Chase Harlan — OGILVIE

Chase Harlan3B Ontario Tower Buzzers

Age 20 R/R 6'3" / 205 lbs A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION337 act + 224 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†110

AVG/OBP/SLG.247 / .328 / .413

PA224

HR7

K%24

BB%9

BABIP305

ISO166

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 37 / POW 58

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT37

scouting grade only

POWER58

scouting grade only

EYE42

scouting grade only

SPEED46

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+3.5	$21M	+$20M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+3.6	$20M	+$19M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+3.6	$18M	+$18M
2033	Arb-1	$7M	+3.6	$17M	+$13M
2034	Arb-2	$11M	+3.4	$15M	+$10M
2035	Arb-3	$15M	+3.1	$13M	+$7M
Totals		$37M		$103M	+$87M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	19	ROK	2 teams	—	300	272	50	9	1	5	24	95	1	3	2	184	253	279	532	96	257	32	8	242	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	2 teams	—	300	260	70	16	1	9	36	67	1	3	2	269	360	442	803	173	326	22	12	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	LAD	—	337	294	79	17	2	12	32	86	8	0	0	269	356	463	819	194	337	26	9	352	128	+10	+0	+0	+1	+10	2.2
YTD	20	A	LAD	—	337	280	90	21	3	13	45	64	8	0	0	321	428	557	985	236	374	19	13	428	185	+33	+0	+0	+1	+10	4.4
ROS	20	A	LAD	0%	224	198	49	10	1	7	20	55	4	2	1	247	328	413	741	166	303	24	9	329	110	+2	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.9
ROS	20	MLB	LAD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		299	—	—	312	97	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	A	LAD	—	337	295	79	17	2	12	32	86	8	0	0	268	356	461	817	193	335	26	9	352	128	+10	+0	+0	+1	+10	2.2
TOT	20	A	LAD	—	561	492	128	27	3	19	52	141	12	2	1	260	345	442	787	183	324	25	9	343	120	+13	+0	-1	+2	+16	3.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	LAD	43%	581	516	128	26	3	18	52	140	8	7	2	248	326	415	741	167	303	24	9	329	110	+7	+1	-3	+2	+16	2.3
2028	22	MLB	LAD	61%	609	540	136	27	3	21	55	144	9	8	2	252	331	430	761	178	303	24	9	337	116	+11	+1	-3	+2	+17	2.9
2029	23	MLB	LAD	68%	627	556	142	28	3	23	57	146	9	9	3	255	334	441	775	185	304	23	9	343	120	+14	+1	-3	+2	+18	3.2
2030	24	MLB	LAD	70%	635	563	144	28	3	24	58	146	9	10	3	256	335	444	779	188	305	23	9	346	123	+17	+1	-3	+2	+18	3.5
2031	25	MLB	LAD	70%	630	558	145	28	3	25	58	145	9	10	3	260	339	455	794	195	305	23	9	349	125	+18	+1	-3	+2	+18	3.6
2032	26	MLB	LAD	71%	622	551	143	28	3	25	57	143	9	10	3	260	339	457	796	198	305	23	9	350	126	+18	+1	-3	+2	+18	3.6
2033	27	MLB	LAD	69%	612	541	140	27	3	24	57	141	9	10	3	259	339	453	792	194	304	23	9	350	126	+18	+1	-3	+2	+17	3.6
2034	28	MLB	LAD	69%	602	531	138	27	3	24	57	139	9	10	3	260	342	458	799	198	304	23	9	349	125	+17	+1	-4	+2	+17	3.4
2035	29	MLB	LAD	67%	591	522	134	26	3	23	56	138	8	9	3	257	338	450	788	193	303	23	9	347	124	+16	+1	-4	+2	+17	3.1
2036	30	MLB	LAD	66%	580	512	130	25	3	22	55	137	8	9	2	254	336	443	779	189	301	24	9	344	121	+14	+1	-5	+2	+16	2.9
2037	31	MLB	LAD	65%	569	502	126	24	3	21	54	136	8	8	2	251	333	436	770	185	299	24	9	340	118	+12	+1	-6	+2	+16	2.5
2038	32	MLB	LAD	65%	558	492	121	23	2	20	53	136	8	8	2	246	329	423	752	177	295	24	9	334	114	+9	+1	-6	+2	+16	2.1
2039	33	MLB	LAD	65%	487	431	103	19	2	17	46	121	7	6	2	239	322	411	733	172	290	25	9	326	108	+4	+0	-7	+2	+14	1.4
2040	34	MLB	LAD	60%	440	390	91	16	2	15	41	112	6	5	1	233	316	400	716	167	284	25	9	317	101	+0	+1	-7	+2	+12	0.8
2041	35	MLB	LAD	56%	385	341	77	13	2	12	36	101	5	4	1	226	309	381	690	155	277	26	9	306	92	-3	+0	-8	+1	+11	0.2
2042	36	MLB	LAD	47%	325	288	62	10	1	10	30	88	4	3	1	215	298	361	659	146	270	27	9	295	84	-6	+0	-8	+1	+9	-0.3
2043	37	MLB	LAD	38%	261	233	47	7	1	7	23	72	3	3	1	202	282	330	612	129	262	28	9	283	74	-8	+0	-8	+1	+7	-0.8
2027	21	MLB	LAD	43%	251	223	55	11	1	8	22	60	4	3	1	247	325	413	738	166	299	24	9	314	99	-0	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.7
2028	22	MLB	LAD	61%	371	330	81	16	2	12	33	87	5	5	1	245	323	415	739	170	299	23	9	322	105	+2	+1	-2	+1	+11	1.3
2029	23	MLB	LAD	68%	427	379	95	19	2	15	39	99	6	6	2	251	330	430	760	179	300	23	9	327	109	+4	+0	-2	+2	+12	1.6
2030	24	MLB	LAD	70%	442	393	99	19	2	16	40	102	6	7	2	252	330	433	763	181	300	23	9	331	112	+6	+1	-2	+2	+13	1.9
2031	25	MLB	LAD	70%	443	393	100	19	2	17	41	102	6	7	2	254	334	443	777	188	300	23	9	334	113	+7	+1	-2	+2	+13	2.0
2032	26	MLB	LAD	71%	439	390	99	19	2	17	40	101	6	7	2	254	333	444	776	190	300	23	9	335	114	+7	+1	-2	+2	+12	2.0
2033	27	MLB	LAD	69%	424	375	95	18	2	16	40	98	6	7	2	253	335	440	775	187	300	23	9	335	114	+7	+1	-2	+2	+12	1.9
2034	28	MLB	LAD	69%	413	365	93	18	2	16	39	96	6	7	2	255	337	447	783	192	299	23	9	334	113	+6	+1	-3	+1	+12	1.8
2035	29	MLB	LAD	67%	395	349	88	17	2	15	37	92	6	6	2	252	334	441	775	189	298	23	9	332	112	+5	+0	-3	+1	+11	1.6
2036	30	MLB	LAD	66%	382	338	84	16	2	14	36	90	5	6	2	249	330	432	762	183	297	24	9	329	110	+4	+0	-3	+1	+11	1.4
2037	31	MLB	LAD	65%	371	328	80	15	2	13	35	89	5	5	1	244	326	421	747	177	294	24	9	325	107	+3	+1	-4	+1	+11	1.2
2038	32	MLB	LAD	65%	362	320	78	15	2	13	34	88	5	5	1	244	326	425	751	181	291	24	9	319	102	+1	+1	-4	+1	+10	0.9
2039	33	MLB	LAD	65%	315	278	66	12	1	11	30	78	4	4	1	237	321	406	727	169	286	25	10	312	97	-1	+0	-4	+1	+9	0.5
2040	34	MLB	LAD	60%	264	234	53	9	1	9	25	67	3	3	1	226	309	389	698	162	280	25	9	303	90	-3	+0	-4	+1	+7	0.1
2041	35	MLB	LAD	56%	214	189	42	7	1	7	20	56	3	2	1	222	307	381	688	159	273	26	9	293	82	-4	+0	-4	+1	+6	-0.2
2042	36	MLB	LAD	47%	151	134	29	5	1	4	14	41	2	2	0	216	300	358	658	142	266	27	9	282	74	-4	+0	-4	+1	+4	-0.3
2043	37	MLB	LAD	38%	98	88	18	3	0	3	9	27	1	1	0	205	286	341	627	136	258	28	9	270	65	-4	+0	-3	+0	+3	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5762	5107	1255	238	27	206	534	1373	79	83	23	246	327	424	751	178	295	24	9	323	105	+35	+7	-51	+21	+163	17.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	141	27	3	23	60	155	9	9	3	245	326	422	747	177	294	24	9	323	105	+4	+1	-6	+2	+18	2.0
Career	—			—	9638	8537	2106	401	45	343	889	2335	133	134	40	247	327	425	752	178	298	24	9	333	113	+142	+11	-87	+34	+273	38.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	142	27	3	23	60	157	9	9	3	247	327	424	751	177	298	24	9	333	113	+10	+1	-6	+2	+18	2.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	19	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	123	104	25	3	0	3	18	32	1	2	1	240	358	356	713	115	319	26	15	330	111	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2025	19	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	177	156	45	13	1	6	18	35	0	1	1	288	362	500	862	212	331	20	10	373	143	+9	-0	—	—	+5	1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Vernon Wellslast yr '13 career totals — 13 seasons, 7,118 PA	13	7,118	269	108	270	319	461	+0	-19	32.9	31.8
	/162	664	25	10	270	319	461	+0.0	-1.8	3.1	pk7: 31
#2Dan Ugglalast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,509 PA	10	5,509	235	26	241	336	447	+20	-17	28.7	28.7
#2Dan Ugglalast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,509 PA	/162	664	28	3	241	336	447	+2.4	-2.1	3.5	pk7: 29
#3Casey Blakelast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,966 PA	9	4,966	165	33	264	337	444	+3	+16	26.4	25.2
	/162	664	22	4	264	337	444	+0.4	+2.2	3.5	pk7: 24
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	11	6,081	220	87	250	327	432	+16	-21	30.0	24.2
	/162	664	24	9	250	327	432	+1.8	-2.3	3.3	pk7: 18
#4Jason Kipnislast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,984 PA	10	4,984	126	136	260	333	416	+18	-11	22.6	21.9
	/162	664	17	18	260	333	416	+2.4	-1.4	3.0	pk7: 21
#5Kelly Johnsonlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,139 PA	11	5,139	155	87	251	330	422	+8	-3	22.3	21.3
	/162	664	20	11	251	330	422	+1.0	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 20
#6Steve Finleylast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 4,059 PA	8	4,059	151	78	267	337	462	-2	-24	20.1	20.6
	/162	664	25	13	267	337	462	-0.4	-3.9	3.3	pk7: 21

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Chase Harlan (OGILVIE)	20	24→37	40→58	44→46	42	260/345/442	183	324	19	2	25%	9%	120	+3.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→60	46→50	46	214/297/344	130	275	14	9	26%	8%	82	+0.5	219/304/418	199	291	25	6	32%	9%	104	+2.0	270/324/464	194	313	25	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
✕Roan Salas 2010 · A	20	46	50→65	46→40	45	236/285/393	157	263	17	5	18%	6%	88	+0.9	244/297/371	127	282	12	5	17%	6%	87	+0.8	268/322/383	115	301	9	3	14%	6%	98	+0.7
●Miguel Sanó 2013 · A	20	39→49	53→70	46→45	44	207/282/382	175	291	21	5	35%	9%	85	+0.7	227/308/454	227	315	29	7	35%	9%	115	+2.7	242/333/468	226	340	30	2	35%	11%	124	+3.1
●Isaac Paredes 2019 · AA	20	44→49	44→60	48→40	46	217/278/338	121	256	11	3	20%	6%	71	-0.3	230/296/335	105	269	10	4	18%	7%	78	+0.2	242/348/439	196	257	26	1	17%	11%	124	+3.1
●Junior Caminero 2022 · A	19	43→53	50→70	49→45	44	225/281/372	147	272	18	5	25%	7%	82	+0.5	253/302/420	167	306	22	7	25%	6%	102	+1.9	260/323/512	251	270	38	5	20%	8%	130	+3.2
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→47	45→55	48→55	46	233/305/357	125	310	12	12	27%	8%	87	+0.8	242/305/384	142	306	15	16	25%	7%	94	+1.3	248/306/416	169	299	18	16	23%	6%	100	+1.2
●Mark Vientos 2019 · A	19	42→49	46→60	43→30	45	215/275/340	125	273	14	3	26%	7%	70	-0.3	206/250/349	143	284	18	2	33%	5%	62	-0.9	245/305/447	202	325	28	0	32%	7%	109	+2.0
●Gary Sánchez 2013 · A	20	44→50	47→65	48→45	36	222/264/357	135	310	16	8	33%	5%	69	-0.4	231/280/374	143	291	17	5	26%	6%	81	+0.4	240/315/464	224	265	32	4	23%	9%	117	+2.4
✕Miguel Amaya 2019 · A	20	43→42	45→50	48→40	45	215/281/332	117	268	13	4	25%	7%	71	-0.3	214/290/343	129	271	14	4	25%	8%	78	+0.2	228/299/368	140	271	16	1	22%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	51→55	44	215/274/342	127	287	12	11	29%	7%	70	-0.3	231/293/393	162	278	19	13	24%	7%	92	+1.2	232/295/411	179	268	22	16	22%	7%	94	+1.3
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	216/296/344	128	273	15	16	26%	8%	81	+0.4	220/281/361	141	294	15	13	29%	7%	78	+0.2	205/253/387	182	264	22	15	31%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Max Muncy 2023 · A	20	38→45	48→55	50	41	195/268/337	143	297	17	12	38%	8%	67	-0.5	211/276/338	127	323	13	9	36%	7%	70	-0.3	226/295/388	162	313	20	6	32%	6%	90	+0.5
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	44→42	44→50	49→45	41	219/269/335	116	284	12	9	27%	6%	66	-0.6	226/283/364	138	283	16	7	25%	7%	79	+0.3	225/289/370	145	269	18	4	23%	7%	82	+0.3
●Sean Rodríguez 2006 · A	21	43→49	45→60	49→50	52	213/296/343	130	256	12	15	22%	10%	80	+0.4	230/299/397	167	296	19	11	28%	7%	96	+1.5	237/310/439	202	292	25	12	27%	7%	107	+1.7
✕Kevin Padlo 2016 · A	20	38→40	45→55	50	46	193/270/323	130	263	12	8	30%	9%	64	-0.8	183/268/311	128	268	12	8	34%	10%	60	-1.0	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
●Mike Moustakas 2009 · A	20	43→53	49→65	46→45	43	221/268/364	143	257	17	6	22%	5%	73	-0.1	231/266/387	156	267	19	5	21%	4%	79	+0.3	264/326/513	248	264	35	2	16%	7%	131	+3.9
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	39	43→45	42→50	48	193/294/300	106	278	11	10	32%	10%	69	-0.4	183/263/286	103	286	10	6	37%	8%	52	-1.6	153/236/254	101	237	11	2	38%	9%	32	-0.9
●Jackson Chourio 2023 · AA	19	40→50	49→60	50→55	37	208/257/357	149	297	17	12	35%	6%	67	-0.5	252/297/423	171	319	19	23	26%	6%	101	+1.8	273/321/471	198	320	23	21	22%	6%	120	+2.5
★Troy Tulowitzki 2006 · A	21	45→55	47→60	49→50	45	227/286/364	137	279	15	8	24%	7%	81	+0.4	262/326/415	153	307	16	7	19%	8%	111	+2.5	282/358/481	198	314	22	9	17%	10%	135	+4.1
✕Gabriel Moreno 2021 · A	21	47	46→45	52→45	43	231/275/363	132	265	12	7	18%	4%	76	+0.0	277/330/415	138	330	14	8	20%	6%	112	+2.6	277/360/410	133	318	13	6	16%	11%	119	+1.6