Chase Harlan
3B Ontario Tower Buzzers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | A/ROK2 orgs | 300 | .269/.360/.442 | 9 | 3 | 57 | — | .195/.262/.305 |
| 2026 | 20 | A+/A/INTL2 orgs | 458 | .295/.403/.509 | 17 | 2 | 116 | — | .257/.344/.422 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 21 | MLBLAD | 506 | .231/.308/.380 | 14 | 7 | 94 | 0.4 | |
| 2028PROJ43% MLB | 22 | MLBLAD | 156 | .233/.311/.397 | 5 | 2 | 101 | 0.3 | |
| 2029PROJ61% MLB | 23 | MLBLAD | 248 | .238/.316/.411 | 9 | 4 | 106 | 0.8 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 19 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 123 | 104 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 240 | 358 | 356 | 713 | 115 | 319 | 26 | 15 | 330 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | — | 177 | 156 | 45 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 35 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 288 | 362 | 500 | 862 | 212 | 331 | 20 | 10 | 373 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | — | 130 | 113 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 31 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 239 | 333 | 389 | 723 | 150 | 291 | 24 | 10 | 325 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A | Ontario Tower Buzzers | — | 266 | 219 | 72 | 17 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 51 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 329 | 439 | 571 | 1.010 | 242 | 388 | 19 | 14 | 438 | 131 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 62 | 51 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 275 | 393 | 510 | 903 | 235 | 379 | 32 | 13 | 393 | 152 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 123 | 109 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 44 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 193 | 285 | 266 | 551 | 73 | 304 | 36 | 11 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 177 | 163 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 51 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 196 | 247 | 331 | 578 | 135 | 245 | 29 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 130 | 116 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 39 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 207 | 287 | 319 | 606 | 112 | 275 | 30 | 8 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | Ontario Tower Buzzers | — | 266 | 231 | 65 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 69 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 281 | 371 | 472 | 843 | 190 | 358 | 26 | 10 | 362 | 131 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 300 | 271 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 95 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 196 | 266 | 306 | 572 | 111 | 272 | 32 | 8 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 300 | 260 | 70 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 67 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 269 | 360 | 442 | 803 | 173 | 326 | 22 | 12 | 355 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 458 | 400 | 103 | 22 | 3 | 13 | 43 | 126 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 258 | 346 | 425 | 771 | 167 | 340 | 28 | 9 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 458 | 383 | 113 | 25 | 3 | 17 | 59 | 102 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 295 | 403 | 509 | 912 | 214 | 358 | 22 | 13 | 400 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 300 | 271 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 95 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 196 | 266 | 306 | 572 | 111 | 269 | 32 | 8 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 458 | 401 | 103 | 22 | 3 | 13 | 43 | 126 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 257 | 346 | 424 | 770 | 167 | 331 | 28 | 9 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 300 | 271 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 95 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 196 | 266 | 306 | 572 | 111 | 269 | 32 | 8 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 458 | 401 | 103 | 22 | 3 | 13 | 43 | 126 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 257 | 346 | 424 | 770 | 167 | 331 | 28 | 9 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB MLE | LAD | 0% | 506 | 451 | 103 | 20 | 2 | 14 | 43 | 118 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 231 | 308 | 380 | 688 | 149 | 279 | 23 | 8 | 308 | 94 | -3 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +11 | 0.4 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 22 | MLB MLE | LAD | 43% | 362 | 322 | 77 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 83 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 237 | 314 | 400 | 714 | 163 | 281 | 23 | 9 | 318 | 101 | +1 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +8 | 0.9 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB MLE | LAD | 61% | 408 | 363 | 88 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 92 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 241 | 318 | 414 | 732 | 173 | 282 | 23 | 9 | 325 | 106 | +3 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +9 | 1.2 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB MLE | LAD | 66% | 455 | 406 | 99 | 19 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 102 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 244 | 321 | 422 | 744 | 179 | 284 | 22 | 9 | 329 | 109 | +5 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +10 | 1.6 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB MLE | LAD | 69% | 495 | 441 | 107 | 20 | 2 | 18 | 44 | 111 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 245 | 323 | 427 | 750 | 182 | 284 | 22 | 9 | 332 | 111 | +6 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +11 | 1.9 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB MLE | LAD | 70% | 507 | 450 | 111 | 21 | 2 | 19 | 45 | 114 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 246 | 323 | 429 | 752 | 183 | 285 | 22 | 9 | 332 | 111 | +7 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +11 | 2.0 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB MLE | LAD | 69% | 510 | 453 | 111 | 21 | 2 | 19 | 45 | 115 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 244 | 322 | 426 | 748 | 182 | 284 | 23 | 9 | 331 | 110 | +6 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +11 | 2.0 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB MLE | LAD | 68% | 505 | 449 | 108 | 20 | 2 | 18 | 45 | 115 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 242 | 320 | 421 | 741 | 179 | 283 | 23 | 9 | 328 | 108 | +5 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +11 | 1.7 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB MLE | LAD | 67% | 494 | 441 | 106 | 20 | 2 | 18 | 44 | 114 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 240 | 317 | 414 | 731 | 175 | 281 | 23 | 9 | 324 | 106 | +3 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +11 | 1.4 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB MLE | LAD | 66% | 482 | 431 | 102 | 19 | 2 | 17 | 42 | 113 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 236 | 313 | 406 | 719 | 169 | 279 | 23 | 9 | 319 | 102 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +2 | +10 | 1.1 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB MLE | LAD | 65% | 466 | 418 | 98 | 18 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 111 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 232 | 308 | 396 | 703 | 164 | 275 | 24 | 9 | 313 | 98 | -1 | -0 | -3 | +2 | +10 | 0.7 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB MLE | LAD | 65% | 445 | 399 | 89 | 16 | 1 | 14 | 38 | 108 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 226 | 301 | 382 | 683 | 156 | 271 | 24 | 9 | 305 | 93 | -4 | -3 | -4 | +2 | +10 | -0.0 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB MLE | LAD | 65% | 408 | 367 | 80 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 101 | 4 | 2 | 38 | 219 | 293 | 366 | 659 | 147 | 266 | 25 | 8 | 295 | 86 | -7 | -15 | -5 | +1 | +9 | -1.6 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB CTX | LAD | 43% | 156 | 139 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 233 | 311 | 397 | 708 | 164 | 274 | 23 | 9 | 315 | 101 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +3 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB CTX | LAD | 61% | 248 | 221 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 56 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 238 | 316 | 411 | 727 | 173 | 276 | 23 | 9 | 322 | 106 | +2 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +5 | 0.8 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB CTX | LAD | 66% | 301 | 267 | 64 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 27 | 68 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 241 | 318 | 420 | 738 | 179 | 278 | 23 | 9 | 327 | 109 | +3 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +7 | 1.1 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB CTX | LAD | 69% | 340 | 302 | 73 | 13 | 1 | 13 | 30 | 76 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 242 | 320 | 425 | 745 | 183 | 278 | 22 | 9 | 330 | 111 | +4 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +7 | 1.4 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB CTX | LAD | 70% | 354 | 315 | 76 | 14 | 1 | 14 | 31 | 79 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 243 | 320 | 427 | 747 | 184 | 278 | 22 | 9 | 330 | 111 | +5 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +8 | 1.4 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB CTX | LAD | 69% | 352 | 313 | 76 | 14 | 1 | 14 | 31 | 79 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 241 | 319 | 424 | 743 | 183 | 278 | 22 | 9 | 329 | 110 | +4 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +8 | 1.4 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB CTX | LAD | 68% | 346 | 308 | 73 | 13 | 1 | 13 | 31 | 79 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 239 | 317 | 419 | 736 | 180 | 277 | 23 | 9 | 326 | 108 | +3 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +7 | 1.2 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB CTX | LAD | 67% | 330 | 294 | 69 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 29 | 76 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 237 | 314 | 412 | 727 | 176 | 275 | 23 | 9 | 322 | 106 | +2 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +7 | 1.0 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB CTX | LAD | 66% | 317 | 282 | 67 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 28 | 74 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 234 | 310 | 404 | 715 | 171 | 273 | 23 | 9 | 317 | 102 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +7 | 0.8 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB CTX | LAD | 65% | 303 | 271 | 63 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 26 | 72 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 229 | 305 | 394 | 699 | 165 | 270 | 24 | 9 | 311 | 98 | -1 | -0 | -2 | +1 | +7 | 0.5 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB CTX | LAD | 65% | 288 | 258 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 25 | 70 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 224 | 299 | 380 | 679 | 157 | 265 | 24 | 9 | 303 | 93 | -3 | -2 | -3 | +1 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB CTX | LAD | 65% | 263 | 236 | 52 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 65 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 217 | 291 | 364 | 655 | 148 | 260 | 25 | 8 | 294 | 86 | -4 | -10 | -3 | +1 | +6 | -1.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3598 | 3206 | 757 | 136 | 12 | 132 | 316 | 830 | 45 | 47 | 42 | 236 | 313 | 410 | 723 | 173 | 276 | 23 | 9 | 320 | 102 | +17 | -7 | -16 | +13 | +78 | 8.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 579 | 137 | 25 | 2 | 24 | 57 | 150 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 237 | 314 | 411 | 725 | 174 | 276 | 23 | 9 | 320 | 102 | +3 | -1 | -3 | +2 | +14 | 1.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 6505 | 5798 | 1375 | 260 | 27 | 218 | 571 | 1549 | 85 | 79 | 72 | 237 | 315 | 404 | 719 | 167 | 285 | 24 | 9 | 319 | 102 | +24 | -13 | -27 | +21 | +125 | 13.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 579 | 138 | 26 | 3 | 22 | 57 | 155 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 238 | 315 | 408 | 722 | 169 | 286 | 24 | 9 | 319 | 102 | +3 | -1 | -3 | +2 | +14 | 1.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AOntario Tower Buzzers · 266 PAwOBA .430 → .362 (−68)K% 19.2% → 26.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.17% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 26.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 10.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.26% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.015 | ×1.030 | 24.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.015 | ×1.030 | 8.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.015 | ×1.030 | 1.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 4.90% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .430 → .362; ISO .242 → .202; BABIP .388 → .358. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Great Lakes Loons · 130 PAwOBA .320 → .270 (−49)K% 23.8% → 30.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.85% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 30.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 7.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.31% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.042 | 1.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.022 | ×1.042 | 21.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.022 | ×1.042 | 5.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.022 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 4.07% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .320 → .270; ISO .150 → .121; BABIP .291 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKACL Dodgers · 177 PAwOBA .369 → .249 (−120)K% 19.8% → 28.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.77% | ÷0.993 | ×1.440 | — | — | 28.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.17% | ÷0.997 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 6.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.66% | ÷0.996 | ×0.820 | ×0.982 | ×1.008 | 16.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.74% | ÷1.102 | ×0.720 | ×0.982 | ×1.008 | 6.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.83% | ÷1.060 | ×0.720 | ×0.982 | ×1.008 | 0.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.96% | ÷1.187 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 3.28% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 99, 2B 120, 3B 112, K 99, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .369 → .249; ISO .212 → .132; BABIP .331 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 123 PAwOBA .322 → .257 (−65)K% 26.0% → 35.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.02% | ÷0.987 | ×1.360 | — | — | 35.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.63% | ÷0.981 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 10.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.81% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.39% | ÷1.004 | ×0.920 | ×1.025 | ×1.045 | 25.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.054 | ×0.830 | ×1.025 | ×1.045 | 3.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.025 | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.055 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 3.30% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 101, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 97, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .322 → .257; ISO .115 → .084; BABIP .319 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .