Luis AriasIF FCL Nationals
Age 21 L/R 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION146 act + 12 ros · stats below = ROS only
showingROS
wRC+†36
AVG/OBP/SLG.091 / .167 / .091
PA12
HR0
K%33
BB%8
BABIP268
ISO78
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -15.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-15BATRUN: -0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -1.30-1.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.0-0.32627
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 39
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER39
scouting grade only
EYE49
scouting grade only
SPEED52
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202419 ROKFCL Nationals — 11399 19600 13270 53 192286253538 61264 2412 253 57 -6 -0 — — +2 -0.4
202520 ROKFCL Nationals — 132116 34502 13282 40 293374388762 95368 2110 345 120 +3 +1 — — +3 0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202419 ROK MLEFCL Nationals — 113104 14400 8390 53 135196173370 38212 357 172 3 -13 -0 — — +2 -1.1
202520 ROK MLEFCL Nationals — 132121 27301 8412 40 223282273555 50317 316 250 55 -7 +1 — — +3 -0.3
202419 ROK MLEFCL Nationals — 113104 14400 8390 53 135196173370 38215 357 172 3 — — — — — —
202419 ROK RAWFCL Nationals — 11399 19600 13270 53 192286253538 61264 2412 253 3 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEFCL Nationals — 132121 27301 8412 40 223282273555 50325 316 250 55 — — — — — —
202520 ROK RAWFCL Nationals — 132116 34502 13282 40 293374388762 95368 2110 345 55 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEFCL Nationals — 113104 14400 8390 53 135196173370 38212 357 172 3 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEFCL Nationals — 132121 27301 8412 40 223282273555 50317 316 250 55 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
202419 ROK MLEFCL Nationals — 113104 14400 8390 53 135196173370 38212 357 172 3 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEFCL Nationals — 132121 27301 8412 40 223282273555 50317 316 250 55 — — — — — —
YTD21 ROK MLEWSH — 146134 19202 9732 11 142207201408 60283 506 192 16 -15 -0 +0 +0 +3 -1.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD21 ROK RAWWSH — 146129 30304 14512 11 233317349666 116347 3510 303 16 — — — — — —
ROS21 ROK MLEWSH 0% 1211 1000 140 00 9116791258 269 338 221 36 -1 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.1
TOT21 ROK MLEWSH — 158145 20202 10772 11 138204193397 55269 496 194 18 -15 -0 +0 +0 +3 -1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202722 MLB MLEWSH 34% 206188 35613 14732 31 186250277527 90274 357 237 47 -13 +0 +0 +0 +4 -0.9
202722 MLB CTXWSH 34% 7165 12201 5251 10 185254262515 77273 357 229 47 -5 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 7165 12201 5251 10 185254262515 77282 357 229 38 -5 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650595 1091809 462299 90 183252259511 76280 357 229 38 -41 +2 +0 +0 +14 -2.6
Career— MLE — 463424 771314 311574 124 182244245489 64275 347 225 38 -14 +0 +0 +0 +5 -0.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650595 1081816 442206 176 182245245491 64274 347 225 38 -42 +1 +0 +0 +14 -2.8