Jackson CastilloOF Somerset Patriots
Age 23 L/L 5'9" / 195 lbs AA HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
2026 ROS PROJECTION307 act + 204 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†69
AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .286 / .319
PA204
HR3
SB5
K%26
BB%8
BABIP285
ISO103
MLB%2%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -16.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-17BATRUN: +1.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -3.1 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +14.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+14REPTotal WAR: -0.40-0.4WAR
0.00.51.00.20.30.40.20.1+$7M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.3$1.0M+$0.3M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.6M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2032Arb-1$0.2M+0.1$0.3M+$0.1M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $3M +$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202320 A2 teams — 8573 12111 10402 20 164282247529 82344 4712 221 28 — — — — — —
202320 A2 teams — 8567 15111 16262 20 224388313702 90350 3119 335 115 — — — — — —
202421 A2 teams — 415363 751738 431233 216 207296336632 129282 3010 279 72 — — — — — —
202421 A2 teams — 415340 912139 66803 216 268391426818 159319 1916 365 137 — — — — — —
202522 A+2 teams — 499450 901516 401415 221 200273278551 78274 288 246 47 — — — — — —
202522 A+2 teams — 499432 1021917 581025 221 236333333667 97291 2012 306 92 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD23 AANYY — 307278 621216 23793 81 223289338628 115286 267 280 72 -10 +1 +0 -2 +9 -0.2
YTD23 AANYY — 307267 691417 34613 81 258349397746 139307 2011 334 114 +5 +1 +0 -2 +9 1.3
ROS23 AANYY 2% 204184 40813 16532 51 217286319606 103283 268 275 69 -7 +1 +0 -1 +6 -0.2
ROS23 MLBNYY 2% 44 1000 010 00 250250250500 284 250 271 65 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
FULL23 AANYY — 311282 631216 23803 81 223289337626 113286 267 280 72 -10 +1 +0 -2 +9 -0.2
TOT23 AANYY — 511462 1022029 391325 132 220288331619 110286 268 278 71 -17 +2 +0 -3 +14 -0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBNYY 31% 520469 10520210 421324 121 224293339632 115285 258 285 76 -14 +2 +0 -3 +15 -0.0
202825 MLBNYY 45% 535481 10820211 441345 122 225296343639 119285 258 290 80 -12 +2 +0 -3 +15 0.2
202926 MLBNYY 51% 551495 11221212 461375 132 226299349648 123286 258 293 83 -11 +2 +0 -3 +16 0.3
203027 MLBNYY 53% 556499 11321213 471385 132 226299355654 128286 258 294 83 -11 +2 +0 -3 +16 0.4
203128 MLBNYY 53% 555497 11221212 481395 122 225300348648 123285 259 293 82 -11 +2 -1 -3 +16 0.2
203229 MLBNYY 53% 547490 11121212 471385 111 227301351652 124284 259 291 81 -12 +2 -1 -3 +15 0.1
202724 MLBNYY 31% 161146 32613 13411 40 219287336623 116286 258 281 73 -5 +1 +0 -1 +5 -0.0
202825 MLBNYY 45% 238214 48915 20602 61 224297346642 121287 258 287 77 -6 +1 +0 -1 +7 0.0
202926 MLBNYY 51% 281253 581117 23703 71 229301364665 134287 258 289 80 -6 +1 +0 -2 +8 0.1
203027 MLBNYY 53% 292262 601117 25733 71 229303359662 130287 259 290 80 -7 +1 +0 -2 +8 0.1
203128 MLBNYY 53% 296266 601117 25743 71 226299353653 128287 258 289 79 -7 +1 -0 -2 +8 0.0
203229 MLBNYY 53% 288258 591117 25733 61 229304360665 132286 259 287 78 -7 +1 -1 -2 +8 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 15601403 31859636 13139215 375 227300354654 128287 258 288 78 -38 +5 -1 -9 +44 0.1
/ 162G— — 650585 13225215 551636 152 226299352651 126286 258 288 78 -16 +2 -0 -4 +18 0.0
Career— — 44674001 8781651888 383117541 12318 219294336630 116285 269 283 75 -128 +17 -2 -27 +127 -1.3
/ 162G— — 650582 12824313 561716 183 220295338634 119286 269 283 75 -19 +2 -0 -4 +18 -0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202320 ATampa Tarpons — 4338 7001 5160 10 184279263542 79286 3712 256 54 -2 +0 — — +1 -0.1
202320 ROKFCL Yankees — 4229 8110 11102 10 276500379879 103421 2426 416 177 +4 +0 — — +1 0.5
202421 A+Hudson Valley Renegades — 8170 22422 8151 51 314392514907 200364 1910 389 156 +5 +1 — — +2 0.8
202421 ATampa Tarpons — 334270 691717 58652 165 256391404795 148307 1917 359 133 +12 +1 — — +9 2.3
202522 AASomerset Patriots — 9381 17302 10211 10 210304321625 111254 2311 286 77 -2 +0 — — +3 0.0
202522 A+Hudson Valley Renegades — 406351 851615 48814 211 242340336676 94299 2012 310 96 -2 +4 — — +12 1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA
82,7118155233305399-12-134.14.5
/1626642013-2.9-3.21.0pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA
83,2209698241309409-34-283.84.4
/1626642020-7.1-5.80.8pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA
72,1983552238326354-4-34.34.3
/1626641116-1.3-0.81.3pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA
52,2563590259290356-9+31.31.3
/1626641026-2.8+0.90.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
31,5623435227296351-9+00.70.7
/1626641415-4.0+0.00.3pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jackson Castillo (OGILVIE) 23 40 30 55 50 220/288/331 110286 913 26% 8% 71 -0.4 ————————— —————————
✕Ramiro Rodriguez
2021 · AA 		23 42 40 50 48 204/285/300 96281 818 28% 9% 64 -0.8 200/261/296 96312 911 36% 7% 53 -1.5 146/208/210642387840%6%4-1.2
✕Raynel Delgado
2023 · AA 		23 40→50 39→40 49→60 43 195/265/283 88276 715 30% 7% 51 -1.7 229/292/326 97319 823 29% 7% 73 -0.1 242/304/3369433383228%7%76+0.1
✕Chris Pieters
2018 · A 		23 45 41→45 51→55 44 215/279/319 105286 713 26% 7% 66 -0.6 207/259/301 94296 611 30% 6% 53 -1.5 165/200/2195425201533%4%4-0.8
✕Rodrigo Aguirre
2007 · AAA 		23 43 43→30 48→45 39 216/258/329 113286 1114 28% 5% 59 -1.1 230/271/336 106267 108 17% 5% 66 -0.6 267/312/347802974211%6%82+0.2
✕Jake Thomas
2016 · A 		23 44 39→30 49→50 47 210/289/293 83281 78 26% 8% 64 -0.8 203/284/269 66306 28 31% 10% 56 -1.3 195/285/252573021832%11%49-0.9
✕Kier Meredith
2022 · A 		22 42 36→30 51→60 45 198/268/265 67279 412 29% 8% 47 -1.9 206/304/278 72297 426 29% 9% 68 -0.5 217/333/2685129933525%10%75-0.0
✕Alvaro Ramirez
2009 · A 		23 45 38→40 49→55 46 213/277/299 86263 515 20% 6% 60 -1.0 238/293/315 77287 516 18% 5% 70 -0.3 298/358/3757733042710%5%111+1.0
✕Tristan Peters
2023 · AA 		23 45→53 44→45 53→50 48 218/288/344 126281 914 25% 8% 76 +0.1 229/295/348 119286 912 22% 8% 80 +0.4 238/306/369131290101021%8%87+0.6
✕Troy Montgomery
2018 · AA 		23 48→55 42→40 51→50 47 230/294/339 109298 913 25% 8% 77 +0.1 227/294/313 86322 512 28% 8% 70 -0.3 245/317/3167135821529%9%79+0.2
✕River Town
2022 · A 		23 44→36 37→40 54→50 43 203/281/277 74287 312 28% 7% 57 -1.2 205/290/306 101264 915 24% 8% 69 -0.4 199/291/2949525191523%9%64-0.4
✕Caleb Roberts
2023 · AA 		23 41→42 43→45 50 43 199/278/313 114297 1112 34% 8% 65 -0.7 202/279/326 124295 1111 33% 8% 69 -0.4 187/272/303117258121130%8%58-0.7
✕Matt Rudick
2022 · A 		24 45→44 39→45 56→50 49 215/284/308 92270 611 22% 8% 66 -0.6 212/297/327 115264 1014 22% 9% 77 +0.1 206/302/338132254151624%10%78+0.1
✕Noe Becerra
2010 · AAA 		23 44 39→30 43→40 48 213/275/293 80267 77 23% 8% 57 -1.2 232/280/318 86272 77 17% 6% 66 -0.6 274/319/333593103012%5%84+0.2
✕Braiden Ward
2022 · A 		23 48→45 37→40 47→70 46 223/310/297 75312 410 28% 8% 75 -0.0 211/301/295 84308 644 31% 6% 72 -0.2 223/313/32410130666426%6%79+0.2
✕Juan Silva
2014 · A 		23 46 42→45 51→55 47 220/292/325 105300 921 28% 9% 73 -0.1 222/297/313 91298 622 25% 9% 72 -0.2 218/298/3008229042424%10%66-0.3
✕Blake Rambusch
2023 · A 		23 47 37→30 52→65 42 219/287/293 74318 414 30% 7% 63 -0.9 230/317/295 65313 329 25% 9% 76 +0.1 252/330/3045231614919%9%79+0.1
✕Hoy Park
2019 · A 		23 46→49 39→45 55 50 218/298/304 86288 617 25% 9% 71 -0.3 227/304/324 97304 716 25% 9% 78 +0.2 217/301/336119289131828%10%77+0.1
✕Leon Johnson
2008 · A 		23 49 40 58→60 50 229/302/326 97301 622 24% 9% 77 +0.1 218/282/296 78282 517 23% 7% 61 -1.0 200/262/2212124802218%6%30-0.7
✕Davis Bradshaw
2021 · A 		23 46 36→40 52→50 39 218/261/285 67284 312 24% 4% 49 -1.8 252/304/325 73318 411 21% 5% 77 +0.1 270/323/3386934241021%5%85+0.4
✕Dallas Poulk
2011 · A 		23 42 40→30 50 44 204/263/298 94276 78 28% 7% 53 -1.5 210/276/281 71300 39 28% 8% 54 -1.4 203/274/265612941829%8%47-1.3