Stephen Paolini — OGILVIE

Stephen PaoliniCF Columbus Clingstones

Age 25 L/L 6'1" / 195 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 176 proj PA

wRC+†28

AVG/OBP/SLG.160 / .225 / .253

PA176

HR3

SB7

K%41

BB%7

ISO94

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE43

scouting grade only

SPEED61

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	GCL Braves	—	143	128	16	4	0	0	14	53	0	2	1	125	211	156	368	31	211	37	10	174	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	GCL Braves	—	143	120	23	6	0	0	22	37	0	2	1	192	317	242	559	50	274	26	15	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	392	357	35	7	2	2	27	239	5	15	6	98	172	146	318	48	277	61	7	148	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	392	345	59	11	3	4	39	167	5	15	6	171	265	255	520	84	311	43	10	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	468	418	80	16	2	5	40	165	5	18	9	191	270	275	545	84	296	35	9	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	468	394	86	18	3	7	64	128	5	18	9	218	335	332	667	114	299	27	14	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Rome Braves	—	241	212	32	6	1	2	22	126	5	6	2	151	247	217	464	66	353	52	9	216	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Rome Braves	—	241	197	41	8	2	3	37	91	5	6	2	208	347	315	662	107	365	38	15	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Rome Emperors	—	404	372	64	13	2	5	25	182	3	20	2	172	230	258	488	86	312	45	6	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Rome Emperors	—	404	350	77	17	2	5	47	131	3	20	2	220	318	323	640	103	330	32	12	293	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	2 teams	—	181	165	24	2	0	5	12	77	3	20	3	145	217	248	465	103	226	43	7	210	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	2 teams	—	181	159	31	3	0	5	18	60	3	20	3	195	289	308	597	113	274	33	10	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	ATL	—	176	160	27	5	1	3	12	73	2	7	1	169	236	269	504	100	264	41	7	221	28	-14	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	ATL	31%	264	240	41	7	1	5	19	104	3	10	2	171	240	271	511	100	268	39	7	233	37	-19	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.9
2027	26	MLB	ATL	31%	82	75	13	2	0	2	6	32	1	3	0	173	244	280	524	107	268	39	7	226	31	-6	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	82	75	13	2	0	2	6	32	1	3	0	173	244	280	524	107	268	39	7	226	31	-6	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	103	16	0	16	48	254	8	24	0	173	245	281	525	108	268	39	7	226	31	-51	+5	+0	+2	+18	-2.6
Career	—			—	2269	2052	319	60	9	27	171	1019	26	98	26	155	229	233	462	77	285	45	8	211	20	-205	+9	+0	+8	+64	-12.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	92	17	3	8	49	292	7	28	7	156	230	236	466	80	287	45	8	211	20	-59	+3	+0	+2	+18	-3.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	GCL Braves	—	143	120	23	6	0	0	22	37	0	2	1	192	317	242	559	50	274	26	15	269	64	-6	+0	—	—	+4	-0.2
2021	20	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	392	345	59	11	3	4	39	167	5	15	6	171	265	255	520	84	311	43	10	243	44	-25	+1	—	—	+11	-1.3
2022	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	468	394	86	18	3	7	64	128	5	18	9	218	335	332	667	114	299	27	14	306	93	-4	+0	—	—	+13	1.0
2023	22	A+	Rome Braves	—	241	197	41	8	2	3	37	91	5	6	2	208	347	315	662	107	365	38	15	309	95	-1	+0	—	—	+7	0.6
2024	23	A+	Rome Emperors	—	404	350	77	17	2	5	47	131	3	20	2	220	318	323	640	103	330	32	12	293	83	-8	+3	—	—	+11	0.7
2025	24	AA	Columbus Clingstones	—	137	123	24	3	0	4	13	48	1	16	2	195	277	317	594	122	282	35	9	273	67	-5	+2	—	—	+4	0.1
2025	24	A+	Rome Emperors	—	44	36	7	0	0	1	5	12	2	4	1	194	326	278	603	83	250	27	11	283	75	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Stephen Paolini (OGILVIE)	25	20	39	61	43	160/225/253	93	264	3	7	41%	7%	28	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Will Holland 2023 · AA	25	37→34	44→45	56→60	39	177/263/294	117	312	12	24	43%	9%	55	-1.4	190/273/300	110	292	10	29	36%	8%	59	-1.1	177/263/281	104	261	10	34	33%	8%	49	-0.7
✕Kevin Merrell 2022 · AAA	26	39→35	40	54→55	39	192/243/281	89	271	8	17	31%	6%	40	-2.4	229/282/370	141	281	18	11	25%	6%	81	+0.4	236/283/396	160	253	27	6	20%	6%	87	+0.2
✕Jeren Kendall 2021 · A	25	34→23	48→50	54→60	37	170/242/307	137	303	16	21	47%	8%	49	-1.8	165/242/290	125	330	14	27	50%	8%	44	-2.1	123/206/237	114	244	15	36	52%	8%	14	-1.8
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	37→34	41→40	48→50	40	186/251/287	100	259	9	14	31%	6%	46	-2.0	205/270/324	119	291	11	14	32%	7%	64	-0.8	182/254/327	145	270	14	20	36%	6%	54	-0.3
✕Max George 2021 · A	25	39→36	40→45	54→55	41	187/268/274	87	283	7	20	34%	7%	51	-1.7	193/279/325	132	326	15	15	42%	8%	69	-0.4	148/255/300	152	246	20	20	45%	10%	51	-0.7
✕Tanner English 2018 · AAA	25	35→42	41→40	60→55	36	167/242/266	98	300	9	27	44%	7%	37	-2.6	171/224/270	99	298	8	19	43%	5%	30	-3.1	152/195/250	98	256	7	19	42%	4%	9	-1.9
✕Jacob Pearson 2023 · AA	25	39	41→40	50	44	195/260/293	98	266	8	19	29%	7%	52	-1.6	202/266/316	114	300	10	15	34%	7%	60	-1.0	141/207/294	152	225	17	13	44%	8%	26	-0.6
✕Corey Ray 2019 · AA	24	39→36	46→50	55	35	188/246/323	135	315	13	22	42%	6%	53	-1.5	194/247/327	133	329	14	15	43%	6%	55	-1.4	171/215/309	138	271	17	12	43%	5%	34	-1.2
✕LeDarious Clark 2019 · A	25	37→36	45→50	53→55	38	185/251/308	123	296	12	20	40%	7%	52	-1.6	197/260/307	110	309	11	14	37%	6%	56	-1.3	150/195/249	99	224	15	7	40%	3%	14	-0.9
✕Justin Lavey 2023 · A	25	38	39→40	58→55	33	178/229/264	86	313	7	18	43%	6%	30	-3.1	200/247/288	88	324	7	16	38%	6%	44	-2.1	196/224/261	65	303	6	20	37%	3%	22	-0.6
✕Ashton Creal 2023 · A	24	38	41→40	54→55	39	182/261/280	98	290	8	22	38%	7%	50	-1.8	189/265/279	90	345	8	15	44%	7%	51	-1.7	121/213/165	44	300	7	12	56%	7%	-2	-1.2
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	36	41→45	55→65	34	180/234/278	97	296	9	24	41%	6%	37	-2.7	218/296/338	120	331	14	25	35%	9%	79	+0.3	227/303/343	115	312	13	52	29%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Taylor Lewis 2014 · A	24	37	39→45	61→55	35	181/228/275	94	281	5	18	36%	5%	32	-3.0	201/244/290	89	293	5	17	32%	5%	43	-2.2	208/231/276	68	278	4	26	26%	2%	29	-0.8
✕Jawuan Harris 2021 · A	24	36→24	39→40	54→55	40	166/257/253	87	306	7	18	44%	9%	42	-2.3	177/257/259	82	368	6	20	48%	9%	43	-2.2	92/195/135	43	236	2	38	55%	10%	-16	-1.7
✕Michael Reed 2021 · AA	26	38→40	44→45	55	34	190/238/303	113	294	12	25	39%	5%	45	-2.1	200/258/298	98	334	9	18	40%	7%	52	-1.6	184/247/279	95	309	9	22	41%	7%	38	-0.6
✕Jacob Hannemann 2016 · AA	25	42→41	40→45	57→60	38	202/248/295	93	289	6	19	31%	5%	46	-2.0	204/255/314	110	273	9	25	28%	5%	55	-1.4	195/247/304	109	252	10	31	26%	5%	46	-1.4
✕Dave Krynzel 2007 · MLB	25	41→44	42→45	56→55	39	200/255/306	106	292	9	23	34%	6%	53	-1.5	209/262/318	109	302	11	20	33%	6%	59	-1.1	214/258/306	92	312	9	20	33%	5%	50	-1.2
✕Vance Vizcaino 2021 · AA	26	42	40	55	38	205/255/298	93	300	8	24	33%	6%	50	-1.8	219/277/326	107	312	11	15	31%	6%	67	-0.5	205/263/288	83	291	11	13	32%	5%	48	-0.5
✕Cam Gibson 2019 · AA	25	40→41	43→45	53→55	43	198/261/314	116	274	11	17	31%	7%	57	-1.2	200/261/298	98	280	8	19	30%	7%	53	-1.5	181/243/270	88	251	7	25	29%	6%	35	-2.1
✕Mike Jarvis 2023 · AAA	25	37	43→40	58→60	39	188/248/302	114	254	11	23	30%	5%	50	-1.8	174/228/273	99	241	10	27	31%	5%	33	-2.9	150/204/236	86	210	9	34	32%	5%	11	-2.0