Jesus Oliveira
P
ACL Royals
Age 21
RHP
6'0" / 160 lbs
ROK
2026 ROS PROJECTION29 act + 13 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 104
ERA4.58
FIP4.58
K%22.4%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%12.4%
ROS IP13
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 42 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Royals Blue | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 8.3% | 33.3% | -25.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 6.62 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Royals Blue | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 8.3% | 33.3% | -25.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 6.85 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Royals Ventura | 11 | 0 | 22 | 96 | 17 | 18 | 2 | 0% | 2.0 | 12.0% | 23.4% | -11.4% | 3.0% | 4.91 | 6.67 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Royals Ventura | 11 | 0 | 22 | 96 | 17 | 18 | 2 | 0% | 2.0 | 17.7% | 18.8% | -1.0% | 2.1% | 4.91 | 5.19 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | ACL Royals | 12 | 0 | 21 | 96 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0% | 1.7 | 11.3% | 14.3% | -3.0% | 8.3% | 7.40 | 8.51 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | ACL Royals | 12 | 0 | 21 | 96 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0% | 1.7 | 16.7% | 11.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.40 | 6.29 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | ROK | ACL Royals | 12 | 2 | 29 | 137 | 45 | 23 | 4 | 17% | 2.4 | 22.3% | 21.0% | 1.4% | 4.1% | 6.75 | 6.12 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | KC | 12 | 0 | 13 | 53 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 3.1% | 4.58 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | KC | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.4% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 3.1% | 4.58 | 4.58 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | KC | — | — | 42 | 190 | 57 | 28 | 6 | — | — | 29.9% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 3.0% | 6.10 | 5.65 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | KC | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 3.1% | 4.44 | 4.36 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | KC | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 3.1% | 4.44 | 4.36 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 3.1% | 4.44 | 3.98 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 3.1% | 4.44 | 3.98 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 37 | 2 | 75 | 341 | 54 | 69 | 16 | 5% | 2.0 | 15.8% | 20.2% | -4.4% | 4.8% | 6.15 | 6.96 | -1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 99 | 5 | 200 | 913 | 145 | 185 | 44 | 5% | 2.0 | 15.8% | 20.2% | -4.4% | 4.8% | 6.15 | 6.96 | -3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jesus Oliveira (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.58 | 22.4% | 10.0% | 3.1% | — | 4.36 | 23.4% | 14.1% | 20 | -0.22 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zurak R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 92 |
| Chris Gau R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 87 |
| Addison Russ R 2027 · 3.90 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.90 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .324 | 3.02 | 25.6% | 17.5% | 121 | -0.88 | 2.96 | 194 | 87 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 87 |
| Sandy Lugo R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.86 | 20.7% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .352 | 3.94 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 119 | +0.08 | 3.28 | 146 | 85 |
| Danny Dopico R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.87 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .333 | 3.98 | 22.8% | 8.1% | 173 | +0.11 | 3.00 | 318 | 85 |
| Heath Holder R 2028 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 84 |
| Luis Romero R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 84 |
| Gerlin Rosario R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.79 | 20.3% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .294 | 4.57 | 18.7% | 6.2% | 139 | +0.78 | 2.91 | 233 | 84 |
| Nick Lockhart R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.65 | 22.0% | 9.9% | 3.9% | .275 | 4.67 | 16.1% | 5.5% | 43 | +0.02 | 4.65 | 140 | 83 |
| Owen Holt R 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .258 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 107 | +0.63 | 3.89 | 145 | 83 |
| David Garner R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.6% | .282 | 4.65 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 98 | +0.71 | 3.94 | 154 | 83 |
| Jake Elliott R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.82 | 19.2% | 7.1% | 2.6% | .353 | 3.81 | 18.1% | 10.0% | 202 | -0.01 | 3.10 | 354 | 83 |
| Reece Karalus R 2027 · 4.74 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.74 | 18.5% | 8.6% | 3.8% | .298 | 4.94 | 14.8% | 4.1% | 103 | +0.20 | 4.74 | 149 | 83 |
| Tyler Bray R 2028 · 4.08 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.08 | 22.3% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .356 | 3.17 | 17.9% | 7.6% | 114 | -0.91 | 2.81 | 152 | 82 |
| Sean Boyle R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.70 | 21.3% | 7.8% | 4.4% | .342 | 2.85 | 22.6% | 15.3% | 86 | -1.85 | 2.85 | 496 | 82 |
| Justin Meis R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.80 | 25.6% | 13.6% | 2.1% | .300 | 5.11 | 18.2% | 5.5% | 261 | +1.31 | 3.80 | 385 | 82 |
| Jeremy Beasley R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.71 | 19.5% | 11.6% | 3.3% | .273 | 4.08 | 17.7% | 8.7% | 234 | -0.63 | 3.17 | 337 | 82 |
| Jeff Bain R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.94 | 19.7% | 6.7% | 3.0% | .339 | 4.13 | 19.1% | 10.7% | 274 | +0.19 | 3.37 | 475 | 82 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2028 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.21 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | .245 | 4.19 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 142 | 82 |