Josh Blum — OGILVIE

Josh Blum P Brooklyn Cyclones

Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 195 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2028

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 40 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.72

FIP4.72

K%17.4%

BB%9.4%

K-BB%8.1%

ROS IP41

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 40 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	58	248	51	20	3	0%	1.7	15.4%	9.4%	6.0%	1.8%	3.41	4.00	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	58	248	51	20	3	0%	1.7	15.4%	9.4%	6.0%	1.8%	3.41	4.00	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	58	248	51	20	3	0%	1.7	20.6%	8.1%	12.5%	1.2%	3.41	3.05	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	20	1	20	108	19	23	1	5%	1.0	12.5%	28.7%	-16.3%	0.0%	8.10	5.69	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	20	1	20	108	19	23	1	5%	1.0	12.5%	28.7%	-16.3%	0.0%	8.10	5.69	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	ROK RAW	NYM	1	1	1	7	1	0	1	100%	0.7	14.3%	0.0%	14.3%	14.3%	67.50	9.73	—
2026	23	A RAW	NYM	7	0	8	33	7	6	0	0%	1.1	21.2%	18.2%	3.0%	0.0%	2.25	3.61	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	NYM	12	0	11	68	11	17	0	0%	0.9	16.2%	25.0%	-8.8%	0.0%	8.74	4.90	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	NYM	51	0	54	226	43	20	6	0%	1.0	19.1%	9.0%	10.1%	2.8%	4.59	4.52	+0.0
2028	25	MLB MLE	NYM	52	0	54	229	46	20	6	0%	1.0	20.1%	8.8%	11.3%	2.8%	4.48	4.42	+0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	NYM	52	0	54	229	47	20	6	0%	1.0	20.6%	8.8%	11.8%	2.8%	4.42	4.38	+0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	NYM	51	0	53	225	47	20	6	0%	1.0	20.6%	8.8%	11.8%	2.8%	4.42	4.41	+0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	NYM	22	0	23	97	19	9	3	0%	1.0	19.1%	9.0%	10.1%	2.8%	4.59	4.52	+0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	NYM	34	0	36	152	31	13	4	0%	1.1	20.1%	8.8%	11.3%	2.8%	4.48	4.42	+0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	NYM	41	0	43	182	37	16	5	0%	1.0	20.6%	8.8%	11.8%	2.8%	4.42	4.38	+0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	NYM	44	0	46	194	40	17	6	0%	1.0	20.6%	8.8%	11.8%	2.8%	4.42	4.41	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		141	0	148	623	126	55	17	0%	1.0	20.3%	8.8%	11.4%	2.8%	4.46	4.04	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	171	75	23	0%	1.1	20.3%	8.8%	11.4%	2.8%	4.46	4.04	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		55	1	78	356	52	54	5	2%	1.4	14.5%	15.3%	-0.7%	1.3%	4.62	4.51	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		141	3	200	913	133	140	12	2%	1.4	14.5%	15.3%	-0.7%	1.3%	4.62	4.51	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Josh Blum (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.72	17.4%	9.4%	2.8%	—	4.44	19.9%	11.1%	162	-0.28	—	—	—
Matt Pidich R 2018 · 4.42 FIP	23	SU	4.42	17.1%	8.3%	3.1%	.303	4.08	20.8%	13.3%	115	-0.34	4.05	196	93
Anyelo Leclerc R 2015 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	16.2%	9.8%	3.7%	.326	4.65	15.9%	6.1%	96	-0.35	4.65	140	91
Blake Goldsberry R 2021 · 4.09 FIP	24	SU	4.09	16.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.267	4.51	23.6%	13.4%	75	+0.42	3.43	117	90
Colby Blueberg R 2016 · 4.42 FIP	23	SU	4.42	17.7%	11.0%	2.6%	.310	3.80	21.6%	10.6%	110	-0.62	2.36	229	90
Brett Standlee R 2022 · 4.13 FIP	23	SU	4.13	19.7%	11.1%	2.4%	.322	4.45	17.0%	8.9%	75	+0.32	4.13	128	90
RJ Petit R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SU	4.30	16.5%	8.0%	2.9%	.341	3.09	24.6%	14.5%	125	-1.21	3.08	231	90
Aaron Brooks R 2015 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	15.2%	7.3%	2.5%	.314	3.54	13.7%	6.0%	77	-0.55	3.54	109	90
Brett McKinney R 2015 · 4.79 FIP	24	SU	4.79	17.1%	8.9%	3.6%	.335	4.02	18.1%	8.5%	129	-0.77	3.43	183	89
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	89
Matt Carasiti R 2015 · 3.85 FIP	24	SU	3.85	17.8%	9.8%	1.8%	.309	3.26	24.8%	15.5%	104	-0.59	2.80	312	89
Tyler Schoff R 2022 · 4.25 FIP	23	SU	4.25	19.6%	10.8%	2.6%	.350	3.72	23.8%	15.7%	93	-0.53	3.69	190	89
Rob Griswold R 2022 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	16.8%	8.3%	3.2%	.244	4.34	12.5%	6.2%	144	-0.13	3.57	203	89
Andrew Bash R 2019 · 3.87 FIP	22	SU	3.87	18.0%	9.2%	2.1%	.273	4.21	14.9%	4.8%	146	+0.34	3.52	483	88
Brian Glowicki R 2018 · 3.91 FIP	23	SU	3.91	17.4%	8.8%	2.1%	.254	3.71	22.4%	14.4%	89	-0.20	2.31	189	88
Carlos Torres R 2023 · 4.10 FIP	22	SU	4.10	15.2%	9.0%	2.1%	.315	4.39	15.2%	8.6%	125	+0.29	3.71	187	88
Miguel Guerrero R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	23	SU	4.56	18.1%	10.3%	3.1%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	171	88
Matt Anderson R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	23	SU	3.84	17.4%	7.5%	2.3%	.288	2.99	17.5%	10.7%	62	-0.85	2.99	129	88
Jackson Rees R 2018 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	16.1%	9.0%	2.9%	.354	1.90	28.2%	20.8%	62	-2.57	1.90	103	88
Vince Vannelle R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	19.9%	8.6%	2.2%	.282	5.30	15.3%	4.5%	76	+1.59	3.71	105	88
Matt Pierpont R 2015 · 4.21 FIP	24	SU	4.21	17.8%	7.1%	3.1%	.295	3.25	21.7%	13.8%	190	-0.96	2.76	280	88

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	51	19.7%	8.9%	1.08	4.52
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21