Frenny Grant P FCL Tigers
Age 22 LHP 6'1" / 170 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION27 act + 45 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128137vR 146
ERA5.68
FIP5.68
K%16.0%
BB%15.9%
K-BB%0.1%
ROS IP45
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 72 IP
K: -3.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-3KBB: -3.9 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-4BBCONTACT: -5.5 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-5CONTACTSTAM: +5.0 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+5STAMTotal WAR: -0.80 (72 IP)-0.8WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF3535
CTRL3030
CMD3030
K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202319ROKDSL Tigers 214322982820021%1.619.4%25.5%-6.1%0.0%2.824.69
202319ROKDSL Tigers 214322982820021%1.628.6%20.4%8.2%0.0%2.823.28
202420ROKDSL Tigers 219131131361515%1.618.7%14.3%4.4%1.1%4.653.93
202420ROKDSL Tigers 219131131361515%1.627.5%11.5%16.0%0.8%4.652.65
202521ROKDSL Tigers 112124520145252100%3.815.2%15.5%-0.3%0.3%3.383.92
202521ROKDSL Tigers 112124520145252100%3.822.4%12.4%10.0%1.0%3.383.34
▸ 2026 Season
202622ROKFCL Tigers18027120231040%1.513.0%10.4%2.6%4.7%5.005.88-0.4
ROS22MLBDET42045188303050%1.116.0%15.9%0.1%2.8%5.685.68-0.6
ROS22MLBDET016.0%15.9%0.1%2.8%5.685.68
2026 TOT22MLBDET723085340917.3%13.0%4.3%3.0%5.425.76-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723MLBDET44046195352850%1.117.7%14.3%3.5%2.8%5.415.32-0.4
202824MLBDET45048201372760%1.118.7%13.2%5.5%2.8%5.195.10-0.3
202723MLBDET2202397171430%1.017.7%14.3%3.5%2.8%5.415.32-0.2
202824MLBDET31033139261840%1.118.7%13.2%5.5%2.8%5.195.10-0.2
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career53056236433270%1.118.3%13.6%4.6%2.8%5.284.81-0.2
/ 200 IP1900200844154114250%1.118.3%13.6%4.6%2.8%5.284.81+1.4
Career63161265509088825%2.016.3%15.9%0.4%1.4%3.944.49+1.3
/ 200 IP100252008751431391225%2.016.3%15.9%0.4%1.4%3.944.49+2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Frenny Grant (OGILVIE) 5.68 16.0%15.9%2.8% 5.21 18.2%4.5%94 -0.47
Cole Reynolds L 2027 · 4.81 FIP 23 SU 4.81 16.4%16.2%1.9%.304 5.26 17.3%0.4%52 +0.45 4.81 108 85
Braeden Fausnaught L 2028 · 4.77 FIP 24 SW 4.77 16.9%16.4%1.8%.287 4.67 17.9%9.7%179 -0.10 4.57 242 84
Jack O'Loughlin L 2026 · 5.15 FIP 22 SW 5.15 17.0%13.7%3.2%.269 4.98 17.9%6.2%239 -0.17 3.83 348 82
Matt Minnick L 2027 · 5.59 FIP 23 SU 5.59 17.2%14.1%3.9%.302 4.65 23.5%12.1%105 -0.94 3.77 147 82
Graeme Stinson L 2027 · 5.61 FIP 23 SU 5.61 12.6%12.6%3.6%.266 4.08 21.4%8.7%101 -1.53 3.54 146 81
Marino Santy L 2026 · 4.93 FIP 22 SW 4.93 17.6%16.1%2.3%.322 4.04 21.6%3.0%65 -0.89 2.78 253 80
Kikito Severino L 2025 · 5.70 FIP 21 SW 5.70 11.9%19.5%2.1%.336 3.92 135 79
Austin Hamilton L 2027 · 4.92 FIP 23 SU 4.92 17.0%15.6%2.3%.329 4.18 16.3%8.9%109 -0.74 4.06 135 79
Max Green L 2026 · 4.97 FIP 22 SU 4.97 15.7%13.3%2.8%.352 4.40 13.9%6.6%86 -0.57 4.23 169 78
Colby Langford L 2026 · 5.24 FIP 22 SW 5.24 21.6%22.5%2.0%.273 6.09 22.9%-1.5%95 +0.85 4.82 153 78
Trevor Seidenberger L 2027 · 4.63 FIP 23 SU 4.63 18.1%14.3%2.3%.248 6.50 13.1%-1.8%52 +1.87 4.63 101 77
Oscar Armenta L 2026 · 5.14 FIP 22 SW 5.14 10.4%15.7%1.7%.335 3.84 7.0%-3.5%11 -1.30 3.84 118 77
Ty Madrigal L 2028 · 4.64 FIP 24 SU 4.64 19.3%15.7%2.2%.329 5.86 17.6%2.4%49 +1.22 4.64 107 77
Bryan Warzek L 2026 · 5.96 FIP 22 SW 5.96 17.7%24.4%2.3%.328 6.90 20.2%1.9%73 +0.94 1.84 138 77
Jackson Lancaster L 2028 · 5.05 FIP 24 SU 5.05 18.9%17.6%2.4%.315 4.92 19.3%7.1%107 -0.13 4.28 127 77
Bryce Hubbart L 2026 · 5.82 FIP 22 SW 5.82 17.0%26.0%1.6%.303 5.00 17.4%3.9%136 -0.82 4.73 181 76
Justin Kelly L 2027 · 4.96 FIP 23 SU 4.96 13.4%12.7%2.5%.421 3.70 19.4%4.6%123 -1.26 3.48 160 76
Felix Polanco L 2026 · 5.04 FIP 22 SU 5.04 18.7%19.9%1.8%.290 3.64 18.8%12.8%27 -1.40 3.64 105 76
Alex Katz L 2026 · 5.10 FIP 22 SU 5.10 14.4%18.0%1.7%.314 4.55 16.3%1.2%56 -0.55 2.69 240 76
Chris Reed L 2029 · 4.92 FIP 25 SU 4.92 15.4%14.5%2.3%.284 4.84 16.4%6.6%81 -0.08 4.84 137 76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION34617.5%14.4%1.085.42
Touki Toussaint ('24)74023.1%14.1%1.255.39
Tyler Chatwood ('21)510419.2%13.3%0.944.48
Amir Garrett ('23)65125.8%13.4%1.505.10
Steven Brault ('21)65718.8%11.3%1.004.77
John Gant ('21)48520.1%12.5%0.793.91
Miguel Castro ('23)75920.8%12.0%1.043.99