Carson Skipper
P
Albuquerque Isotopes
Age 26
LHP
6'2" / 211 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION11 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 100109vR 118
ERA4.37
FIP4.37
K%20.5%
BB%9.0%
K-BB%11.4%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 81 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.6% | 0.0% | 28.6% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.69 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.6% | 0.0% | 28.6% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.10 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 42 | 0 | 51 | 214 | 65 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.5% | 5.5% | 17.0% | 1.8% | 3.20 | 2.87 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 42 | 0 | 51 | 214 | 65 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 30.4% | 4.7% | 25.7% | 1.9% | 3.20 | 2.15 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 79 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.0% | 8.2% | 16.8% | 2.0% | 2.45 | 3.14 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 79 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 32.0% | 7.3% | 24.7% | 1.6% | 2.45 | 2.21 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 68 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.5 | 19.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 2.0% | 2.97 | 3.65 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 68 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.5 | 23.9% | 8.5% | 15.5% | 2.1% | 2.97 | 3.31 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 10 | 0 | 11 | 67 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 8.2% | 13.1% | -4.9% | 6.9% | 11.12 | 7.84 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | COL | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 60 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 2.7% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | COL | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 2.7% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | COL | — | — | 81 | 363 | 68 | 36 | 12 | — | — | 18.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 5.31 | 4.85 | +0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | COL | — | — | 7 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 20.5% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 2.7% | 4.37 | 3.99 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | COL | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 60 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 2.8% | 4.39 | 4.41 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | COL | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 59 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.8% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.48 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | COL | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 2.8% | 4.39 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | COL | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 37 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 74 | 0 | 78 | 330 | 69 | 30 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 2.8% | 4.41 | 4.07 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 176 | 77 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 2.8% | 4.41 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 147 | 0 | 189 | 819 | 174 | 67 | 19 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.2% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 2.3% | 3.33 | 3.61 | +4.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 155 | 0 | 200 | 865 | 184 | 71 | 20 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.2% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 2.3% | 3.33 | 3.61 | +4.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Carson Skipper (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.37 | 20.5% | 9.0% | 2.7% | — | 4.44 | 20.8% | 11.6% | 136 | +0.07 | — | — | — |
| Colton Johnson L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 91 |
| Robbie Ross Jr. L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 20.5% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .287 | 3.19 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 66 | -0.53 | 2.79 | 159 | 90 |
| Michael Johnson L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.88 | 21.7% | 9.5% | 2.6% | .272 | 4.99 | 13.4% | 3.4% | 67 | +1.11 | 3.88 | 256 | 89 |
| Greg Nappo L 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.40 | 22.7% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .267 | 5.45 | 16.5% | 5.9% | 79 | +2.05 | 3.40 | 144 | 88 |
| Triston Polley L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 17.8% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .331 | 4.49 | 17.4% | -0.3% | 22 | +0.30 | 4.19 | 151 | 85 |
| Will Gilbert L 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 2.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 141 | 85 |
| Elvis Araujo L 2025 · 4.17 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.17 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.9% | .308 | 5.33 | 22.9% | 11.1% | 38 | +1.16 | 2.35 | 120 | 84 |
| Brian Flynn L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 21.3% | 11.1% | 2.0% | .258 | 4.41 | 16.6% | 8.2% | 198 | +0.63 | 3.78 | 277 | 84 |
| Haylen Green L 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.08 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 104 | 84 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2028 · 3.84 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.84 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% | .267 | 3.21 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.63 | 2.44 | 124 | 84 |
| Wandy Peralta L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.96 | 21.7% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .257 | 4.79 | 17.1% | 6.7% | 127 | +0.83 | 2.69 | 703 | 84 |
| Juan Grullon L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 83 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2028 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 83 |
| Dylan Phillips L 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.27 | 16.9% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .291 | 4.01 | 22.8% | 12.7% | 49 | -0.26 | 2.69 | 221 | 83 |
| Bryan Harper L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.97 | 19.3% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .197 | 4.72 | 14.9% | 1.0% | 46 | +0.75 | 3.97 | 133 | 83 |
| Hayden Howard L 2025 · 3.77 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.77 | 17.5% | 8.4% | 2.0% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 200 | 83 |
| Scott Alexander L 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.38 | 17.6% | 6.7% | 1.7% | .240 | 3.32 | 19.9% | 10.8% | 184 | -0.06 | 2.90 | 414 | 82 |
| Mason Melotakis L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.62 | 21.9% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .264 | 5.40 | 12.0% | 0.6% | 30 | +1.78 | 3.12 | 142 | 82 |
| R.C. Orlan L 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.72 | 19.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% | .259 | 3.85 | 16.6% | 6.3% | 30 | -0.87 | 1.71 | 206 | 82 |
| Luis González L 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.29 | 23.4% | 9.3% | 1.8% | .290 | 5.27 | 24.6% | 16.7% | 74 | +1.98 | 3.05 | 416 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 69 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.08 | 4.40 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |