Bairon Ledesma

SS ACL Rockies

Age 22 R/R 5'9" / 180 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	19	ROKCOL	133	.307/.392/.360	0	4	53	—	.225/.285/.250
2025	20	ROKCOL	89	.216/.326/.257	0	1	15	—	.154/.233/.179
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBCOL	199	.205/.269/.275	2	2	55	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBCOL	37	.220/.284/.313	0	0	60	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Whiff%57

Chase%52

K%51

BB%41

Z-Con%32

wRC+15

CompsAlexis Wilson (age 22) · Daurys Mercedes (age 22) · David Masters (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 56 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .267 / .273

PA56

HR0

K%29

BB%7

ISO70

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	245	206	69	13	0	3	28	27	0	19	8	335	415	442	856	107	365	11	11	369	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	133	114	35	2	2	0	16	24	0	4	3	307	392	360	752	53	385	18	12	338	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	89	74	16	3	0	0	11	19	1	1	1	216	326	257	582	41	281	21	12	270	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	245	214	47	9	0	1	20	32	0	19	8	220	286	276	562	56	232	13	8	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	133	120	27	1	1	0	10	35	0	4	3	225	285	250	535	25	311	26	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	89	78	12	2	0	0	7	28	1	1	1	154	233	179	412	26	213	31	8	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	245	214	47	9	0	1	20	32	0	19	8	220	286	276	562	56	247	13	8	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	245	206	69	13	0	3	28	27	0	19	8	335	415	442	856	107	365	11	11	369	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	133	120	27	1	1	0	10	35	0	4	3	225	285	250	535	25	314	26	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	—	133	114	35	2	2	0	16	24	0	4	3	307	392	360	752	53	385	18	12	338	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	89	78	12	2	0	0	7	28	1	1	1	154	233	179	412	26	231	31	8	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	—	89	74	16	3	0	0	11	19	1	1	1	216	326	257	582	41	281	21	12	270	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	245	223	47	9	0	1	20	32	0	19	8	211	286	265	551	54	232	13	8	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	133	122	27	1	1	0	10	35	0	4	3	221	285	246	531	25	311	26	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	89	81	12	2	0	0	7	28	1	1	1	148	233	173	405	25	213	31	8	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	133	122	27	1	1	0	10	35	0	4	3	221	285	246	531	25	311	26	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	89	81	12	2	0	0	7	28	1	1	1	148	233	173	405	25	213	31	8	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	COL	0%	199	182	37	5	1	2	14	57	1	2	1	205	269	275	544	70	286	29	7	249	55	-11	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	COL	34%	108	98	21	3	1	1	8	31	1	1	0	209	274	290	564	81	288	29	7	257	60	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	COL	34%	37	34	7	1	0	0	3	10	0	0	0	220	284	313	597	93	302	27	8	270	60	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	37	34	7	1	0	0	3	10	0	0	0	206	270	235	506	29	292	27	8	270	50	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	597	123	18	0	0	53	176	0	0	0	206	271	236	507	30	292	27	8	270	50	-31	+0	+0	+7	+14	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	631	562	117	17	2	2	49	142	2	25	12	208	274	256	530	48	269	23	8	242	50	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	121	18	2	2	50	146	2	26	12	209	274	257	531	48	270	22	8	242	50	-32	+1	+0	+7	+14	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bairon Ledesma (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	203/267/273	70	286	0	0	29%	7%	55	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alexis Wilson 2019 · A	22	40	38→40	48→30	45	194/260/273	78	263	5	4	27%	8%	53	-2.1	219/269/310	91	281	9	5	24%	6%	63	-1.3	222/267/302	80	270	10	1	21%	5%	58	-0.6
✕Daurys Mercedes 2012 · A	22	38	35→40	46→45	42	179/250/239	60	285	2	7	36%	8%	40	-3.0	178/242/245	67	330	3	6	43%	7%	39	-3.1	127/201/181	54	254	2	4	47%	7%	7	-1.7
✕David Masters 2015 · A	22	39→37	36→45	47→40	40	185/251/253	68	279	3	8	33%	7%	45	-2.7	179/238/249	70	242	6	4	27%	6%	38	-3.2	187/256/313	125	256	16	1	32%	7%	58	-0.7
✕Misael Urbina 2024 · A	22	35→32	39→40	47→50	44	172/248/261	89	251	6	9	32%	8%	46	-2.6	189/269/280	91	269	6	9	29%	9%	58	-1.7	182/269/271	88	253	6	9	28%	10%	53	-1.1
✕Brandon Lewis 2021 · A	22	42→34	39→50	49→30	40	203/264/289	86	290	7	6	31%	6%	57	-1.8	196/250/365	169	289	23	3	39%	6%	71	-0.8	176/230/331	155	250	22	1	39%	5%	53	-1.4
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	34	36→40	46→50	48	162/233/224	62	208	4	10	23%	8%	32	-3.7	181/263/263	82	249	5	10	27%	9%	52	-2.2	164/271/256	91	205	6	12	21%	11%	53	-0.9
✕J.C. Millan 2018 · A	22	40	37→40	45→30	36	195/236/271	76	279	4	8	31%	4%	42	-2.9	220/267/316	96	272	9	6	22%	6%	64	-1.3	226/273/320	94	265	9	4	18%	6%	64	-0.5
✕Geovanny Planchart 2024 · A	22	41	37→40	49→40	48	192/274/268	75	279	4	5	30%	10%	57	-1.8	193/270/277	84	273	7	4	29%	9%	57	-1.8	164/246/241	76	224	8	0	29%	9%	39	-1.0
✕Narbe Cruz 2023 · A	22	40	38→45	44→45	40	194/247/270	77	262	5	7	27%	5%	47	-2.6	210/262/301	91	296	8	6	30%	5%	59	-1.6	208/262/300	93	295	9	6	31%	5%	55	-1.0
✕Juan Zabala 2021 · A	22	40	39→40	48→50	37	189/252/274	85	299	6	6	37%	6%	50	-2.3	213/274/306	93	302	8	13	30%	7%	65	-1.2	205/266/287	81	283	8	16	29%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Frank Rodriguez 2024 · A	22	35	42→45	47→30	38	180/236/279	99	250	10	4	32%	5%	45	-2.7	188/246/274	86	257	8	4	29%	6%	47	-2.5	183/244/267	84	241	9	1	27%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Malvin Matos 2019 · A	22	43→37	39→45	48→50	44	207/271/295	88	278	6	10	26%	7%	61	-1.5	206/270/312	106	292	11	11	31%	7%	65	-1.2	191/259/294	103	264	13	13	31%	7%	54	-1.5
✕Justin Twine 2018 · A	22	37→33	37→40	47→50	31	179/219/250	71	280	4	7	37%	3%	31	-3.7	213/252/298	85	304	6	10	30%	4%	54	-2.0	216/252/305	89	320	6	14	33%	3%	54	-1.1
✕Arturo De Freitas 2023 · A	22	35	39→40	45→40	34	175/221/253	78	272	7	4	37%	5%	32	-3.6	185/240/265	80	303	8	5	39%	6%	43	-2.8	138/183/216	78	244	10	0	46%	5%	8	-1.0
✕Caleb Hamilton 2017 · A	22	39	38→45	48→45	44	183/266/267	84	289	5	5	36%	9%	54	-2.0	177/255/278	101	266	8	5	34%	9%	52	-2.2	140/232/254	115	204	16	3	39%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/293/300	81	280	8	4	23%	7%	72	-0.7	211/298/265	54	265	5	1	21%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2008 · A	22	38	39→40	42→50	40	189/236/271	83	258	7	4	30%	6%	42	-2.9	198/259/276	78	270	5	5	27%	7%	53	-2.1	219/256/297	79	272	10	12	23%	4%	52	-0.7
✕Juan Avila 2014 · A	22	37	36→45	46→40	41	180/232/245	65	230	4	5	23%	5%	35	-3.4	211/263/304	93	277	6	5	25%	5%	60	-1.6	204/255/301	97	265	6	2	24%	4%	54	-1.3
✕Felix Stevens 2021 · A	22	41→36	40→50	48→45	41	194/265/291	97	300	7	8	35%	7%	59	-1.7	190/248/327	137	321	15	5	43%	6%	61	-1.5	183/258/337	154	293	20	5	42%	8%	65	-0.8
✕Adonis Paula 2016 · A	22	40	37→40	46→40	40	191/251/262	71	279	4	5	31%	6%	46	-2.6	190/238/261	71	348	5	4	44%	5%	40	-3.0	171/218/228	58	321	5	2	46%	5%	24	-1.3