Slade Caldwell

CF Hillsboro Hops

Age 21 L/L 5'9" / 182 lbs A+ HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2034

OGV OFP35OGV rank#544ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	A+/AARI	516	.260/.411/.369	3	25	84	—	.222/.339/.310
2026	20	A+ARI	465	.216/.364/.309	6	26	57	—	.180/.299/.256
2027PROJMLE	21	MLBARI	1	.194/.307/.276	0	0	67	-0.0
2028PROJ35% MLB	22	MLBARI	159	.202/.314/.301	2	5	75	-0.0
2029PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBARI	249	.208/.319/.320	4	7	82	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$3M2032Arb-2$5M2033Arb-3$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Chase%88

BB%84

Speed69

Z-Con%61

Whiff%58

wRC+37

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 14, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 82%

CompsHoy Park (age 21) · Dalton Kelly (age 21) · Isaiah Greene (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .307 / .276

PA1

HR0

K%33

BB%12

BABIP301

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$0M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2031	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-2	$5M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$7M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$6M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	19	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	300	244	58	16	1	0	47	76	6	12	4	238	374	311	685	74	339	25	16	322	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	216	163	48	13	2	3	44	62	7	13	6	294	463	454	917	160	455	29	20	413	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	465	375	81	13	2	6	75	129	12	26	7	216	364	309	673	93	311	28	16	318	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	19	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	300	258	54	15	1	0	33	102	6	12	4	209	313	275	588	66	332	34	11	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	216	176	42	11	2	2	31	86	7	13	6	239	374	358	732	119	432	40	14	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	465	395	71	11	2	5	55	174	12	26	7	180	299	256	554	76	295	37	12	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	516	434	96	26	3	2	64	188	13	25	10	221	339	309	647	88	379	36	12	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	516	407	106	29	3	3	91	138	13	25	10	260	411	369	780	108	381	27	18	360	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	465	395	71	11	2	5	55	174	12	26	7	180	299	256	554	76	304	37	12	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ RAW	Hillsboro Hops	—	465	375	81	13	2	6	75	129	12	26	7	216	364	309	673	93	311	28	16	318	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	516	434	96	26	3	2	64	188	13	25	10	221	339	309	647	88	374	36	12	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	465	395	71	11	2	5	55	174	12	26	7	180	299	256	554	76	295	37	12	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	19	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	516	434	96	26	3	2	64	188	13	25	10	221	339	309	647	88	374	36	12	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	465	395	71	11	2	5	55	174	12	26	7	180	299	256	554	76	295	37	12	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	575	490	92	19	2	5	68	190	12	17	5	187	302	264	565	76	290	33	12	267	67	-22	+1	-1	+2	+12	-0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	21	MLB CTX	ARI	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	194	307	276	583	82	301	0	0	274	67	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	ARI	35%	461	394	78	16	2	6	55	147	9	14	4	196	309	290	599	94	292	32	12	280	75	-13	+1	-0	+2	+10	-0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	ARI	49%	513	437	88	18	2	8	61	159	10	15	4	202	314	310	623	107	292	31	12	289	82	-11	+1	+0	+2	+11	0.3
2030	24	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	550	469	97	19	2	10	65	167	11	16	5	207	317	323	639	116	293	30	12	295	85	-9	+1	+1	+2	+12	0.7
2031	25	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	571	488	102	20	2	11	67	170	11	16	5	210	318	330	648	120	293	30	12	298	88	-8	+1	+2	+2	+12	1.0
2032	26	MLB MLE	ARI	56%	583	500	106	21	2	12	67	172	11	16	5	212	318	334	652	122	293	30	11	299	88	-8	+1	+2	+2	+13	1.0
2033	27	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	583	499	106	21	2	12	68	173	11	15	5	210	317	331	648	121	292	30	12	297	87	-9	+1	+2	+2	+13	1.0
2034	28	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	575	493	102	20	2	11	67	172	10	14	4	209	315	326	641	118	291	30	12	295	86	-10	+1	+2	+2	+12	0.8
2035	29	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	560	480	98	19	2	10	65	169	10	12	4	206	312	320	632	114	289	30	12	291	83	-11	+1	+1	+2	+12	0.5
2036	30	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	547	470	96	19	2	10	63	167	9	10	4	203	309	311	620	109	287	31	12	286	80	-13	+0	+0	+2	+12	0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	ARI	35%	159	136	28	6	1	2	19	51	3	5	1	202	314	301	615	99	302	32	12	286	75	-5	+1	-0	+1	+3	-0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	ARI	49%	249	213	45	10	1	4	29	77	5	7	2	208	319	320	638	112	303	31	12	295	82	-5	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	290	248	53	11	2	5	34	88	6	8	2	213	322	332	654	119	304	30	12	300	85	-5	+1	+1	+1	+6	0.4
2031	25	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	313	267	58	12	2	6	37	93	6	9	3	216	323	340	663	124	304	30	12	303	88	-5	+1	+1	+1	+7	0.5
2032	26	MLB CTX	ARI	56%	325	278	61	13	2	6	38	96	6	9	3	217	323	344	667	126	303	30	12	305	88	-4	+1	+1	+1	+7	0.6
2033	27	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	321	275	60	13	2	6	37	95	6	8	3	216	322	341	663	124	303	30	12	303	87	-5	+0	+1	+1	+7	0.5
2034	28	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	314	269	58	12	2	6	36	94	6	7	2	214	320	335	655	121	301	30	11	300	86	-5	+1	+1	+1	+7	0.4
2035	29	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	299	258	54	12	1	5	34	90	5	6	2	212	317	329	646	117	299	30	11	296	83	-6	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	287	247	51	11	1	5	33	87	5	5	2	208	313	320	633	112	297	30	11	292	80	-7	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2557	2191	468	100	14	45	297	771	48	64	20	214	321	334	654	120	305	30	12	299	82	-47	+5	+6	+9	+55	2.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	557	119	25	4	11	75	196	12	16	5	214	319	332	652	118	306	30	12	299	82	-12	+1	+2	+2	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	6134	5238	1074	217	24	99	722	1927	121	185	59	205	315	312	628	107	301	31	12	289	82	-102	+10	+10	+18	+112	5.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	555	114	23	3	10	77	204	13	20	6	205	316	312	628	106	302	31	12	289	82	-13	+1	+1	+2	+14	0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Hillsboro Hops · 465 PAwOBA .311 → .253 (−57)K% 27.7% → 37.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.74%	÷1.000	×1.350	—	—	37.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.91%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.042	11.77%
HBP% /PA	2.58%	—	×0.810	—	×1.042	2.18%
Singles /BIP	24.39%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.022	×1.042	23.64%
Doubles /BIP	5.28%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.022	×1.042	4.67%
Triples /BIP	0.81%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.022	×1.042	0.71%
Home runs /BIP	2.44%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×1.042	2.11%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.

Result: wOBA .311 → .253; ISO .093 → .075; BABIP .311 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Hillsboro Hops · 300 PAwOBA .316 → .270 (−47)K% 25.3% → 34.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.33%	÷1.002	×1.350	—	—	34.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.33%	÷1.044	×0.710	—	×1.050	10.95%
HBP% /PA	2.00%	—	×0.810	—	×1.050	1.70%
Singles /BIP	24.40%	÷1.012	×0.910	×1.036	×1.050	23.85%
Doubles /BIP	9.52%	÷0.908	×0.830	×1.036	×1.050	9.47%
Triples /BIP	0.60%	÷1.150	×0.820	×1.036	×1.050	0.46%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.968	×0.830	—	×1.050	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 102, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 100, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.

Result: wOBA .316 → .270; ISO .074 → .068; BABIP .339 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AVisalia Rawhide · 216 PAwOBA .405 → .325 (−80)K% 28.7% → 39.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.70%	÷0.983	×1.360	—	—	39.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.37%	÷1.012	×0.690	—	×1.045	14.51%
HBP% /PA	3.24%	—	×0.780	—	×1.045	2.64%
Singles /BIP	29.70%	÷1.027	×0.920	×1.045	×1.045	29.05%
Doubles /BIP	12.87%	÷1.005	×0.830	×1.045	×1.045	11.60%
Triples /BIP	1.98%	÷0.900	×0.910	×1.045	×1.045	2.19%
Home runs /BIP	2.97%	÷1.283	×0.800	—	×1.045	1.94%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 157, 1B 105, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 97, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.

Result: wOBA .405 → .325; ISO .160 → .125; BABIP .455 → .432. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Darren Lewis'90-'02 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,652 PA	7.0	4,652	27	247	239*	312*	319*	+0	+23	2.7	4.2
/162	664	4	35	+0.0	+3.3	0.4	pk7: 6
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Tony Gwynn Jr.last yr '14 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,749 PA	2.6	1,749	7	77	239	310	313	+1	+35	4.1	4.1
/162	664	3	29	+0.5	+13.1	1.6	pk7: 4
#4Ruben Rivera'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,818 PA	2.7	1,818	64	50	206*	292*	376*	-1	+20	4.0	4.0
/162	664	23	18	-0.3	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 4
#5Luis Matos'00-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,773 PA	2.7	1,773	30	72	245*	304*	365*	+1	+10	3.2	3.2
/162	664	11	27	+0.3	+3.9	1.2	pk7: 3
#6Chuck Carr'90-'97 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,914 PA	2.9	1,914	13	144	242*	306*	331*	+6	+20	2.6	2.6
/162	664	5	50	+2.1	+7.1	0.9	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.9	2,558	47	66	208	312	323	-15	+15	1.3	1.4
/162	664	12	17	-4.0	+4.0	0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Slade Caldwell (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	186/299/261	76	290	2	6	33%	12%	67	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→51	39→45	59→55	46	195/272/287	91	280	4	17	30%	9%	60	-1.6	220/296/307	87	294	6	17	25%	9%	74	-0.6	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Dalton Kelly 2016 · A	21	43→53	36→45	58→50	44	189/277/263	74	328	2	14	39%	10%	57	-1.8	237/307/343	106	333	6	12	28%	8%	86	+0.3	238/320/344	106	328	8	13	27%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Isaiah Greene 2023 · A	21	45→42	38→40	57→55	54	200/309/280	81	312	4	20	33%	13%	74	-0.6	189/275/277	88	311	6	17	37%	10%	59	-1.6	148/229/229	81	253	5	17	40%	10%	29	-1.0
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2017 · A	21	44	38→45	58→65	42	203/275/285	82	317	4	20	34%	8%	61	-1.5	196/259/288	92	324	7	29	39%	7%	56	-1.9	220/296/327	107	310	12	41	30%	9%	75	-0.2
✕BJ Boyd 2014 · A	21	48→57	38→45	54→50	44	219/284/305	86	322	4	15	31%	8%	68	-1.0	224/274/302	78	294	5	10	24%	6%	63	-1.3	259/306/366	107	315	10	10	20%	5%	87	+0.2
✕Carlos Jimenez 2024 · A	21	39→44	40→50	52→55	44	186/271/278	93	294	7	15	36%	9%	59	-1.7	222/298/356	134	324	13	17	33%	9%	86	+0.3	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Victor Arias 2024 · A	20	41→50	40→45	55→50	48	193/289/289	97	300	7	16	35%	11%	68	-1.0	227/296/340	113	318	9	15	29%	8%	81	-0.1	226/289/343	117	310	10	15	29%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Nick Morabito 2024 · A	21	48→58	37→40	55→65	44	217/297/293	76	324	4	18	32%	8%	71	-0.8	250/316/335	85	345	6	36	27%	7%	87	+0.4	255/322/343	88	346	7	42	26%	7%	88	+0.4
✕Davis Bradshaw 2019 · A	21	52	37→40	59→50	45	244/299/321	78	309	3	20	21%	6%	77	-0.3	225/271/288	63	293	2	11	23%	4%	59	-1.7	271/323/338	67	341	3	10	20%	5%	87	+0.2
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→49	42→45	58→60	54	211/313/323	113	290	8	21	28%	12%	85	+0.2	220/320/345	125	277	13	33	24%	11%	93	+0.8	217/321/350	133	273	12	37	23%	11%	92	+0.8
✕LeVon Washington 2012 · A	21	44	38→45	51→50	45	203/278/285	82	314	6	13	35%	9%	62	-1.4	236/309/338	102	350	7	13	31%	9%	85	+0.2	244/311/361	117	341	8	12	28%	8%	88	+0.2
✕Esteban González 2024 · A	21	43→45	41→45	56→55	41	205/280/306	101	298	7	18	31%	7%	68	-1.0	211/269/331	120	298	10	24	31%	6%	70	-0.9	203/264/330	127	285	12	27	31%	6%	65	-0.8
✕Jacob Robson 2017 · A	22	45→55	36→45	54→55	45	209/271/278	69	293	2	18	28%	8%	57	-1.8	244/301/336	92	360	6	16	31%	7%	81	-0.1	252/321/371	119	382	10	22	33%	9%	94	+0.7
●Tristan Peters 2022 · A	22	44→53	40→50	54→50	42	208/272/301	94	318	7	13	35%	8%	63	-1.3	231/298/350	119	293	8	13	22%	8%	84	+0.1	233/307/367	134	284	11	9	21%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Jake Shaffer 2009 · A	21	43→53	38→45	52→45	42	207/257/288	81	283	5	15	28%	6%	54	-2.0	250/282/362	112	317	9	7	23%	4%	80	-0.2	265/295/386	122	329	9	6	22%	3%	87	+0.3
✕Luis Durango 2024 · A	21	47	35→30	57→70	48	219/296/278	59	287	3	29	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/289/285	58	305	2	36	24%	5%	65	-1.2	249/303/294	44	325	0	54	21%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Ricardo Méndez 2021 · A	21	44	39→45	54→50	40	208/268/296	88	312	7	13	34%	7%	60	-1.6	217/259/315	98	317	7	13	32%	5%	61	-1.5	212/252/306	95	305	6	14	31%	5%	53	-1.3
✕Chandler Simpson 2023 · A	22	48→58	38→30	56→70	48	226/293/312	85	299	4	17	24%	8%	73	-0.6	267/311/317	50	307	1	59	12%	6%	80	-0.2	302/334/348	46	335	0	63	9%	5%	94	+0.8
✕Dalton Pompey 2014 · A	21	45→55	40→45	57→55	45	215/282/314	100	299	6	21	29%	8%	70	-0.9	257/316/365	108	333	7	26	23%	8%	93	+0.8	269/328/372	103	341	7	29	22%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Taylor Trammell 2019 · A	21	47→48	41→55	54→55	46	222/292/326	104	317	8	21	31%	9%	76	-0.4	207/285/314	107	296	11	16	31%	9%	72	-0.7	213/300/386	173	283	21	17	31%	10%	93	+0.5

Slade Caldwell

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps