Connor Rasmussen

Connor RasmussenSS Columbia Fireflies

Age 22 L/R 5'11" / 195 lbs A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION193 act + 128 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .298 / .311

PA128

HR1

K%26

BB%9

BABIP302

ISO86

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$9M	+$8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.3	$6M	+$6M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$5M	+$4M
2035	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.6M
2036	Arb-3	$3M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$8M		$30M	+$26M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	41	37	5	2	0	0	4	10	0	0	0	135	220	189	409	54	185	24	10	187	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	41	35	6	2	0	0	6	7	0	0	0	171	293	229	521	57	214	17	15	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	KC	—	193	170	42	7	2	0	19	48	3	8	3	247	333	312	645	65	341	25	10	298	86	-3	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.5
YTD	22	A	KC	—	193	160	48	9	3	0	29	34	3	8	3	300	417	394	810	94	378	18	15	370	141	+9	+0	+0	+2	+5	1.7
ROS	22	A	KC	0%	128	115	26	5	1	1	11	33	1	4	1	225	298	311	609	86	307	26	9	286	77	-3	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.2
ROS	22	MLB	KC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		303	—	—	275	69	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	22	A	KC	—	193	171	42	7	2	0	19	48	3	8	3	246	333	310	643	64	339	25	10	298	86	-3	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.5
TOT	22	A	KC	—	321	285	68	12	3	1	30	81	4	12	4	238	319	312	631	74	326	25	9	293	83	-6	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	KC	34%	279	250	59	11	2	4	24	70	3	8	2	236	310	344	654	108	308	25	9	296	85	-5	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.7
2028	24	MLB	KC	46%	367	329	78	14	3	6	31	90	4	11	3	237	310	353	663	116	308	25	8	302	89	-5	+1	+0	+4	+10	1.1
2029	25	MLB	KC	52%	412	369	89	16	3	8	35	101	5	12	3	241	315	366	681	125	308	25	8	305	92	-4	+1	+0	+4	+12	1.4
2030	26	MLB	KC	54%	439	393	95	17	3	9	38	107	5	13	4	242	317	369	685	127	307	24	9	308	94	-3	+1	+0	+5	+12	1.5
2031	27	MLB	KC	54%	448	401	97	17	4	9	39	110	5	13	4	242	317	372	688	130	307	25	9	308	94	-3	+1	+0	+5	+13	1.6
2032	28	MLB	KC	54%	450	402	96	17	3	9	40	111	5	13	4	239	315	363	679	124	307	25	9	307	93	-4	+1	-1	+5	+13	1.5
2033	29	MLB	KC	53%	443	396	94	17	3	8	39	110	5	13	4	237	314	356	670	119	306	25	9	305	92	-4	+1	-1	+5	+13	1.3
2034	30	MLB	KC	52%	435	388	91	16	3	8	39	109	5	12	4	235	312	353	666	119	306	25	9	302	90	-5	+1	-2	+5	+12	1.1
2035	31	MLB	KC	52%	422	377	88	16	3	7	37	107	5	12	3	233	310	347	658	114	303	25	9	298	87	-6	+1	-3	+5	+12	0.9
2036	32	MLB	KC	52%	405	362	83	14	3	7	36	104	4	11	3	229	306	343	649	113	301	26	9	293	83	-8	+1	-4	+4	+11	0.5
2037	33	MLB	KC	52%	376	336	76	13	3	6	33	99	4	10	3	226	303	336	639	110	297	26	9	287	78	-10	+1	-4	+4	+11	0.2
2038	34	MLB	KC	47%	331	296	64	10	2	5	29	89	3	9	2	216	293	314	607	98	291	27	9	279	71	-11	+1	-5	+4	+9	-0.2
2027	23	MLB	KC	34%	96	87	20	4	1	1	8	24	1	3	1	230	302	333	635	103	305	25	8	285	76	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2028	24	MLB	KC	46%	169	151	35	6	1	3	14	42	2	5	1	232	305	344	650	113	305	25	8	290	80	-4	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.3
2029	25	MLB	KC	52%	213	191	46	8	2	4	18	52	2	6	2	241	313	366	679	126	304	24	8	294	83	-4	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.5
2030	26	MLB	KC	54%	238	213	51	9	2	5	20	58	3	7	2	239	314	371	684	131	304	24	8	296	84	-4	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2031	27	MLB	KC	54%	243	217	52	9	2	5	21	60	3	7	2	240	315	369	684	129	304	25	9	296	85	-4	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2032	28	MLB	KC	54%	244	217	52	9	2	5	22	60	3	7	2	240	318	369	687	129	303	25	9	295	84	-4	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.5
2033	29	MLB	KC	53%	235	209	50	9	2	4	21	58	3	7	2	239	318	359	676	120	303	25	9	293	83	-5	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.5
2034	30	MLB	KC	52%	228	204	47	8	2	4	20	57	2	6	2	230	305	348	653	118	302	25	9	291	81	-5	+0	-1	+2	+6	0.3
2035	31	MLB	KC	52%	220	196	46	8	2	4	20	56	2	6	2	235	312	357	669	122	300	25	9	287	78	-5	+0	-1	+2	+6	0.2
2036	32	MLB	KC	52%	210	187	42	7	2	3	19	54	2	6	2	225	303	332	634	107	297	26	9	282	74	-6	+0	-2	+2	+6	0.1
2037	33	MLB	KC	52%	194	173	38	6	1	3	17	51	2	5	1	220	297	318	615	98	293	26	9	276	69	-7	+1	-2	+2	+5	-0.1
2038	34	MLB	KC	47%	156	139	30	5	1	2	14	42	2	4	1	216	297	309	606	94	288	27	9	268	64	-6	+0	-2	+2	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2446	2185	509	88	20	43	214	614	27	69	20	233	309	351	660	118	303	25	9	289	79	-58	+6	-10	+26	+69	3.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	134	23	5	11	57	163	7	18	5	231	307	344	652	114	300	25	9	289	79	-15	+2	-3	+7	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	4976	4451	1041	185	36	87	435	1250	54	141	40	234	310	350	660	116	304	25	9	299	87	-75	+12	-20	+53	+141	11.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	136	24	5	11	57	163	7	18	5	234	310	349	659	115	305	25	9	299	87	-10	+2	-3	+7	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	41	35	6	2	0	0	6	7	0	0	0	171	293	229	521	57	214	17	15	253	52	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,557	45	72	236	308	355	+26	+21	6.6	5.8
	/162	664	12	19	236	308	355	+6.8	+5.5	1.7	pk7: 5
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Connor Rasmussen (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	238/319/312	74	326	1	12	25%	9%	83	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→48	43→50	58→60	54	209/313/325	116	289	9	21	28%	12%	83	+0.6	220/319/358	138	276	15	33	24%	11%	94	+1.3	216/315/358	142	266	16	40	24%	11%	89	+1.0
✕Hoy Park 2018 · A	22	43→49	40→45	58→55	46	205/275/300	94	276	6	17	27%	8%	59	-1.1	222/298/307	85	300	5	16	25%	9%	71	-0.3	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
●Jordany Valdespin 2010 · A	22	47→53	41→50	54→55	44	227/270/330	103	277	7	13	21%	5%	64	-0.8	244/275/369	125	299	12	21	22%	3%	77	+0.1	256/296/403	147	298	17	28	20%	4%	92	+0.7
✕Kyle Isbel 2019 · A	22	47→53	43→50	53→55	41	227/275/340	113	305	10	19	28%	6%	69	-0.4	218/268/349	131	285	14	17	27%	6%	69	-0.4	242/292/371	130	288	10	11	19%	6%	83	+0.4
✕Kevin Kramer 2016 · A	22	46→56	40→50	54→50	44	219/276/314	95	279	6	12	23%	6%	63	-0.8	244/300/353	109	310	8	8	22%	6%	83	+0.6	253/309/371	119	326	9	8	24%	6%	90	+0.7
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	44→48	43→45	51→50	41	215/278/328	113	300	10	11	30%	6%	68	-0.5	198/268/323	125	313	14	12	39%	7%	63	-0.8	237/319/364	126	339	12	15	31%	8%	92	+0.8
✕Chris Pieters 2017 · A	22	48	39→45	54→55	49	226/307/315	88	296	6	17	24%	8%	77	+0.1	207/263/300	93	289	6	12	28%	6%	54	-1.4	195/251/293	97	271	6	13	28%	6%	45	-0.8
✕Rafael Ortega 2013 · A	22	48→54	42→55	52→55	42	232/273/335	102	291	9	21	23%	5%	66	-0.6	226/279/311	85	283	6	19	21%	7%	63	-0.8	240/312/405	165	285	19	17	23%	9%	98	+1.2
✕Shed Long Jr. 2017 · A	21	46→47	43→50	50	41	223/279/337	114	308	10	11	30%	6%	70	-0.3	233/292/376	143	318	15	11	30%	7%	86	+0.8	233/295/385	151	314	17	11	30%	7%	87	+0.6
✕Ehire Adrianza 2012 · A	22	47→49	40→50	50	45	225/284/327	102	291	6	13	24%	7%	70	-0.3	216/275/306	90	281	5	13	23%	7%	60	-1.0	241/326/373	132	289	11	1	19%	10%	97	+0.5
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→52	46→55	48→50	52	224/303/356	132	269	13	12	22%	9%	86	+0.8	237/303/415	178	282	22	11	24%	8%	102	+1.8	230/299/411	181	267	23	11	23%	8%	96	+1.1
●TJ Friedl 2018 · A	22	47→54	41→50	49→55	42	226/285/334	108	296	7	11	25%	6%	72	-0.2	223/298/321	98	291	7	18	24%	8%	75	-0.0	248/339/390	142	278	16	18	16%	10%	108	+2.0
✕Carlos Vidal 2017 · A	21	48	43→45	49→50	48	234/302/348	114	288	10	12	22%	7%	83	+0.6	232/278/326	94	303	6	7	24%	5%	66	-0.6	237/281/332	95	308	5	6	24%	5%	65	-0.3
●Jace Jung 2023 · A	22	44→43	40→60	50→40	49	208/291/305	96	301	6	7	31%	10%	68	-0.5	222/305/404	182	291	23	4	30%	10%	100	+1.7	219/307/411	193	275	25	3	29%	11%	100	+1.6
✕Spencer Jones 2023 · A	22	48	45→55	56→55	43	235/298/363	128	318	13	19	29%	7%	85	+0.7	217/270/366	149	357	16	25	41%	6%	75	-0.0	210/278/395	185	354	23	23	44%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Ryan Boldt 2018 · A	23	47→48	40→50	53→55	44	226/284/323	97	296	6	16	25%	6%	69	-0.4	236/292/361	125	307	11	16	25%	6%	82	+0.5	227/279/362	135	313	14	18	31%	5%	74	-0.0
✕Dwight Smith Jr. 2015 · A	22	50→53	41→50	53→50	49	240/298/343	104	292	7	12	20%	8%	79	+0.3	235/285/337	102	290	8	9	21%	6%	72	-0.2	245/307/382	136	293	13	9	20%	7%	91	+0.9
✕Jason Martin 2017 · A	21	42→49	45→60	49→50	43	209/267/335	126	281	12	13	29%	7%	65	-0.7	223/270/369	146	300	15	12	29%	6%	76	+0.0	220/286/421	201	269	27	8	29%	8%	94	+0.8
✕Nick Senzel 2017 · A	22	47→56	44→50	51→50	46	228/291/356	128	301	9	16	26%	8%	81	+0.4	248/302/388	140	329	12	14	27%	7%	93	+1.3	253/307/401	148	331	14	16	26%	7%	96	+0.9
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2021 · A	22	48→49	45	50→55	46	233/298/359	126	318	12	10	29%	8%	84	+0.6	226/296/346	120	335	10	17	32%	9%	80	+0.4	222/291/344	122	331	10	21	33%	9%	74	-0.0