Andrew Nardi
P
Miami Marlins
Age 27
LHP
6'3" / 215 lbs
MLB
peak 0.4 · 2026
ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 ROS PROJECTION23 act + 19 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 7989vR 98
ERA3.33
FIP3.41
K%29.9%
BB%7.9%
K-BB%22.0%
ROS IP19
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 42 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5194.6
Whiff%
p8330.4%
K%
p7827.3%
xwOBA vs
p200.348
FB+1.1 (50%)
CH+0.5 (12%)
SI (2%)
SL-2.3 (39%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | GCL Marlins | 13 | 0 | 18 | 82 | 30 | 12 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 24.9% | 18.3% | 6.6% | 0.0% | 0.98 | 3.32 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | GCL Marlins | 13 | 0 | 18 | 82 | 30 | 12 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 36.6% | 14.6% | 22.0% | 0.0% | 0.98 | 1.79 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 0 | 52 | 216 | 69 | 16 | 6 | 0% | 1.8 | 24.6% | 8.4% | 16.3% | 3.1% | 3.61 | 3.77 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 0 | 52 | 216 | 69 | 16 | 6 | 0% | 1.8 | 31.9% | 7.4% | 24.5% | 2.8% | 3.61 | 2.87 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 50 | 0 | 66 | 282 | 100 | 32 | 9 | 0% | 1.3 | 31.5% | 11.7% | 19.7% | 3.4% | 3.97 | 3.78 | +0.7 |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 50 | 0 | 66 | 282 | 100 | 32 | 9 | 0% | 1.3 | 35.5% | 11.3% | 24.1% | 3.2% | 3.97 | 3.30 | +1.1 |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 66 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 76 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 0.9 | 30.8% | 8.0% | 22.8% | 3.1% | 2.90 | 3.23 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 66 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 76 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 0.9 | 30.8% | 8.9% | 21.9% | 2.8% | 2.90 | 3.18 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 59 | 0 | 50 | 210 | 70 | 17 | 7 | 0% | 0.8 | 33.3% | 8.1% | 25.2% | 3.5% | 5.07 | 3.25 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 59 | 0 | 50 | 210 | 70 | 17 | 7 | 0% | 0.8 | 33.3% | 8.1% | 25.2% | 3.3% | 5.07 | 3.14 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 25 | 0 | 23 | 99 | 27 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 27.3% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 4.0% | 5.16 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | MIA | 18 | 0 | 19 | 81 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.9% | 7.9% | 22.0% | 3.3% | 3.33 | 3.41 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | MIA | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.9% | 7.9% | 22.0% | 3.3% | 3.33 | 3.41 | +0.3 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 42 | 180 | 51 | 17 | 7 | — | — | 28.4% | 9.6% | 18.8% | 3.7% | 4.32 | 3.96 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 42 | 177 | 51 | 17 | 7 | — | — | 29.0% | 9.8% | 19.1% | 3.8% | 4.32 | 3.98 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 58 | 0 | 60 | 255 | 77 | 20 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.0% | 8.0% | 22.0% | 3.4% | 3.79 | 3.85 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 72 | 20 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.4% | 8.2% | 21.2% | 3.6% | 3.92 | 4.01 | +0.4 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 72 | 19 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.0% | 8.0% | 22.0% | 3.4% | 3.79 | 3.85 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 52 | 0 | 55 | 232 | 68 | 19 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.4% | 8.2% | 21.2% | 3.6% | 3.92 | 4.01 | +0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 285 | 0 | 276 | 1184 | 359 | 106 | 42 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.3% | 8.9% | 21.4% | 3.6% | 4.22 | 3.64 | +5.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 207 | 0 | 200 | 859 | 260 | 77 | 30 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.3% | 8.9% | 21.4% | 3.6% | 4.22 | 3.64 | +4.1 | ||
| Career | — | 242 | 0 | 268 | 1136 | 335 | 114 | 35 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.5% | 10.0% | 19.5% | 3.1% | 3.77 | 3.58 | +5.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 181 | 0 | 200 | 849 | 251 | 85 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.5% | 10.0% | 19.5% | 3.1% | 3.77 | 3.58 | +4.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Andrew Nardi (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.50 | 31.1% | 7.0% | 3.2% | — | 3.93 | 29.7% | 21.6% | 118 | +0.43 | — | — | — |
| Yuki Matsui L 2027 · 3.80 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.80 | 26.8% | 8.9% | 3.4% | .242 | 4.68 | 22.9% | 11.7% | 109 | +0.88 | 3.80 | 172 | 78 |
| Nick Mondak L 2025 · 2.85 FIP | 26 | SU | 2.85 | 30.9% | 6.4% | 2.8% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 153 | 77 |
| Marc Rzepczynski L 2028 · 2.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 2.83 | 25.9% | 6.3% | 2.0% | .356 | 3.76 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 101 | +0.93 | 2.79 | 181 | 75 |
| Kevin Siegrist L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 26.6% | 9.7% | 4.0% | .216 | 4.00 | 25.0% | 13.4% | 39 | -0.30 | 2.67 | 176 | 74 |
| Luis Avilán L 2026 · 2.85 FIP | 27 | SU | 2.85 | 25.7% | 8.3% | 1.6% | .295 | 3.16 | 25.0% | 16.0% | 123 | +0.31 | 2.68 | 256 | 73 |
| Darien Núñez L 2025 · 2.50 FIP | 26 | SU | 2.50 | 32.5% | 11.3% | 1.3% | .333 | 2.63 | 35.0% | 24.6% | 52 | +0.13 | 2.50 | 122 | 73 |
| Fabian Williamson L 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.46 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .259 | 5.31 | 16.5% | -3.3% | 54 | +1.85 | 3.46 | 154 | 73 |
| Justin Wilson L 2026 · 2.48 FIP | 27 | SU | 2.48 | 27.0% | 8.2% | 1.1% | .297 | 3.25 | 29.1% | 18.1% | 171 | +0.77 | 2.48 | 420 | 73 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2027 · 2.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 2.81 | 24.3% | 6.8% | 1.6% | .288 | 3.79 | 22.5% | 14.2% | 161 | +0.98 | 2.81 | 223 | 73 |
| Antonio Bastardo L 2028 · 3.04 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.04 | 26.8% | 10.0% | 1.7% | .238 | 5.18 | 22.6% | 11.3% | 88 | +2.14 | 3.04 | 145 | 72 |
| Alex Vesia L 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.39 | 30.6% | 7.5% | 3.5% | .338 | 3.10 | 33.5% | 23.0% | 158 | -0.29 | 1.96 | 382 | 72 |
| Parker Mushinski L 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.09 | 25.4% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .288 | 4.16 | 22.4% | 9.9% | 146 | +0.07 | 3.21 | 439 | 71 |
| Will Smith L 2026 · 3.03 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.03 | 28.7% | 10.2% | 1.9% | .283 | 2.56 | 35.8% | 29.4% | 118 | -0.47 | 1.76 | 464 | 71 |
| Jake Diekman L 2027 · 3.40 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.40 | 26.5% | 11.9% | 1.9% | .310 | 3.21 | 27.0% | 15.3% | 106 | -0.19 | 2.33 | 455 | 71 |
| Mike Dunn L 2029 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.09 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.33 | 3.72 | 181 | 71 |
| Jeremy Wu-Yelland L 2025 · 2.81 FIP | 26 | SU | 2.81 | 30.0% | 8.9% | 2.1% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 146 | 70 |
| Boone Logan L 2029 · 2.85 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.85 | 26.2% | 9.5% | 1.4% | .352 | 3.01 | 29.7% | 20.6% | 78 | +0.16 | 2.44 | 113 | 70 |
| Brad Hand L 2026 · 2.76 FIP | 27 | SU | 2.76 | 33.4% | 6.1% | 3.1% | .251 | 2.24 | 34.8% | 28.0% | 151 | -0.52 | 0.84 | 577 | 70 |
| Phillip Diehl L 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.54 | 29.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | .244 | 5.31 | 20.0% | 8.4% | 72 | +1.77 | 2.51 | 365 | 70 |
| Chasen Shreve L 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.10 | 29.3% | 11.1% | 3.8% | .245 | 4.33 | 26.8% | 15.4% | 138 | +0.23 | 3.94 | 470 | 70 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 53 | 30.1% | 7.8% | 1.33 | 3.74 |
| Blake Parker ('21) | 4 | 60 | 26.6% | 7.3% | 1.40 | 3.36 |
| Colin Poche ('24) | 4 | 52 | 27.0% | 9.2% | 1.34 | 3.63 |
| Sean Doolittle ('21) | 5 | 49 | 28.7% | 6.2% | 1.18 | 3.31 |
| Giovanny Gallegos ('24) | 6 | 52 | 29.4% | 6.6% | 1.19 | 3.46 |
| Adbert Alzolay ('23) | 3 | 70 | 26.1% | 7.0% | 1.32 | 3.84 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |