Dawel Joseph

SS DSL Mariners

Age 20 R/R 6'2" / 185 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKSEA	211	.186/.373/.286	3	20	28	—	.110/.263/.168
2026	19	ROKSEA	219	.265/.424/.376	4	14	46	—	.158/.290/.219
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBSEA	329	.179/.266/.249	3	7	49	-0.4
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBSEA	90	.185/.271/.266	1	2	56	-0.2
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBSEA	181	.190/.276/.282	3	4	62	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%85

BB%72

wOBA66

wRC+64

Speed53

ISO48

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsFrankeny Fernandez (age 20) · Robert Gonzalez (age 20) · Glenn Santiago (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 188 proj PA

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .263 / .247

PA188

HR1

K%29

BB%9

ISO70

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	179	150	20	6	0	0	27	52	2	3	2	133	274	173	447	40	204	29	15	227	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	211	161	30	7	0	3	40	64	8	20	5	186	373	286	659	99	281	30	19	318	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	219	170	45	5	1	4	41	62	6	14	4	265	424	376	800	112	387	28	19	370	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	179	156	13	4	0	0	21	63	2	3	2	83	201	109	310	26	135	35	12	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	211	173	19	4	0	2	28	78	8	20	5	110	263	168	431	58	177	37	13	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	219	183	29	3	1	2	28	76	6	14	4	158	290	219	509	60	240	35	13	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	179	156	13	4	0	0	21	63	2	3	2	83	201	109	310	26	140	35	12	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	179	150	20	6	0	0	27	52	2	3	2	133	274	173	447	40	204	29	15	227	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	211	173	19	4	0	2	28	78	8	20	5	110	263	168	431	58	179	37	13	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	211	161	30	7	0	3	40	64	8	20	5	186	373	286	659	99	281	30	19	318	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	219	183	29	3	1	2	28	76	6	14	4	158	290	219	509	60	252	35	13	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	219	170	45	5	1	4	41	62	6	14	4	265	424	376	800	112	387	28	19	370	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	179	154	13	4	0	0	21	63	2	3	2	84	201	110	312	26	135	35	12	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	211	173	19	4	0	2	28	78	8	20	5	110	263	168	431	58	177	37	13	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	219	183	29	3	1	2	28	76	6	14	4	158	290	219	509	60	240	35	13	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	179	154	13	4	0	0	21	63	2	3	2	84	201	110	312	26	135	35	12	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	211	173	19	4	0	2	28	78	8	20	5	110	263	168	431	58	177	37	13	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	219	183	29	3	1	2	28	76	6	14	4	158	290	219	509	60	240	35	13	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	329	292	53	9	2	3	30	96	4	7	2	179	266	249	515	70	255	29	9	241	49	-20	+1	+0	+4	+7	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	SEA	34%	262	233	43	8	1	3	24	75	3	6	2	186	272	270	542	83	258	29	9	251	56	-14	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.5
2029	22	MLB MLE	SEA	48%	373	331	63	11	2	5	34	106	5	9	2	192	277	286	563	94	261	28	9	260	62	-17	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.4
2030	23	MLB MLE	SEA	54%	447	397	78	14	2	7	41	125	6	11	3	197	282	298	580	102	263	28	9	266	66	-18	+1	+0	+5	+10	-0.3
2031	24	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	496	441	89	16	3	9	46	137	6	12	3	200	285	308	593	107	266	28	9	271	70	-18	+1	+0	+5	+11	-0.1
2032	25	MLB MLE	SEA	56%	524	464	95	17	3	10	48	143	7	13	4	203	287	315	602	111	267	27	9	274	72	-18	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.0
2033	26	MLB MLE	SEA	60%	539	477	97	17	3	10	50	147	7	13	4	203	287	315	602	112	267	27	9	275	72	-18	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.1
2034	27	MLB MLE	SEA	62%	544	482	97	17	3	10	50	149	7	13	4	202	286	313	599	110	267	27	9	273	71	-19	+1	+0	+6	+12	-0.0
2035	28	MLB MLE	SEA	63%	542	480	97	17	3	10	50	150	7	12	4	200	284	308	592	108	266	28	9	271	69	-20	+1	-1	+6	+12	-0.2
2036	29	MLB MLE	SEA	64%	535	475	95	17	3	9	49	149	6	11	4	198	282	302	584	104	265	28	9	267	67	-21	+1	-1	+6	+12	-0.5
2037	30	MLB MLE	SEA	65%	525	466	91	16	2	9	48	148	6	10	4	195	278	295	573	99	263	28	9	263	64	-22	+0	-2	+6	+11	-0.7
2028	21	MLB CTX	SEA	34%	90	81	15	3	0	1	8	26	1	2	1	185	271	266	537	82	256	29	9	250	56	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2029	22	MLB CTX	SEA	48%	181	160	31	5	1	3	17	51	2	4	1	190	276	282	558	92	259	28	9	258	62	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	SEA	54%	242	215	41	7	1	4	22	68	3	6	2	195	280	294	574	99	261	28	9	264	66	-10	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	275	244	49	9	1	5	25	76	4	7	2	199	283	303	587	105	264	28	9	269	70	-10	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.0
2032	25	MLB CTX	SEA	56%	293	260	51	9	1	5	27	80	4	7	2	201	285	310	595	109	265	27	9	272	72	-10	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2033	26	MLB CTX	SEA	60%	324	287	58	10	2	6	30	88	4	8	2	201	285	311	596	109	265	27	9	272	72	-11	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2034	27	MLB CTX	SEA	62%	337	299	61	11	2	6	31	92	4	8	2	200	284	308	593	108	264	27	9	271	71	-12	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.0
2035	28	MLB CTX	SEA	63%	342	304	61	11	2	6	31	95	4	7	2	199	282	304	586	105	264	28	9	268	69	-12	+1	-0	+4	+7	-0.1
2036	29	MLB CTX	SEA	64%	341	303	60	10	2	6	31	95	4	7	2	196	280	298	578	102	262	28	9	265	67	-13	+1	-1	+4	+7	-0.3
2037	30	MLB CTX	SEA	65%	341	303	58	10	1	5	31	96	4	6	2	194	277	291	567	97	261	28	9	261	64	-15	+0	-1	+4	+7	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2766	2456	485	85	13	47	253	767	34	62	18	197	281	300	582	103	264	28	9	266	62	-105	+5	-3	+30	+60	-1.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	114	20	3	11	59	180	8	15	4	198	281	300	580	102	265	28	9	266	62	-25	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5584	4925	935	166	27	87	534	1601	78	151	46	190	279	288	567	98	260	29	10	260	62	-195	+9	-4	+53	+108	-3.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	108	19	3	10	62	186	9	18	5	188	278	284	562	96	258	29	10	260	62	-26	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Rabbit Warstler'30-'40 * career totals — 11 seasons, 4,611 PA	6.9	4,611	11	42	209*	280*	295*	+36	+67	1.4	3.4
/162	664	2	6	+5.2	+9.7	0.2	pk7: 6
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.4	2,954	50	66	199	280	302	+32	+21	0.2	0.6
/162	664	11	15	+7.1	+4.7	0.0	pk7: 1
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Billy Hunter'53-'58 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,052 PA	3.1	2,052	16	23	213*	254*	312*	+20	+13	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	5	7	+6.4	+4.3	-0.9	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dawel Joseph (OGILVIE)	20	20	25	60	60	178/263/247	69	255	1	4	29%	9%	49	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/249/256	81	276	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	192/257/267	75	279	5	10	31%	7%	50	-2.3	170/235/212	43	235	3	6	27%	7%	28	-1.2
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	40	39→40	54→60	52	186/296/275	89	275	5	8	30%	12%	68	-1.0	190/293/264	74	252	5	17	24%	10%	64	-1.3	151/292/187	36	182	3	30	16%	14%	48	-0.8
✕Glenn Santiago 2021 · A	20	41	36→40	54→45	48	191/268/264	73	243	2	13	21%	8%	54	-2.0	204/266/293	89	275	7	9	27%	7%	59	-1.6	185/249/263	77	271	7	8	32%	7%	44	-1.1
✕Hans Montero 2024 · A	20	36→37	37→45	55	49	172/276/241	69	264	5	18	33%	11%	53	-2.1	182/260/285	103	297	10	17	39%	8%	56	-1.9	173/254/287	113	278	12	22	39%	9%	52	-1.5
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	39	36→40	50→55	44	186/249/258	71	249	3	12	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/271/288	84	283	7	19	28%	7%	60	-1.6	202/282/289	86	263	10	29	26%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Jesus Hernandez 2024 · A	20	42	37→40	51→55	53	199/281/271	72	257	5	13	23%	10%	60	-1.6	199/278/287	88	284	6	18	29%	9%	63	-1.4	199/280/289	90	282	6	24	29%	9%	62	-0.7
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	36→30	38→45	50	43	177/250/254	77	257	5	13	32%	7%	45	-2.7	207/272/309	102	322	8	15	36%	7%	65	-1.2	191/253/307	116	283	12	16	35%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Cesar Gonzalez 2015 · A	20	42	36→40	54→60	43	195/260/262	67	275	2	19	28%	7%	49	-2.4	203/255/272	69	317	3	11	34%	6%	50	-2.3	184/229/215	32	332	0	4	42%	5%	23	-1.0
✕Ameilis Carvajal 2009 · A	20	38	37→40	50	53	178/278/250	72	254	4	12	29%	11%	55	-1.9	187/261/255	68	287	3	9	33%	8%	49	-2.4	130/199/162	32	218	0	8	37%	8%	5	-1.2
✕Emmanuel Morel 2017 · A	20	37	34→30	50→55	47	174/257/225	52	263	1	15	32%	10%	41	-3.0	194/259/259	65	313	2	13	36%	7%	49	-2.4	182/247/231	49	295	0	21	35%	6%	35	-0.9
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	38	36→50	50→45	44	181/261/246	65	268	3	13	31%	8%	47	-2.5	202/271/300	98	303	9	5	34%	6%	63	-1.3	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Anyelo Encarnación 2024 · A	20	41→36	38→40	54→50	49	188/284/272	84	293	5	14	34%	11%	62	-1.4	183/267/272	89	313	8	14	40%	9%	56	-1.9	171/261/262	92	293	9	17	41%	10%	49	-1.4
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	42	37→30	48→60	49	198/268/270	72	254	4	13	22%	8%	55	-2.0	197/293/251	54	252	2	24	20%	11%	61	-1.5	183/298/219	36	231	1	34	18%	13%	54	-0.8
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	39→33	37→45	54→55	39	187/245/260	73	279	3	11	32%	6%	43	-2.8	186/260/317	131	336	16	16	46%	8%	63	-1.3	173/250/304	131	303	16	19	45%	8%	53	-1.4
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	36	39→40	51→50	40	181/244/269	88	257	7	13	31%	6%	46	-2.6	196/262/273	77	311	7	10	36%	7%	53	-2.1	190/263/263	73	291	8	10	35%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Juan Batista 2021 · A	20	38	36→30	51→55	49	180/258/247	67	242	2	16	25%	9%	46	-2.6	180/240/259	79	359	5	13	47%	6%	42	-2.9	90/154/143	54	283	2	18	64%	5%	-18	-1.9
✕Misael Urbina 2022 · A	20	37→32	39→40	51→50	49	180/260/269	89	230	6	13	24%	8%	53	-2.1	179/254/271	92	260	6	10	31%	8%	50	-2.3	166/253/247	81	240	5	8	30%	10%	42	-1.7
✕Christian Cerda 2023 · A	20	40	39→45	50→40	53	189/279/278	88	244	6	9	23%	10%	61	-1.5	198/297/302	104	263	10	4	26%	12%	74	-0.5	187/288/292	105	240	12	2	26%	12%	67	-0.7
✕Jose Ramos 2023 · A	20	38	39→40	57→55	51	185/264/271	86	233	6	20	22%	9%	54	-2.0	184/265/261	77	273	4	22	31%	8%	52	-2.2	194/290/265	72	282	5	28	30%	11%	60	-0.5
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2010 · A	20	40	37→30	49→55	45	189/274/253	64	275	5	17	31%	8%	55	-2.0	200/259/279	79	339	6	8	40%	6%	53	-2.1	178/227/247	69	320	8	2	44%	5%	31	-1.0

Dawel Joseph

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps