Bairon Ledesma — OGILVIE

Bairon LedesmaSS ACL Rockies

Age 21 R/R 5'9" / 180 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 79 proj PA

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .270 / .284

PA79

HR1

K%27

BB%7

ISO78

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT43

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$2M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	245	215	55	11	0	2	19	37	0	19	8	256	316	335	651	79	293	15	8	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	245	206	69	13	0	3	28	27	0	19	8	335	415	442	856	107	365	11	11	369	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	133	121	27	1	1	0	9	35	0	4	3	223	277	248	525	25	310	26	7	241	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	133	114	35	2	2	0	16	24	0	4	3	307	392	360	752	53	385	18	12	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	89	78	12	2	0	0	7	28	1	1	1	154	233	179	412	26	231	31	8	189	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	89	74	16	3	0	0	11	19	1	1	1	216	326	257	582	41	281	21	12	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	COL	—	79	72	15	3	0	1	6	21	1	1	0	208	278	292	570	83	280	27	8	255	53	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	COL	34%	163	149	32	6	1	2	12	42	1	3	1	215	278	309	587	94	282	26	7	267	63	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2028	23	MLB	COL	48%	286	260	58	10	2	5	22	73	2	5	2	223	289	335	623	112	284	26	8	275	69	-10	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.1
2029	24	MLB	COL	53%	374	339	75	13	2	7	29	95	3	7	2	221	288	333	622	112	286	25	8	280	73	-12	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.4
2030	25	MLB	COL	55%	426	386	86	15	2	8	33	107	4	8	2	223	291	334	625	111	286	25	8	283	74	-12	+1	+0	+5	+12	0.5
2031	26	MLB	COL	56%	458	415	93	17	2	9	36	115	4	9	3	224	292	340	632	116	286	25	8	283	75	-13	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.6
2032	27	MLB	COL	55%	473	429	96	17	3	9	37	119	4	9	3	224	291	340	632	117	286	25	8	283	75	-13	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.6
2027	22	MLB	COL	34%	56	52	11	2	0	1	4	15	0	1	0	212	268	308	576	96	303	27	7	279	72	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	23	MLB	COL	48%	139	126	31	6	1	3	11	36	1	3	1	246	312	381	693	135	305	26	8	288	78	-3	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.2
2029	24	MLB	COL	53%	197	178	43	8	1	4	15	50	2	4	1	242	308	365	673	124	307	25	8	293	82	-4	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.4
2030	25	MLB	COL	55%	233	211	50	9	1	5	18	59	2	5	1	237	303	360	663	123	307	25	8	296	85	-4	+1	+0	+2	+7	0.6
2031	26	MLB	COL	56%	255	231	55	10	1	6	20	64	2	5	1	238	304	368	672	130	307	25	8	297	85	-4	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2032	27	MLB	COL	55%	260	235	56	10	1	6	21	66	2	5	1	238	306	366	672	128	307	25	8	297	85	-4	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1140	1033	246	45	5	25	89	290	9	23	5	238	304	364	668	126	306	25	8	294	83	-22	+3	+0	+12	+32	2.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	141	26	3	14	51	165	5	13	3	239	305	365	670	126	308	25	8	294	83	-12	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.5
Career	—			—	2726	2464	549	95	13	43	210	672	20	66	25	223	289	324	613	101	286	25	8	274	68	-98	+3	+0	+29	+77	1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	131	23	3	10	50	160	5	16	6	223	289	323	612	100	287	25	8	274	68	-23	+1	+0	+7	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	245	206	69	13	0	3	28	27	0	19	8	335	415	442	856	107	365	11	11	369	141	+11	+1	—	—	+7	1.9
2024	19	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	133	114	35	2	2	0	16	24	0	4	3	307	392	360	752	53	385	18	12	338	117	+3	-0	—	—	+4	0.6
2025	20	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	89	74	16	3	0	0	11	19	1	1	1	216	326	257	582	41	281	21	12	270	65	-4	-0	—	—	+3	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,219	21	23	222	286	331	+13	+12	1.1	1.2
	/162	664	11	13	222	286	331	+7.1	+6.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bairon Ledesma (OGILVIE)	21	38→43	28→33	46→51	52	206/270/284	78	280	1	1	27%	7%	53	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	41→51	39→45	50	42	199/261/284	85	279	6	11	30%	7%	50	-1.8	227/277/335	108	310	11	10	29%	6%	69	-0.4	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Francisco Acuna 2021 · A	21	44→50	37→45	49→50	42	208/267/284	76	290	4	7	28%	6%	52	-1.6	194/271/281	87	277	5	10	30%	7%	54	-1.4	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Gorge Munoz 2017 · A	21	43	38→40	50→55	42	205/260/282	78	258	5	17	22%	5%	48	-1.9	205/257/290	85	298	7	10	32%	5%	49	-1.8	185/231/261	77	287	9	9	37%	3%	28	-0.8
✕Yoel Romero 2019 · A	21	46	38→40	48→50	48	219/282/294	75	276	5	13	22%	7%	60	-1.0	208/265/288	80	289	6	7	28%	7%	52	-1.6	201/249/291	90	304	8	0	35%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Cutter Dykstra 2010 · A	21	40→50	40	47→55	43	198/260/282	84	275	8	11	30%	7%	48	-1.9	217/273/292	75	304	6	16	29%	6%	56	-1.3	232/301/316	84	315	6	16	26%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Abel Nieves 2007 · A	21	44	35→40	47→45	46	208/267/270	62	270	2	6	23%	7%	48	-1.9	228/295/306	78	316	4	5	26%	9%	69	-0.4	237/311/318	81	332	4	4	27%	10%	75	+0.0
✕Dixon Mavares 2007 · A	21	46	35→30	51→50	44	215/285/275	60	277	1	11	22%	6%	57	-1.2	220/294/288	68	262	3	10	16%	8%	65	-0.7	223/303/283	60	253	3	11	12%	8%	65	-0.2
✕Anneury Peguero 2008 · A	21	48	35→30	48→50	51	224/298/278	54	280	2	11	20%	8%	63	-0.8	205/282/270	65	269	4	12	23%	9%	55	-1.4	150/247/186	36	193	3	18	22%	10%	17	-1.1
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	47	-1.9	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	67	-0.5	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	66	-0.2
✕Jose Cordova 2021 · A	21	49	37→40	50	42	230/287/303	73	298	4	13	23%	5%	65	-0.7	211/265/280	69	308	3	9	31%	5%	50	-1.8	227/290/312	85	305	4	12	25%	7%	65	-0.3
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Tomás Nido 2015 · A	21	44	39→45	49→30	43	212/267/299	87	285	6	7	27%	6%	56	-1.3	233/264/343	110	303	11	2	26%	4%	65	-0.7	240/274/351	111	288	9	0	19%	4%	69	-0.3
✕Luke Williams 2017 · A	20	46	36→45	50→60	47	215/283/280	65	292	3	11	26%	8%	57	-1.2	193/244/262	69	260	5	17	26%	6%	36	-2.7	230/291/360	130	317	13	42	30%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Yeldrys Molina 2009 · A	20	43	38→40	48→50	44	206/265/287	82	281	4	9	27%	7%	51	-1.7	194/252/272	78	285	4	8	31%	7%	42	-2.3	139/198/200	60	203	0	9	29%	6%	-1	-1.2
✕Tim Lopes 2015 · A	21	45→55	36→45	50→55	42	215/262/286	72	278	3	12	23%	5%	49	-1.8	243/293/321	78	317	3	19	23%	6%	72	-0.2	255/305/335	81	327	3	21	21%	6%	77	+0.2
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2021 · A	21	44→45	40	46→40	43	215/264/301	87	273	8	6	24%	6%	54	-1.4	227/296/326	99	305	8	4	26%	8%	75	-0.0	220/294/315	95	295	8	2	26%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Melvin Santana 2013 · A	21	47	38→45	52→50	48	222/279/311	89	270	4	11	19%	7%	63	-0.9	199/247/277	78	265	3	11	25%	6%	40	-2.4	152/191/217	66	210	0	15	27%	4%	0	-0.9
✕Jesus Ugueto 2012 · A	21	43	38→45	47→50	45	207/264/289	81	274	5	6	25%	7%	51	-1.7	234/283/350	116	301	10	11	24%	6%	75	-0.0	248/294/383	135	310	12	14	23%	5%	88	+0.4
✕Kenneth Betancourt 2021 · A	21	41→51	35→40	50	39	195/238/261	66	271	2	9	28%	5%	32	-3.0	220/261/284	64	301	3	8	26%	5%	48	-1.9	241/282/301	60	316	3	9	24%	5%	58	-0.6
✕Jimmy Mojica 2021 · A	21	45	37→40	47→50	41	212/261/283	72	278	4	8	25%	5%	48	-1.9	202/265/291	89	285	8	6	30%	6%	53	-1.5	182/249/283	101	230	13	4	26%	5%	43	-0.7