RJ Petit
P
Erie SeaWolves
Age 26
RHP
6'8" / 287 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114105vR 95
ERA4.16
FIP4.16
K%24.9%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%14.1%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 6 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 17% | 1.3 | 23.5% | 8.8% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 7.04 | 3.85 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 6 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 17% | 1.3 | 23.5% | 8.8% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 7.04 | 3.88 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 54 | 233 | 62 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 4.2% | 3.67 | 4.77 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 54 | 233 | 62 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.6% | 7.3% | 19.3% | 2.6% | 3.67 | 3.19 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 1 | 57 | 253 | 56 | 18 | 6 | 2% | 1.3 | 16.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 3.49 | 4.23 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 1 | 57 | 253 | 56 | 18 | 6 | 2% | 1.3 | 22.1% | 7.1% | 15.0% | 2.4% | 3.49 | 3.45 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 43 | 1 | 59 | 244 | 76 | 27 | 2 | 2% | 1.4 | 25.2% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 1.1% | 3.68 | 3.12 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 43 | 1 | 59 | 244 | 76 | 27 | 2 | 2% | 1.4 | 31.1% | 11.1% | 20.1% | 0.8% | 3.68 | 2.33 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 2 | 66 | 268 | 79 | 22 | 4 | 4% | 1.4 | 24.7% | 8.8% | 15.9% | 1.9% | 2.44 | 3.18 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 2 | 66 | 268 | 79 | 22 | 4 | 4% | 1.4 | 29.5% | 8.2% | 21.3% | 1.5% | 2.44 | 2.50 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | DET | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 73 | 32 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.9% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 2.6% | 4.16 | 4.16 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | DET | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 72 | 31 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | 4.20 | 4.22 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | DET | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 69 | 30 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 2.8% | 4.27 | 4.31 | +0.3 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | DET | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | 4.20 | 4.22 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | DET | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 41 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.5% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 2.8% | 4.27 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 63 | 0 | 66 | 278 | 68 | 30 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.6% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 2.7% | 4.24 | 3.89 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 207 | 91 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.6% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 2.7% | 4.24 | 3.89 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 187 | 5 | 243 | 1032 | 225 | 96 | 26 | 3% | 1.3 | 21.8% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 2.5% | 3.40 | 3.80 | +4.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 154 | 4 | 200 | 848 | 185 | 79 | 21 | 3% | 1.3 | 21.8% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 2.5% | 3.40 | 3.80 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| RJ Petit (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.16 | 24.9% | 10.8% | 2.6% | — | 4.26 | 24.6% | 13.9% | 136 | +0.10 | — | — | — |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 92 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 89 |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.62 | 23.9% | 12.3% | 1.8% | .291 | 6.27 | 19.1% | -8.3% | 16 | +2.65 | 3.05 | 134 | 89 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 89 |
| Seth Simmons R 2027 · 3.06 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.06 | 23.8% | 9.7% | 1.4% | .277 | 4.93 | 16.6% | 7.6% | 175 | +1.87 | 3.06 | 251 | 88 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.46 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .244 | 3.76 | 18.9% | 11.1% | 168 | +0.30 | 3.23 | 253 | 88 |
| Blake Treinen R 2027 · 3.10 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.10 | 23.2% | 9.3% | 1.4% | .314 | 2.59 | 26.4% | 19.2% | 223 | -0.51 | 1.51 | 544 | 87 |
| Matt Pushard R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.77 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 2.9% | .242 | 3.56 | 22.5% | 12.4% | 100 | -0.21 | 3.05 | 205 | 87 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.89 | 25.1% | 13.4% | 2.2% | .310 | 4.58 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 79 | +0.69 | 3.89 | 272 | 87 |
| Colton Murray R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .295 | 4.19 | 21.8% | 13.1% | 41 | +0.15 | 3.43 | 187 | 87 |
| Blake Smith R 2027 · 3.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.08 | 23.3% | 10.5% | 1.1% | .290 | 3.66 | 22.4% | 13.8% | 71 | +0.58 | 3.08 | 124 | 86 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2027 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 27.3% | 10.0% | 3.5% | .280 | 4.01 | 28.5% | 17.2% | 107 | +0.02 | 3.07 | 363 | 86 |
| Shawn Armstrong R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.11 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 3.1% | .282 | 3.23 | 26.9% | 17.2% | 144 | -0.88 | 1.79 | 647 | 85 |
| Jordan Gore R 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.24 | 25.8% | 11.9% | 1.5% | .223 | 5.47 | 15.2% | -3.3% | 46 | +2.23 | 3.24 | 113 | 85 |
| Simon Castro R 2027 · 3.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.16 | 26.4% | 8.5% | 2.2% | .320 | 3.55 | 26.0% | 17.6% | 128 | +0.39 | 2.85 | 185 | 85 |
| Brooks Kriske R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.52 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .245 | 5.01 | 28.6% | 16.5% | 41 | +1.49 | 3.00 | 246 | 85 |
| Maikel Cleto R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 25.8% | 12.1% | 2.0% | .214 | 3.04 | 25.0% | 15.3% | 55 | -0.50 | 2.59 | 156 | 85 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2027 · 3.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.04 | 24.2% | 9.6% | 1.4% | .330 | 3.26 | 23.6% | 14.6% | 81 | +0.22 | 2.42 | 125 | 85 |
| Jeff Johnson R 2026 · 3.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.12 | 21.9% | 9.6% | 1.2% | .284 | 3.59 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 55 | +0.47 | 2.49 | 160 | 85 |
| Randall Delgado R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.88 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .303 | 3.96 | 19.2% | 12.5% | 143 | +0.08 | 3.05 | 290 | 85 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 69 | 24.7% | 10.7% | 1.04 | 4.21 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |
| Cam Bedrosian ('21) | 6 | 45 | 24.5% | 10.0% | 0.97 | 3.68 |