Orlando Pacheco — OGILVIE

Orlando PachecoC DSL LAD Bautista

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 51 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .292 / .275

PA51

HR0

K%30

BB%9

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.9M
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$15M	+$13M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	48	38	6	2	0	0	6	12	3	2	1	158	319	211	530	53	222	25	12	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	48	34	8	3	0	0	10	8	3	2	1	235	447	324	770	88	296	17	21	366	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	72	54	8	3	0	0	10	26	7	1	0	148	352	204	556	56	286	36	14	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	72	46	9	3	0	0	18	18	7	1	0	196	479	261	740	65	321	25	25	375	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	LAD	—	51	45	8	2	0	0	5	15	1	1	0	178	275	222	497	44	290	29	10	267	63	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	LAD	34%	114	100	20	4	1	1	10	33	3	1	0	200	292	290	582	90	291	29	9	276	70	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2028	23	MLB	LAD	48%	249	218	46	10	1	3	23	71	6	3	1	211	304	307	611	96	292	29	9	282	74	-7	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.5
2029	24	MLB	LAD	53%	348	305	66	14	2	5	32	97	8	4	1	216	307	325	632	108	293	28	9	287	78	-9	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.8
2030	25	MLB	LAD	55%	408	358	77	16	2	6	37	114	10	5	1	215	306	321	627	106	293	28	9	289	79	-9	+1	+0	+7	+12	1.0
2031	26	MLB	LAD	56%	446	391	84	18	2	7	41	124	11	6	1	215	307	325	632	110	293	28	9	290	80	-10	+1	+0	+8	+13	1.2
2032	27	MLB	LAD	55%	465	408	88	18	2	8	43	130	11	6	2	216	307	328	636	113	293	28	9	290	80	-10	+0	+0	+8	+13	1.2
2033	28	MLB	LAD	55%	472	414	88	18	2	8	44	132	11	6	1	213	305	324	629	111	292	28	9	289	79	-11	+1	-1	+8	+13	1.1
2034	29	MLB	LAD	53%	470	412	87	18	2	7	44	133	11	5	1	211	304	316	620	104	292	28	9	287	78	-12	+1	-1	+8	+13	0.9
2035	30	MLB	LAD	53%	464	406	86	18	2	7	44	132	11	5	1	212	306	318	624	106	290	28	9	284	76	-13	+1	-2	+8	+13	0.7
2027	22	MLB	LAD	34%	39	34	6	1	0	0	4	11	1	0	0	176	282	206	488	29	287	28	10	254	53	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	23	MLB	LAD	48%	121	106	23	5	1	2	11	34	3	2	0	217	308	340	648	123	288	28	9	261	58	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2029	24	MLB	LAD	53%	183	160	34	7	1	3	17	51	4	2	1	212	304	325	629	113	289	28	9	266	62	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2030	25	MLB	LAD	55%	223	196	41	9	1	3	20	62	5	3	1	209	299	311	610	102	289	28	9	269	64	-9	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.1
2031	26	MLB	LAD	56%	248	217	47	10	1	4	23	69	6	3	1	217	309	327	636	111	289	28	9	269	64	-10	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.2
2032	27	MLB	LAD	55%	256	224	47	10	1	4	24	71	6	3	1	210	303	317	620	107	289	28	9	270	64	-10	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.2
2033	28	MLB	LAD	55%	258	226	48	10	1	4	24	72	6	3	1	212	305	319	623	106	289	28	9	269	64	-11	+0	-0	+5	+7	0.1
2034	29	MLB	LAD	53%	251	219	46	9	1	4	24	71	6	3	1	210	305	315	620	105	288	28	10	267	62	-11	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.0
2035	30	MLB	LAD	53%	244	213	45	9	1	4	23	70	6	2	1	211	306	319	625	108	286	29	9	264	60	-11	+0	-1	+4	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1823	1595	337	70	8	28	170	511	43	21	7	211	304	318	622	107	290	28	9	267	62	-77	+1	-2	+33	+52	0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	120	25	3	10	61	182	15	7	2	211	304	318	622	107	289	28	9	267	62	-28	+1	-1	+12	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	3607	3149	664	141	16	52	339	1019	93	45	10	211	306	315	621	104	292	28	9	286	77	-93	+5	-4	+64	+102	7.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	567	119	25	3	9	61	184	17	8	2	210	305	312	618	102	292	28	9	286	77	-17	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	48	34	8	3	0	0	10	8	3	2	1	235	447	324	770	88	296	17	21	366	138	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	19	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	72	46	9	3	0	0	18	18	7	1	0	196	479	261	740	65	321	25	25	375	145	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Austin Barneslast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,639 PA	8	1,639	35	22	225	325	344	+29	+59	12.4	12.5
	/162	664	14	9	225	325	344	+11.9	+23.8	5.0	pk7: 13
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	10	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#6Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#6Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	1,874	28	22	214	303	322	+33	+24	4.1	4.0
	/162	664	10	8	214	303	322	+11.9	+8.5	1.5	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Orlando Pacheco (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	197/292/275	78	290	0	1	30%	9%	63	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jakson Reetz 2017 · A	21	45→31	39→60	47→45	45	210/296/302	93	306	5	6	30%	8%	70	-0.3	199/275/297	98	295	9	5	33%	7%	59	-1.1	196/276/392	196	242	25	4	30%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Jeferson Morales 2021 · A	22	44→45	41→50	48→50	51	208/295/315	107	257	6	8	21%	9%	72	-0.2	200/283/336	136	266	14	9	29%	8%	74	-0.1	221/296/357	136	275	13	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Seth Conner 2013 · A	21	46	40	47→45	47	217/298/309	92	292	6	4	26%	8%	72	-0.2	196/258/263	67	279	4	4	29%	6%	43	-2.2	124/175/138	14	180	0	0	30%	5%	-28	-1.4
✕Ricardo Olivar 2023 · A	21	47→53	42→45	47→50	42	221/292/340	118	325	8	9	32%	7%	77	+0.1	226/304/344	118	318	11	9	30%	9%	84	+0.6	217/298/334	116	297	13	10	29%	9%	76	+0.0
✕Kervin Pichardo 2022 · A	20	44→41	40→45	49→45	51	202/310/301	99	309	6	8	33%	12%	76	+0.1	195/273/316	121	312	14	8	39%	8%	64	-0.8	191/257/314	122	294	17	8	39%	6%	52	-0.9
✕Ricardo Hurtado 2023 · A	20	43	36→45	47→40	54	196/312/270	74	246	3	7	19%	10%	71	-0.3	190/286/298	108	283	10	4	34%	9%	66	-0.6	174/281/288	113	266	12	2	36%	10%	59	-0.5
✕Oswaldo Linares 2023 · A	20	42	41→40	48→40	52	203/299/297	93	263	9	6	25%	10%	70	-0.3	188/285/268	80	281	7	4	32%	11%	57	-1.2	161/265/226	65	247	6	2	33%	11%	36	-1.0
✕Daniel Vellojin 2021 · A	21	45	39→45	47→45	51	215/298/306	91	267	6	8	21%	9%	71	-0.3	200/293/314	114	279	11	5	29%	11%	72	-0.2	179/275/290	111	249	12	4	31%	11%	56	-0.7
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2022 · A	22	48	40→55	47→40	48	231/310/327	96	292	7	7	22%	8%	82	+0.5	204/279/334	130	274	15	4	30%	7%	71	-0.3	186/269/361	175	235	26	0	33%	7%	79	+0.1
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	47→49	41→45	49→45	50	221/327/317	97	287	8	9	24%	9%	88	+0.9	227/313/341	114	287	11	7	24%	7%	88	+0.9	227/317/342	114	286	11	5	23%	7%	86	+0.4
✕Zack Short 2017 · A	22	49→38	37→50	51→45	52	226/315/303	77	307	3	12	25%	10%	78	+0.2	200/293/339	139	273	14	9	30%	11%	79	+0.3	186/284/331	145	255	15	8	31%	11%	70	-0.3
✕Sam McMillan 2019 · A	20	47	41→40	47→45	49	227/314/329	102	280	8	6	21%	8%	85	+0.7	215/317/292	77	291	4	7	25%	10%	77	+0.1	211/334/282	71	273	4	7	21%	12%	79	+0.1
✕Jacob Amaya 2021 · A	22	47→46	41→45	44→45	51	223/299/325	102	286	7	7	23%	9%	76	+0.1	209/276/333	124	269	14	6	26%	8%	69	-0.4	210/281/328	118	268	13	6	25%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Miguel Palma 2022 · A	20	43	44→45	47→40	49	207/309/323	116	287	11	9	29%	10%	82	+0.5	218/279/333	115	290	13	4	28%	7%	70	-0.3	214/272/318	104	285	12	2	28%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2022 · A	22	50→45	41→40	48→40	49	238/309/340	101	302	7	3	22%	8%	84	+0.6	219/281/313	94	296	8	4	27%	7%	66	-0.6	202/254/268	66	254	5	3	22%	5%	39	-0.7
✕Roberto Pérez 2010 · A	21	51→42	40→55	46→30	42	235/306/326	91	339	7	7	30%	7%	79	+0.3	201/286/284	83	289	4	3	29%	10%	60	-1.0	224/314/364	140	294	15	1	27%	11%	90	+0.4
✕Luis Alvarez 2011 · A	21	47	42→45	48→45	45	228/296/337	109	289	9	6	24%	7%	78	+0.2	219/274/328	109	275	10	5	24%	5%	66	-0.6	209/262/317	108	250	12	1	21%	4%	55	-0.3
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2016 · A	21	42	45→50	53→40	45	203/286/332	130	305	12	8	35%	9%	73	-0.1	196/255/319	123	274	14	4	32%	6%	56	-1.3	187/242/298	111	255	14	1	31%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Aaron McKeithan 2023 · A	23	45	41→40	45→40	44	215/291/309	94	292	8	4	28%	7%	69	-0.4	213/291/294	81	270	8	4	23%	7%	66	-0.6	205/291/269	63	262	7	0	23%	8%	57	-0.3
●Hunter Goodman 2022 · A	22	46→44	42→60	50→40	43	219/290/331	112	302	9	7	29%	7%	75	-0.0	208/261/404	196	274	26	4	34%	5%	82	+0.5	224/280/438	214	267	30	4	29%	6%	96	+1.1