Brady Cerkownyk — OGILVIE

Brady CerkownykC FCL Nationals

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 190 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION102 act + 68 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .265 / .290

PA68

HR1

K%31

BB%7

BABIP275

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	82	75	13	1	0	2	4	32	3	1	0	173	244	267	511	93	268	39	5	207	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	82	73	16	1	0	2	6	22	3	1	0	219	305	315	620	96	286	27	7	288	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	ROK	WSH	—	102	88	20	8	1	1	8	33	3	4	1	227	313	375	688	148	333	32	8	286	77	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
YTD	23	ROK	WSH	—	102	83	25	11	1	1	13	23	3	4	1	301	414	494	908	193	387	23	13	392	158	+7	+0	+0	+2	+3	1.2
ROS	23	ROK	WSH	0%	68	62	12	3	0	1	5	21	1	2	1	194	265	290	555	97	298	31	7	268	63	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
ROS	23	MLB	WSH	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		298	—	—	256	54	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	23	ROK	WSH	—	102	89	20	8	1	1	8	33	3	4	1	225	313	371	684	146	328	32	8	286	77	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
TOT	23	ROK	WSH	—	170	150	32	11	1	2	13	54	4	6	2	213	293	340	633	127	309	32	8	279	72	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	WSH	30%	214	193	40	9	1	3	16	65	3	7	2	207	278	311	589	104	294	30	7	272	66	-8	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.2
2028	25	MLB	WSH	44%	300	271	58	13	2	5	22	89	4	10	3	214	283	332	615	118	294	30	7	278	71	-10	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2029	26	MLB	WSH	51%	359	324	70	16	2	7	27	105	5	12	3	216	287	343	629	127	294	29	8	282	74	-11	+1	+0	+6	+10	0.7
2030	27	MLB	WSH	52%	388	349	75	17	2	7	30	113	6	13	3	215	288	335	624	120	294	29	8	283	75	-11	+1	+0	+7	+11	0.8
2031	28	MLB	WSH	53%	404	364	78	18	2	7	31	119	6	13	4	214	287	332	619	118	293	29	8	282	74	-12	+1	-1	+7	+11	0.7
2027	24	MLB	WSH	30%	64	58	12	3	0	1	5	19	1	2	1	207	281	310	592	103	294	30	8	261	58	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	25	MLB	WSH	44%	132	119	26	6	1	2	10	39	2	4	1	218	290	336	626	118	294	30	8	267	63	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2029	26	MLB	WSH	51%	182	163	35	8	1	3	14	53	3	6	2	215	289	331	620	117	294	29	8	271	66	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2030	27	MLB	WSH	52%	203	183	40	9	1	4	15	59	3	7	2	219	289	344	633	126	294	29	7	272	67	-8	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.2
2031	28	MLB	WSH	53%	215	193	41	9	1	4	17	63	3	7	2	212	286	332	618	119	293	29	8	271	66	-8	+1	-0	+4	+6	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	796	717	154	35	4	14	61	233	12	26	8	215	288	333	621	119	295	29	8	270	65	-32	+2	-0	+14	+23	0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	125	29	3	11	50	190	10	21	7	214	287	330	617	116	295	29	8	270	65	-26	+1	-0	+12	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	1815	1638	346	77	9	32	135	544	28	58	16	211	283	328	610	117	293	30	7	276	70	-62	+5	-1	+32	+51	2.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	124	28	3	11	48	195	10	21	6	211	282	325	608	114	294	30	7	276	70	-22	+2	-0	+12	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	82	73	16	1	0	2	6	22	3	1	0	219	305	315	620	96	286	27	7	288	78	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	906	16	29	214	282	334	+16	+12	1.5	1.5
	/162	664	12	21	214	282	334	+11.9	+8.8	1.1	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brady Cerkownyk (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	213/293/340	127	309	2	6	32%	8%	72	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Mycal Jones 2010 · A	23	40→45	41→45	55	42	196/253/300	105	266	6	14	28%	6%	50	-1.7	209/265/324	115	283	10	15	29%	6%	62	-0.9	219/277/306	87	283	6	24	24%	6%	59	-0.7
✕Samad Taylor 2021 · A	23	36→46	40→50	52→65	43	176/254/274	98	271	7	22	35%	8%	45	-2.1	230/301/375	145	329	17	34	33%	8%	90	+1.0	239/314/383	144	329	16	46	30%	9%	96	+0.9
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	40	41→50	51→55	42	193/268/296	103	286	9	14	34%	8%	56	-1.3	205/269/314	109	292	8	12	30%	6%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Francisco Acuna 2023 · A	23	42→50	40→45	47→50	41	200/273/299	98	286	7	11	31%	6%	59	-1.1	217/287/310	93	290	7	13	26%	7%	68	-0.5	209/292/304	96	279	9	16	26%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	40	39→45	54→50	39	192/262/274	82	303	8	14	37%	7%	48	-1.9	206/305/332	126	296	13	13	32%	10%	82	+0.5	214/316/327	113	306	11	14	30%	10%	82	+0.3
✕Brian Ruggiano 2009 · A	23	40→43	38→45	54→55	38	190/244/275	85	291	5	10	35%	6%	40	-2.4	214/269/323	109	304	8	14	31%	6%	63	-0.9	216/273/331	115	298	9	15	29%	6%	64	-0.5
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2018 · A	23	42→47	38→45	52→60	38	198/274/276	78	294	5	18	32%	6%	54	-1.4	185/267/263	78	303	6	23	38%	7%	48	-1.9	198/285/310	113	286	12	28	32%	8%	64	-0.5
✕Jeudy Valdez 2011 · A	22	38→43	41→50	50→55	39	189/235/288	99	259	8	17	30%	5%	39	-2.5	209/246/345	136	281	14	17	30%	4%	59	-1.1	211/245/356	146	279	16	17	30%	3%	58	-1.0
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	36→46	45	52→65	39	191/248/311	120	257	14	21	31%	6%	51	-1.7	219/287/347	128	293	11	39	27%	8%	77	+0.1	221/289/346	125	298	10	43	27%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Blaze Alexander 2022 · A	23	35→45	42→45	52→50	37	173/243/272	99	290	11	14	42%	7%	40	-2.4	212/283/342	130	324	14	10	37%	7%	75	-0.0	237/319/364	126	339	12	15	31%	8%	92	+0.8
✕Jake Rogers 2018 · A	23	41→40	43→60	47→45	41	202/262/316	114	279	9	10	30%	6%	58	-1.2	196/266/342	146	271	17	7	33%	7%	68	-0.5	213/288/429	216	271	31	1	33%	8%	98	+0.8
✕Jason Lopez 2022 · AA	24	39	42→55	54→45	40	191/252/295	104	290	10	12	36%	7%	49	-1.8	204/267/315	111	307	11	9	35%	7%	59	-1.1	156/215/246	90	226	9	0	34%	7%	18	-0.7
●Levi Michael 2014 · A	23	39→49	37→45	55	49	187/266/263	76	252	4	13	26%	9%	46	-2.0	219/285/303	84	294	4	16	25%	7%	64	-0.8	226/293/341	115	319	10	11	30%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Steven Baron 2013 · A	22	39	41→45	50	37	193/232/296	103	263	8	10	30%	4%	40	-2.4	194/233/281	87	280	5	9	31%	5%	36	-2.7	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Max George 2019 · A	23	33→36	41→45	53→55	43	170/253/270	99	234	9	20	30%	7%	44	-2.1	183/267/288	105	279	10	20	36%	8%	55	-1.4	148/255/300	152	246	20	20	45%	10%	51	-0.7
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA	24	41→46	42→45	52→60	43	202/263/305	103	271	9	20	28%	7%	56	-1.3	228/286/325	97	313	8	28	28%	7%	70	-0.3	230/291/360	130	317	13	42	30%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Christopher Bostick 2015 · A	22	41→51	43→45	52→55	39	203/257/321	118	288	10	15	32%	6%	57	-1.2	221/268/333	112	293	9	14	27%	5%	65	-0.7	242/294/361	119	311	10	7	24%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Justin Trapp 2013 · A	22	43→45	42→45	54→55	40	209/265/315	106	290	9	17	30%	6%	59	-1.1	217/268/309	92	296	9	15	28%	5%	59	-1.1	215/266/296	81	292	8	16	28%	5%	51	-1.4
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2023 · A	23	42	40→55	50→40	43	203/279/294	91	279	7	6	28%	7%	60	-1.0	209/281/354	145	278	18	4	31%	7%	78	+0.2	186/269/361	175	235	26	0	33%	7%	79	+0.1