Eli Lovich — OGILVIE

Eli LovichOF Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 20 L/L 6'4" / 185 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION308 act + 205 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†45

AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .251 / .286

PA205

HR4

SB5

K%37

BB%8

BABIP275

ISO108

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.9M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	19	A	2 teams	—	300	283	47	5	2	3	15	136	2	18	4	166	213	230	443	64	306	45	5	199	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	2 teams	—	300	271	63	7	3	4	27	88	2	18	4	232	307	325	631	92	330	29	9	289	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	CHC	—	308	273	38	8	1	6	29	145	4	11	2	139	232	242	474	103	260	47	9	221	27	-25	+1	+0	-2	+9	-1.7
YTD	20	A	CHC	—	308	256	52	12	2	8	46	102	4	11	2	203	333	359	693	156	299	33	15	316	100	+0	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.9
ROS	20	A	CHC	0%	205	185	33	6	1	4	16	77	2	5	1	178	251	286	537	108	272	37	8	245	45	-13	+1	-1	-1	+6	-0.9
ROS	20	MLB	CHC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		274	—	—	238	41	—	—	-0	-0	—	—
FULL	20	A	CHC	—	308	274	38	8	1	6	29	145	4	11	2	139	232	241	473	102	258	47	9	221	27	-25	+1	+0	-2	+9	-1.7
TOT	20	A	CHC	—	513	458	71	14	2	10	45	222	6	16	3	155	240	260	499	105	267	43	9	230	35	-38	+2	-1	-3	+15	-2.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	CHC	34%	567	510	98	19	3	14	46	201	6	9	2	192	267	324	590	131	279	35	8	266	62	-25	+1	-4	-3	+16	-1.5
2028	22	MLB	CHC	48%	582	523	105	20	3	17	48	199	6	9	2	201	276	348	624	147	282	34	8	278	71	-19	+1	-4	-3	+16	-0.9
2029	23	MLB	CHC	54%	587	527	108	20	3	18	49	196	6	9	2	205	280	357	637	152	283	33	8	287	78	-15	+1	-4	-4	+17	-0.5
2030	24	MLB	CHC	55%	586	525	109	20	3	19	50	193	6	8	2	208	284	366	650	158	285	33	9	292	82	-12	+1	-4	-4	+17	-0.2
2031	25	MLB	CHC	56%	581	520	110	20	3	20	50	190	6	8	2	212	288	377	665	165	285	33	9	294	84	-11	+1	-4	-3	+16	-0.1
2032	26	MLB	CHC	56%	580	519	109	20	3	20	50	190	6	8	2	210	287	376	663	166	285	33	9	296	85	-10	+1	-4	-3	+16	-0.0
2033	27	MLB	CHC	55%	578	517	109	20	3	20	50	190	6	8	2	211	288	377	665	166	285	33	9	296	85	-10	+1	-4	-3	+16	-0.0
2027	21	MLB	CHC	34%	195	175	34	7	1	5	16	69	2	3	1	194	269	331	601	137	280	35	8	260	57	-9	+0	-1	-1	+6	-0.6
2028	22	MLB	CHC	48%	282	254	51	10	1	8	23	96	3	4	1	201	275	343	618	142	283	34	8	272	66	-11	+0	-2	-2	+8	-0.6
2029	23	MLB	CHC	54%	318	285	59	11	2	10	27	106	3	5	1	207	283	365	647	158	285	33	8	280	73	-10	+1	-2	-2	+9	-0.4
2030	24	MLB	CHC	55%	325	291	61	11	2	11	28	107	3	5	1	210	286	375	660	165	286	33	9	286	77	-9	+1	-2	-2	+9	-0.3
2031	25	MLB	CHC	56%	325	291	61	11	2	11	28	107	3	5	1	210	286	375	660	165	286	33	9	288	79	-8	+1	-2	-2	+9	-0.2
2032	26	MLB	CHC	56%	326	291	61	11	2	11	28	107	4	4	1	210	288	375	662	165	286	33	9	290	80	-7	+0	-2	-2	+9	-0.2
2033	27	MLB	CHC	55%	320	286	61	11	2	11	28	105	3	4	1	213	290	381	671	168	286	33	9	290	80	-7	+0	-2	-2	+9	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2091	1874	388	72	12	67	178	697	21	30	7	207	283	366	649	158	286	33	9	282	74	-61	+3	-14	-13	+59	-2.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	121	22	4	21	55	217	7	9	2	208	284	367	651	160	287	33	8	282	74	-19	+1	-4	-4	+18	-0.8
Career	—			—	4566	4109	828	150	24	135	374	1572	46	82	19	201	276	348	624	147	286	34	8	279	72	-145	+9	-29	-27	+129	-6.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	117	21	3	19	53	224	7	12	3	200	274	344	618	144	284	34	8	279	72	-21	+1	-4	-4	+18	-0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	19	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	200	182	39	2	2	2	18	68	0	8	1	214	285	280	565	66	330	34	9	262	59	-9	+1	—	—	+6	-0.3
2025	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	100	89	24	5	1	2	9	20	2	10	3	270	350	416	766	146	328	20	9	344	122	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	6	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
	/162	664	21	5	238	305	421	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,411	73	36	207	278	358	-14	-20	-0.6	0.0
	/162	664	20	10	207	278	358	-4.0	-5.5	-0.2	pk7: 1
#6Domonic Brownlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,748 PA	6	1,748	54	23	246	305	405	-19	-39	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	21	9	246	305	405	-7.1	-14.7	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Eli Lovich (OGILVIE)	20	20→40	30→55	40	50	155/240/260	105	267	10	16	43%	9%	35	-2.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shed Long Jr. 2016 · A	20	42→47	42→50	43→50	42	210/262/309	99	277	9	6	27%	6%	56	-1.3	229/287/360	131	315	13	11	30%	7%	80	+0.4	233/295/385	151	314	17	11	30%	7%	87	+0.6
✕Iverson Leonardo 2022 · A	20	41	45→50	47→50	41	200/276/327	127	305	11	9	36%	8%	68	-0.5	188/268/292	104	312	9	8	39%	8%	56	-1.3	154/245/248	94	260	8	8	40%	9%	34	-0.7
✕Wilmer Oberto 2013 · A	20	41	42→50	43→45	46	202/280/307	105	255	10	7	24%	7%	65	-0.7	209/267/324	115	282	11	4	28%	6%	63	-0.9	200/250/321	121	271	12	0	30%	5%	52	-0.5
✕Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	35→45	42→55	45→50	44	176/254/278	102	265	9	7	35%	9%	46	-2.0	196/287/331	135	277	14	9	32%	11%	73	-0.1	224/298/396	172	291	21	8	29%	9%	92	+0.9
✕Jon Waltenbury 2008 · A	20	41	40→55	45→40	43	201/266/292	91	286	8	5	31%	7%	54	-1.4	218/268/325	107	288	9	3	26%	6%	63	-0.9	216/265/321	105	281	9	1	26%	6%	56	-0.8
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2019 · A	20	39→44	42→55	49→45	45	192/258/305	112	251	9	7	27%	7%	54	-1.4	191/244/308	117	258	13	7	30%	6%	49	-1.8	220/285/398	178	263	24	8	26%	8%	87	+0.7
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→49	41→45	47→55	46	196/269/296	99	264	8	11	28%	8%	56	-1.3	205/280/294	89	283	5	16	27%	8%	59	-1.1	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Angel Ortiz 2022 · A	19	41	41→50	46→45	44	205/260/295	90	268	9	9	27%	7%	51	-1.7	207/258/303	96	281	7	7	27%	6%	53	-1.5	221/277/353	132	285	12	9	26%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Herman Armas 2007 · A	20	41	40→45	47→50	40	198/265/294	96	288	7	11	32%	6%	54	-1.4	218/287/329	111	286	11	9	26%	7%	72	-0.2	218/293/335	117	266	14	9	23%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	39	43→45	42→50	48	193/294/300	106	278	11	10	32%	10%	69	-0.4	183/263/286	103	286	10	6	37%	8%	52	-1.6	153/236/254	101	237	11	2	38%	9%	32	-0.9
✕Jose Quero 2019 · A	20	38	39→40	44→30	44	188/251/267	79	246	7	3	26%	7%	40	-2.4	205/261/315	110	263	10	6	25%	7%	57	-1.2	196/247/344	148	225	15	4	21%	6%	63	-0.2
✕Imanol Vargas 2019 · A	21	42→44	40→50	45	51	200/293/295	95	288	7	9	30%	11%	67	-0.5	207/285/347	140	314	15	7	36%	9%	76	+0.1	205/290/360	154	326	18	2	39%	10%	79	+0.2
●Jack Suwinski 2018 · A	20	38→42	39→60	44→50	37	186/243/266	79	286	6	5	36%	6%	37	-2.7	190/249/297	107	285	10	5	35%	7%	48	-1.9	208/305/416	207	281	28	10	34%	11%	100	+1.5
●Parker Meadows 2021 · A	21	40→47	42→60	46→55	43	200/256/299	99	268	10	9	28%	7%	51	-1.7	204/265/350	146	271	17	13	30%	7%	69	-0.4	226/293/417	190	275	23	21	26%	8%	95	+1.4
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Cal Mitchell 2019 · A	20	45→51	40→50	40→50	39	215/262/312	97	298	7	4	29%	5%	56	-1.3	211/254/324	113	304	12	4	33%	5%	56	-1.3	234/282/366	132	296	14	9	25%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Leandro Pineda 2022 · A	20	35→39	37→45	43→45	46	171/257/239	68	251	4	7	31%	9%	37	-2.6	189/260/297	108	280	9	5	33%	7%	53	-1.5	202/271/322	120	261	12	6	26%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	39→45	47→45	45	181/267/268	87	282	7	6	36%	9%	49	-1.8	190/265/267	77	299	5	6	35%	9%	47	-1.9	170/253/254	84	253	7	2	33%	9%	37	-1.0
✕Michaelangel Trinidad 2009 · A	20	42	41→60	45→40	45	201/287/303	102	284	9	5	30%	8%	66	-0.6	218/274/380	162	265	20	4	25%	6%	81	+0.4	222/283/422	200	249	29	0	25%	6%	98	+0.6
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→47	40→55	45→50	44	202/274/296	94	295	7	8	32%	8%	59	-1.1	228/295/379	151	303	17	5	29%	7%	89	+1.0	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6