Bairon Ledesma — OGILVIE

Bairon LedesmaSS ACL Rockies

Age 21 R/R 5'9" / 180 lbs ROK H +10%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 2.0 · 2032

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .293 / .333

PA79

HR1

K%24

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

38↗43

PWR

28↗33

SPD

46↗51

EYE

47↗52

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.0peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.0	$19M	+$18M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+1.9	$19M	+$18M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+1.7	$17M	+$16M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+1.5	$16M	+$13M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+1.2	$13M	+$9M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+0.9	$5M	+$0.5M
Totals		$14M		$89M	+$74M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	245	216	54	10	0	2	18	37	0	19	8	.250	.308	.324	.632	.074	.286	15	7	.278	71	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2024	19	ROK	ACL Rockies	133	121	27	1	1	0	9	35	0	4	3	.223	.277	.248	.525	.025	.310	26	7	.239	41	-9	-0	+0	+1	+4	-0.4
2025	20	ROK	ACL Rockies	89	78	12	2	0	0	7	28	1	1	1	.154	.233	.179	.412	.026	.231	31	8	.190	4	-10	-0	+0	+1	+3	-0.7
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	COL	79	72	15	3	0	1	6	19	1	1	0	.208	.278	.292	.570	.083	.286	24	8	.285	76	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	COL	163	147	33	6	1	3	14	38	1	3	1	.224	.296	.340	.636	.116	.287	23	9	.298	86	-3	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.4
2028	23	MLB 28%	COL	286	255	61	11	2	7	26	66	3	6	2	.239	.317	.380	.697	.141	.288	23	9	.305	92	-3	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.9
2029	24	MLB 45%	COL	374	334	79	15	2	9	34	85	3	7	2	.237	.313	.374	.687	.138	.289	23	9	.310	96	-2	+1	+0	+4	+11	1.4
2030	25	MLB 60%	COL	426	379	91	17	2	11	40	96	4	8	2	.240	.319	.383	.702	.142	.289	23	9	.314	98	-1	+1	+0	+5	+12	1.7
2031	26	MLB 77%	COL	458	407	97	18	2	12	44	103	4	9	2	.238	.319	.381	.700	.143	.290	22	10	.315	100	-0	+1	+0	+5	+13	1.9
2032	27	MLB 92%	COL	473	420	101	19	3	12	46	107	4	9	2	.240	.321	.386	.707	.145	.290	23	10	.316	100	-0	+1	+0	+5	+13	2.0
2033	28	MLB	COL	477	423	100	19	2	12	47	108	4	9	2	.236	.319	.376	.694	.139	.289	23	10	.314	99	-1	+1	-1	+5	+14	1.9
2034	29	MLB	COL	474	420	98	18	2	12	47	109	4	8	2	.233	.316	.371	.688	.138	.289	23	10	.312	97	-2	+1	-1	+5	+13	1.7
2035	30	MLB	COL	467	414	96	18	2	11	46	109	4	8	1	.232	.315	.365	.679	.133	.287	23	10	.309	95	-3	+1	-2	+5	+13	1.5
2036	31	MLB	COL	455	403	93	17	2	11	45	108	4	7	1	.231	.314	.365	.679	.134	.286	24	10	.305	92	-4	+1	-3	+5	+13	1.2
2037	32	MLB	COL	438	388	88	16	2	10	43	106	4	6	0	.227	.310	.356	.666	.129	.284	24	10	.301	88	-6	+1	-4	+5	+12	0.9
2038	33	MLB	COL	410	364	82	15	2	9	40	102	3	6	0	.225	.307	.352	.659	.126	.283	25	10	.295	84	-7	+1	-4	+4	+12	0.6
2039	34	MLB	COL	366	325	71	13	2	7	35	94	3	5	0	.218	.300	.335	.636	.117	.281	26	10	.289	79	-9	+1	-5	+4	+10	0.2
2040	35	MLB	COL	312	277	58	10	1	6	30	84	2	5	0	.209	.291	.318	.609	.108	.279	27	10	.281	73	-9	+1	-6	+3	+9	-0.2
2041	36	MLB	COL	255	227	46	8	1	4	24	71	2	4	0	.203	.285	.300	.584	.097	.276	28	9	.273	67	-10	+1	-6	+3	+7	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6380	5670	1302	236	29	139	601	1505	51	125	29	.230	.309	.355	.664	.125	.286	24	9	.300	88	-87	+13	-31	+68	+181	14.7
/ 162G	—			650	578	132	24	3	14	61	153	5	13	3	.228	.307	.353	.660	.125	.284	24	9	.300	88	-9	+1	-3	+7	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	245	206	69	13	0	3	28	27	0	19	8	.335	.415	.442	.856	.107	.365	11	11	.369	141	+11	+1	—	—	+7	1.9
2024	19	ROK	ACL Rockies	133	114	35	2	2	0	16	24	0	4	3	.307	.392	.360	.752	.053	.385	18	12	.338	117	+3	-0	—	—	+4	0.6
2025	20	ROK	ACL Rockies	89	74	16	3	0	0	11	19	1	1	1	.216	.326	.257	.582	.041	.281	21	12	.270	65	-4	-0	—	—	+3	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bairon Ledesma (OGILVIE)	21	38→43	28→33	46→51	52	.223/.293/.333	.110	.286	1	1	24%	8%	76	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Alvarez 2011 · A	21	48	43→45	47→45	46	.231/.301/.344	.113	.287	10	6	22%	7%	82	+0.5	.218/.273/.326	.108	.274	10	5	23%	5%	66	-0.6	.212/.264/.322	.111	.252	13	1	21%	4%	57	-0.3
✕Blake Ochoa 2007 · A	21	45	40→45	46→40	44	.215/.280/.308	.092	.280	6	5	24%	6%	64	-0.8	.217/.270/.311	.094	.277	7	4	23%	6%	60	-1.0	.236/.301/.377	.140	.278	16	2	21%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2014 · A	21	46	39→45	49→50	41	.219/.279/.316	.097	.283	4	11	23%	5%	66	-0.6	.207/.254/.303	.096	.295	8	8	31%	5%	51	-1.7	.197/.237/.286	.089	.285	10	7	34%	4%	36	-0.8
●Lou Marson 2007 · A	21	44→54	40	53→50	44	.211/.271/.304	.093	.282	6	6	27%	7%	58	-1.2	.248/.316/.343	.095	.329	7	4	24%	9%	88	+0.9	.265/.339/.354	.089	.347	6	4	23%	9%	97	+1.1
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	42→40	46→45	48	.209/.289/.317	.108	.281	9	6	28%	9%	70	-0.3	.221/.304/.311	.090	.312	8	6	29%	9%	75	-0.0	.236/.329/.308	.072	.330	7	6	28%	11%	83	+0.2
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	49→56	41→45	50	49	.234/.299/.341	.107	.285	6	12	20%	7%	80	+0.4	.247/.308/.361	.114	.302	10	14	20%	7%	89	+0.9	.254/.316/.360	.106	.307	10	16	19%	7%	89	+0.7
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	47→49	40→45	48→45	51	.222/.330/.318	.096	.290	7	9	24%	9%	90	+1.0	.229/.317/.341	.112	.289	10	7	23%	7%	89	+1.0	.230/.322/.343	.112	.289	11	5	22%	7%	88	+0.5
●Tyler Nevin 2018 · A	21	46→54	41→50	45	43	.225/.276/.329	.104	.286	8	9	24%	6%	67	-0.5	.231/.283/.339	.108	.294	10	6	24%	6%	72	-0.2	.240/.318/.386	.146	.290	17	4	22%	8%	98	+1.1
✕Henry Henry 2008 · A	21	52	40	49→60	53	.246/.330/.342	.097	.293	8	14	18%	9%	94	+1.3	.241/.302/.320	.079	.274	5	21	13%	7%	76	+0.0	.250/.305/.317	.067	.277	4	30	11%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Efrain Contreras 2008 · A	21	47	44→45	53→55	45	.232/.297/.346	.114	.275	12	15	20%	6%	82	+0.5	.215/.274/.310	.095	.277	8	11	24%	5%	62	-0.9	.185/.240/.257	.072	.258	6	6	29%	5%	31	-1.1
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	48→45	43→45	48→70	45	.232/.292/.346	.114	.280	10	9	21%	6%	79	+0.3	.220/.293/.329	.109	.282	9	25	24%	7%	76	+0.0	.229/.321/.344	.115	.305	10	63	26%	9%	87	+0.6
✕Jairo Encarnacion 2007 · A	21	44	41→40	52→45	46	.212/.275/.307	.095	.247	9	8	18%	6%	62	-0.9	.229/.297/.318	.089	.270	8	7	17%	7%	74	-0.1	.246/.322/.325	.079	.284	8	4	15%	7%	85	+0.3
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	.209/.289/.316	.107	.254	9	14	21%	8%	70	-0.3	.226/.290/.341	.115	.304	10	11	28%	6%	77	+0.1	.220/.277/.325	.105	.292	10	8	27%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Albert Hernandez 2010 · A	21	48	40	48→45	47	.228/.290/.326	.098	.277	7	7	20%	7%	72	-0.2	.218/.273/.299	.081	.299	6	6	27%	6%	57	-1.2	.193/.237/.228	.035	.286	3	2	32%	5%	20	-0.8
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	50	43	.213/.273/.339	.126	.289	12	10	30%	7%	69	-0.4	.229/.292/.389	.160	.276	19	13	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1
●Jake Elmore 2009 · A	22	46→56	40	45→55	45	.217/.280/.319	.102	.286	6	10	25%	7%	66	-0.6	.232/.303/.309	.077	.283	4	13	18%	9%	73	-0.1	.266/.337/.349	.083	.314	3	23	15%	9%	95	+1.0
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2008 · A	22	47	40	51→55	46	.225/.293/.318	.094	.300	7	17	26%	8%	72	-0.2	.201/.260/.278	.077	.307	5	12	34%	6%	47	-1.9	.135/.182/.184	.049	.223	4	5	40%	2%	-12	-1.0
✕Sherman Lacrus 2016 · A	22	47	40→30	45→50	49	.225/.297/.314	.089	.263	7	7	17%	7%	73	-0.1	.204/.258/.288	.084	.268	6	8	25%	6%	49	-1.8	.183/.231/.254	.071	.236	5	9	24%	4%	26	-1.1
✕Ricardo Olivar 2023 · A	21	47→51	42→45	48→50	42	.220/.290/.336	.116	.325	8	9	33%	7%	76	+0.0	.228/.308/.351	.123	.315	11	9	29%	9%	88	+0.9	.221/.304/.343	.122	.294	13	10	27%	9%	80	+0.3
●Tony Granadillo 2006 · A	21	47→57	42→45	49→30	45	.227/.294/.333	.106	.295	9	5	25%	7%	76	+0.1	.238/.300/.360	.122	.292	11	3	21%	7%	85	+0.7	.239/.305/.359	.121	.290	10	2	20%	7%	85	+0.5

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)