Stephen Paolini

CF Columbus Clingstones
Age 26 L/L 6'1" / 195 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202322A+Rome Braves241.208/.347/.3153631—.150/.243/.216
202423A+ATL404.220/.318/.32352029—.166/.222/.249
202524AA/A+ATL181.195/.289/.30852025—.151/.217/.241
2027PROJMLE26MLBATL2.205/.270/.3210067-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB27MLBATL36.206/.272/.3231168-0.0
Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 AA
Chase%91
Speed59
ISO54
BB%46
wRC+33
wOBA32
CompsCJ Alexander (age 26) · Drew Vettleson (age 26) · Bubba Alleyne (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†67
AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .270 / .321
PA2
HR0
K%50
BB%7
BABIP280
ISO101
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +2.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.00.02728
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201918 ROKGCL Braves — 143120 23600 22370 21 192317242559 50274 2615 269 5 — — — — — —
202120 AAugusta GreenJackets — 392345 591134 391675 156 171265255520 84311 4310 243 -8 — — — — — —
202221 AAugusta GreenJackets — 468394 861837 641285 189 218335332667 114299 2714 306 49 — — — — — —
202322 A+Rome Braves — 241197 41823 37915 62 208347315662 107365 3815 309 31 — — — — — —
202423 A+Rome Emperors — 404350 771725 471313 202 220318323640 103330 3212 293 29 — — — — — —
202524 AAColumbus Clingstones — 137123 24304 13481 162 195277317594 122282 359 273 24 — — — — — —
202524 A+Rome Emperors — 4436 7001 5122 41 194326278603 83250 2711 283 30 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201918 ROK MLEGCL Braves — 143128 16400 14530 21 125211156368 31208 3710 176 5 — — — — — —
202120 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 392357 38722 272335 156 106180154334 48274 597 156 -8 — — — — — —
202221 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 468414 761535 441665 189 184270271541 87275 359 241 49 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLERome Braves — 241213 32612 211215 62 150243216459 66320 509 214 31 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLERome Emperors — 404373 621225 241753 202 166223249472 83283 436 211 29 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLEColumbus Clingstones — 137128 19303 8581 162 148204242447 94239 426 203 24 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLERome Emperors — 4438 6001 3162 41 158256237493 79194 367 213 30 — — — — — —
201918 ROK MLEGCL Braves — 143128 16400 14530 21 125211156368 31211 3710 176 5 — — — — — —
201918 ROK RAWGCL Braves — 143120 23600 22370 21 192317242559 50274 2615 269 5 — — — — — —
202120 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 392357 38722 272335 156 106180154334 48288 597 156 -8 — — — — — —
202120 A RAWAugusta GreenJackets — 392345 591134 391675 156 171265255520 84311 4310 243 -8 — — — — — —
202221 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 468414 761535 441665 189 184270271541 87286 359 241 49 — — — — — —
202221 A RAWAugusta GreenJackets — 468394 861837 641285 189 218335332667 114299 2714 306 49 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLERome Braves — 241213 32612 211215 62 150243216459 66330 509 214 31 — — — — — —
202322 A+ RAWRome Braves — 241197 41823 37915 62 208347315662 107365 3815 309 31 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLERome Emperors — 404373 621225 241753 202 166223249472 83289 436 211 29 — — — — — —
202423 A+ RAWRome Emperors — 404350 771725 471313 202 220318323640 103330 3212 293 29 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLE2 teams — 181166 25304 11743 203 151217241458 90236 416 205 25 — — — — — —
202524 AA RAW2 teams — 181159 31305 18603 203 195289308597 113274 3310 275 25 — — — — — —
201918 ROK MLEGCL Braves — 143128 16400 14530 21 125211156368 31208 3710 176 5 — — — — — —
202120 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 392357 38722 272335 156 106180154334 48274 597 156 -8 — — — — — —
202221 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 468416 761535 441665 189 183270269539 87275 359 241 49 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLERome Braves — 241213 32612 211215 62 150243216459 66320 509 214 31 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLERome Emperors — 404374 621225 241753 202 166223249471 83283 436 211 29 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLE2 teams — 181165 25304 11743 203 152217242459 91228 416 205 25 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 A+ MLERome Emperors — 404374 621225 241753 202 166223249471 83283 436 211 29 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLE2 teams — 181165 25304 11743 203 152217242459 91228 416 205 25 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLEATL 2% 231210 43815 17712 51 205270321591 116280 317 267 67 -9 +1 +0 +1 +5 0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202726 MLB CTXATL 2% 22 0000 010 00 205270321591 116280 500 267 67 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLEATL 27% 134122 26513 10411 31 206272323595 117281 317 268 68 -5 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.2
202827 MLB CTXATL 27% 3633 7101 3110 10 206272323595 117281 318 268 68 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 3633 7101 3110 10 212278333611 121286 318 268 29 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650596 12618018 541990 180 211277332609 121285 318 268 29 -25 +4 +0 +2 +14 -0.5
Career— MLE — 20601862 29255923 15889323 8624 157232233465 76280 438 211 29 -9 +1 +0 +1 +5 -0.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650588 921737 502827 278 156231231462 75280 438 211 29 -25 +2 +0 +2 +14 -0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AAColumbus Clingstones · 137 PAwOBA .266 → .203 (−63)K% 35.0% → 42.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.04%÷1.011×1.220——42.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.49%÷1.036×0.680—×0.9986.22%
HBP% /PA0.73%—×0.840—×0.9980.61%
Singles /BIP22.67%÷1.038×0.920×0.954×0.99819.14%
Doubles /BIP4.00%÷0.951×0.910×0.954×0.9983.64%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.108×0.880×0.954×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP5.33%÷0.934×0.800—×0.9984.56%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 108, 2B 90, 3B 122, K 102, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.

Result: wOBA .266 → .203; ISO .122 → .098; BABIP .282 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Rome Emperors · 44 PAwOBA .283 → .213 (−70)K% 27.3% → 36.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.27%÷0.983×1.310——36.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.36%÷1.020×0.600—×0.9786.54%
HBP% /PA4.55%—×0.770—×0.9783.42%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.098×0.870—×0.97819.37%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.173×0.780—×0.9780.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.075×0.850—×0.9780.00%
Home runs /BIP4.17%÷0.819×0.880—×0.9784.38%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 120, 2B 135, 3B 115, K 97, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .283 → .213; ISO .083 → .086; BABIP .250 → .194. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Rome Emperors · 404 PAwOBA .287 → .211 (−75)K% 32.4% → 43.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.43%÷0.982×1.310——43.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.14%÷1.092×0.600—×0.9886.05%
HBP% /PA0.74%—×0.770—×0.9880.56%
Singles /BIP24.20%÷0.993×0.870×1.011×0.98821.17%
Doubles /BIP7.76%÷0.985×0.780×1.011×0.9886.14%
Triples /BIP0.91%÷0.900×0.850×1.011×0.9880.86%
Home runs /BIP2.28%÷0.831×0.880—×0.9882.39%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 66, 1B 99, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 96, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .287 → .211; ISO .103 → .087; BABIP .330 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Rome Braves · 241 PAwOBA .304 → .214 (−89)K% 37.8% → 50.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA37.76%÷0.985×1.310——50.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.35%÷1.045×0.600—×0.9988.80%
HBP% /PA2.07%—×0.770—×0.9981.59%
Singles /BIP26.42%÷0.977×0.870×1.022×0.99823.98%
Doubles /BIP7.55%÷0.995×0.780×1.022×0.9986.03%
Triples /BIP1.89%÷1.087×0.850×1.022×0.9981.50%
Home runs /BIP2.83%÷1.022×0.880—×0.9982.43%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 95, 2B 99, 3B 117, K 97, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.

Result: wOBA .304 → .214; ISO .107 → .079; BABIP .365 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAugusta GreenJackets · 468 PAwOBA .301 → .241 (−60)K% 27.4% → 35.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.35%÷1.050×1.360——35.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.46%÷0.998×0.690——9.31%
HBP% /PA1.07%—×0.780——0.83%
Singles /BIP21.80%÷0.951×0.920×0.977—20.62%
Doubles /BIP6.77%÷0.931×0.830×0.977—5.89%
Triples /BIP1.13%÷0.976×0.910×0.977—1.03%
Home runs /BIP2.63%÷1.127×0.800——1.87%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 90, 2B 86, 3B 95, K 110, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.

Result: wOBA .301 → .241; ISO .114 → .088; BABIP .299 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAugusta GreenJackets · 392 PAwOBA .239 → .156 (−83)K% 42.6% → 59.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA42.60%÷0.976×1.360——59.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.95%÷0.994×0.690—×1.0157.01%
HBP% /PA1.28%—×0.780—×1.0151.01%
Singles /BIP23.03%÷1.021×0.920×0.985×1.01520.75%
Doubles /BIP6.18%÷0.968×0.830×0.985×1.0155.30%
Triples /BIP1.69%÷0.969×0.910×0.985×1.0151.58%
Home runs /BIP2.25%÷1.192×0.800—×1.0151.53%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 104, 2B 94, 3B 94, K 95, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .239 → .156; ISO .084 → .048; BABIP .311 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 ROKGCL Braves · 143 PAwOBA .265 → .176 (−89)K% 25.9% → 37.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.87%÷1.000×1.440——37.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.38%÷1.000×0.620—×1.0089.61%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP20.48%÷1.000×0.820×0.950×1.00816.08%
Doubles /BIP7.23%÷1.000×0.720×0.950×1.0084.98%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720×0.950×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .265 → .176; ISO .050 → .032; BABIP .274 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).