Frenny Grant — OGILVIE

Frenny Grant P FCL Tigers

Age 22 LHP 6'1" / 170 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 44 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130138vR 146

ERA5.93

FIP5.93

K%16.0%

BB%17.8%

K-BB%-1.8%

ROS IP45

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL3030

CMD3030

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	14	3	22	98	28	20	0	21%	1.6	19.4%	25.5%	-6.1%	0.0%	2.82	4.69	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	14	3	22	98	28	20	0	21%	1.6	19.4%	25.5%	-6.1%	0.0%	2.82	4.69	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	14	3	22	98	28	20	0	21%	1.6	28.6%	20.4%	8.2%	0.0%	2.82	3.28	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	19	1	31	131	36	15	1	5%	1.6	18.7%	14.3%	4.4%	1.1%	4.65	3.92	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	19	1	31	131	36	15	1	5%	1.6	18.7%	14.3%	4.4%	1.1%	4.65	3.92	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	19	1	31	131	36	15	1	5%	1.6	27.5%	11.5%	16.0%	0.8%	4.65	2.65	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	12	12	45	201	45	25	2	100%	3.8	15.2%	15.5%	-0.3%	0.4%	3.38	4.02	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	12	12	45	201	45	25	2	100%	3.8	15.2%	15.5%	-0.3%	0.4%	3.38	4.02	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	12	12	45	201	45	25	2	100%	3.8	22.4%	12.4%	10.0%	1.0%	3.38	3.34	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	27	0	44	188	50	17	4	0%	1.6	18.8%	11.0%	7.8%	3.0%	3.48	4.54	—
YTD	22	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	27	0	44	188	50	17	4	0%	1.6	18.8%	11.0%	7.8%	3.0%	3.48	4.54	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	ROK RAW	DET	20	0	31	134	27	10	4	0%	1.6	20.1%	7.5%	12.7%	3.0%	4.35	3.98	—
2026	22	A RAW	DET	7	0	13	54	23	7	0	0%	1.9	42.6%	13.0%	29.6%	0.0%	1.38	1.15	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	DET	44	0	46	195	35	31	5	0%	1.1	17.7%	15.7%	2.1%	2.8%	5.61	5.50	-0.5
2028	24	MLB MLE	DET	45	0	48	201	37	29	6	0%	1.1	18.7%	14.3%	4.4%	2.8%	5.35	5.24	-0.4
2027	23	MLB CTX	DET	22	0	23	97	17	15	3	0%	1.0	17.7%	15.7%	2.1%	2.8%	5.61	5.50	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	DET	31	0	33	139	26	20	4	0%	1.1	18.7%	14.3%	4.4%	2.8%	5.35	5.24	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		53	0	56	236	43	35	7	0%	1.1	18.3%	14.8%	3.4%	2.8%	5.46	4.96	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	154	125	25	0%	1.1	18.3%	14.8%	3.4%	2.8%	5.46	4.96	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		72	16	143	618	110	96	8	22%	2.0	17.7%	15.5%	2.2%	1.3%	3.60	4.27	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		101	22	200	866	154	134	11	22%	2.0	17.7%	15.5%	2.2%	1.3%	3.60	4.27	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Frenny Grant (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.93	16.0%	17.8%	2.8%	—	5.37	18.2%	3.2%	94	-0.56	—	—	—
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	82
Kikito Severino L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	21	SW	5.78	11.9%	19.5%	2.2%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.87	135	81
Brayan Restituyo L 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SU	5.53	17.4%	17.3%	3.1%	.312	4.76	17.6%	5.6%	151	-0.77	3.66	239	80
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	80
Alex Katz L 2017 · 5.11 FIP	22	SU	5.11	14.4%	18.0%	1.7%	.314	4.48	16.3%	1.2%	56	-0.63	2.69	240	80
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	80
Felix Polanco L 2022 · 5.19 FIP	22	SU	5.19	18.7%	19.9%	2.1%	.290	3.68	18.8%	12.8%	27	-1.51	3.68	105	79
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	79
Max Herrmann L 2017 · 5.09 FIP	24	SU	5.09	15.0%	17.9%	1.8%	.333	4.37	12.2%	0.8%	152	-0.72	3.93	168	79
Gerardo Concepción L 2015 · 5.40 FIP	23	SU	5.40	14.0%	18.5%	2.1%	.352	4.53	16.9%	6.5%	60	-0.87	4.53	104	78
Jack O'Loughlin L 2022 · 4.83 FIP	22	SW	4.83	17.0%	13.7%	2.6%	.269	4.81	17.0%	6.8%	239	-0.02	3.78	348	78
Bryan Warzek L 2019 · 5.92 FIP	22	SW	5.92	17.7%	24.4%	2.2%	.328	6.74	20.2%	1.9%	73	+0.82	1.91	138	78
Bryan King L 2021 · 5.20 FIP	24	SU	5.20	17.4%	17.8%	2.4%	.317	2.86	24.0%	14.5%	77	-2.34	2.45	239	78
Chris Nunn L 2015 · 5.49 FIP	24	SU	5.49	13.9%	16.8%	2.6%	.350	3.92	19.3%	6.7%	37	-1.57	3.30	180	78
Graeme Stinson L 2021 · 5.66 FIP	23	SU	5.66	12.6%	12.6%	3.7%	.266	4.14	21.4%	8.7%	101	-1.52	3.56	146	78
Max Green L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	22	SU	4.87	15.7%	13.3%	2.6%	.352	4.41	13.9%	6.6%	86	-0.46	4.19	169	77
Oriel Castro L 2023 · 6.44 FIP	22	SU	6.44	16.0%	21.3%	3.6%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	4.63	129	76
Chris Reed L 2015 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.4%	14.5%	2.3%	.284	4.67	16.4%	6.6%	81	-0.25	4.67	137	76
Bryce Hubbart L 2023 · 5.87 FIP	22	SW	5.87	17.0%	26.0%	1.7%	.303	5.32	17.8%	4.0%	148	-0.55	4.79	193	76
Johan Simon L 2023 · 6.17 FIP	22	SU	6.17	14.6%	15.4%	4.3%	.341	3.78	19.9%	7.2%	114	-2.39	3.45	177	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	46	17.5%	15.9%	1.08	5.62
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99