Gregory Duran — OGILVIE

Gregory DuranRF Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 23 L/R 6'3" / 201 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 99 proj PA

wRC+†36

AVG/OBP/SLG.160 / .232 / .271

PA99

HR2

K%34

BB%7

ISO112

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	36	32	6	1	1	0	3	19	1	1	0	188	278	281	559	94	462	53	8	208	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	36	30	8	1	1	0	5	13	1	1	0	267	389	367	756	100	471	36	14	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	143	126	16	5	1	1	15	68	2	2	3	127	231	206	437	79	263	48	10	200	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	143	117	22	6	1	3	24	49	2	2	3	188	336	333	669	145	292	34	17	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	217	189	27	8	0	2	22	95	4	2	2	143	247	217	463	74	266	44	10	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	217	179	33	11	0	3	32	63	4	2	2	184	321	296	617	112	261	29	15	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	2 teams	—	151	136	14	1	1	2	9	80	3	0	0	103	176	169	345	66	211	53	6	164	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	2 teams	—	151	131	24	2	2	3	14	55	3	0	0	183	277	298	575	115	276	36	9	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	MIN	—	99	91	14	3	0	2	7	34	1	2	0	154	222	253	475	99	226	34	7	232	36	-7	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	MIN	30%	149	135	24	4	1	4	11	49	2	2	1	178	250	311	561	133	235	33	7	245	45	-9	+0	+0	-2	+4	-0.7
2027	24	MLB	MIN	30%	45	41	6	1	0	1	3	15	1	1	0	146	222	244	466	98	235	33	7	237	39	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	45	41	6	1	0	1	3	15	1	1	0	146	222	244	466	98	200	33	7	237	39	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	86	14	0	14	43	217	14	14	0	145	220	240	460	95	199	33	7	237	39	-45	+3	+0	-7	+18	-3.1
Career	—			—	795	709	101	22	4	11	67	345	13	9	6	142	229	231	461	89	251	43	8	211	20	-72	-1	+0	-9	+23	-6.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	82	18	3	9	55	282	11	7	5	141	229	229	459	88	248	43	8	211	20	-59	-1	+0	-7	+18	-4.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	36	30	8	1	1	0	5	13	1	1	0	267	389	367	756	100	471	36	14	349	125	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	143	117	22	6	1	3	24	49	2	2	3	188	336	333	669	145	292	34	17	312	97	-0	-1	—	—	+4	0.3
2023	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	217	179	33	11	0	3	32	63	4	2	2	184	321	296	617	112	261	29	15	290	80	-5	-0	—	—	+6	0.1
2024	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	108	98	23	2	2	3	7	42	2	0	0	235	299	388	687	153	370	39	6	304	91	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	21	ROK	FCL Twins	—	43	33	1	0	0	0	7	13	1	0	0	30	220	30	250		45	30	16	152	-26	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gregory Duran (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	160/232/271	111	226	2	2	34%	7%	36	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brandon Dulin 2016 · A	23	37→30	44→45	49→40	36	191/241/311	120	263	12	5	32%	4%	48	-1.9	200/250/321	121	284	15	3	34%	5%	55	-1.4	189/240/311	122	264	17	0	35%	5%	45	-1.3
✕Francisco Del Valle 2022 · A	23	35→27	46→45	44→40	42	182/255/308	126	257	13	5	34%	8%	54	-1.4	201/255/310	109	278	11	7	30%	6%	53	-1.5	164/184/226	62	212	7	4	27%	2%	-5	-0.9
✕Tyler Frost 2019 · A	23	36→32	47→50	48→50	38	189/248/323	134	278	14	6	36%	7%	55	-1.4	185/241/292	107	322	11	8	43%	6%	43	-2.2	157/213/246	90	292	9	9	47%	5%	18	-3.1
✕Leandro Emiliani 2023 · A	23	35	44→45	48→30	37	181/242/296	115	280	12	3	38%	6%	45	-2.1	192/250/291	99	312	9	4	39%	6%	46	-2.0	162/220/236	74	276	5	0	41%	6%	20	-1.6
✕Michel Triana 2023 · A	23	35→26	45→50	49→50	36	179/246/303	123	286	13	9	40%	6%	49	-1.8	178/241/281	103	288	9	9	39%	7%	40	-2.4	101/165/157	56	173	2	6	41%	7%	-25	-1.9
✕Lance Ray 2013 · A	23	37	45	45	45	191/261/313	122	256	13	6	30%	8%	58	-1.2	198/263/314	116	276	10	6	30%	7%	59	-1.1	148/219/198	51	212	4	5	30%	8%	7	-1.0
✕Seamus Curran 2021 · A	23	36→30	49→50	45→30	37	195/247/332	137	277	18	3	36%	6%	56	-1.3	202/275/315	113	328	11	7	38%	9%	64	-0.8	142/246/236	94	251	9	3	43%	12%	30	-0.7
✕Pat Porter 2017 · A	24	31	44→45	47→45	37	165/231/277	113	250	12	7	38%	6%	36	-2.7	189/250/287	98	292	9	8	36%	6%	46	-2.0	170/232/237	67	267	6	5	37%	6%	23	-1.3
✕Seth Gray 2022 · A	24	36	43→45	49→50	38	178/256/281	102	283	11	6	38%	7%	48	-1.9	195/273/305	110	331	12	11	42%	8%	61	-1.0	188/271/297	108	330	13	14	43%	8%	55	-1.0
✕Miguel Aparicio 2021 · A	22	38→35	43→50	51→50	37	193/232/306	113	253	9	8	28%	4%	42	-2.3	206/266/364	158	283	19	8	33%	6%	73	-0.1	182/251/357	175	240	24	6	35%	6%	62	-0.3
✕Cam Gibson 2017 · A	23	36→41	43→45	53→55	40	184/244/291	108	267	11	17	34%	7%	44	-2.1	196/257/315	119	271	11	17	30%	7%	56	-1.3	191/254/304	113	261	10	19	29%	7%	49	-1.4
✕Stefan Sabol 2015 · A	23	33→40	45	50	42	174/243/297	123	259	12	12	36%	8%	46	-2.0	194/263/293	99	307	9	9	37%	8%	53	-1.5	188/261/274	87	300	8	7	37%	8%	45	-1.2
✕D.J. Wilson 2019 · A	22	36	42→55	50	39	182/240/287	105	275	9	13	36%	7%	41	-2.3	183/249/284	101	305	9	14	40%	7%	44	-2.1	110/193/203	93	185	13	21	46%	8%	1	-1.4
✕Mike Peabody 2023 · A	24	37	47→45	47→50	37	190/259/319	130	282	15	12	37%	6%	59	-1.1	199/266/320	121	289	13	12	34%	6%	62	-0.9	177/247/292	116	250	14	12	34%	5%	43	-1.0
✕Taylor Snyder 2018 · A	23	35→31	43→50	47→50	33	181/224/287	106	270	10	13	36%	4%	34	-2.8	185/234/295	110	296	11	12	39%	5%	40	-2.4	179/230/328	148	260	18	12	38%	5%	47	-1.3
✕Kevonte Mitchell 2019 · A	23	37→38	43→45	48→50	37	190/241/302	112	274	11	10	34%	6%	46	-2.0	195/252/322	127	288	15	8	36%	6%	56	-1.3	171/232/305	134	240	19	7	37%	6%	42	-1.5
✕Mitchell Hansen 2018 · A	22	40→37	44→45	51→50	38	201/248/315	115	282	11	10	32%	6%	52	-1.6	195/242/297	102	293	8	9	34%	5%	44	-2.1	159/200/249	89	247	6	8	37%	4%	11	-1.9
✕Nick Decker 2023 · A	23	35	44→45	49→50	39	170/253/281	111	303	12	11	45%	9%	46	-2.0	165/237/285	120	313	13	13	48%	7%	40	-2.4	131/202/256	125	245	14	14	50%	7%	16	-1.5
✕Conor Bierfeldt 2015 · A	24	34→30	45→50	49→30	38	179/232/306	127	251	12	4	34%	6%	43	-2.2	185/242/325	140	253	15	3	32%	6%	53	-1.5	171/231/317	146	225	16	1	32%	6%	43	-1.5
✕Logan Farrar 2019 · A	24	39→34	46→45	49→45	43	203/261/330	127	255	14	3	26%	6%	62	-0.9	199/264/288	89	282	8	6	30%	7%	52	-1.6	172/250/210	39	260	3	6	32%	9%	25	-1.6