Connor Rasmussen

Connor RasmussenSS Columbia Fireflies

Age 22 L/R 5'11" / 195 lbs A HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION333 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†90

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP289

ISO125

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$42M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 54 / POW 43

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT54

scouting grade only

POWER43

scouting grade only

EYE61

scouting grade only

SPEED58

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-2	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$13M	+$8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	41	35	6	2	0	0	6	7	0	0	0	171	293	229	521	57	214	17	15	253	57	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	41	37	5	2	0	0	4	10	0	0	0	135	220	189	409	54	187	24	10	188	13	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	41	37	5	2	0	0	4	10	0	0	0	135	220	189	409	54	185	24	10	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	—	41	35	6	2	0	0	6	7	0	0	0	171	293	229	521	57	214	17	15	253	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	41	37	5	2	0	0	4	10	0	0	0	135	220	189	409	54	187	24	10	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	41	37	5	2	0	0	4	10	0	0	0	135	220	189	409	54	187	24	10	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A MLE	KC	—	333	291	66	11	3	5	34	78	5	14	5	227	318	337	655	110	289	23	10	290	82	-7	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A RAW	KC	—	294	239	65	9	4	5	46	47	5	14	5	272	399	406	804	134	316	16	16	363	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A+ RAW	KC	—	39	32	7	4	0	0	7	8	0	0	0	219	359	344	703	125	292	21	18	327	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A MLE	KC	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		291	22	11	301	90	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	22	A MLE	KC	—	342	299	67	11	3	5	35	80	5	14	5	224	316	331	647	107	286	23	10	290	82	-7	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	KC	43%	296	262	61	11	2	6	29	69	3	7	2	233	316	359	675	126	292	23	10	306	93	-3	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.8
2028	24	MLB MLE	KC	58%	380	336	79	14	3	8	37	88	4	9	3	235	318	366	684	131	293	23	10	309	95	-2	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	KC	65%	420	371	88	16	3	9	41	96	5	10	3	237	321	369	691	132	293	23	10	311	97	-2	+1	+0	+4	+9	1.3
2030	26	MLB MLE	KC	68%	445	394	93	17	3	10	43	102	5	10	3	236	319	371	690	135	293	23	10	312	97	-2	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.4
2031	27	MLB MLE	KC	68%	452	400	94	17	3	10	44	104	5	11	3	235	318	367	686	133	293	23	10	312	97	-1	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.4
2032	28	MLB MLE	KC	68%	452	399	94	17	3	10	45	104	5	10	3	236	321	368	689	133	292	23	10	311	97	-2	+1	-1	+5	+10	1.3
2033	29	MLB MLE	KC	66%	445	393	92	16	3	10	44	104	5	10	3	234	319	366	685	132	292	23	10	309	96	-2	+1	-1	+5	+10	1.2
2034	30	MLB MLE	KC	66%	436	384	89	16	3	9	44	103	5	9	3	232	319	359	678	128	291	24	10	307	94	-3	+1	-2	+5	+9	1.0
2035	31	MLB MLE	KC	65%	423	373	86	15	3	9	42	101	5	9	3	231	317	359	676	129	289	24	10	303	91	-4	+1	-3	+5	+9	0.7
2036	32	MLB MLE	KC	65%	405	357	81	14	3	8	40	98	5	8	2	227	313	350	664	123	286	24	10	298	88	-6	+1	-4	+4	+9	0.5
2037	33	MLB MLE	KC	65%	376	332	73	12	2	7	37	93	4	7	2	220	306	331	637	111	283	25	10	291	83	-8	+1	-4	+4	+8	0.1
2038	34	MLB MLE	KC	60%	331	292	63	10	2	6	33	84	3	6	2	216	302	325	627	110	277	25	10	283	78	-9	+0	-5	+4	+7	-0.3
2027	23	MLB CTX	KC	43%	128	114	26	5	1	2	12	30	1	3	1	228	307	342	649	114	289	23	9	293	93	-1	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	KC	58%	220	194	45	8	2	4	21	51	3	5	2	232	317	356	672	124	290	23	10	296	95	-1	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.6
2029	25	MLB CTX	KC	65%	272	241	56	10	2	6	26	62	3	6	2	232	315	365	680	133	290	23	10	298	97	-1	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.8
2030	26	MLB CTX	KC	68%	303	267	62	11	2	6	29	69	4	7	2	232	317	356	672	124	290	23	10	298	97	-1	+1	+0	+3	+7	1.0
2031	27	MLB CTX	KC	68%	307	270	62	11	2	6	30	71	4	7	2	230	316	352	668	122	290	23	10	299	97	-1	+1	+0	+3	+7	1.0
2032	28	MLB CTX	KC	68%	307	270	62	11	2	6	30	71	4	7	2	230	316	352	668	122	289	23	10	298	97	-1	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.9
2033	29	MLB CTX	KC	66%	296	262	60	11	2	6	29	69	3	7	2	229	313	355	668	126	289	23	10	296	96	-2	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.8
2034	30	MLB CTX	KC	66%	286	252	58	10	2	6	29	67	3	6	2	230	317	357	674	127	288	23	10	294	94	-2	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.6
2035	31	MLB CTX	KC	65%	275	243	55	10	2	5	27	66	3	6	2	226	311	346	657	119	286	24	10	290	91	-3	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.5
2036	32	MLB CTX	KC	65%	262	231	52	9	2	5	26	64	3	5	2	225	312	346	658	121	283	24	10	285	88	-4	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.3
2037	33	MLB CTX	KC	65%	243	214	47	8	2	4	24	60	3	5	1	220	307	332	639	112	280	25	10	279	83	-5	+1	-3	+3	+5	0.1
2038	34	MLB CTX	KC	60%	199	175	37	6	1	3	20	51	2	3	1	211	299	309	608	97	275	26	10	272	78	-5	+0	-3	+2	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3098	2733	622	110	22	59	303	731	36	67	21	228	313	349	662	121	288	24	10	292	92	-27	+5	-13	+33	+67	6.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	130	23	5	12	64	153	8	14	4	227	313	347	660	120	287	24	10	292	92	-6	+1	-3	+7	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	4911	4338	999	177	33	102	484	1158	54	106	32	230	315	357	672	127	289	24	10	304	92	-44	+8	-20	+52	+106	10.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	132	23	4	14	64	153	7	14	4	230	315	357	672	127	288	24	10	304	92	-6	+1	-3	+7	+14	1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	4.8	3,215	67	69	233	314	360	+33	+27	9.8	8.5
/162	664	14	14	+6.8	+5.6	2.0	pk7: 7
#5Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Connor Rasmussen (OGILVIE)	22	49→54	38→43	53→58	61	228/313/346	118	291	2	4	24%	10%	90	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nicky Lopez 2017 · A	22	47→57	42→40	57→55	51	229/304/337	108	264	10	17	17%	8%	84	+0.1	252/304/335	83	284	5	13	13%	6%	82	-0.0	264/325/345	82	303	4	14	13%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Drew Gilbert 2023 · A	22	48	47→50	53→45	48	239/297/376	137	271	15	16	18%	7%	90	+0.6	224/293/368	144	273	16	9	23%	7%	87	+0.4	210/294/357	148	242	16	5	20%	8%	82	+0.0
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→51	46→55	48→50	52	226/305/358	133	270	13	12	21%	9%	89	+0.5	230/298/389	159	277	18	11	23%	8%	93	+0.8	222/292/383	160	263	19	11	23%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→48	43→45	58→60	54	211/315/327	116	289	9	21	28%	12%	86	+0.3	215/313/338	123	273	13	33	24%	11%	88	+0.5	211/310/338	127	264	13	40	24%	11%	84	+0.2
✕James Skelton 2008 · A	22	53→57	42→40	51→50	53	255/323/364	109	305	8	13	19%	9%	97	+1.1	234/327/323	89	310	7	13	24%	12%	89	+0.5	229/331/314	85	302	5	10	23%	12%	88	+0.1
✕Spencer Jones 2023 · A	22	50→48	46→55	56→55	44	241/305/370	129	323	13	19	28%	7%	91	+0.7	218/272/362	144	354	15	25	40%	6%	78	-0.3	216/285/389	174	351	21	24	42%	8%	86	+0.3
●LaMonte Wade Jr. 2016 · A	22	46→56	45→55	55→45	54	229/308/356	127	264	13	10	18%	9%	89	+0.5	239/317/346	107	281	10	8	17%	9%	91	+0.6	243/344/432	189	274	24	4	20%	12%	118	+1.8
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2021 · A	22	49→50	44→45	50→55	46	235/299/356	121	318	11	10	28%	8%	86	+0.3	230/301/343	113	337	9	17	31%	9%	84	+0.1	227/299/342	115	335	9	21	32%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Ryan Kalish 2010 · AA	22	49→51	44→50	52→55	47	239/299/356	117	304	11	14	25%	8%	86	+0.3	236/293/360	124	294	12	23	23%	7%	84	+0.2	230/283/348	118	290	11	26	24%	6%	76	-0.3
✕Cal Stevenson 2019 · A	22	57	39→45	59→60	63	265/358/366	102	307	4	16	14%	13%	109	+2.0	234/308/325	91	293	7	13	21%	10%	82	-0.0	239/332/352	113	308	9	30	23%	12%	96	+0.6
●Tyler Black 2023 · A	23	47→52	41→50	50→60	54	222/318/324	102	296	7	14	25%	11%	86	+0.3	235/326/374	139	303	12	30	24%	10%	100	+1.3	232/326/372	140	301	12	35	25%	10%	97	+0.8
✕Carlos Mendoza 2022 · A	22	54→55	37→40	56→55	57	248/344/324	76	301	3	18	17%	11%	96	+1.0	237/340/308	71	308	3	14	21%	12%	91	+0.7	242/332/330	88	296	7	18	19%	9%	90	+0.5
●Jemile Weeks 2009 · A	22	50→60	41→45	52→55	50	239/316/342	103	298	8	14	22%	8%	89	+0.5	247/305/360	113	295	9	16	19%	7%	88	+0.5	262/318/375	113	310	7	21	17%	7%	94	+0.7
✕Nick Senzel 2017 · A	22	48→57	45→50	51→50	46	230/295/364	133	302	10	16	26%	8%	86	+0.3	251/305/391	140	330	12	14	26%	7%	96	+1.0	256/310/402	146	332	13	16	26%	7%	97	+0.7
✕Colt Keith 2023 · A	21	48→54	47→55	53→45	45	235/299/375	141	327	14	8	31%	8%	90	+0.6	251/308/406	155	312	17	5	24%	7%	101	+1.4	256/316/410	154	310	18	4	23%	8%	102	+1.3
✕Ryan Wheeler 2010 · A	22	49→55	45→50	48→40	47	241/312/368	127	299	12	8	23%	8%	94	+0.9	248/290/367	119	316	12	4	24%	5%	84	+0.2	253/293/380	127	317	12	4	24%	5%	88	+0.4
●J.P. Crawford 2016 · AA	21	52→58	41→45	49→50	53	250/315/350	100	290	7	13	16%	9%	90	+0.6	217/291/314	97	267	8	9	20%	9%	74	-0.6	261/353/385	124	305	11	2	17%	11%	110	+2.2
✕Tsung-Che Cheng 2023 · A	22	48→47	42→45	57→55	51	226/308/340	115	305	8	21	27%	10%	86	+0.3	213/278/323	110	288	9	18	27%	8%	70	-0.8	202/266/301	99	273	8	19	28%	7%	58	-1.4
✕Logan Vick 2014 · A	23	48	41→45	51→50	54	226/318/331	106	305	7	15	26%	12%	88	+0.4	195/285/290	95	293	7	13	32%	11%	66	-1.1	147/250/227	80	231	5	13	35%	11%	38	-2.1
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	46	44→45	55	46	225/303/346	121	300	11	14	27%	8%	86	+0.3	225/283/333	108	304	9	9	28%	5%	75	-0.5	222/278/328	106	295	10	8	27%	5%	70	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps