Titan Kennedy-Hayes

P Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 218 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #814

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	APHI	6	0	7	3.86	5.67	18.5%	18.5%	—	K 18.5% · BB 18.5% · FIP 5.91
2025	23	MIX2 levels	40	0	46	4.73	3.03	31.3%	14.2%	—	K 23.0% · BB 17.7% · FIP 4.18
2026	24	A+PHI	38	3	45	5.56	3.61	29.1%	16.9%	—	K 22.4% · BB 19.4% · FIP 4.64
2027PROJ	25	MLBPHI	57	0	60	5.39	5.39	24.6%	19.6%	-0.6
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBPHI	25	0	26	5.26	5.25	24.9%	18.5%	-0.2
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBPHI	35	0	37	5.20	5.21	24.8%	17.9%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff60Command30FB velo60

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsCaleb Simpson (age 25) · Zane Russell (age 24) · Kyle Wilcox (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136127vR 119

ERA5.39

FIP5.39

K%24.6%

BB%19.6%

K-BB%5.0%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CMD2030

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	6	0	7	27	5	5	1	0%	1.2	18.5%	18.5%	0.0%	3.7%	3.86	5.91	—
2024	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	6	0	7	27	5	5	1	0%	1.2	18.5%	18.5%	0.0%	3.7%	3.86	5.91	—
2024	22	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	6	0	7	27	5	5	1	0%	1.2	18.5%	18.5%	0.0%	3.7%	3.86	5.67	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	46	211	66	30	3	0%	1.1	23.0%	17.7%	5.4%	1.4%	4.73	4.18	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	46	211	66	30	3	0%	1.1	23.0%	17.7%	5.4%	1.4%	4.73	4.18	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	46	211	66	30	3	0%	1.1	31.3%	14.2%	17.1%	1.4%	4.73	3.03	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	38	3	45	213	62	36	3	8%	1.2	22.4%	19.4%	3.0%	1.8%	5.56	4.64	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	38	3	45	213	62	36	3	8%	1.2	22.4%	19.4%	3.0%	1.8%	5.56	4.64	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	38	3	45	213	62	36	3	8%	1.2	29.1%	16.9%	12.2%	1.4%	5.56	3.61	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	PHI	57	0	60	253	62	50	7	0%	1.1	24.6%	19.6%	5.0%	2.8%	5.39	5.39	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	PHI	57	0	60	251	63	46	7	0%	1.0	24.9%	18.5%	6.4%	2.8%	5.26	5.25	-0.5
2029	27	MLB MLE	PHI	56	0	59	247	61	44	7	0%	1.0	24.8%	17.9%	6.9%	2.8%	5.20	5.21	-0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	PHI	25	0	26	110	27	20	3	0%	1.0	24.9%	18.5%	6.4%	2.8%	5.26	5.25	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	PHI	35	0	37	156	39	28	4	0%	1.1	24.8%	17.9%	6.9%	2.8%	5.20	5.21	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		59	0	62	264	65	48	7	0%	1.1	24.8%	18.1%	6.7%	2.8%	5.22	4.85	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	208	154	22	0%	1.1	24.8%	18.1%	6.7%	2.8%	5.22	4.85	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		84	3	98	451	101	84	8	4%	1.2	22.5%	18.6%	3.9%	1.7%	5.05	4.50	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		171	6	200	920	207	171	16	4%	1.2	22.5%	18.6%	3.9%	1.7%	5.05	4.50	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Titan Kennedy-Hayes (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.39	24.6%	19.6%	2.8%	—	5.23	24.8%	6.6%	118	-0.16	—	—	—
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	90
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	89
Kyle Wilcox R 2019 · 5.16 FIP	25	SU	5.16	25.1%	21.2%	2.7%	.310	5.57	25.1%	-1.5%	13	+0.41	2.78	310	87
Dennis Sarfate R 2008 · 4.42 FIP	27	SU	4.42	24.0%	16.7%	2.2%	.263	4.81	19.8%	5.9%	23	+0.39	4.42	103	86
CJ Weins R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	24.7%	15.9%	2.8%	.276	5.77	16.2%	-4.4%	76	+1.22	4.55	117	85
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	85
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.40	16.3%	4.0%	182	-0.16	3.45	237	85
Maikel Cleto R 2014 · 4.24 FIP	25	SU	4.24	23.2%	15.2%	2.1%	.256	3.45	25.4%	14.5%	106	-0.79	2.59	185	84
Christopher Troye R 2024 · 5.46 FIP	25	SU	5.46	24.2%	17.0%	4.1%	.282	5.61	19.1%	-3.8%	30	+0.15	3.42	158	84
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	84
Dakota Mekkes R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	23.1%	15.4%	2.7%	.290	4.85	16.7%	1.8%	70	+0.27	2.94	246	83
Ryan Jensen R 2023 · 4.61 FIP	25	SU	4.61	20.9%	17.0%	2.0%	.329	4.12	24.4%	7.6%	107	-0.49	3.92	311	83
Evan Johnson R 2022 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	23.6%	17.6%	2.4%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	83
LJ McDonough R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	22.6%	16.7%	2.3%	.385	4.85	20.0%	2.8%	90	+0.31	4.16	127	82
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	82
Alec Barger R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	25	SU	4.44	21.5%	14.4%	2.4%	.326	4.67	18.6%	7.5%	79	+0.23	3.85	242	82
Carter Loewen R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	25	SU	4.26	23.1%	15.0%	2.2%	.312	4.16	20.0%	11.9%	23	-0.10	2.67	145	82
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	82
Antonio Knowles R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	20.9%	15.1%	2.4%	.250	3.28	20.9%	11.7%	66	-1.30	3.24	223	80
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	59	24.7%	18.6%	1.08	5.28
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Derrick Turnbow ('08)	1.3	64	23.4%	14.8%	0.87	4.30
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Ken Wright ('70-'74, -0 WAR*)	1.2	79	23.8%*	16.1%*	0.70*	5.24*
Dave Jolly ('53-'57, -0 WAR*)	1.5	58	20.2%*	14.3%*	0.91*	4.33*