Oscar Romero — OGILVIE

Oscar Romero P DSL Rangers Blue

Age 21 RHP 6'1" / 175 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2028

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 11 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136127vR 119

ERA5.39

FIP5.39

K%21.0%

BB%16.2%

K-BB%4.8%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	10	6	42	180	35	21	1	60%	4.2	13.2%	14.6%	-1.4%	0.7%	2.13	4.23	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	10	6	42	180	35	21	1	60%	4.2	13.2%	14.6%	-1.4%	0.7%	2.13	4.23	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	10	6	42	180	35	21	1	60%	4.2	19.4%	11.7%	7.8%	0.6%	2.13	3.24	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	4	4	11	61	8	14	1	100%	2.8	8.9%	28.7%	-19.8%	2.3%	6.55	7.25	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	4	4	11	61	8	14	1	100%	2.8	8.9%	28.7%	-19.8%	2.3%	6.55	7.25	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	4	4	11	61	8	14	1	100%	2.8	13.1%	23.0%	-9.8%	1.6%	6.55	6.65	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	TEX	2	2	11	46	10	8	1	100%	5.5	21.0%	16.2%	4.8%	3.0%	5.39	5.39	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	TEX	4	4	20	84	19	12	2	100%	5.0	22.1%	13.8%	8.3%	2.9%	5.09	4.96	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	TEX	2	2	10	42	9	6	1	100%	5.0	22.1%	13.8%	8.3%	2.9%	5.09	4.96	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	10	42	9	6	1	100%	4.9	22.1%	13.8%	8.3%	2.9%	5.09	4.58	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		37	37	200	844	183	122	20	100%	5.3	22.1%	13.8%	8.3%	2.9%	5.09	4.58	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		14	10	53	241	29	44	3	71%	3.8	12.1%	18.2%	-6.0%	1.1%	3.04	5.00	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		52	38	200	904	110	164	10	71%	3.8	12.1%	18.2%	-6.0%	1.1%	3.04	5.00	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Oscar Romero (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.39	21.0%	16.2%	3.0%	—	4.96	22.1%	8.3%	20	-0.43	—	—	—
Jared Lyons R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	22	SP-	4.47	20.1%	15.3%	2.1%	.345	4.24	18.4%	8.5%	211	-0.23	3.28	265	82
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	81
Luis Hernandez R 2022 · 4.94 FIP	21	SP	4.94	16.7%	14.0%	2.7%	.311	5.62	21.4%	4.1%	64	+0.68	4.09	109	81
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	81
Juan Nuñez R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SP	4.49	19.6%	13.2%	2.5%	.300	4.42	22.8%	8.3%	148	-0.07	2.88	245	80
Abel Brito R 2022 · 4.79 FIP	21	SP-	4.79	15.7%	12.6%	2.6%	.310	5.66	13.2%	-8.6%	70	+0.87	4.13	147	80
Ismael Agreda R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SP-	5.28	17.1%	18.5%	2.3%	.269	4.71	21.1%	6.1%	178	-0.57	3.35	272	79
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	78
Trevor Bauer R 2012 · 4.79 FIP	21	SP	4.79	22.1%	16.9%	2.6%	.267	4.08	21.8%	11.8%	346	-0.71	2.16	1,298	78
Alex Vallecillo R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	21	SP-	4.75	18.6%	16.3%	2.1%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	4.51	152	78
Luis Mora R 2016 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	16.3%	15.4%	3.8%	.303	5.27	23.9%	1.2%	43	-0.51	3.95	119	78
Fernando Baez R 2015 · 6.56 FIP	23	SP-	6.56	18.6%	18.8%	4.8%	.322	4.51	26.9%	7.8%	94	-2.05	3.45	129	78
Wills Montgomerie R 2018 · 5.10 FIP	23	SP-	5.10	19.3%	19.1%	2.2%	.275	4.51	20.1%	6.0%	105	-0.59	4.51	153	78
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	78
Daniel Corcino R 2014 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	18.8%	12.5%	2.3%	.208	4.14	19.6%	10.0%	76	-0.23	3.84	318	78
Blane Abeyta R 2021 · 4.66 FIP	22	SP-	4.66	21.1%	18.2%	1.9%	.283	4.78	15.6%	6.4%	343	+0.12	4.24	489	77
Jefferson Jean R 2024 · 6.45 FIP	19	SP-	6.45	18.3%	21.5%	4.0%	.311	4.79	16.9%	-0.3%	87	-1.66	4.79	132	77
Aaron Hernandez R 2019 · 4.83 FIP	22	SP-	4.83	18.6%	15.7%	2.4%	.340	4.81	20.2%	6.4%	111	-0.02	4.65	194	77
Nolberto Henriquez R 2021 · 4.99 FIP	21	SP-	4.99	16.0%	13.4%	2.8%	.305	5.60	11.3%	-3.1%	52	+0.61	4.99	108	77
Cristian Hernandez R 2024 · 4.39 FIP	19	SP	4.39	23.5%	19.9%	1.4%	.269	5.41	18.1%	2.6%	62	+1.02	4.39	116	77