Ben Bowden
P
Las Vegas Aviators
Age 31
LHP
6'4" / 249 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION32 act + 55 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108117vR 126
ERA4.58
FIP4.75
K%23.3%
BB%13.1%
K-BB%10.2%
ROS IP55
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 88 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
FB+0.6 (59%)
CU (1%)
CH-0.9 (12%)
SL-1.8 (28%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 21 | A | Asheville Tourists | 26 | 0 | 24 | 104 | 29 | 14 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 20.6% | 15.9% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 3.04 | 3.84 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A | Asheville Tourists | 26 | 0 | 24 | 104 | 29 | 14 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 27.9% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 1.0% | 3.04 | 2.97 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 52 | 228 | 78 | 20 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.0% | 10.2% | 15.9% | 2.5% | 3.98 | 3.58 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 52 | 228 | 78 | 20 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 34.2% | 8.8% | 25.4% | 3.5% | 3.98 | 3.25 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 52 | 215 | 79 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.0% | 10.9% | 20.1% | 2.0% | 3.48 | 2.97 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 52 | 215 | 79 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 36.7% | 10.2% | 26.5% | 2.3% | 3.48 | 2.58 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 47 | 217 | 59 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 23.7% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 2.6% | 4.94 | 3.88 | +0.4 |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 47 | 217 | 59 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 27.2% | 10.6% | 16.6% | 2.8% | 4.94 | 3.71 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 50 | 0 | 58 | 254 | 76 | 34 | 11 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.3% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 4.9% | 5.46 | 5.33 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 50 | 0 | 58 | 254 | 76 | 34 | 11 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.9% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 4.3% | 5.46 | 4.71 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 49 | 0 | 52 | 236 | 76 | 32 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.3% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 3.5% | 4.64 | 4.45 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 49 | 0 | 52 | 236 | 76 | 32 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 32.2% | 13.6% | 18.6% | 3.4% | 4.64 | 4.02 | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 27 | 0 | 29 | 129 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.9% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 4.03 | 4.84 | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 27 | 0 | 29 | 129 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.1% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 3.1% | 4.03 | 4.24 | — |
| 2025 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 50 | 207 | 48 | 22 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.5% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 0.5% | 1.97 | 2.89 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 50 | 207 | 48 | 22 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.2% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 1.4% | 1.97 | 3.28 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 28 | 0 | 32 | 141 | 39 | 10 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.3% | 7.4% | 16.9% | 7.0% | 6.12 | 5.84 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | OAK | 53 | 0 | 55 | 233 | 54 | 31 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 4.58 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 4.58 | 4.75 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 31 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 88 | 374 | 93 | 41 | 16 | — | — | 24.9% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 4.2% | 5.15 | 5.15 | -0.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 31 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 6 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 23.3% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 4.58 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 49 | 0 | 51 | 216 | 49 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 4.79 | 4.96 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | OAK | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 43 | 26 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 5.02 | 5.20 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | OAK | 41 | 0 | 43 | 181 | 38 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.9% | 13.6% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 5.26 | 5.45 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 4.79 | 4.96 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | OAK | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 24 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 5.02 | 5.20 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | OAK | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 19 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.9% | 13.6% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 5.26 | 5.45 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 119 | 0 | 118 | 528 | 115 | 64 | 18 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 5.40 | 4.70 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 200 | 0 | 200 | 892 | 194 | 108 | 30 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 5.40 | 4.70 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 370 | 0 | 396 | 1731 | 444 | 207 | 53 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.7% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 3.1% | 4.20 | 4.13 | +5.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 187 | 0 | 200 | 874 | 224 | 105 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.7% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 3.1% | 4.20 | 4.13 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ben Bowden (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.75 | 23.3% | 13.1% | 2.9% | — | 5.19 | 21.8% | 8.4% | 141 | +0.44 | — | — | — |
| Edward Paredes L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.79 | 22.7% | 11.9% | 2.0% | .351 | 5.19 | 21.5% | 14.2% | 18 | +1.40 | 2.29 | 130 | 82 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.73 | 25.3% | 10.4% | 2.6% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 223 | 76 |
| Phil Coke L 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 76 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.13 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 2.0% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 145 | 75 |
| Marc Rzepczynski L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.79 | 18.2% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .284 | 5.42 | 15.5% | 1.4% | 67 | +1.63 | 2.79 | 181 | 74 |
| Justin Wilson L 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.56 | 26.5% | 10.8% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.09 | 22.1% | 12.0% | 54 | +0.53 | 2.48 | 420 | 74 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.29 | 18.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 124 | 74 |
| Buddy Baumann L 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.85 | 20.5% | 11.9% | 3.6% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 155 | 74 |
| Adam Loewen L 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.90 | 25.1% | 15.9% | 1.7% | .287 | 3.58 | 23.2% | 7.3% | 98 | -0.32 | 2.96 | 176 | 72 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2025 · 4.48 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.48 | 23.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 172 | 72 |
| Jeff Beliveau L 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.76 | 23.3% | 14.4% | 1.5% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 137 | 71 |
| James Jones L 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.08 | 21.9% | 13.0% | 2.1% | .230 | 4.72 | 23.9% | 8.8% | 35 | +0.64 | 3.58 | 127 | 69 |
| Kevin Chapman L 2025 · 5.93 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.93 | 17.1% | 15.7% | 4.2% | .238 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 153 | 69 |
| Scott Alexander L 2026 · 5.82 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.82 | 17.3% | 15.4% | 4.1% | .212 | 3.18 | 14.5% | 11.1% | 81 | -2.64 | 2.90 | 414 | 68 |
| Jake McGee L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 20.7% | 6.6% | 3.4% | .316 | 3.48 | 25.6% | 21.2% | 121 | -0.56 | 1.52 | 350 | 68 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.72 | 21.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | .311 | 4.39 | 22.4% | 8.9% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.72 | 181 | 68 |
| Jeremy Bleich L 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.70 | 20.3% | 6.6% | 2.7% | .296 | 4.51 | 20.1% | 13.1% | 33 | +0.81 | 3.21 | 241 | 68 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2024 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 67 |
| Zach Duke L 2027 · 4.18 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.18 | 25.9% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .250 | 2.81 | 22.9% | 14.7% | 131 | -1.37 | 2.44 | 215 | 67 |
| Dan Jennings L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.99 | 16.6% | 8.1% | 2.3% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 244 | 67 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 49 | 22.2% | 13.3% | 1.25 | 4.89 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |