Raymon Rosario — OGILVIE

Raymon Rosario P FCL Phillies

Age 22 LHP 6'2" / 198 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 15 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124132vR 140

ERA5.64

FIP5.64

K%18.1%

BB%16.5%

K-BB%1.6%

ROS IP15

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	5	1	6	32	5	12	0	20%	1.2	15.6%	37.5%	-21.9%	0.0%	7.50	6.53	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	5	1	6	32	5	12	0	20%	1.2	15.6%	37.5%	-21.9%	0.0%	7.50	7.43	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	12	12	46	215	52	23	2	100%	3.9	16.4%	13.4%	3.1%	1.4%	5.44	4.19	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	12	12	46	215	52	23	2	100%	3.9	16.4%	13.4%	3.1%	1.4%	5.44	4.19	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	12	12	46	215	52	23	2	100%	3.9	24.2%	10.7%	13.5%	0.9%	5.44	2.91	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	1	30	146	27	18	0	6%	1.7	13.0%	17.0%	-4.1%	0.0%	7.80	4.16	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	1	30	146	27	18	0	6%	1.7	13.0%	17.0%	-4.1%	0.0%	7.80	4.16	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	1	30	146	27	18	0	6%	1.7	18.5%	12.3%	6.2%	0.0%	7.80	3.10	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	15	0	24	118	17	19	2	0%	1.6	9.8%	20.1%	-10.3%	2.4%	7.88	6.12	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	15	0	24	118	17	19	2	0%	1.6	9.8%	20.1%	-10.3%	2.4%	7.88	6.12	—
2026	21	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	15	0	24	118	17	19	2	0%	1.6	14.4%	16.1%	-1.7%	1.7%	7.88	5.14	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	PHI	14	0	15	63	11	10	2	0%	1.1	18.1%	16.5%	1.6%	2.9%	5.64	5.64	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	PHI	27	0	28	118	23	17	3	0%	1.0	19.8%	14.1%	5.6%	2.9%	5.31	5.18	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	PHI	13	0	14	59	12	8	2	0%	1.1	19.8%	14.1%	5.6%	2.9%	5.31	5.18	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	14	58	12	8	2	0%	1.1	19.8%	14.1%	5.6%	2.9%	5.31	4.80	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	174	116	29	0%	1.1	19.8%	14.1%	5.6%	2.9%	5.31	4.80	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		50	14	106	511	71	89	6	28%	2.1	13.9%	17.5%	-3.6%	1.1%	6.77	4.77	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		94	26	200	961	133	168	11	28%	2.1	13.9%	17.5%	-3.6%	1.1%	6.77	4.77	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Raymon Rosario (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.64	18.1%	16.5%	2.9%	—	5.18	19.8%	5.6%	28	-0.46	—	—	—
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	85
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	80
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	79
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	79
Jack O'Loughlin L 2022 · 4.83 FIP	22	SW	4.83	17.0%	13.7%	2.6%	.269	4.76	17.5%	7.2%	239	-0.07	3.78	348	79
Felix Polanco L 2022 · 5.19 FIP	22	SU	5.19	18.7%	19.9%	2.1%	.290	3.68	18.8%	12.8%	27	-1.51	3.68	105	78
Max Green L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	22	SU	4.87	15.7%	13.3%	2.6%	.352	4.41	13.9%	6.6%	86	-0.46	4.19	169	78
Colby Langford L 2024 · 5.34 FIP	22	SW	5.34	21.6%	22.5%	2.2%	.273	6.01	22.2%	-1.1%	110	+0.67	4.92	168	77
Davis Schwab L 2019 · 4.46 FIP	22	SU	4.46	13.6%	13.8%	1.4%	.368	5.22	18.9%	-0.8%	92	+0.76	4.46	114	77
Trevor Seidenberger L 2015 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	18.1%	14.3%	2.3%	.248	6.29	13.1%	-1.8%	52	+1.65	4.64	101	76
Johan Simon L 2023 · 6.17 FIP	22	SU	6.17	14.6%	15.4%	4.3%	.341	3.96	19.6%	6.5%	115	-2.21	3.45	178	76
Max Herrmann L 2017 · 5.09 FIP	24	SU	5.09	15.0%	17.9%	1.8%	.333	4.37	12.2%	0.8%	152	-0.72	3.93	168	76
Graeme Stinson L 2021 · 5.66 FIP	23	SU	5.66	12.6%	12.6%	3.7%	.266	4.14	21.4%	8.7%	101	-1.52	3.56	146	76
Bryan King L 2021 · 5.20 FIP	24	SU	5.20	17.4%	17.8%	2.4%	.317	2.82	24.4%	14.9%	77	-2.38	2.41	244	75
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	75
Ty Madrigal L 2021 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	19.3%	15.7%	2.0%	.329	5.75	17.6%	2.4%	49	+1.19	4.56	107	75
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	75
Ignacio Briceno L 2023 · 4.54 FIP	22	SU	4.54	17.3%	12.7%	2.4%	.270	3.28	14.7%	3.5%	76	-1.26	2.39	156	75
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	75
Alex Winkelman L 2016 · 4.44 FIP	22	SW	4.44	15.8%	14.7%	1.5%	.344	3.77	18.8%	6.5%	181	-0.67	3.40	246	75