Jimmy Reyes — OGILVIE

Jimmy Reyes P ACL Padres

Age 21 RHP 5'10" / 170 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 12 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA5.20

FIP5.20

K%20.9%

BB%14.5%

K-BB%6.4%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	13	2	30	139	19	15	0	15%	2.3	9.3%	13.5%	-4.2%	0.0%	2.67	4.02	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	13	2	30	139	19	15	0	15%	2.3	13.7%	10.8%	2.9%	0.0%	2.67	3.33	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	9	3	19	94	11	15	1	33%	2.1	8.0%	19.9%	-12.0%	1.7%	6.52	5.87	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	9	3	19	94	11	15	1	33%	2.1	8.0%	19.9%	-12.0%	1.7%	6.52	5.87	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	9	3	19	94	11	15	1	33%	2.1	11.7%	16.0%	-4.3%	1.1%	6.52	4.96	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	0	28	140	24	19	4	0%	1.5	12.8%	17.7%	-4.9%	2.6%	9.76	5.68	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	0	28	140	24	19	4	0%	1.5	12.8%	17.7%	-4.9%	2.6%	9.76	5.68	—
2025	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	0	28	140	24	19	4	0%	1.5	17.1%	13.6%	3.6%	2.9%	9.76	5.30	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	SD	11	0	12	51	11	7	2	0%	1.1	20.9%	14.5%	6.4%	3.0%	5.20	5.20	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	SD	25	0	26	110	24	14	3	0%	1.0	22.0%	12.6%	9.4%	2.9%	4.94	4.82	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	SD	12	0	13	55	12	7	2	0%	1.1	22.0%	12.6%	9.4%	2.9%	4.94	4.82	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	13	54	12	7	2	0%	1.1	22.0%	12.6%	9.4%	2.9%	4.94	4.44	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	109	31	0%	1.1	22.0%	12.6%	9.4%	2.9%	4.94	4.44	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		41	5	77	373	38	62	5	12%	1.9	10.3%	16.7%	-6.4%	1.4%	6.17	5.11	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		106	13	200	965	99	161	13	12%	1.9	10.3%	16.7%	-6.4%	1.4%	6.17	5.11	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jimmy Reyes (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.20	20.9%	14.5%	3.0%	—	4.82	22.0%	9.4%	26	-0.38	—	—	—
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	87
Rolddy Muñoz R 2021 · 4.32 FIP	21	SU	4.32	21.4%	13.7%	2.4%	.342	3.54	21.1%	9.8%	149	-0.78	3.18	290	86
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	86
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	401	85
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	85
Kyle Hinton R 2018 · 4.17 FIP	21	SU	4.17	23.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.275	5.69	17.7%	-0.7%	75	+1.52	4.17	106	85
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	85
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	85
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	85
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	85
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	85
Adam Ravenelle R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	22	SU	4.32	19.6%	14.8%	1.8%	.322	5.06	17.1%	4.3%	130	+0.74	4.32	165	84
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	84
Osiel Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	21	SU	4.82	22.7%	15.7%	3.0%	.263	5.62	22.0%	7.6%	56	+0.80	3.38	124	84
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.73	23.4%	12.7%	156	-0.82	3.22	258	84
Joangel Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.23 FIP	20	SU	4.23	18.3%	11.7%	2.1%	.312	5.15	18.3%	2.5%	116	+0.92	3.93	151	84
Samuel Carpio R 2024 · 4.20 FIP	21	SU	4.20	21.2%	15.3%	1.7%	.300	5.36	21.6%	-3.4%	112	+1.16	4.20	134	84
Tommy DeJuneas R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	84
Drew Pestka R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	20	SU	4.26	19.0%	15.1%	1.6%	.298	4.55	18.1%	0.7%	83	+0.29	3.42	100	84
Luis Alvarado R 2018 · 5.24 FIP	21	SU	5.24	20.2%	12.4%	4.2%	.276	5.16	18.7%	4.4%	140	-0.08	4.89	162	83