Jake Bloss

P Buffalo Bisons

Age 26 RHP 6'3" / 223 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2028 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

Overview

AAASPD6040-MANROOKIEFG #101

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	MIX4 levels	24	24	105	3.60	3.94	22.9%	9.0%	1.2	K 19.1% · BB 9.3% · FIP 4.48
2025	24	AAATOR	6	6	24	6.46	4.37	20.9%	11.3%	—	K 17.9% · BB 10.2% · FIP 4.73
2026	25	MIX4 levels	11	11	39	6.18	5.29	21.8%	5.9%	—	K 9.6% · BB 6.0% · FIP 7.08
2027PROJ	26	MLBTOR	13	13	76	4.84	5.23	15.8%	8.3%	-0.3
2028PROJ64% MLB	27	MLBTOR	13	13	79	5.00	5.17	16.4%	8.3%	-0.2
2029PROJ76% MLB	28	MLBTOR	15	15	91	5.09	5.19	16.7%	8.5%	-0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.2 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024

Whiff%37

K%35

FB Velo34

xwOBA vs10

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsNestor Molina (age 27) · Andrew Quezada (age 26) · Seth Shuman (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133124vR 116

ERA4.84

FIP5.23

K%15.8%

BB%8.3%

K-BB%7.4%

Proj IP76

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 76 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF5555

CTRL5050

CMD4550

K†3040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p3493.4

Whiff%

p3723.4%

p3520.0%

xwOBA vs

p100.364

SI (2%)

CU (13%)

SL-0.8 (34%)

CH-1.4 (8%)

FB-2.6 (45%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	6	19	79	23	12	0	86%	2.7	21.4%	18.8%	2.6%	0.0%	2.89	3.67	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	6	19	79	23	12	0	86%	2.7	29.1%	15.2%	13.9%	0.0%	2.89	2.56	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	4 levels	24	24	105	432	99	39	13	100%	4.4	19.1%	9.3%	9.9%	3.3%	3.60	4.48	+0.5
2024	23	MIX MLE	4 levels	24	24	105	432	99	39	13	100%	4.4	19.1%	9.3%	9.9%	3.3%	3.60	4.48	+0.5
2024	23	MIX RAW	4 levels	24	24	105	432	99	39	13	100%	4.4	22.9%	9.0%	13.9%	3.0%	3.60	3.94	+1.2
2025	24	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	6	6	24	115	24	13	3	100%	3.9	17.9%	10.2%	7.8%	3.4%	6.46	4.73	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	6	6	24	115	24	13	3	100%	3.9	17.9%	10.2%	7.8%	3.4%	6.46	4.73	—
2025	24	AAA RAW	Buffalo Bisons	6	6	24	115	24	13	3	100%	3.9	20.9%	11.3%	9.6%	2.6%	6.46	4.37	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	4 levels	11	11	39	170	37	10	10	100%	3.6	9.6%	6.0%	3.6%	7.3%	6.18	7.08	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	4 levels	11	11	39	170	37	10	10	100%	3.6	9.6%	6.0%	3.6%	7.3%	6.18	7.08	—
2026	25	MIX RAW	4 levels	11	11	39	170	37	10	10	100%	3.6	21.8%	5.9%	15.9%	5.9%	6.18	5.29	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			3	3	12	55	11	3	5	100%	3.9	20.0%	5.5%	14.5%	9.1%	6.94	7.56	-0.3
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	TOR	13	13	76	321	51	27	12	100%	5.8	15.8%	8.3%	7.4%	3.7%	4.84	5.23	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	TOR	21	21	123	520	85	43	19	100%	5.9	16.4%	8.3%	8.0%	3.7%	5.00	5.17	-0.4
2029	28	MLB MLE	TOR	20	20	119	504	84	43	19	100%	6.0	16.7%	8.5%	8.2%	3.7%	5.09	5.19	-0.4
2030	29	MLB MLE	TOR	19	19	114	481	79	42	18	100%	6.0	16.4%	8.6%	7.7%	3.8%	5.20	5.30	-0.5
2031	30	MLB MLE	TOR	18	18	107	453	71	40	18	100%	6.0	15.8%	8.9%	6.9%	4.0%	5.36	5.48	-0.7
2028	27	MLB CTX	TOR	13	13	79	334	55	28	12	100%	6.1	16.4%	8.3%	8.0%	3.7%	5.00	5.17	-0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	TOR	15	15	91	384	64	32	14	100%	6.1	16.7%	8.5%	8.2%	3.7%	5.09	5.19	-0.3
2030	29	MLB CTX	TOR	16	16	93	393	64	34	15	100%	5.8	16.4%	8.6%	7.7%	3.8%	5.20	5.30	-0.4
2031	30	MLB CTX	TOR	15	15	92	388	61	35	16	100%	6.1	15.8%	8.9%	6.9%	4.0%	5.36	5.48	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		62	62	367	1555	255	132	62	100%	5.9	16.4%	8.5%	7.9%	4.0%	5.23	4.99	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	848	139	72	34	100%	5.9	16.4%	8.5%	7.9%	4.0%	5.23	4.99	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		48	47	187	796	137	77	31	98%	3.9	17.1%	9.6%	7.5%	3.9%	4.44	4.99	-2.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		51	50	200	853	146	82	33	98%	3.9	17.1%	9.6%	7.5%	3.9%	4.44	4.99	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jake Bloss (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.23	15.8%	8.3%	3.7%	—	5.22	16.5%	8.0%	356	-0.01	—	—	—
Nestor Molina R 2016 · 4.83 FIP	27	SP	4.83	15.0%	8.0%	3.6%	.304	3.61	17.0%	10.2%	289	-1.22	3.01	401	80
Andrew Quezada R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	26	SP-	5.33	14.4%	9.5%	4.1%	.344	4.90	12.7%	5.3%	173	-0.43	4.40	412	79
Seth Shuman R 2024 · 5.47 FIP	26	SP	5.47	14.1%	8.0%	4.7%	.273	4.61	17.0%	11.3%	157	-0.86	3.16	357	78
Nic Swanson R 2024 · 4.91 FIP	25	SP	4.91	19.3%	11.8%	3.5%	.286	5.43	19.9%	6.5%	132	+0.52	4.29	438	78
Enrique Gonzalez R 2006 · 4.49 FIP	24	SP-	4.49	14.3%	7.4%	3.0%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.49	132	77
Jake Bockenstedt R 2024 · 6.05 FIP	24	SP	6.05	17.0%	13.1%	5.0%	.322	4.35	16.8%	5.4%	126	-1.70	3.74	218	77
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	77
Chance Kirby R 2021 · 5.83 FIP	26	SP-	5.83	15.1%	10.0%	5.0%	.242	4.59	18.5%	11.2%	138	-1.24	4.14	325	76
M.D. Johnson R 2023 · 5.64 FIP	26	SP	5.64	16.4%	12.7%	4.2%	.254	3.52	14.6%	4.7%	67	-2.12	3.52	395	76
Nick Payero R 2024 · 4.21 FIP	24	SP-	4.21	16.5%	6.3%	3.1%	.285	5.81	16.6%	4.6%	107	+1.60	4.21	178	76
Travis Smith R 2002 · 5.28 FIP	29	SP	5.28	13.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.324	5.71	15.0%	9.0%	51	+0.43	3.67	105	76
Nolan McLean R 2024 · 4.40 FIP	23	SP	4.40	20.0%	10.1%	3.1%	.292	3.26	25.6%	16.0%	341	-1.14	3.17	451	75
Forrest Snow R 2015 · 5.03 FIP	26	SP-	5.03	16.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.263	4.14	21.8%	14.2%	256	-0.89	3.02	406	75
Caleb Kilian R 2023 · 4.61 FIP	26	SP	4.61	16.0%	6.2%	3.8%	.290	3.54	21.7%	13.5%	105	-1.07	2.42	444	75
Josh Banks R 2008 · 4.81 FIP	26	SP-	4.81	11.6%	7.3%	3.2%	.283	6.01	9.0%	6.0%	23	+1.20	4.81	108	75
Fredy Quintero R 2015 · 4.55 FIP	27	SP-	4.55	11.3%	8.9%	2.3%	.375	4.38	15.1%	7.3%	113	-0.17	4.29	241	75
Jarrod Cande R 2024 · 5.42 FIP	24	SP	5.42	16.7%	11.0%	4.3%	.256	5.72	11.7%	-3.6%	23	+0.30	4.31	315	75
Ryan Hawks R 2024 · 5.26 FIP	23	SP	5.26	13.6%	7.3%	4.4%	.303	5.12	13.6%	4.3%	221	-0.14	4.78	342	75
Kohei Arihara R 2021 · 6.04 FIP	28	SP	6.04	13.5%	7.3%	5.8%	.262	4.58	16.4%	9.2%	94	-1.46	4.58	135	74
Mason Black R 2024 · 4.73 FIP	24	SP	4.73	19.7%	9.3%	3.9%	.304	5.29	17.0%	7.1%	213	+0.56	3.95	569	74

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.8	112	16.3%	8.5%	1.51	5.15
Brandon Claussen ('06)	1.6	105	16.0%	8.5%	1.37	5.04
Bill Grahame ('08-'10, 0 WAR*)	1.7	116	17.7%*	9.3%*	1.52*	5.11*
Armando Galarraga ('12)	2.7	108	14.6%	9.6%	1.56	4.78
Dan Griner ('12-'18, 3 WAR*)	3.4	135	17.1%*	8.0%*	1.50*	4.97*
Bill Posedel ('38-'46, 1 WAR*)	3.4	136	16.9%*	8.8%*	1.33*	5.19*
Steve Parris ('03)	3.8	94	14.4%	8.7%	1.36	4.75