Sam Mongelli

SS ACL Dodgers

Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 185 lbs ROK HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	23	A+LAD	348	.232/.310/.334	6	23	39	—	.188/.248/.261
2026	25	AALAD	41	.250/.341/.556	3	1	88	—	.189/.268/.405
2026	25	ROKLAD	51	.297/.480/.622	3	2	114	—	.205/.380/.410
2027PROJ0% MLB	26	MLBLAD	200	.218/.287/.345	4	4	79	0.2
2028PROJ26% MLB	27	MLBLAD	54	.215/.285/.341	1	1	79	0.1
2029PROJ39% MLB	28	MLBLAD	109	.215/.285/.339	3	2	79	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

ISO96

wOBA83

wRC+81

Speed80

Chase%70

Z-Con%48

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsBraxton Fulford (age 25) · Andrew Navigato (age 26) · Ryan Cordell (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .285 / .341

PA136

HR3

K%28

BB%7

ISO127

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	22	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	108	87	21	3	0	1	15	23	6	4	1	241	389	310	699	69	317	21	14	335	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	348	302	70	11	1	6	33	97	2	23	3	232	310	334	644	103	314	28	9	287	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	41	36	9	0	1	3	3	13	2	1	1	250	341	556	897	306	300	32	7	389	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	51	37	11	3	0	3	5	10	8	2	0	297	480	622	1.102	324	320	20	10	470	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	108	91	19	2	0	1	11	32	6	4	1	209	333	264	597	55	314	30	10	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	348	314	59	9	1	4	23	125	2	23	3	188	248	261	509	73	273	36	7	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	41	37	7	0	1	2	2	16	2	1	1	189	268	405	674	216	268	39	5	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	51	39	8	2	0	2	3	14	8	2	0	205	380	410	790	205	230	27	6	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	108	91	19	2	0	1	11	32	6	4	1	209	333	264	597	55	310	30	10	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	108	87	21	3	0	1	15	23	6	4	1	241	389	310	699	69	317	21	14	335	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	348	314	59	9	1	4	23	125	2	23	3	188	248	261	509	73	289	36	7	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Great Lakes Loons	—	348	302	70	11	1	6	33	97	2	23	3	232	310	334	644	103	314	28	9	287	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	92	76	16	2	1	5	5	30	10	3	1	211	341	461	801	250	262	33	5	320	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	92	73	20	3	1	6	8	23	10	3	1	274	418	589	1.007	315	311	25	9	434	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	108	90	19	2	0	1	11	32	6	4	1	211	333	267	600	56	314	30	10	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	348	320	59	9	1	4	23	125	2	23	3	184	248	256	504	72	273	36	7	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	92	77	16	2	1	5	5	30	10	3	1	208	341	455	795	247	247	33	5	320	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	348	320	59	9	1	4	23	125	2	23	3	184	248	256	504	72	273	36	7	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	92	77	16	2	1	5	5	30	10	3	1	208	341	455	795	247	247	33	5	320	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	200	181	39	7	1	4	14	56	3	4	1	218	287	345	632	127	286	28	7	284	79	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	LAD	26%	209	189	41	7	1	5	15	58	3	4	1	218	288	345	633	127	285	28	7	285	79	-5	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2029	28	MLB MLE	LAD	39%	276	250	55	10	2	6	20	76	4	5	1	218	288	344	632	126	285	28	7	284	79	-7	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.2
2030	29	MLB MLE	LAD	44%	310	279	61	11	2	7	23	86	5	4	1	217	287	341	628	124	284	28	7	283	78	-8	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.1
2031	30	MLB MLE	LAD	47%	333	301	65	12	2	7	24	92	5	3	1	216	285	338	623	122	283	28	7	281	76	-9	+0	-2	+4	+7	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	LAD	26%	54	49	10	2	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	215	285	341	625	126	279	28	7	282	79	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	LAD	39%	109	98	22	4	1	3	8	30	2	2	1	215	285	339	624	125	279	28	7	281	79	-3	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.0
2030	29	MLB CTX	LAD	44%	138	125	27	5	1	3	10	38	2	2	1	214	284	337	620	123	278	28	7	280	78	-4	+0	-1	+1	+3	0.0
2031	30	MLB CTX	LAD	47%	158	143	31	5	1	4	12	44	2	1	1	212	282	333	615	121	277	28	8	277	76	-4	-0	-1	+2	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	459	415	90	16	3	11	34	127	7	6	3	217	287	349	637	133	282	28	7	280	71	-12	+0	-2	+5	+10	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	128	23	4	16	48	180	10	8	4	218	288	352	640	134	283	28	7	280	71	-17	+0	-3	+7	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	1812	1623	343	58	10	38	131	537	37	49	10	211	285	330	615	118	287	30	7	273	71	-33	+2	-4	+14	+27	0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	124	21	4	14	47	193	13	18	4	213	287	335	622	122	289	30	7	273	71	-17	+1	-2	+7	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ehire Adrianzalast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,519 PA	2.3	1,519	20	19	240	310	353	+10	+13	4.0	4.4
/162	664	9	8	+4.2	+5.5	1.8	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Tim Bogar'93-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,710 PA	2.6	1,710	24	13	217*	284*	324*	+11	+37	2.1	2.9
/162	664	9	5	+4.2	+14.4	0.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
#6Paul Popovich'64-'75 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,909 PA	2.9	1,909	14	4	233*	288*	323*	+10	+20	0.2	0.9
/162	664	5	1	+3.5	+7.0	0.1	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	0.9	594	13	9	218	285	343	+6	+9	0.8	0.8
/162	664	15	10	+7.1	+10.1	0.8	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sam Mongelli (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	216/285/341	125	286	3	3	28%	7%	79	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Braxton Fulford 2024 · AA	25	43→41	46→50	49→50	43	213/294/344	130	292	14	9	30%	8%	82	+0.0	212/286/353	141	292	15	11	31%	7%	81	-0.1	202/279/347	145	279	15	13	31%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Andrew Navigato 2024 · AA	26	44→41	49→55	46→50	41	223/276/374	151	275	16	13	25%	5%	82	+0.0	213/274/366	153	278	16	16	29%	6%	80	-0.2	202/269/349	147	264	16	17	29%	7%	71	-0.5
✕Ryan Cordell 2018 · AAA	26	42	49→50	52→50	40	220/268/372	152	280	17	14	28%	6%	78	-0.3	210/260/335	125	284	13	12	30%	6%	67	-1.1	180/235/298	118	257	14	13	35%	6%	48	-1.1
✕Jesús Bastidas 2024 · AAA	25	42	47→50	47→50	41	214/282/345	132	284	16	13	30%	6%	78	-0.3	207/274/345	138	271	15	13	29%	6%	75	-0.5	196/264/333	138	256	16	13	29%	5%	66	-0.8
✕Sean Jamieson 2015 · AA	26	47→44	43→45	47→50	44	230/286/347	117	294	9	10	24%	6%	79	-0.2	224/283/315	91	318	7	9	30%	7%	70	-0.8	211/278/284	72	314	6	8	32%	7%	58	-0.8
✕Jermaine Palacios 2022 · AA	26	44→50	46→45	47→50	43	220/281/340	120	289	15	16	29%	7%	76	-0.4	215/262/347	132	295	16	12	32%	6%	70	-0.8	205/246/334	129	279	17	11	32%	5%	58	-1.0
✕Trevor Schwecke 2024 · AAA	26	45	44→45	49→50	42	221/282/338	117	306	11	11	30%	7%	76	-0.4	223/279/330	107	320	9	15	31%	7%	72	-0.7	214/267/307	93	317	6	18	32%	6%	60	-0.9
✕Quincy McAfee 2024 · AA	26	38	46→45	46→45	46	196/281/327	130	253	13	9	27%	8%	74	-0.5	203/272/330	127	250	14	11	24%	6%	71	-0.8	170/237/280	109	197	14	12	22%	5%	43	-1.3
✕Brendon Davis 2023 · AAA	26	41→45	50	47→50	45	211/283/371	159	272	18	10	29%	8%	84	+0.1	192/271/318	126	262	13	14	30%	8%	68	-1.0	164/251/269	105	228	10	17	31%	8%	47	-1.4
✕Rodolfo Durán 2024 · AAA	26	41	48→50	48→45	40	214/262/357	144	272	15	4	28%	5%	72	-0.7	226/271/371	145	282	16	6	25%	5%	79	-0.2	219/266/363	143	271	16	5	25%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Kyle Datres 2022 · A	26	39→43	47→50	54→55	46	199/282/333	135	269	14	18	30%	8%	76	-0.4	213/290/347	134	292	16	23	31%	8%	81	-0.1	204/285/336	132	277	17	26	31%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Davis Stoneburner 2011 · AA	26	45→48	45	50	41	226/275/353	127	284	12	11	25%	5%	76	-0.4	213/268/314	101	277	7	14	25%	5%	64	-1.3	204/259/291	87	267	4	16	24%	5%	53	-1.5
✕Drew Jackson 2019 · AA	26	42→45	44→45	50→55	43	209/282/324	115	278	11	19	28%	7%	73	-0.6	198/277/308	110	289	11	20	33%	8%	68	-1.0	183/269/273	90	288	9	25	36%	9%	55	-0.9
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	40	45→40	50	45	199/284/317	118	274	12	12	31%	8%	73	-0.6	204/294/293	89	285	8	11	29%	9%	71	-0.8	194/286/264	70	270	4	8	27%	9%	60	-0.6
✕Zack Short 2021 · AAA	26	42→39	46→50	46→45	47	205/294/342	137	299	13	8	33%	10%	82	-0.0	190/285/319	129	262	14	9	31%	11%	74	-0.6	177/277/302	125	240	14	9	31%	11%	66	-0.8
✕Taylor Featherston 2015 · AA	25	45→46	48→50	51→50	39	226/272/370	144	288	15	12	27%	5%	79	-0.2	207/255/334	127	273	13	11	28%	5%	64	-1.3	191/244/308	117	258	12	11	30%	5%	53	-1.2
✕Corey Joyce 2024 · AAA	25	42	43→40	50	48	204/305/319	115	291	11	13	31%	10%	81	-0.1	217/305/313	96	303	8	15	29%	9%	79	-0.2	219/295/310	91	293	10	16	27%	8%	70	-0.5
✕David Sheaffer 2021 · AAA	26	42	47→50	49→40	38	213/260/346	133	292	15	6	32%	5%	69	-0.9	199/247/294	95	287	8	5	32%	5%	52	-2.2	172/218/252	80	248	6	1	32%	5%	30	-1.1
✕Paul McIntosh 2024 · AAA	26	42→43	49→45	45	47	215/296/360	145	278	17	8	28%	9%	87	+0.4	216/284/339	123	270	14	6	25%	7%	77	-0.3	209/277/327	118	257	13	4	23%	7%	69	-0.5
✕César Salazar 2022 · AA	26	40	47→45	48→45	41	207/270/342	135	258	15	9	26%	5%	73	-0.6	210/287/332	122	250	14	8	22%	7%	78	-0.3	206/307/310	103	242	10	6	18%	9%	79	-0.1

Sam Mongelli

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps