Jose Medina
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 22 | A+/A2 orgs | 233 | .243/.328/.422 | 9 | 0 | 52 | — | .189/.259/.307 |
| 2018 | 23 | A+/A2 orgs | 298 | .268/.337/.409 | 6 | 2 | 59 | — | .219/.266/.330 |
| 2019 | 24 | AACLE | 19 | .167/.211/.222 | 0 | 0 | -6 | — | .167/.211/.222 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 19 | ROK | DSL Indians | — | 289 | 250 | 80 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 35 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 320 | 398 | 468 | 866 | 148 | 361 | 12 | 9 | 379 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK | AZL Indians | — | 196 | 177 | 44 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 249 | 318 | 379 | 696 | 130 | 300 | 18 | 8 | 311 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A | Lake County Captains | — | 211 | 196 | 47 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 59 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 240 | 290 | 449 | 739 | 209 | 300 | 28 | 5 | 323 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 35 | 31 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 290 | 353 | 419 | 772 | 129 | 391 | 26 | 9 | 336 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A | Lake County Captains | — | 198 | 175 | 41 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 56 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 234 | 323 | 423 | 746 | 189 | 291 | 28 | 9 | 334 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 113 | 100 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 250 | 336 | 380 | 716 | 130 | 295 | 18 | 12 | 324 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A | Lake County Captains | — | 185 | 169 | 47 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 278 | 337 | 426 | 763 | 148 | 314 | 16 | 8 | 338 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 19 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 211 | 222 | 433 | 56 | 273 | 37 | 5 | 200 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 289 | 260 | 53 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 43 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 204 | 271 | 288 | 560 | 85 | 231 | 15 | 6 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 196 | 183 | 31 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 52 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 169 | 221 | 246 | 466 | 77 | 225 | 27 | 5 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 211 | 199 | 35 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 78 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 176 | 219 | 312 | 531 | 136 | 259 | 37 | 4 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 35 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 250 | 294 | 344 | 638 | 94 | 345 | 34 | 6 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 198 | 180 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 77 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 178 | 253 | 300 | 553 | 122 | 264 | 39 | 7 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 113 | 105 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 200 | 257 | 314 | 571 | 114 | 242 | 24 | 7 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 185 | 174 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 230 | 272 | 339 | 611 | 109 | 275 | 22 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 19 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 211 | 222 | 433 | 56 | 263 | 47 | 5 | 160 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 289 | 260 | 53 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 43 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 204 | 271 | 288 | 560 | 85 | 237 | 15 | 6 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Indians | — | 289 | 250 | 80 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 35 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 320 | 398 | 468 | 866 | 148 | 361 | 12 | 9 | 379 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 196 | 183 | 31 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 52 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 169 | 221 | 246 | 466 | 77 | 229 | 27 | 5 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK RAW | AZL Indians | — | 196 | 177 | 44 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 249 | 318 | 379 | 696 | 130 | 300 | 18 | 8 | 311 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 211 | 199 | 35 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 78 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 176 | 219 | 312 | 531 | 136 | 256 | 37 | 4 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A RAW | Lake County Captains | — | 211 | 196 | 47 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 59 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 240 | 290 | 449 | 739 | 209 | 300 | 28 | 5 | 323 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 233 | 212 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 89 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 189 | 259 | 307 | 565 | 118 | 288 | 38 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 233 | 206 | 50 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 21 | 65 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 243 | 328 | 422 | 750 | 180 | 308 | 28 | 9 | 335 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 298 | 279 | 61 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 67 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 219 | 266 | 330 | 596 | 111 | 269 | 22 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 298 | 269 | 72 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 49 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 268 | 337 | 409 | 746 | 141 | 307 | 16 | 9 | 333 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 19 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 211 | 222 | 433 | 56 | 333 | 47 | 5 | 160 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA RAW | Akron RubberDucks | — | 19 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 211 | 222 | 433 | 56 | 273 | 37 | 5 | 200 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 289 | 263 | 53 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 43 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 202 | 271 | 285 | 556 | 84 | 231 | 15 | 6 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 196 | 182 | 31 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 52 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 170 | 221 | 247 | 468 | 77 | 225 | 27 | 5 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 211 | 198 | 35 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 78 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 177 | 219 | 313 | 532 | 136 | 259 | 37 | 4 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 233 | 211 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 89 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 190 | 259 | 308 | 567 | 118 | 276 | 38 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 298 | 278 | 61 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 67 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 219 | 266 | 331 | 597 | 112 | 262 | 22 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 19 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 211 | 222 | 433 | 56 | 263 | 47 | 5 | 160 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1246 | 1151 | 223 | 46 | 10 | 18 | 68 | 338 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 194 | 250 | 298 | 548 | 104 | 256 | 27 | 5 | 238 | 47 | -78 | -3 | +0 | -22 | +27 | -7.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 600 | 116 | 24 | 5 | 9 | 35 | 176 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 193 | 248 | 295 | 543 | 102 | 255 | 27 | 5 | 238 | 47 | -41 | -1 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -4.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAAkron RubberDucks · 19 PAwOBA .194 → .160 (−34)K% 36.8% → 44.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.84% | ÷1.003 | ×1.220 | — | — | 44.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.26% | ÷1.019 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 3.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.008 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.012 | 17.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.925 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 8.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.863 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 102, 2B 85, 3B 80, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .194 → .160; ISO .056 → .047; BABIP .273 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ALake County Captains · 185 PAwOBA .329 → .264 (−65)K% 15.7% → 21.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.68% | ÷0.988 | ×1.360 | — | — | 21.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.57% | ÷0.993 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 5.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.14% | ÷0.954 | ×0.920 | ×0.964 | ×0.990 | 20.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.86% | ÷1.031 | ×0.830 | ×0.964 | ×0.990 | 6.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.71% | ÷0.928 | ×0.910 | ×0.964 | ×0.990 | 0.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.86% | ÷1.078 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 2.10% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 91, 2B 106, 3B 86, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .329 → .264; ISO .148 → .110; BABIP .314 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Lynchburg Hillcats · 113 PAwOBA .316 → .240 (−76)K% 17.7% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.70% | ÷1.047 | ×1.420 | — | — | 23.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.50% | ÷1.025 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 7.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.25% | ÷1.044 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 18.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.054 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 4.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.25% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.50% | ÷0.967 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 2.32% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 109, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 110, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .316 → .240; ISO .130 → .103; BABIP .295 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ALake County Captains · 198 PAwOBA .325 → .240 (−85)K% 28.3% → 38.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.28% | ÷0.993 | ×1.360 | — | — | 38.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷0.941 | ×0.690 | — | — | 6.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.53% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.85% | ÷0.914 | ×0.920 | ×0.959 | — | 21.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.04% | ÷1.030 | ×0.830 | ×0.959 | — | 3.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.931 | ×0.910 | ×0.959 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.56% | ÷1.129 | ×0.800 | — | — | 5.36% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 83, 2B 106, 3B 86, K 99, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.
Result: wOBA .325 → .240; ISO .189 → .119; BABIP .291 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Lynchburg Hillcats · 35 PAwOBA .337 → .266 (−71)K% 25.7% → 34.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.71% | ÷1.048 | ×1.420 | — | — | 34.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.57% | ÷1.008 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 5.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.73% | ÷0.978 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.012 | 22.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.084 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 14.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.070 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.902 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 96, 2B 117, 3B 114, K 110, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .337 → .266; ISO .129 → .095; BABIP .391 → .345. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ALake County Captains · 211 PAwOBA .315 → .230 (−85)K% 28.0% → 36.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.96% | ÷1.033 | ×1.360 | — | — | 36.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.21% | ÷0.986 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 3.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.42% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.25% | ÷1.001 | ×0.920 | ×0.966 | ×1.015 | 16.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.03% | ÷0.973 | ×0.830 | ×0.966 | ×1.015 | 6.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.19% | ÷0.981 | ×0.910 | ×0.966 | ×1.015 | 1.99% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.84% | ÷1.274 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 3.72% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 155, 1B 100, 2B 95, 3B 96, K 107, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .315 → .230; ISO .209 → .137; BABIP .300 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ROKAZL Indians · 196 PAwOBA .305 → .210 (−95)K% 18.4% → 26.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.37% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 26.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 4.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.53% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.954 | ×0.995 | 16.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.954 | ×0.995 | 3.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.954 | ×0.995 | 2.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 1.10% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.
Result: wOBA .305 → .210; ISO .130 → .087; BABIP .300 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 DSLDSL Indians · 289 PAwOBA .372 → .247 (−125)K% 12.1% → 14.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.11% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 6.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.42% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 1.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.990 | ×0.995 | 16.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.990 | ×0.995 | 5.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.990 | ×0.995 | 1.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.44% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .372 → .247; ISO .148 → .088; BABIP .361 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).