Micah Ashman
P
Chesapeake Baysox
Age 23
LHP
6'7" / 195 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 40 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8897vR 106
ERA3.80
FIP3.80
K%24.5%
BB%8.2%
K-BB%16.3%
ROS IP40
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 74 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 5 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 36.0% | 8.0% | 28.0% | 4.0% | 4.26 | 3.27 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 5 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 36.0% | 8.0% | 28.0% | 4.0% | 4.26 | 3.26 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 57 | 221 | 73 | 12 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.9% | 6.1% | 19.8% | 0.0% | 2.35 | 1.69 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 57 | 221 | 73 | 12 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 33.0% | 5.4% | 27.6% | 0.0% | 2.35 | 1.18 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Chesapeake Baysox | 23 | 1 | 34 | 139 | 56 | 10 | 1 | 4% | 1.5 | 33.0% | 7.3% | 25.7% | 0.9% | 1.87 | 1.73 | +1.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | BAL | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 41 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 16.3% | 2.5% | 3.80 | 3.80 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | BAL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 16.3% | 2.6% | 3.85 | 3.85 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 74 | 308 | 97 | 24 | 5 | — | — | 31.6% | 7.7% | 23.9% | 1.7% | 2.92 | 2.86 | +1.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 24.5% | 8.2% | 16.3% | 2.6% | 3.85 | 3.47 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | BAL | 39 | 0 | 41 | 174 | 43 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.9% | 8.1% | 16.8% | 2.5% | 3.80 | 3.76 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | BAL | 40 | 0 | 42 | 176 | 44 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.2% | 8.0% | 17.1% | 2.5% | 3.79 | 3.75 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 40 | 0 | 42 | 176 | 44 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.3% | 8.0% | 17.2% | 2.5% | 3.78 | 3.75 | +0.4 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 39 | 0 | 41 | 173 | 44 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.2% | 8.1% | 17.1% | 2.6% | 3.80 | 3.81 | +0.4 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | BAL | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.9% | 8.1% | 16.8% | 2.6% | 3.85 | 3.81 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | BAL | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 30 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.2% | 8.0% | 17.1% | 2.6% | 3.84 | 3.80 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 35 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.3% | 8.0% | 17.2% | 2.6% | 3.83 | 3.80 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 33 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 37 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.2% | 8.1% | 17.1% | 2.7% | 3.85 | 3.86 | +0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 109 | 0 | 115 | 485 | 122 | 39 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.2% | 8.1% | 17.1% | 2.6% | 3.84 | 3.44 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 213 | 68 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.2% | 8.1% | 17.1% | 2.6% | 3.84 | 3.44 | +4.6 | ||
| Career | — | 71 | 1 | 97 | 385 | 112 | 26 | 2 | 1% | 1.4 | 29.1% | 6.7% | 22.4% | 0.6% | 2.31 | 1.81 | +4.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 146 | 2 | 200 | 791 | 230 | 53 | 5 | 1% | 1.4 | 29.1% | 6.7% | 22.4% | 0.6% | 2.31 | 1.81 | +8.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Micah Ashman (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.80 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.5% | — | 3.75 | 25.1% | 17.1% | 124 | -0.05 | — | — | — |
| Hunter Schryver L 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.54 | 23.2% | 6.8% | 2.8% | .259 | 4.09 | 19.9% | 7.5% | 106 | +0.55 | 3.54 | 206 | 89 |
| Logan Salow L 2026 · 2.75 FIP | 23 | SU | 2.75 | 22.9% | 7.3% | 1.2% | .331 | 3.83 | 24.9% | 7.0% | 103 | +1.08 | 2.75 | 148 | 88 |
| Jack Sellinger L 2027 · 2.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 2.73 | 26.4% | 9.7% | 1.1% | .284 | 3.31 | 24.4% | 9.1% | 91 | +0.58 | 2.73 | 125 | 87 |
| Andrew Mitchell L 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.75 | 21.8% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .333 | 2.67 | 23.8% | 15.8% | 78 | -1.08 | 2.51 | 119 | 87 |
| Trey Jeans L 2026 · 2.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 2.74 | 23.9% | 6.6% | 1.5% | .345 | 5.23 | 22.7% | 7.8% | 88 | +2.49 | 2.74 | 111 | 87 |
| Chris Cotton L 2027 · 3.66 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.66 | 20.7% | 7.0% | 2.6% | .288 | 4.13 | 9.7% | 3.3% | 61 | +0.47 | 3.66 | 128 | 86 |
| Wyatt Short L 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.92 | 20.4% | 8.4% | 2.7% | .262 | 3.93 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 91 | +0.01 | 2.70 | 288 | 84 |
| Reagan Todd L 2026 · 2.70 FIP | 23 | SU | 2.70 | 26.6% | 7.1% | 1.7% | .286 | 4.17 | 26.1% | 15.5% | 90 | +1.47 | 2.70 | 122 | 84 |
| Greg Nappo L 2029 · 3.40 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.40 | 22.7% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .267 | 5.45 | 16.5% | 5.9% | 79 | +2.05 | 3.40 | 144 | 83 |
| Jerry Vasto L 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.18 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 1.2% | .265 | 3.39 | 23.3% | 12.8% | 147 | +0.21 | 2.84 | 206 | 83 |
| Hayden Harris L 2027 · 3.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.23 | 29.1% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .315 | 3.21 | 30.2% | 16.2% | 129 | -0.02 | 1.86 | 180 | 83 |
| Brian Marconi L 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.61 | 25.3% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .265 | 4.96 | 20.3% | 2.1% | 57 | +1.35 | 3.61 | 101 | 83 |
| Zac Curtis L 2026 · 2.61 FIP | 23 | SU | 2.61 | 26.9% | 6.9% | 1.7% | .265 | 3.99 | 23.3% | 10.4% | 152 | +1.38 | 2.61 | 236 | 83 |
| Easton Lucas L 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.21 | 23.6% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .316 | 4.00 | 21.8% | 11.4% | 184 | -0.21 | 3.49 | 311 | 82 |
| Mason Melotakis L 2028 · 3.12 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.12 | 23.6% | 9.2% | 1.6% | .379 | 4.28 | 18.2% | 7.1% | 80 | +1.16 | 3.12 | 142 | 82 |
| Jonah Hurney L 2027 · 2.78 FIP | 24 | SU | 2.78 | 20.8% | 6.9% | 1.0% | .285 | 4.02 | 13.4% | 5.8% | 81 | +1.24 | 2.78 | 137 | 82 |
| Michael Johnson L 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.09 | 20.6% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .260 | 4.51 | 17.6% | 7.7% | 185 | +0.42 | 3.88 | 256 | 82 |
| Dylan Phillips L 2027 · 2.69 FIP | 24 | SU | 2.69 | 23.9% | 9.8% | 0.7% | .352 | 3.77 | 20.1% | 9.8% | 166 | +1.08 | 2.69 | 221 | 81 |
| Brandon Hughes L 2028 · 3.62 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.62 | 27.0% | 11.1% | 2.5% | .300 | 4.49 | 24.4% | 14.8% | 149 | +0.87 | 3.62 | 206 | 81 |
| Carson Skipper L 2026 · 2.87 FIP | 23 | SU | 2.87 | 22.5% | 5.5% | 1.8% | .385 | 3.75 | 21.2% | 12.2% | 136 | +0.88 | 2.87 | 186 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 41 | 25.0% | 8.1% | 0.97 | 3.79 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Kelvin Herrera ('19) | 5 | 59 | 23.8% | 7.3% | 1.03 | 3.58 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| Joakim Soria ('21) | 7 | 54 | 26.1% | 7.8% | 0.92 | 3.65 |
| Sam Hentges ('24) | 4 | 52 | 25.4% | 8.4% | 0.78 | 4.18 |
| Juan Nicasio ('19) | 5 | 68 | 25.5% | 8.4% | 0.83 | 4.21 |