Andrew Bolívar

P FCL Cardinals

Age 21 RHP 6'1" / 170 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKSTL	11	4	30	8.19	5.22	18.5%	20.5%	—	K 12.6% · BB 25.7% · FIP 6.17
2026	20	ROKSTL	14	3	28	5.72	4.97	24.6%	23.1%	—	K 16.7% · BB 28.9% · FIP 6.50
2027PROJ	21	MLBSTL	17	0	18	5.95	5.95	19.7%	20.0%	-0.3
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBSTL	13	0	14	5.54	5.38	21.1%	16.6%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsRadhames Liz (age 23) · Lisandro Almonte (age 21) · Nestor Lorant (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146138vR 130

ERA5.95

FIP5.95

K%19.7%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-0.3%

Proj IP18

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	12	10	43	185	53	26	1	83%	3.6	19.5%	17.6%	1.9%	0.6%	4.22	4.00	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	12	10	43	185	53	26	1	83%	3.6	19.5%	17.6%	1.9%	0.6%	4.22	4.00	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	12	10	43	185	53	26	1	83%	3.6	28.6%	14.1%	14.6%	0.5%	4.22	2.75	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	11	4	30	151	28	31	2	36%	2.7	12.6%	25.7%	-13.1%	1.6%	8.19	6.17	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	11	4	30	151	28	31	2	36%	2.7	12.6%	25.7%	-13.1%	1.6%	8.19	6.17	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	11	4	30	151	28	31	2	36%	2.7	18.5%	20.5%	-2.0%	1.3%	8.19	5.22	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	14	3	28	134	33	31	2	21%	2.0	16.7%	28.9%	-12.2%	2.1%	5.72	6.50	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	14	3	28	134	33	31	2	21%	2.0	16.7%	28.9%	-12.2%	2.1%	5.72	6.50	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	14	3	28	134	33	31	2	21%	2.0	24.6%	23.1%	1.5%	1.5%	5.72	4.97	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	STL	17	0	18	76	15	15	2	0%	1.1	19.7%	20.0%	-0.3%	2.9%	5.95	5.95	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	STL	27	0	28	118	25	20	3	0%	1.0	21.1%	16.6%	4.5%	2.9%	5.54	5.38	-0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	STL	13	0	14	59	12	10	2	0%	1.1	21.1%	16.6%	4.5%	2.9%	5.54	5.38	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	14	58	12	10	2	0%	1.1	21.1%	16.6%	4.5%	2.9%	5.54	5.00	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	174	145	29	0%	1.1	21.1%	16.6%	4.5%	2.9%	5.54	5.00	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		37	17	101	470	78	110	6	46%	2.7	16.5%	23.4%	-6.9%	1.3%	5.81	5.41	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	34	200	934	154	219	13	46%	2.7	16.5%	23.4%	-6.9%	1.3%	5.81	5.41	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andrew Bolívar (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.95	19.7%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.38	21.1%	4.5%	28	-0.57	—	—	—
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	87
Lisandro Almonte R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	20.4%	20.7%	2.8%	.274	3.81	20.7%	12.2%	15	-1.73	3.81	128	86
Nestor Lorant R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SW	5.53	18.7%	18.2%	3.1%	.280	3.86	20.5%	11.3%	249	-1.67	2.73	373	85
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	84
Hansel Rosario R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SW	5.54	19.2%	22.2%	2.3%	.306	7.16	16.3%	-21.0%	19	+1.62	5.25	107	83
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	82
Keegan Zinn R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	19	SP-	6.40	19.1%	19.5%	4.4%	.318	5.80	19.0%	-1.9%	112	-0.60	4.88	145	82
Alex Makarewich R 2024 · 6.15 FIP	22	SP-	6.15	19.7%	26.7%	2.4%	.425	5.15	26.4%	-3.3%	83	-1.00	4.26	110	80
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	80
Jace Beck R 2021 · 5.13 FIP	21	SP-	5.13	21.1%	23.7%	1.5%	.347	5.32	25.7%	2.8%	50	+0.19	4.03	216	80
Keegan Collett R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	21	SW	5.05	21.9%	24.6%	1.2%	.321	4.68	29.1%	9.0%	84	-0.37	3.93	184	80
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	79
Aneuris Rodriguez R 2024 · 5.22 FIP	20	SW	5.22	16.0%	18.8%	2.0%	.310	6.65	14.6%	-15.5%	14	+1.43	3.15	118	79
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	79
Aneudis Mejia R 2023 · 7.12 FIP	19	SW	7.12	18.7%	29.9%	3.3%	.404	5.03	16.9%	1.3%	102	-2.09	4.36	122	79
Juan Perez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	21	SW	5.39	15.4%	14.1%	3.3%	.321	4.52	10.8%	0.0%	56	-0.87	4.52	113	79
Engel Daniel Peralta R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SW	5.28	17.7%	15.0%	3.2%	.300	5.89	16.6%	1.2%	33	+0.61	3.34	129	78
Seth McClung R 2003 · 5.63 FIP	22	SW	5.63	15.0%	14.4%	3.6%	.241	5.29	15.3%	2.8%	212	-0.34	2.52	430	78
Drew Conover R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	23	SW	6.25	15.6%	29.8%	1.3%	.272	5.19	12.6%	-3.4%	106	-1.06	4.49	145	78
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	78