Eli Trop — OGILVIE

Eli Trop P Clearwater Threshers

Age 25 RHP 6'4" / 225 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 18 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143134vR 126

ERA5.76

FIP5.76

K%20.3%

BB%18.3%

K-BB%1.9%

ROS IP18

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	4	0	5	22	5	1	0	0%	1.2	22.7%	4.5%	18.2%	0.0%	5.79	1.76	—
2024	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	4	0	5	22	5	1	0	0%	1.2	22.7%	4.5%	18.2%	0.0%	5.79	1.76	—
2024	22	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	4	0	5	22	5	1	0	0%	1.2	22.7%	4.5%	18.2%	0.0%	5.79	1.60	—
2025	23	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	23	0	31	152	31	31	5	0%	1.3	15.1%	24.1%	-9.0%	3.9%	6.46	7.04	—
2025	23	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	23	0	31	152	31	31	5	0%	1.3	15.1%	24.1%	-9.0%	3.9%	6.46	7.04	—
2025	23	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	23	0	31	152	31	31	5	0%	1.3	20.4%	20.4%	0.0%	3.3%	6.46	6.23	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	PHI	17	0	18	76	15	14	2	0%	1.1	20.3%	18.3%	1.9%	3.0%	5.76	5.76	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	PHI	26	0	28	117	24	20	4	0%	1.1	20.8%	17.4%	3.5%	3.0%	5.60	5.59	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	PHI	11	0	12	51	11	9	2	0%	1.1	20.8%	17.4%	3.5%	3.0%	5.60	5.59	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	12	50	10	9	2	0%	1.1	20.9%	17.4%	3.5%	3.0%	5.60	5.21	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	170	153	34	0%	1.1	20.9%	17.4%	3.5%	3.0%	5.60	5.21	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		27	0	35	174	28	38	6	0%	1.3	16.1%	21.6%	-5.5%	3.4%	6.37	6.37	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		153	0	200	985	158	213	34	0%	1.3	16.1%	21.6%	-5.5%	3.4%	6.37	6.37	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eli Trop (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.76	20.3%	18.3%	3.0%	—	5.59	20.8%	3.5%	28	-0.17	—	—	—
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	88
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	87
Ray Gaither R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	18.1%	16.4%	2.3%	.278	4.13	18.4%	7.3%	90	-0.76	3.84	164	87
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	86
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	85
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	85
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	84
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	84
Michael Blazek R 2013 · 5.52 FIP	24	SU	5.52	16.7%	15.5%	3.4%	.241	3.81	19.8%	10.3%	97	-1.71	2.99	238	84
Luis García R 2013 · 4.92 FIP	26	SU	4.92	16.7%	16.7%	2.0%	.270	3.68	20.3%	9.3%	151	-1.24	2.33	662	82
Yaramil Hiraldo R 2021 · 4.86 FIP	25	SU	4.86	18.5%	15.5%	2.5%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	155	82
Ryan Sublette R 2024 · 5.72 FIP	25	SU	5.72	19.9%	17.5%	3.8%	.214	4.47	18.6%	5.0%	53	-1.25	3.74	203	82
Danny Reynolds R 2016 · 4.72 FIP	25	SU	4.72	16.6%	16.8%	1.6%	.263	3.71	16.0%	4.3%	88	-1.01	3.29	165	82
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	82
Chad Harville R 2003 · 5.17 FIP	26	SU	5.17	17.3%	15.4%	2.9%	.328	4.84	17.6%	6.5%	142	-0.33	4.51	178	81
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	81
Lukas Schiraldi R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	25	SU	5.00	18.7%	19.3%	1.9%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	319	81
Connor Cooke R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	24	SU	5.02	17.4%	17.0%	2.2%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	2.93	103	81
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	81
Pedro Strop R 2010 · 5.63 FIP	25	SU	5.63	18.3%	18.3%	3.2%	.417	3.15	23.1%	12.1%	146	-2.48	2.25	494	81