Chase Harlan — OGILVIE

Chase Harlan3B Ontario Tower Buzzers

Age 20 R/R 6'3" / 205 lbs A HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION396 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†101

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP295

ISO146

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$75M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 37 / POW 58

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT37

scouting grade only

POWER58

scouting grade only

EYE42

scouting grade only

SPEED46

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$10M	+$9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$10M	+$9M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.9	$10M	+$9M
2033	Arb-1	$6M	+1.8	$8M	+$6M
2034	Arb-2	$10M	+1.7	$7M	+$3M
2035	Arb-3	$13M	+1.5	$6M	+$0.9M
Totals		$32M		$51M	+$38M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	19	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	123	104	25	3	0	3	18	32	1	2	1	240	358	356	713	115	319	26	15	330	109	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2025	19	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	177	156	45	13	1	6	18	35	0	1	1	288	362	500	862	212	331	20	10	373	138	+8	-0	—	—	+4	1.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	19	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	123	109	20	2	0	2	13	43	1	2	1	183	276	257	533	73	289	35	11	254	58	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	177	163	32	8	1	4	11	51	0	1	1	196	247	331	578	135	243	29	6	247	53	-10	-0	—	—	+4	-0.6
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	300	272	52	10	1	6	24	94	1	3	2	191	259	301	561	110	263	31	8	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	300	260	70	16	1	9	36	67	1	3	2	269	360	442	803	173	326	22	12	355	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	300	272	52	10	1	6	24	94	1	3	2	191	259	301	561	110	262	31	8	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	300	272	52	10	1	6	24	94	1	3	2	191	259	301	561	110	262	31	8	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A MLE	LAD	—	396	348	86	18	2	12	36	110	9	1	0	247	333	414	747	167	323	28	9	326	107	+3	+0	+0	+1	+9	1.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A RAW	LAD	—	266	219	72	17	3	10	38	51	6	0	0	329	439	571	1.010	242	388	19	14	438	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A+ RAW	LAD	—	130	113	27	5	0	4	13	31	3	1	0	239	333	389	723	150	291	24	10	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A MLE	LAD	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		299	30	10	317	101	+0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	20	A MLE	LAD	—	406	357	87	18	2	12	37	113	9	1	0	244	330	406	736	162	319	28	9	326	107	+3	+0	-0	+1	+9	1.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	LAD	43%	428	381	91	18	2	13	38	108	6	5	1	239	318	399	717	160	299	25	9	323	105	+2	+1	-2	+2	+9	1.2
2028	22	MLB MLE	LAD	61%	490	437	107	21	2	17	43	121	7	6	2	245	322	419	741	174	300	25	9	332	111	+6	+0	-3	+2	+11	1.7
2029	23	MLB MLE	LAD	68%	529	469	118	23	3	19	47	128	8	8	2	252	330	435	765	183	300	24	9	337	114	+9	+1	-3	+2	+11	2.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	LAD	70%	560	496	125	24	3	21	51	134	8	8	2	252	332	440	771	188	301	24	9	341	117	+11	+1	-3	+2	+12	2.4
2031	25	MLB MLE	LAD	70%	573	508	130	25	3	23	52	137	8	9	2	256	335	453	787	197	301	24	9	344	119	+13	+1	-3	+2	+12	2.6
2032	26	MLB MLE	LAD	71%	578	512	130	25	3	23	53	138	8	9	2	254	333	449	783	195	301	24	9	345	120	+13	+1	-3	+2	+13	2.7
2033	27	MLB MLE	LAD	69%	577	511	130	25	3	23	53	138	8	9	2	254	334	450	784	196	301	24	9	345	120	+13	+1	-3	+2	+13	2.7
2034	28	MLB MLE	LAD	69%	571	505	128	24	3	23	53	137	8	9	2	253	334	450	783	196	300	24	9	344	119	+13	+1	-4	+2	+12	2.5
2035	29	MLB MLE	LAD	67%	560	494	125	24	3	22	53	136	8	9	2	253	335	447	783	194	299	24	9	342	117	+12	+1	-4	+2	+12	2.3
2036	30	MLB MLE	LAD	66%	549	484	120	23	2	21	52	135	8	8	2	248	331	434	765	186	298	25	9	339	115	+10	+1	-5	+2	+12	2.0
2037	31	MLB MLE	LAD	65%	535	472	116	22	2	20	50	133	8	8	2	246	328	428	756	182	295	25	9	335	113	+8	+1	-6	+2	+12	1.7
2038	32	MLB MLE	LAD	65%	516	456	109	20	2	19	48	130	7	7	2	239	321	417	738	178	291	25	9	329	109	+5	+1	-6	+2	+11	1.3
2039	33	MLB MLE	LAD	65%	487	432	101	18	2	17	45	125	7	6	2	234	316	403	719	169	287	26	9	321	104	+2	+0	-7	+2	+11	0.8
2040	34	MLB MLE	LAD	60%	440	390	89	15	2	15	41	116	6	5	1	228	311	392	704	164	280	26	9	312	97	-1	+1	-7	+2	+10	0.3
2041	35	MLB MLE	LAD	56%	385	342	73	12	1	12	35	104	5	4	1	213	296	360	655	146	273	27	9	301	90	-5	+0	-8	+1	+8	-0.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	LAD	43%	185	164	40	8	1	6	16	47	3	2	1	244	322	415	737	171	295	25	9	311	105	+1	+0	-1	+1	+4	0.5
2028	22	MLB CTX	LAD	61%	298	266	64	12	1	11	26	73	4	4	1	241	318	417	735	177	295	24	9	320	111	+4	+0	-2	+1	+6	1.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	LAD	68%	360	320	80	15	2	14	32	87	5	5	1	250	328	441	768	191	296	24	9	326	114	+6	+1	-2	+1	+8	1.4
2030	24	MLB CTX	LAD	70%	390	346	87	16	2	16	35	93	6	6	1	251	331	448	779	197	297	24	9	330	117	+8	+1	-2	+1	+8	1.7
2031	25	MLB CTX	LAD	70%	403	357	91	17	2	17	37	96	6	6	2	255	335	457	792	202	297	24	9	333	119	+9	+0	-2	+1	+9	1.8
2032	26	MLB CTX	LAD	71%	408	362	91	17	2	17	37	97	6	7	2	251	331	450	781	199	297	24	9	334	120	+10	+1	-2	+1	+9	1.9
2033	27	MLB CTX	LAD	69%	400	354	90	17	2	17	37	96	6	6	2	254	335	458	793	203	296	24	9	334	120	+9	+0	-2	+1	+9	1.8
2034	28	MLB CTX	LAD	69%	392	346	87	16	2	16	37	94	6	6	2	251	334	448	782	197	296	24	9	333	119	+9	+0	-3	+1	+8	1.7
2035	29	MLB CTX	LAD	67%	374	331	81	15	1	15	35	91	5	6	1	245	326	432	758	187	295	24	9	331	117	+8	+1	-3	+1	+8	1.5
2036	30	MLB CTX	LAD	66%	361	319	78	15	1	14	34	88	5	5	1	245	327	429	756	185	294	24	9	328	115	+7	+1	-3	+1	+8	1.3
2037	31	MLB CTX	LAD	65%	349	308	75	14	1	14	33	87	5	5	1	244	327	432	758	188	291	25	9	324	113	+5	+1	-4	+1	+8	1.1
2038	32	MLB CTX	LAD	65%	334	295	71	13	1	13	31	84	5	4	1	241	323	424	747	183	287	25	9	318	109	+3	+0	-4	+1	+7	0.8
2039	33	MLB CTX	LAD	65%	315	279	66	12	1	12	29	81	4	4	1	237	317	416	733	179	283	26	9	311	104	+1	+0	-4	+1	+7	0.5
2040	34	MLB CTX	LAD	60%	264	234	53	9	1	9	24	70	4	3	1	226	309	389	698	162	276	27	9	302	97	-1	+0	-4	+1	+6	0.2
2041	35	MLB CTX	LAD	56%	214	189	42	7	1	7	20	58	3	2	1	222	307	381	688	159	269	27	9	291	90	-3	+0	-4	+1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5047	4470	1096	203	21	198	463	1242	73	71	19	245	326	433	759	188	294	25	9	324	110	+76	+7	-42	+18	+109	17.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	142	26	3	26	60	160	9	9	2	247	327	438	765	191	295	25	9	324	110	+10	+1	-5	+2	+14	2.2
Career	—	MLE		—	8088	7170	1745	329	37	294	739	2017	111	113	29	243	324	423	746	179	296	25	9	331	110	+113	+11	-66	+28	+169	26.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	140	26	3	24	59	162	9	9	2	243	322	424	746	181	295	25	9	331	110	+9	+1	-6	+2	+14	2.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ian Desmondlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,944 PA	9.0	5,944	181	181	263	315	427	+30	-4	25.8	25.0
/162	664	20	20	+3.3	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 24
#2Mike Moustakaslast yr '23 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,577 PA	8.4	5,577	215	21	247	307	431	+14	+18	22.8	22.1
/162	664	26	3	+1.6	+2.1	2.7	pk7: 21
#3Jason Kipnislast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,984 PA	7.5	4,984	126	136	260	333	416	+18	-11	22.6	21.9
/162	664	17	18	+2.4	-1.4	3.0	pk7: 21
#4Kelly Johnsonlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,139 PA	7.7	5,139	155	87	251	330	422	+8	-3	22.3	21.3
/162	664	20	11	+1.0	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 20
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	8.1	5,367	197	77	246	323	428	+19	-21	24.5	19.8
/162	664	24	10	+2.4	-2.6	3.0	pk7: 15
#5Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	5.5	3,621	123	62	249	308	437	+22	+7	15.9	16.6
/162	664	23	11	+4.1	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 17
#6Colby Rasmuslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,070 PA	6.1	4,070	165	35	242	311	438	-0	+8	16.7	16.2
/162	664	27	6	-0.0	+1.3	2.7	pk7: 16

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Chase Harlan (OGILVIE)	20	24→37	40→58	44→46	42	236/315/390	154	299	9	3	26%	9%	101	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→55	46→50	46	214/297/344	130	275	14	9	26%	8%	84	+0.1	213/299/399	186	281	23	6	32%	9%	97	+1.1	266/322/445	180	311	23	10	22%	6%	115	+2.3
✕Roan Salas 2010 · A	20	46	50→65	46→40	45	236/285/393	157	263	17	5	18%	6%	89	+0.5	244/297/371	127	282	12	5	17%	6%	88	+0.5	268/322/383	115	301	9	3	14%	6%	99	+0.5
●Miguel Sanó 2013 · A	20	38→48	54→70	46→45	42	204/276/383	178	286	22	5	35%	8%	84	+0.2	224/304/440	216	310	27	7	35%	9%	108	+1.9	243/334/470	227	339	30	2	35%	11%	122	+2.7
●Junior Caminero 2022 · A	19	43→53	50→65	49→45	44	225/281/373	148	272	18	5	25%	7%	84	+0.1	251/299/413	162	303	21	7	24%	6%	99	+1.3	258/322/495	237	270	35	4	20%	8%	121	+2.8
●Gary Sánchez 2013 · A	20	44→50	49→65	48→45	37	224/269/367	143	310	17	8	33%	5%	78	-0.3	229/278/363	134	288	15	5	25%	6%	80	-0.2	240/315/462	222	266	31	4	23%	8%	115	+1.9
✕Miguel Amaya 2019 · A	20	43→41	43→50	48→40	44	212/277/322	110	267	11	4	25%	6%	70	-0.8	210/288/334	124	267	13	4	25%	8%	78	-0.3	212/319/354	142	290	16	3	30%	10%	93	+0.3
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	232/305/356	123	310	12	12	28%	8%	88	+0.5	236/300/363	127	303	12	16	25%	7%	88	+0.4	241/304/389	148	298	14	15	23%	7%	93	+0.6
●Mark Vientos 2019 · A	19	42→50	46→60	43→30	45	215/275/340	125	273	14	3	26%	7%	74	-0.6	209/254/346	137	287	16	2	32%	5%	68	-1.0	243/303/441	198	304	26	1	28%	7%	106	+1.5
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	216/296/344	128	273	15	16	26%	8%	83	+0.1	220/281/361	141	294	15	13	29%	7%	80	-0.1	205/253/387	182	264	22	15	31%	6%	75	-0.2
●Isaac Paredes 2019 · AA	20	44→51	44→60	48→40	46	219/281/339	120	257	11	3	20%	6%	76	-0.4	230/298/336	106	267	10	4	17%	8%	81	-0.1	245/350/445	200	259	26	1	17%	11%	124	+2.8
●Sean Rodríguez 2006 · A	21	43→49	45→60	49→50	52	213/296/343	130	256	12	15	22%	10%	82	+0.0	230/299/393	163	295	19	11	27%	7%	95	+1.0	234/307/425	191	291	23	12	27%	7%	102	+1.1
✕Luis Torres 2023 · A	19	51	50→60	45→50	41	254/302/415	161	312	16	9	24%	5%	101	+1.4	215/280/315	100	345	8	5	37%	7%	70	-0.9	183/261/256	73	332	4	0	42%	8%	46	-0.6
✕Francisco Murillo 2007 · A	20	42	47→50	49→50	43	213/279/346	134	292	15	8	32%	8%	76	-0.4	199/260/320	121	303	12	6	36%	7%	63	-1.3	150/210/278	128	229	14	3	40%	6%	34	-1.2
●Trevor Story 2013 · A	20	41→51	46→65	53→55	42	207/269/342	135	284	12	10	31%	7%	72	-0.7	194/255/330	136	303	13	15	38%	7%	64	-1.3	271/338/502	231	331	28	25	26%	8%	132	+3.2
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	39	43→45	42→50	48	193/294/300	106	278	11	10	32%	10%	73	-0.6	183/264/287	104	286	10	6	37%	8%	58	-1.7	153/236/254	101	237	11	2	38%	9%	40	-0.9
✕Oliver Carrillo 2023 · A	21	46→28	52→55	53→45	45	230/307/398	167	321	19	7	33%	9%	99	+1.3	200/303/344	144	307	17	4	37%	11%	86	+0.3	168/276/295	127	266	16	3	40%	11%	65	-0.6
✕Jeter Downs 2018 · A	20	42→40	43→50	47→55	47	208/276/316	107	257	11	9	23%	7%	68	-1.0	211/277/351	140	270	15	17	27%	7%	78	-0.3	171/263/306	134	238	15	26	33%	8%	61	-0.7
●Wil Myers 2011 · A	20	51→52	47→60	47→55	49	249/320/394	145	317	14	8	25%	9%	103	+1.5	241/304/396	155	312	17	8	27%	8%	97	+1.1	249/328/454	205	308	25	22	26%	10%	116	+2.4
✕Austin Hedges 2013 · A	20	45→40	43→60	45	42	221/270/333	111	270	10	12	22%	5%	70	-0.9	212/257/309	97	267	8	7	23%	5%	59	-1.7	227/269/410	183	271	25	4	26%	5%	84	+0.1
●Mike Moustakas 2009 · A	20	43→53	49→65	46→45	43	221/268/364	143	257	17	6	22%	5%	76	-0.4	231/267/388	157	265	19	5	21%	4%	82	-0.0	259/321/497	238	260	33	2	16%	7%	122	+2.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps