-0.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	OAK	56%	419	373	78	15	3	5	38	116	5	9	2	208	289	303	592	95	284	28	9	271	70	-15	+1	-2	+4	+9	-0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	OAK	30%	74	66	15	3	1	1	7	21	1	2	0	214	297	310	607	95	297	28	9	278	69	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	OAK	44%	144	128	28	6	1	2	13	40	2	3	1	217	300	318	618	101	297	28	9	282	72	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	OAK	51%	193	171	38	8	1	3	18	52	2	5	1	219	301	325	626	106	297	27	9	285	74	-6	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	OAK	52%	213	188	43	9	2	3	20	58	3	5	1	220	301	327	629	108	297	27	9	286	75	-6	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	OAK	53%	224	199	44	9	2	3	20	61	3	5	1	220	301	328	628	108	296	27	9	286	75	-7	+1	-0	+2	+5	0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	OAK	53%	222	197	44	9	2	3	20	61	3	5	1	217	298	322	620	104	295	27	9	282	73	-7	+1	-1	+2	+5	-0.0
2034	30	MLB CTX	OAK	56%	237	211	46	9	2	3	21	66	3	5	1	215	295	314	609	100	293	28	9	278	70	-9	+1	-1	+3	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1307	1160	258	53	11	18	119	359	17	30	6	222	304	334	638	111	304	27	9	283	73	-42	+4	-2	+14	+28	0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	128	26	5	9	59	179	8	15	3	222	302	331	633	109	304	28	9	283	73	-21	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3047	2699	577	112	22	36	282	835	42	80	17	214	298	312	610	98	294	27	9	277	73	-93	+7	-4	+30	+61	0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	124	24	5	8	60	178	9	17	4	215	299	316	615	101	295	27	9	277	73	-21	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.3	1,504	19	34	211	290	309	+16	+12	1.1	1.1
/162	664	8	15	+7.1	+5.3	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jared Davis (OGILVIE)	23	39→44	28→33	56→61	64	202/286/284	82	286	2	4	28%	9%	66	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Levi Michael 2014 · A	23	42→52	37→45	55	49	199/278/277	78	266	4	13	25%	9%	60	-1.6	225/292/310	85	297	5	16	24%	7%	72	-0.7	226/291/335	109	312	10	11	29%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Christian Cairo 2024 · A	23	42→49	39→40	51→60	53	197/301/281	84	282	6	16	29%	12%	71	-0.8	218/307/294	76	305	4	26	27%	10%	76	-0.4	219/314/286	67	298	3	31	25%	10%	75	-0.4
✕Cade Gotta 2015 · A	23	40→50	39→45	54→55	46	193/267/282	90	272	5	16	29%	8%	57	-1.8	217/266/317	100	285	7	21	25%	6%	64	-1.3	240/299/336	96	305	5	36	21%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Blake Rambusch 2023 · A	23	47	37→30	52→65	42	219/286/293	74	316	4	14	30%	7%	67	-1.1	231/319/297	66	315	3	29	25%	9%	80	-0.1	237/325/293	56	311	2	37	22%	9%	78	-0.1
✕Chad Hinshaw 2014 · A	23	46→42	35→45	53→55	43	212/300/270	59	301	3	13	28%	7%	68	-1.0	217/293/335	118	306	10	25	31%	6%	80	-0.2	209/287/328	119	299	11	30	31%	6%	73	-0.4
✕Jeron Williams 2024 · A	23	46	38→50	57→60	50	216/300/293	77	293	6	20	26%	9%	72	-0.7	215/268/325	110	275	9	29	24%	6%	67	-1.1	212/259/325	114	264	9	36	23%	5%	62	-0.6
✕Najee Gaskins 2021 · A	23	49	37→30	56→50	48	228/307/308	80	301	3	18	24%	8%	78	-0.3	209/272/285	76	343	4	10	38%	6%	60	-1.6	199/266/262	63	345	4	9	40%	5%	51	-0.7
✕Peyton Graham 2024 · A	23	42→52	39→45	53→60	42	200/268/288	87	292	7	17	32%	7%	59	-1.6	211/289/307	96	293	7	23	28%	8%	72	-0.7	224/305/325	101	305	8	36	27%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Rob Henry 2018 · A	23	45	37→40	53→55	51	210/302/285	74	283	4	17	25%	10%	72	-0.7	184/274/258	74	304	5	14	37%	9%	55	-1.9	158/254/225	67	278	5	15	41%	9%	38	-1.7
✕Dom Duggan 2008 · A	23	45	39→40	54→55	46	211/284/301	90	283	5	13	26%	8%	68	-1.0	204/260/282	78	284	3	16	28%	6%	53	-2.1	194/246/265	71	268	3	20	27%	5%	43	-1.3
✕Bryce Arnold 2024 · AA	23	42	40→45	53→50	49	201/284/296	95	272	7	11	27%	9%	68	-1.0	186/276/289	103	283	10	10	35%	9%	64	-1.3	162/262/261	99	250	11	9	36%	9%	52	-1.2
✕Logan Warmoth 2019 · A	23	45→40	36→40	54→55	42	210/273/279	69	305	3	10	30%	7%	58	-1.7	197/270/274	77	317	4	14	36%	8%	57	-1.8	187/271/285	97	288	9	24	35%	8%	58	-1.1
✕David Kandilas 2014 · A	23	45→44	39→45	55	45	215/275/304	90	283	7	19	26%	7%	65	-1.2	210/271/308	98	277	7	16	25%	7%	64	-1.3	195/259/302	107	251	7	17	24%	6%	56	-1.2
✕Cam Coursey 2022 · A	23	44	38→40	52→55	48	208/273/289	81	264	5	16	22%	8%	60	-1.6	214/296/293	79	279	4	10	23%	10%	70	-0.8	207/308/266	60	270	2	4	21%	12%	69	-0.4
✕Trent Farquhar 2024 · A	23	46	38→30	53→55	49	217/292/300	83	277	4	12	22%	8%	71	-0.8	213/307/285	72	283	3	21	23%	10%	74	-0.6	195/296/260	65	261	2	23	23%	10%	62	-0.7
✕Tanner Schobel 2023 · A	22	45→44	38→45	52→50	47	212/285/292	80	289	6	13	27%	8%	66	-1.1	206/276/316	110	270	11	10	26%	8%	68	-1.0	198/271/309	111	256	12	10	26%	8%	63	-1.1
✕Armand Gaerlan 2006 · A	23	46	38→30	54→55	44	217/276/297	81	294	5	16	27%	7%	63	-1.3	203/255/315	112	264	10	11	26%	6%	60	-1.6	123/164/268	145	133	14	3	22%	4%	13	-0.8
✕Dru Baker 2022 · A	22	45→55	38→40	56→60	41	213/265/295	82	297	4	14	29%	6%	59	-1.7	241/298/346	105	336	10	30	29%	7%	83	+0.1	250/304/340	90	346	8	39	28%	6%	80	-0.1
✕James Ramsay 2015 · A	23	43→53	38→40	58→50	46	201/270/296	95	279	4	19	28%	8%	61	-1.5	223/282/322	99	284	7	11	23%	7%	71	-0.8	228/285/324	97	281	8	8	21%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Tyler Tolbert 2021 · A	23	42→48	35→45	58→65	42	193/269/251	58	298	3	21	34%	7%	51	-2.2	192/262/286	94	291	6	38	33%	8%	56	-1.9	222/284/299	77	304	6	60	27%	6%	65	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps