Bairon Ledesma

SS ACL Rockies
Age 22 R/R 5'9" / 180 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202318ROKDSL Colorado245.335/.415/.44231955—.220/.286/.276
202419ROKCOL133.307/.392/.3600453—.225/.285/.250
202520ROKCOL89.216/.326/.2570115—.154/.233/.179
2027PROJMLE22MLBCOL199.205/.269/.2752255-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB23MLBCOL23.220/.284/.3130060-0.0
2029PROJ46% MLB24MLBCOL68.224/.288/.3271065-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk
Whiff%57
Chase%52
K%51
BB%41
Z-Con%32
wRC+15
CompsAlexis Wilson (age 22) · Daurys Mercedes (age 22) · David Masters (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj PA
wRC+†55
AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .267 / .273
PA35
HR0
K%29
BB%7
ISO70
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +0.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.10.0-0.1272829
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202318 ROKDSL Colorado — 245206 691303 28270 198 335415442856 107365 1111 369 55 — — — — — —
202419 ROKACL Rockies — 133114 35220 16240 43 307392360752 53385 1812 338 53 — — — — — —
202520 ROKACL Rockies — 8974 16300 11191 11 216326257582 41281 2112 270 15 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202318 ROK MLEDSL Colorado — 245214 47901 20320 198 220286276562 56232 138 250 55 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 133120 27110 10350 43 225285250535 25311 268 247 53 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 8978 12200 7281 11 154233179412 26213 318 190 15 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Colorado — 245214 47901 20320 198 220286276562 56247 138 250 55 — — — — — —
202318 ROK RAWDSL Colorado — 245206 691303 28270 198 335415442856 107365 1111 369 55 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 133120 27110 10350 43 225285250535 25314 268 247 53 — — — — — —
202419 ROK RAWACL Rockies — 133114 35220 16240 43 307392360752 53385 1812 338 53 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 8978 12200 7281 11 154233179412 26231 318 190 15 — — — — — —
202520 ROK RAWACL Rockies — 8974 16300 11191 11 216326257582 41281 2112 270 15 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Colorado — 245223 47901 20320 198 211286265551 54232 138 250 55 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 133122 27110 10350 43 221285246531 25311 268 247 53 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 8981 12200 7281 11 148233173405 25213 318 190 15 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 133122 27110 10350 43 221285246531 25311 268 247 53 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 8981 12200 7281 11 148233173405 25213 318 190 15 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLECOL 0% 199182 37512 14571 21 205269275544 70286 297 249 55 -11 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLECOL 34% 6762 13201 5190 00 209274290564 81288 287 257 60 -3 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
202924 MLB MLECOL 46% 148135 28412 11411 10 213278303581 90289 287 264 65 -6 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.1
202823 MLB CTXCOL 34% 2321 4100 270 00 220284313597 93302 309 270 60 -1 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
202924 MLB CTXCOL 46% 6862 14211 5191 00 224288327616 103304 287 278 65 -3 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 9183 18311 7261 00 217286313599 96304 298 276 52 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650593 1282177 501867 00 216285310595 94302 298 276 52 -28 +0 +0 +7 +14 -0.7
Career— MLE — 717641 1331924 561652 2512 207273262535 55268 238 246 52 -11 +0 +0 +3 +5 -0.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650581 1211724 511502 2311 208274265540 57269 238 246 52 -29 +1 +0 +7 +14 -0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 ROKACL Rockies · 89 PAwOBA .270 → .190 (−80)K% 21.3% → 31.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.35%÷0.993×1.440——30.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.36%÷0.987×0.620—×0.9957.73%
HBP% /PA1.12%—×0.720—×0.9950.80%
Singles /BIP23.64%÷1.021×0.820×0.969×0.99518.31%
Doubles /BIP5.45%÷0.991×0.720×0.969×0.9953.82%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.720×0.969×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.970×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .270 → .190; ISO .041 → .028; BABIP .281 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Rockies · 133 PAwOBA .333 → .247 (−86)K% 18.0% → 26.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.05%÷0.991×1.440——26.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.03%÷1.035×0.620—×1.0087.26%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP34.44%÷1.003×0.820×1.005×1.00828.52%
Doubles /BIP2.22%÷1.034×0.720×1.005×1.0081.57%
Triples /BIP2.22%÷1.150×0.720×1.005×1.0081.41%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.044×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 101, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 98, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .333 → .247; ISO .053 → .034; BABIP .385 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Colorado · 245 PAwOBA .367 → .250 (−117)K% 11.0% → 13.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.02%÷1.030×1.220——13.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.43%÷0.967×0.700—×1.0088.34%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.700—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP29.61%÷1.049×0.680×0.992×1.00819.18%
Doubles /BIP7.26%÷0.968×0.600×0.992×1.0084.50%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.600×0.992×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP1.68%÷1.146×0.470—×1.0080.69%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 110, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 106, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.

Result: wOBA .367 → .250; ISO .107 → .061; BABIP .365 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).