Jackson HornungC New Hampshire Fisher Cats
Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 215 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
2026 ROS PROJECTION227 act + 151 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†46
AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .239 / .278
PA151
HR2
K%38
BB%6
BABIP295
ISO93
MLB%2%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -25.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-25BATRUN: +1.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +6.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+7POSREP: +10.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+11REPTotal WAR: -0.60-0.6WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.10.0+$1M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER50
scouting grade only
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.2$0.6M+$0.0M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.8M $0.7M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202322 ADunedin Blue Jays — 6257 6200 2272 01 105164140304 35194 443 150 -27 — — — — — —
202322 ADunedin Blue Jays — 6256 8201 3202 01 143213232445 89194 325 205 15 — — — — — —
202423 A+Vancouver Canadians — 463422 831524 301668 00 197263270533 73310 366 238 40 — — — — — —
202423 A+Vancouver Canadians — 463407 1052526 451148 00 258343373717 115341 2510 325 107 — — — — — —
202524 AA2 teams — 403366 801649 281793 90 219280358638 139386 447 279 72 — — — — — —
202524 AA2 teams — 403345 992059 441243 90 287368452820 165413 3111 358 132 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD25 AATOR — 227214 41923 12891 50 192238294532 103311 395 235 38 -16 +1 +0 +4 +6 -0.4
YTD25 AATOR — 227209 481124 17691 50 230291359650 129324 307 292 82 -5 +1 +0 +4 +6 0.7
ROS25 AATOR 2% 151140 26512 9581 20 185239278517 93303 386 245 46 -9 +0 +0 +3 +4 -0.2
ROS25 MLBTOR 2% 33 0000 010 00 304 330 241 42 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL25 AATOR — 230217 41923 12901 50 189235290525 101306 395 235 38 -16 +1 +0 +4 +7 -0.5
TOT25 AATOR — 378354 671435 211472 70 189239288526 99305 396 239 41 -25 +1 +0 +7 +11 -0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726 MLBTOR 31% 476438 8717310 311754 60 199258320578 121302 377 258 56 -24 +1 +0 +8 +13 -0.1
202827 MLBTOR 42% 493453 9118310 331774 60 201261320581 119301 367 263 59 -23 +1 +0 +9 +14 0.1
202928 MLBTOR 48% 500458 9318311 341774 60 203264328592 124300 357 265 61 -22 +1 -1 +9 +14 0.2
203029 MLBTOR 49% 501457 9218310 351764 60 201264319584 118299 357 265 61 -22 +1 -1 +9 +14 0.1
203130 MLBTOR 50% 498456 9118310 351774 50 200263318581 118298 367 262 59 -23 +1 -2 +9 +14 -0.1
202726 MLBTOR 31% 148136 27513 10551 20 199259316575 118304 377 253 52 -8 +0 +0 +3 +4 -0.1
202827 MLBTOR 42% 207189 38814 14742 30 201263317581 116303 367 258 56 -10 +1 +0 +4 +6 -0.0
202928 MLBTOR 48% 239219 44915 16842 30 201262320581 119302 357 260 57 -12 +1 -0 +4 +7 -0.0
203029 MLBTOR 49% 247226 45915 17872 30 199261314575 115300 357 260 57 -12 +1 -1 +4 +7 -0.1
203130 MLBTOR 50% 250228 45915 18892 30 197262311574 114299 367 257 55 -13 +1 -1 +4 +7 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 10941001 19940522 753909 140 199261315576 116298 367 258 56 -55 +3 -2 +20 +31 -0.4
/ 162G— — 650595 11824313 452325 80 198260314575 116297 367 258 56 -33 +2 -1 +12 +18 -0.2
Career— — 35473247 6491272266 237131234 401 200261313575 114308 377 258 56 -176 +8 -4 +63 +101 -0.9
/ 162G— — 650595 11923412 432406 70 200260313573 113308 377 258 56 -32 +1 -1 +12 +18 -0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202322 ADunedin Blue Jays — 6256 8201 3202 01 143213232445 89194 325 205 15 -6 -0 — — +2 -0.5
202423 A+Vancouver Canadians — 463407 1052526 451148 00 258343373717 115341 2510 325 107 +3 +0 — — +13 1.7
202524 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats — 214186 501126 21731 40 269341446787 177400 3410 342 120 +5 +1 — — +6 1.2
202524 A+Vancouver Canadians — 189159 49933 23512 50 308398459857 151426 2712 375 145 +10 +1 — — +5 1.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#5J.P. Arencibialast yr '15
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA
51,650782213260414+29-44.24.2
/162664311+11.9-1.71.7pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
21,0982313202261323+20+80.10.1
/162664148+11.9+4.80.1pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jackson Hornung (OGILVIE) 25 40 50 45 45 189/239/288 99305 57 39% 6% 41 -0.6 ————————— —————————
✕Trevor Schwecke
2023 · AAA 		25 39 44→45 41→50 39 195/257/308 113291 116 35% 7% 54 -1.4 218/275/332 114316 1014 32% 6% 68 -0.5 223/280/33511232091731%6%68-0.3
✕Ryan Dorow
2021 · AA 		25 43→45 41→45 50→45 39 202/269/299 97311 99 36% 7% 57 -1.2 217/279/350 133296 136 29% 7% 74 -0.1 213/276/35113828513329%7%70-0.3
✕Cooper Johnson
2023 · AA 		25 37 39→50 45→40 42 171/257/255 84300 65 41% 9% 42 -2.3 183/266/304 121296 136 39% 9% 58 -1.2 171/259/30313225215436%10%52-0.7
✕Mikey White
2019 · AA 		25 41→45 42→45 46→40 37 199/252/302 103300 104 36% 6% 50 -1.7 197/259/305 108298 125 36% 7% 54 -1.4 190/252/29510527212233%6%46-1.4
✕Sean Coyle
2017 · AAA 		25 35→34 45→50 47→50 37 180/243/296 116289 1311 40% 7% 46 -2.0 189/248/293 104291 910 36% 7% 46 -2.0 146/203/235892193633%7%8-1.2
✕Blake Hunt
2023 · AA 		24 38 43→50 50→40 39 192/251/299 107277 115 34% 6% 50 -1.8 211/268/341 130275 145 28% 6% 67 -0.5 207/268/34113426314226%6%65-0.3
✕Brent Diaz
2022 · AA 		26 40 43→45 44→45 36 192/269/300 107311 128 39% 6% 59 -1.1 219/284/356 137303 169 32% 6% 79 +0.3 191/254/31912825817932%5%53-0.5
✕Allan de San Miguel
2013 · AAA 		25 40 43→45 48→40 41 195/267/308 114299 107 36% 8% 59 -1.1 207/282/317 110300 118 32% 7% 68 -0.5 171/243/250792338229%6%32-0.8
✕Joe Cronin
2019 · AA 		25 38 40→45 45→50 44 181/274/268 88287 87 37% 9% 53 -1.5 196/278/301 105300 911 35% 8% 62 -0.9 171/260/279108256101335%9%46-1.0
✕Jayson Langfels
2014 · AA 		25 41→32 43→40 46→50 37 199/262/305 106309 1111 37% 6% 56 -1.3 205/280/293 88338 715 38% 8% 60 -1.0 202/285/2757334451738%8%55-0.7
✕Chris Sharpe
2022 · AAA 		26 37→39 44→50 45→50 38 185/252/306 121279 1110 36% 6% 53 -1.5 189/263/296 107295 813 36% 7% 54 -1.4 160/248/26210325471637%8%40-1.1
✕Max Burt
2022 · AAA 		25 42 43→45 49→55 37 207/253/314 108292 109 32% 5% 53 -1.5 193/248/316 123281 1421 35% 6% 53 -1.5 163/230/2488424472934%6%26-1.3
✕Wade Gaynor
2013 · AA 		25 37→42 43→50 47→50 41 185/255/295 109265 106 32% 7% 50 -1.7 186/237/311 125273 1211 35% 5% 46 -2.0 172/214/296124249131236%4%29-2.4
✕Cam Devanney
2022 · AA 		25 35→41 41→55 44→45 38 176/242/264 87260 97 34% 6% 37 -2.7 214/276/370 156280 187 29% 7% 79 +0.3 218/281/38316528118729%6%81+0.3
✕Gunnar Heidt
2018 · AA 		25 37→39 42→45 47→50 38 186/242/289 103277 1012 35% 6% 43 -2.2 197/252/301 104308 913 37% 6% 50 -1.8 206/260/3081032978932%6%52-1.0
✕Blake Forsythe
2014 · AA 		25 36→37 45 50→30 39 184/246/308 124280 124 38% 7% 50 -1.8 197/249/310 113314 115 39% 6% 51 -1.7 182/235/2789630410042%6%33-1.3
✕Yusniel Díaz
2022 · AAA 		25 35→45 43→45 42→50 36 180/231/288 108270 126 37% 6% 38 -2.6 225/291/354 129297 1511 28% 8% 80 +0.4 242/312/379138306161125%9%93+0.7
✕Rylan Sandoval
2013 · AA 		25 38 41→40 45 35 187/242/284 97286 95 36% 5% 42 -2.3 210/261/294 84310 68 32% 6% 52 -1.6 210/261/280693085831%5%44-0.8
✕Aaron Schunk
2023 · AA 		26 39→42 44→45 48→50 36 200/246/316 117282 129 33% 5% 51 -1.7 211/256/324 113294 1110 30% 5% 57 -1.2 209/254/319110274101027%5%52-1.0
✕Quincy McAfee
2023 · AA 		25 38 43→45 42→45 46 189/279/295 106260 116 30% 9% 62 -0.9 198/275/331 133251 1510 27% 7% 69 -0.4 185/264/327142224171225%7%61-0.5