Bairon Ledesma — OGILVIE

Bairon LedesmaSS ACL Rockies

Age 21 R/R 5'9" / 180 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 79 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .270 / .285

PA7

HR0

K%26

BB%7

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT43

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	245	206	69	13	0	3	28	27	0	19	8	335	415	442	856	107	365	11	11	369	136	+10	+1	—	—	+5	1.7
2024	19	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	133	114	35	2	2	0	16	24	0	4	3	307	392	360	752	53	385	18	12	338	115	+2	-0	—	—	+3	0.5
2025	20	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	89	74	16	3	0	0	11	19	1	1	1	216	326	257	582	41	281	21	12	270	69	-3	-0	—	—	+2	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	245	216	55	10	0	2	18	38	0	19	8	255	312	329	641	74	279	16	7	282	77	-7	+1	—	—	+5	-0.1
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	133	120	27	1	1	0	10	35	0	4	3	225	285	250	535	25	309	26	8	245	52	-8	-0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	89	78	12	2	0	0	7	28	1	1	1	154	233	179	412	26	214	31	8	191	15	-9	-0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	245	216	55	10	0	2	18	38	0	19	8	255	312	329	641	74	293	16	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	245	206	69	13	0	3	28	27	0	19	8	335	415	442	856	107	365	11	11	369	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	133	120	27	1	1	0	10	35	0	4	3	225	285	250	535	25	314	26	8	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	—	133	114	35	2	2	0	16	24	0	4	3	307	392	360	752	53	385	18	12	338	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	89	78	12	2	0	0	7	28	1	1	1	154	233	179	412	26	231	31	8	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	—	89	74	16	3	0	0	11	19	1	1	1	216	326	257	582	41	281	21	12	270	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	245	225	55	10	0	2	18	38	0	19	8	244	312	316	628	71	279	16	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	133	122	27	1	1	0	10	35	0	4	3	221	285	246	531	25	309	26	8	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	89	81	12	2	0	0	7	28	1	1	1	148	233	173	405	25	214	31	8	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	245	225	55	10	0	2	18	38	0	19	8	244	312	316	628	71	279	16	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	133	122	27	1	1	0	10	35	0	4	3	221	285	246	531	25	309	26	8	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	89	81	12	2	0	0	7	28	1	1	1	148	233	173	405	25	214	31	8	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	COL	0%	7	6	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	167	286	167	452		280	29	14	256	59	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	COL	34%	163	149	32	6	1	2	12	42	1	3	1	215	278	309	587	94	282	26	7	268	67	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2028	23	MLB MLE	COL	48%	286	260	58	10	2	5	22	72	2	5	2	223	289	335	623	112	284	25	8	276	73	-9	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	COL	53%	374	339	76	13	2	7	29	94	3	7	2	224	291	336	627	112	285	25	8	281	76	-11	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	COL	55%	426	386	86	15	2	8	33	106	4	8	2	223	291	334	625	111	285	25	8	283	78	-11	+1	+0	+5	+9	0.3
2031	26	MLB MLE	COL	56%	458	415	92	16	2	9	36	114	4	9	3	222	290	335	625	113	285	25	8	284	78	-12	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.4
2032	27	MLB MLE	COL	55%	473	429	96	17	3	9	37	118	4	9	3	224	291	340	632	117	285	25	8	284	78	-12	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.4
2033	28	MLB MLE	COL	55%	477	432	96	17	2	9	38	120	4	9	3	222	291	333	624	111	285	25	8	283	78	-13	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.3
2034	29	MLB MLE	COL	58%	474	429	95	17	2	9	38	120	4	9	3	221	291	333	624	112	284	25	8	281	77	-13	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.1
2035	30	MLB MLE	COL	55%	467	422	92	16	2	8	38	120	4	8	2	218	289	322	611	104	283	26	8	279	75	-14	+1	-2	+5	+10	-0.0
2027	22	MLB CTX	COL	34%	56	52	11	2	0	1	4	14	0	1	0	212	268	308	576	96	297	25	7	276	67	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	COL	48%	139	126	28	5	1	2	11	35	1	3	1	222	290	325	615	103	299	25	8	284	73	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	COL	53%	197	178	42	8	1	4	15	49	2	4	1	236	303	360	662	124	301	25	8	290	76	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	COL	55%	233	211	50	9	2	5	18	58	2	5	1	237	303	370	673	133	301	25	8	292	78	-6	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	COL	56%	255	231	55	10	2	5	20	64	2	5	1	238	304	364	668	126	301	25	8	293	78	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	COL	55%	260	235	56	10	2	6	21	65	2	5	1	238	306	374	681	136	301	25	8	293	78	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	COL	55%	261	236	55	10	2	5	21	66	2	5	1	233	301	356	657	123	300	25	8	292	78	-7	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	COL	58%	275	249	59	11	2	6	22	70	2	5	1	237	304	369	674	133	300	25	8	290	77	-8	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	COL	55%	258	233	55	10	2	5	21	66	2	5	1	236	305	361	665	124	299	26	8	288	75	-8	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1934	1751	411	75	14	39	153	487	15	38	8	235	302	360	662	126	302	25	8	290	74	-54	+4	-2	+21	+42	1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	138	25	5	13	51	164	5	13	3	235	301	361	661	126	302	25	8	290	74	-18	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	4072	3681	818	140	19	68	319	1009	31	91	33	222	290	326	616	104	285	25	8	278	74	-102	+5	-4	+39	+78	1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	130	22	3	11	51	161	5	15	5	221	289	325	614	104	283	25	8	278	74	-18	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#2Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.0	2,012	35	38	223	287	332	+22	+18	2.2	2.2
/162	664	12	13	+7.1	+5.9	0.7	pk7: 2
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bairon Ledesma (OGILVIE)	21	38→43	28→33	46→51	52	207/270/285	78	280	1	1	26%	7%	59	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yoel Romero 2019 · A	21	46	38→40	48→50	48	219/282/294	75	276	5	13	22%	7%	65	-1.2	211/268/290	79	291	6	7	28%	7%	59	-1.7	212/260/299	87	317	7	0	34%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Gorge Munoz 2017 · A	21	43	38→40	50→55	42	205/260/282	78	258	5	17	22%	5%	54	-2.0	206/257/291	85	297	7	10	31%	5%	55	-1.9	189/234/268	78	291	9	9	37%	3%	38	-0.8
✕Cutter Dykstra 2010 · A	21	40→50	40	47→55	43	198/260/282	84	275	8	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	222/279/297	75	309	6	16	28%	6%	65	-1.2	239/307/326	86	317	6	16	24%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	42→52	39→45	50	41	204/263/293	89	285	6	11	29%	6%	58	-1.7	228/278/329	101	310	10	10	28%	6%	72	-0.7	235/295/316	82	324	8	12	28%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Jose Cordova 2021 · A	21	49	37→40	50	42	230/287/303	73	298	4	13	23%	5%	69	-0.9	212/267/282	70	308	3	9	30%	5%	57	-1.8	229/290/316	87	306	5	11	25%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Francisco Acuna 2021 · A	21	44→48	37→45	49→50	42	208/267/284	76	290	4	7	28%	6%	57	-1.8	193/273/282	89	275	6	10	30%	7%	61	-1.5	217/289/313	96	287	8	16	26%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Dixon Mavares 2007 · A	21	46	35→30	51→50	44	215/285/275	60	277	1	11	22%	6%	62	-1.4	220/294/288	68	262	3	10	16%	8%	69	-0.9	223/303/283	60	253	3	11	12%	8%	69	-0.3
✕Abel Nieves 2007 · A	21	44	35→40	47→45	46	208/267/270	62	270	2	6	23%	7%	54	-2.0	229/295/306	77	317	4	5	26%	9%	72	-0.7	237/311/319	81	332	4	4	27%	10%	78	-0.1
✕Anneury Peguero 2008 · A	21	48	35→30	48→50	51	224/298/278	54	280	2	11	20%	8%	68	-1.0	205/282/270	65	269	4	12	23%	9%	60	-1.6	150/247/186	36	193	3	18	22%	10%	27	-1.1
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	53	-2.1	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	71	-0.8	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	70	-0.3
✕José Alvarez 2021 · A	21	46	36→40	49→50	42	218/271/288	71	297	3	6	27%	6%	59	-1.6	223/272/288	65	326	3	9	30%	6%	59	-1.6	233/281/281	48	330	2	10	28%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Glenn Santiago 2022 · A	21	43	40	51→45	49	207/278/298	91	250	7	11	20%	7%	65	-1.2	199/261/287	88	292	7	8	32%	7%	56	-1.9	182/247/261	79	270	7	8	33%	7%	43	-1.1
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/298/304	85	284	8	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	216/302/271	55	271	5	1	21%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2021 · A	21	44→43	39→45	46→40	43	214/262/293	80	273	7	6	24%	6%	57	-1.8	225/298/328	103	300	8	4	26%	8%	80	-0.2	218/296/319	101	289	9	2	26%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Yeldrys Molina 2009 · A	20	43	38→40	48→50	44	206/265/287	82	281	4	9	27%	7%	57	-1.8	194/252/272	78	285	4	8	31%	7%	49	-2.4	139/198/200	60	203	0	9	29%	6%	11	-1.2
✕Melvin Santana 2013 · A	21	47	38→45	52→50	48	222/279/311	89	270	4	11	19%	7%	67	-1.1	199/247/277	78	265	3	11	25%	6%	47	-2.5	152/191/217	66	210	0	15	27%	4%	12	-0.9
●Maikel Garcia 2021 · A	21	43→53	36→50	51→60	42	203/261/270	67	295	3	13	31%	7%	51	-2.2	244/303/338	94	314	6	24	22%	8%	82	+0.0	261/321/393	132	295	10	24	15%	8%	100	+1.2
✕Tomás Nido 2015 · A	21	44→43	39→45	49→30	43	212/267/299	87	285	6	7	27%	6%	61	-1.5	230/261/332	102	302	9	2	26%	4%	65	-1.2	238/272/346	108	283	9	0	19%	4%	71	-0.5
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→48	38→50	49→40	44	204/275/284	80	281	6	6	28%	7%	61	-1.5	210/273/293	83	267	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Emerson Landoni 2010 · A	21	46→56	37→40	45	46	216/281/289	72	281	4	7	24%	7%	63	-1.3	229/272/303	74	292	5	8	22%	5%	63	-1.4	264/307/333	70	313	3	4	16%	5%	79	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps