Stephen Paolini — OGILVIE

Stephen PaoliniCF Columbus Clingstones

Age 25 L/L 6'1" / 195 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 176 proj PA

wRC+†35

AVG/OBP/SLG.160 / .229 / .243

PA14

HR0

K%40

BB%7

ISO84

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED61

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	18	ROK	GCL Braves	—	143	120	23	6	0	0	22	37	0	2	1	192	317	242	559	50	274	26	15	269	68	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2021	20	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	392	345	59	11	3	4	39	167	5	15	6	171	265	255	520	84	311	43	10	243	51	-23	+1	—	—	+8	-1.4
2022	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	468	394	86	18	3	7	64	128	5	18	9	218	335	332	667	114	299	27	14	306	93	-4	+0	—	—	+10	0.7
2023	22	A+	Rome Braves	—	241	197	41	8	2	3	37	91	5	6	2	208	347	315	662	107	365	38	15	309	96	-1	+0	—	—	+5	0.4
2024	23	A+	Rome Emperors	—	404	350	77	17	2	5	47	131	3	20	2	220	318	323	640	103	330	32	12	293	85	-7	+3	—	—	+9	0.5
2025	24	AA	Columbus Clingstones	—	137	123	24	3	0	4	13	48	1	16	2	195	277	317	594	122	282	35	9	273	71	-5	+2	—	—	+3	0.1
2025	24	A+	Rome Emperors	—	44	36	7	0	0	1	5	12	2	4	1	194	326	278	603	83	250	27	11	283	78	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Braves	—	143	128	16	4	0	0	14	53	0	2	1	125	211	156	368	31	206	37	10	174	4	-16	+0	—	—	+3	-1.4
2021	20	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	392	357	37	7	2	2	27	233	5	15	6	104	177	151	329	48	270	59	7	154	-10	-51	+1	—	—	+8	-4.3
2022	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	468	418	75	15	2	5	40	173	5	18	9	179	259	261	520	81	279	37	9	237	47	-30	+0	—	—	+10	-2.0
2023	22	A+ MLE	Rome Braves	—	241	211	33	6	2	2	23	124	5	6	2	156	255	232	487	76	338	51	10	219	34	-19	+0	—	—	+5	-1.3
2024	23	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	—	404	370	63	13	2	4	27	179	3	20	2	170	233	249	481	78	302	44	7	219	34	-32	+3	—	—	+9	-2.0
2025	24	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	—	137	127	19	2	0	3	9	58	1	16	2	150	212	236	448	87	242	42	7	203	24	-12	+2	—	—	+3	-0.7
2025	24	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	—	44	38	6	0	0	1	3	16	2	4	1	158	256	237	493	79	209	36	7	220	35	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Braves	—	143	128	16	4	0	0	14	53	0	2	1	125	211	156	368	31	211	37	10	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	GCL Braves	—	143	120	23	6	0	0	22	37	0	2	1	192	317	242	559	50	274	26	15	269	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	392	357	37	7	2	2	27	233	5	15	6	104	177	151	329	48	280	59	7	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	—	392	345	59	11	3	4	39	167	5	15	6	171	265	255	520	84	311	43	10	243	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	468	418	75	15	2	5	40	173	5	18	9	179	259	261	520	81	286	37	9	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	—	468	394	86	18	3	7	64	128	5	18	9	218	335	332	667	114	299	27	14	306	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Rome Braves	—	241	211	33	6	2	2	23	124	5	6	2	156	255	232	487	76	360	51	10	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	Rome Braves	—	241	197	41	8	2	3	37	91	5	6	2	208	347	315	662	107	365	38	15	309	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	—	404	370	63	13	2	4	27	179	3	20	2	170	233	249	481	78	309	44	7	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Rome Emperors	—	404	350	77	17	2	5	47	131	3	20	2	220	318	323	640	103	330	32	12	293	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	181	165	24	2	0	4	12	74	3	20	3	145	217	230	447	85	227	41	7	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	181	159	31	3	0	5	18	60	3	20	3	195	289	308	597	113	274	33	10	275	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Braves	—	143	128	16	4	0	0	14	53	0	2	1	125	211	156	368	31	206	37	10	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	392	357	37	7	2	2	27	233	5	15	6	104	177	151	329	48	270	59	7	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	468	420	75	15	2	5	40	173	5	18	9	179	259	260	519	81	279	37	9	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Rome Braves	—	241	211	33	6	2	2	23	124	5	6	2	156	255	232	487	76	338	51	10	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	—	404	371	63	13	2	4	27	179	3	20	2	170	233	248	480	78	302	44	7	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	181	164	24	2	0	4	12	74	3	20	3	146	217	232	448	85	234	41	7	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A+ MLE	Rome Braves	—	241	211	33	6	2	2	23	124	5	6	2	156	255	232	487	76	338	51	10	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	—	404	371	63	13	2	4	27	179	3	20	2	170	233	248	480	78	302	44	7	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	181	164	24	2	0	4	12	74	3	20	3	146	217	232	448	85	234	41	7	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	25	MLB MLE	ATL	2%	14	13	1	0	0	0	1	6	0	1	0	77	143	77	220		264	43	7	220	35	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	ATL	31%	264	239	41	7	1	5	20	101	3	10	2	172	244	272	516	100	268	38	8	233	44	-18	+1	+0	+1	+6	-1.0
2027	26	MLB CTX	ATL	31%	82	75	12	2	0	1	6	31	1	3	0	160	232	227	458	67	268	38	7	225	44	-5	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	82	75	12	2	0	1	6	31	1	3	0	160	232	227	458	67	256	38	7	225	27	-5	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	95	16	0	8	48	246	8	24	0	160	232	227	459	67	255	38	7	225	27	-44	+5	+0	+2	+14	-2.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2107	1901	290	54	9	22	164	943	24	92	25	153	229	225	454	73	282	45	8	209	27	-19	+1	+0	+1	+6	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	90	17	3	7	51	291	7	28	8	154	230	229	458	75	283	45	8	209	27	-44	+3	+0	+2	+14	-2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Stephen Paolini (OGILVIE)	25	20	37	61	45	160/229/243	83	264	3	7	40%	7%	35	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Will Holland 2023 · AA	25	38→35	43→45	56→60	39	179/264/291	112	308	11	24	42%	8%	59	-1.6	189/271/295	106	286	9	29	35%	8%	63	-1.4	174/260/274	100	254	9	34	33%	8%	52	-0.9
✕Justin Lavey 2023 · A	25	38	40	58→55	34	180/232/267	87	317	7	18	44%	6%	40	-3.1	199/248/288	89	325	7	16	38%	6%	51	-2.3	189/218/251	62	299	6	20	38%	3%	26	-0.7
✕Tanner English 2018 · AAA	25	36→44	41→45	60→55	38	173/250/275	102	300	8	27	42%	8%	50	-2.3	176/231/273	97	295	7	19	40%	5%	41	-3.0	159/204/252	93	257	6	19	39%	4%	23	-1.8
✕Jacob Pearson 2023 · AA	25	39	40	50	45	192/259/283	92	259	7	19	28%	8%	55	-2.0	199/263/303	104	295	9	15	33%	7%	60	-1.6	132/195/249	117	217	11	13	43%	7%	19	-0.8
✕Jawuan Harris 2021 · A	24	37→28	40	54→55	41	172/263/265	93	309	7	18	42%	9%	53	-2.1	179/260/262	83	375	6	20	48%	9%	51	-2.3	94/200/138	45	245	2	38	56%	10%	0	-1.6
✕Kevin Merrell 2022 · AAA	26	40→39	39→40	55	39	197/248/283	86	274	7	17	30%	6%	49	-2.4	226/280/355	129	277	16	11	24%	6%	78	-0.3	232/279/364	132	253	21	6	18%	6%	80	-0.0
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	38→36	41→40	48→50	41	189/253/285	96	258	8	14	29%	6%	53	-2.1	205/270/318	113	284	10	14	30%	6%	67	-1.1	179/250/307	128	258	11	20	33%	6%	54	-0.5
✕LeDarious Clark 2019 · A	25	37→34	45	53→55	38	183/250/306	123	294	13	20	40%	7%	57	-1.8	198/262/311	113	303	12	14	36%	6%	62	-1.4	155/200/257	102	219	15	7	37%	3%	27	-0.8
✕Ashton Creal 2023 · A	24	38	41→40	54→55	38	181/259/279	98	296	8	22	39%	7%	55	-2.0	191/267/280	89	341	8	15	43%	7%	57	-1.8	129/224/173	43	295	6	12	53%	7%	16	-1.0
✕Thomas Jones 2022 · A	24	36→35	41→40	52→50	37	176/256/269	93	287	8	17	39%	7%	51	-2.2	180/261/291	111	315	11	13	43%	7%	58	-1.7	123/217/245	122	228	14	10	49%	8%	31	-1.4
✕Taylor Lewis 2014 · A	24	38	39→45	61→55	35	185/232/279	94	288	5	18	36%	5%	42	-2.9	203/247/293	90	294	6	17	31%	5%	51	-2.3	211/234/280	69	277	5	26	26%	2%	39	-0.8
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	36	41→45	54→65	34	178/234/269	92	299	8	24	42%	6%	42	-2.9	218/296/329	111	329	12	25	34%	9%	79	-0.2	229/304/333	104	308	11	52	28%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Champ Stuart 2018 · AA	25	39→38	38→30	59→60	36	181/244/257	76	317	6	31	42%	7%	42	-2.9	193/263/293	100	317	10	25	39%	8%	58	-1.7	105/204/196	90	163	13	37	43%	11%	13	-1.1
✕Connor Kopach 2021 · AAA	26	39→33	44→45	54→55	37	193/254/311	117	297	12	18	37%	6%	59	-1.6	188/257/291	103	357	11	16	46%	7%	56	-1.9	114/195/190	76	244	11	21	54%	8%	8	-1.6
✕Ben Sems 2023 · A	25	39	41→40	49→50	39	185/271/284	99	310	9	9	40%	8%	61	-1.5	191/266/261	70	298	5	11	35%	7%	53	-2.1	165/243/190	25	259	0	15	33%	7%	27	-1.9
✕Jeren Kendall 2019 · A	23	34→26	42→50	53→60	35	170/227/273	103	286	10	23	42%	7%	40	-3.0	172/243/312	140	311	16	22	46%	8%	56	-1.9	138/221/277	139	244	17	30	48%	9%	38	-1.6
✕Ryan Scott 2018 · A	25	39→35	42→40	50→45	37	192/254/294	102	283	9	8	34%	5%	55	-1.9	179/236/279	100	270	9	6	35%	6%	45	-2.7	134/192/223	89	201	8	2	36%	6%	13	-3.0
✕Simon Whiteman 2023 · AA	26	39→44	36→30	58→55	43	181/262/245	64	295	4	26	37%	9%	47	-2.5	197/266/275	78	286	6	19	30%	8%	55	-2.0	187/253/253	65	254	4	20	26%	8%	42	-1.2
✕Luke Brown 2023 · A	24	38	37→40	52→50	41	181/252/252	71	280	5	11	35%	7%	45	-2.7	185/256/291	106	287	11	15	37%	7%	56	-1.9	159/236/269	110	240	13	19	38%	8%	41	-1.2
✕Corey Ray 2019 · AA	24	39→36	46→50	55	36	193/249/328	136	303	13	22	39%	6%	61	-1.5	195/248/324	129	319	14	15	41%	6%	60	-1.6	171/216/298	127	269	15	12	41%	5%	39	-1.3