Vladimir Asencio

Vladimir AsencioOF DSL Red Sox Blue

Age 20 R/R 5'10" / 165 lbs ROK HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 54 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .271 / .270

PA54

HR0

K%27

BB%7

ISO66

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	164	133	22	2	1	0	21	39	9	14	5	165	319	195	515	30	232	24	13	260	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	83	79	18	2	0	0	2	18	1	2	1	228	256	253	509	25	290	22	2	231	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	164	139	15	1	1	0	15	47	9	14	5	108	239	129	369	22	153	29	9	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	83	80	13	1	0	0	1	22	1	2	1	163	183	175	358	12	212	27	1	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	164	139	15	1	1	0	15	47	9	14	5	108	239	129	369	22	161	29	9	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	164	133	22	2	1	0	21	39	9	14	5	165	319	195	515	30	232	24	13	260	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	83	80	13	1	0	0	1	22	1	2	1	163	183	175	358	12	220	27	1	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	83	79	18	2	0	0	2	18	1	2	1	228	256	253	509	25	290	22	2	231	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	164	139	15	1	1	0	15	47	9	14	5	108	239	129	369	22	153	29	9	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	83	81	13	1	0	0	1	22	1	2	1	160	183	173	356	12	212	27	1	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	164	139	15	1	1	0	15	47	9	14	5	108	239	129	369	22	153	29	9	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	83	81	13	1	0	0	1	22	1	2	1	160	183	173	356	12	212	27	1	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	193	175	36	5	1	1	13	53	3	3	1	207	273	273	546	66	285	27	7	251	56	-10	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	BOS	34%	117	106	22	3	1	1	8	31	2	2	0	212	279	289	568	78	286	26	7	260	62	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	BOS	34%	40	36	7	1	0	0	3	11	1	1	0	217	284	296	580	79	294	28	8	265	62	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	40	36	7	1	0	0	3	11	1	1	0	194	275	222	497	28	280	28	8	265	26	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	114	16	0	0	49	179	16	16	0	195	275	222	498	27	281	28	8	265	26	-29	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	418	374	59	6	2	1	28	115	13	19	6	158	241	193	433	35	222	28	7	206	26	-8	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	92	9	3	2	44	179	20	30	9	158	242	194	436	36	222	28	7	206	26	-31	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Vladimir Asencio (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	205/271/270	65	285	0	1	27%	7%	56	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	39	36→40	50→55	44	186/249/258	71	249	3	12	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/271/288	84	283	7	19	28%	7%	60	-1.6	202/282/289	86	263	10	29	26%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	36→30	38→45	50	43	177/250/254	77	257	5	13	32%	7%	45	-2.7	207/272/309	102	322	8	15	36%	7%	65	-1.2	191/253/307	116	283	12	16	35%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	39→33	37→45	54→55	39	187/245/260	73	279	3	11	32%	6%	43	-2.8	186/260/317	131	336	16	16	46%	8%	63	-1.3	173/250/304	131	303	16	19	45%	8%	53	-1.4
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	37→42	39→40	48→50	44	183/255/263	80	245	6	10	27%	7%	49	-2.4	199/291/294	95	292	8	8	32%	10%	70	-0.8	186/290/280	94	280	9	10	33%	11%	66	-0.7
✕Albertson Asigen 2022 · A	20	41	38→40	53→55	45	197/253/283	86	255	5	6	24%	7%	51	-2.2	212/290/283	71	299	4	17	27%	9%	66	-1.1	209/299/294	85	336	7	27	36%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Misael Urbina 2022 · A	20	37→32	39→40	51→50	49	180/260/269	89	230	6	13	24%	8%	53	-2.1	179/254/271	92	260	6	10	31%	8%	50	-2.3	166/253/247	81	240	5	8	30%	10%	42	-1.7
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	40→39	40	52→50	42	194/257/287	92	271	7	14	30%	6%	55	-2.0	204/277/282	78	309	4	8	32%	9%	61	-1.5	194/278/266	72	301	3	7	33%	10%	55	-1.3
✕Nelson Medina 2021 · A	20	37	39→45	48→50	41	176/252/260	84	283	6	10	37%	8%	47	-2.5	192/274/286	94	292	6	14	33%	9%	61	-1.5	139/214/211	72	250	5	19	43%	8%	20	-1.4
✕Omar Meregildo 2018 · A	20	35→31	36→50	47→30	41	172/239/241	69	258	3	6	33%	7%	38	-3.2	197/255/307	110	316	10	3	38%	7%	59	-1.7	174/242/299	125	281	15	1	41%	7%	50	-1.2
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A	19	33	38→40	47→60	44	164/228/238	74	214	6	13	26%	7%	33	-3.6	203/257/270	67	260	5	19	22%	6%	50	-2.3	211/263/264	53	270	3	24	22%	5%	49	-0.7
✕Ronald Castillo 2012 · A	20	40	38→45	51→40	39	190/248/273	83	289	4	8	34%	6%	48	-2.5	216/254/294	78	293	3	5	26%	4%	53	-2.1	205/238/282	76	271	4	1	25%	4%	43	-1.2
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	34	39→45	54→45	38	169/229/251	81	271	6	13	38%	7%	36	-3.4	173/235/269	96	305	10	11	44%	6%	42	-2.9	160/223/268	108	267	13	9	43%	6%	36	-1.2
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	36	39→40	51→50	40	181/244/269	88	257	7	13	31%	6%	46	-2.6	196/262/273	77	311	7	10	36%	7%	53	-2.1	190/263/263	73	291	8	10	35%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→45	53→55	45	177/253/254	77	242	4	12	27%	8%	46	-2.6	204/272/316	112	294	8	11	31%	7%	67	-1.1	189/255/293	104	275	7	15	32%	6%	54	-1.0
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→40	40	52→50	39	199/251/297	98	277	6	10	29%	5%	54	-2.0	219/276/320	101	333	8	10	34%	7%	69	-0.9	214/275/310	96	327	9	12	35%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Kenny Hart 2010 · A	20	39	36→40	48→50	45	186/264/252	67	256	3	6	27%	7%	50	-2.3	191/282/272	81	245	5	11	23%	8%	61	-1.5	167/274/245	79	204	6	15	20%	8%	53	-0.6
✕Trenton Kemp 2016 · A	20	39	38→50	49→45	42	185/259/266	81	282	4	10	34%	8%	51	-2.3	196/253/323	127	337	12	8	42%	6%	61	-1.5	179/235/323	144	312	16	7	45%	6%	51	-0.8
✕Junior Boni 2011 · A	20	39	35→40	49→55	42	185/260/246	61	264	2	13	28%	6%	47	-2.5	183/263/252	69	231	2	14	20%	9%	49	-2.4	160/251/225	66	194	1	19	16%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Brian Sanchez 2016 · A	20	35	39→50	47→45	37	173/232/259	86	255	6	7	33%	5%	39	-3.1	185/246/289	104	268	10	4	33%	6%	51	-2.2	177/247/294	117	245	12	0	32%	7%	52	-0.7
✕Jose Cordoba 2022 · A	19	38	38→40	45→55	40	184/244/257	73	246	5	8	27%	5%	43	-2.8	198/254/290	92	276	7	10	29%	6%	54	-2.0	203/257/294	91	267	4	15	24%	5%	53	-0.9