Ben Bowden — OGILVIE

Ben Bowden P Las Vegas Aviators

Age 31 LHP 6'4" / 249 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION50 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 105113vR 121

ERA4.49

FIP4.64

K%22.3%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%10.7%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL3535

CMD4040

K†5555

FB+0.6 (59%)

CU (1%)

CH-0.9 (12%)

SL-1.8 (28%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	21	A MLE	Asheville Tourists	26	0	24	104	29	14	1	0%	0.9	20.6%	15.9%	4.8%	1.0%	3.04	3.93	—
2016	21	A RAW	Asheville Tourists	26	0	24	104	29	14	1	0%	0.9	27.9%	13.5%	14.4%	1.0%	3.04	2.97	—
2018	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	52	228	78	20	8	0%	1.1	26.0%	10.2%	15.9%	3.2%	3.98	3.93	—
2018	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	0	52	228	78	20	8	0%	1.1	34.2%	8.8%	25.4%	3.5%	3.98	3.25	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	52	215	79	22	5	0%	1.1	31.0%	10.9%	20.1%	2.3%	3.48	3.11	—
2019	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	0	52	215	79	22	5	0%	1.1	36.7%	10.2%	26.5%	2.3%	3.48	2.58	—
2021	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	47	217	59	23	6	0%	0.9	23.7%	10.7%	13.0%	3.0%	4.94	4.11	+0.2
2021	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	0	47	217	59	23	6	0%	0.9	27.2%	10.6%	16.6%	2.8%	4.94	3.71	+0.5
2022	27	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	50	0	58	254	76	34	11	0%	1.2	26.3%	14.1%	12.3%	4.8%	5.46	5.30	—
2022	27	AAA RAW	Sacramento River Cats	50	0	58	254	76	34	11	0%	1.2	29.9%	13.4%	16.5%	4.3%	5.46	4.71	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	49	0	52	236	76	32	8	0%	1.1	26.7%	12.2%	14.5%	3.6%	4.64	4.38	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	49	0	52	236	76	32	8	0%	1.1	26.7%	12.2%	14.5%	3.6%	4.64	4.38	—
2023	28	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	49	0	52	236	76	32	8	0%	1.1	32.2%	13.6%	18.6%	3.4%	4.64	4.02	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	27	0	29	129	35	17	4	0%	1.1	22.5%	11.9%	10.7%	3.5%	4.03	4.63	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	27	0	29	129	35	17	4	0%	1.1	22.5%	11.9%	10.7%	3.5%	4.03	4.63	—
2024	29	AAA RAW	Gwinnett Stripers	27	0	29	129	35	17	4	0%	1.1	27.1%	13.2%	14.0%	3.1%	4.03	4.24	—
2025	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	50	207	48	22	3	0%	1.2	21.3%	9.6%	11.7%	0.6%	1.97	2.83	+1.0
2025	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	50	207	48	22	3	0%	1.2	21.3%	9.6%	11.7%	0.6%	1.97	2.83	+1.0
2025	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	50	207	48	22	3	0%	1.2	23.2%	10.6%	12.6%	1.4%	1.97	3.28	+0.8
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			51	0	47	232	49	26	8	0%	0.9	21.1%	11.2%	9.9%	3.4%	6.65	4.87	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	31	MLB MLE	Athletics	45	0	50	216	61	20	9	0%	1.1	24.3%	7.8%	16.6%	4.8%	5.36	4.64	—
YTD	31	MLB MLE	Athletics	45	0	50	216	61	20	9	0%	1.1	24.3%	7.8%	16.6%	4.8%	5.36	4.64	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	31	AAA RAW	OAK	44	0	49	208	61	18	9	0%	1.1	29.3%	8.7%	20.7%	4.3%	4.74	4.09	—
2026	31	MLB RAW	OAK	1	0	1	8	0	2	0	0%	1.0	0.0%	25.0%	-25.0%	0.0%	36.00	6.27	—
SO FAR	31	MLB RAW	OAK	1	0	1	8	0	2	0	0%	1.0	0.0%	25.0%	-25.0%	0.0%	36.00	6.27	—
ROS	31	MLB MLE	OAK	4	0	5	20	4	2	1	0%	1.2	22.3%	11.6%	10.7%	2.9%	4.49	4.64	-0.0
ROS	31	MLB CTX	OAK	5	0	5	21	5	2	1	0%	1.0	22.3%	11.6%	10.7%	2.9%	4.49	4.64	-0.0
2026 TOT	31	MLB MLE	OAK	—	—	55	236	65	22	10	—	—	27.7%	9.5%	18.3%	4.1%	5.29	4.64	-0.1
FULL	31	MLB A+C	OAK	—	—	6	24	65	22	10	—	—	273.6%	93.3%	180.4%	40.0%	51.40	13.78	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	OAK	49	0	51	216	47	25	7	0%	1.0	21.6%	11.8%	9.8%	3.1%	4.70	4.87	-0.2
2028	33	MLB MLE	OAK	45	0	47	198	41	24	7	0%	1.0	20.9%	12.0%	8.9%	3.4%	4.93	5.10	-0.3
2029	34	MLB MLE	OAK	41	0	43	181	36	22	7	0%	1.0	20.1%	12.4%	7.7%	3.7%	5.18	5.37	-0.4
2027	32	MLB CTX	OAK	47	0	49	207	45	24	6	0%	1.0	21.6%	11.8%	9.8%	3.1%	4.70	4.87	-0.2
2028	33	MLB CTX	OAK	43	0	45	190	40	23	6	0%	1.0	20.9%	12.0%	8.9%	3.4%	4.93	5.10	-0.3
2029	34	MLB CTX	OAK	37	0	39	165	33	20	6	0%	1.1	20.1%	12.4%	7.7%	3.7%	5.18	5.37	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		181	0	184	809	170	95	27	0%	1.0	21.0%	11.8%	9.2%	3.4%	5.35	4.68	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		197	0	200	879	185	103	29	0%	1.0	21.0%	11.8%	9.2%	3.4%	5.35	4.68	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		387	0	414	1806	454	203	57	0%	1.1	25.2%	11.2%	13.9%	3.1%	4.19	4.12	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		187	0	200	872	219	98	27	0%	1.1	25.2%	11.2%	13.9%	3.1%	4.19	4.12	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ben Bowden (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.64	22.3%	11.6%	2.9%	—	5.10	20.9%	8.9%	141	+0.46	—	—	—
Edward Paredes L 2018 · 3.81 FIP	31	SU	3.81	22.7%	11.9%	2.0%	.351	5.10	21.5%	14.2%	18	+1.29	2.36	130	82
Phil Coke L 2015 · 3.89 FIP	33	SU	3.89	18.8%	9.1%	2.2%	.373	3.04	18.0%	11.3%	70	-0.85	3.04	101	79
Buddy Boshers L 2019 · 3.73 FIP	31	SU	3.73	25.3%	10.4%	2.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	223	77
Adam Liberatore L 2018 · 4.28 FIP	31	SU	4.28	18.6%	9.1%	2.9%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.38	124	77
Marc Rzepczynski L 2017 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	18.2%	10.9%	1.5%	.284	5.47	15.5%	1.4%	67	+1.70	2.73	181	75
Buddy Baumann L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	30	SU	4.87	20.5%	11.9%	3.6%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	155	75
Fernando Abad L 2017 · 3.53 FIP	31	SU	3.53	20.3%	7.1%	2.2%	.281	2.37	23.3%	21.0%	44	-1.16	2.37	306	74
Ryan O'Rourke L 2019 · 4.08 FIP	31	SU	4.08	22.1%	14.3%	1.9%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	145	74
Mike Dunn L 2016 · 3.71 FIP	31	SU	3.71	21.6%	6.2%	3.0%	.311	4.63	22.4%	8.9%	85	+0.92	3.71	181	72
Jeremy Bleich L 2018 · 3.69 FIP	31	SU	3.69	20.3%	6.6%	2.7%	.296	4.41	20.1%	13.1%	33	+0.72	3.20	241	72
Jeff Beliveau L 2018 · 3.86 FIP	31	SU	3.86	23.3%	14.4%	1.7%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	137	70
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	70
Justin Wilson L 2019 · 3.56 FIP	31	SU	3.56	26.5%	10.8%	2.4%	.290	4.05	22.1%	12.0%	54	+0.49	2.49	420	70
Adam Loewen L 2015 · 3.84 FIP	31	SU	3.84	25.1%	15.9%	1.6%	.287	3.63	23.2%	7.3%	98	-0.21	2.96	176	69
Josh Edgin L 2018 · 3.63 FIP	31	SU	3.63	29.2%	9.2%	3.3%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	113	69
James Jones L 2019 · 4.28 FIP	30	SU	4.28	21.9%	13.0%	2.5%	.230	4.65	23.9%	8.8%	35	+0.37	3.58	127	69
Ryan Buchter L 2018 · 3.54 FIP	31	SU	3.54	25.2%	8.6%	2.7%	.269	4.95	24.3%	12.6%	78	+1.41	2.37	296	69
Kevin Chapman L 2018 · 5.66 FIP	30	SU	5.66	17.1%	15.7%	3.7%	.238	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	153	68
Jake McGee L 2018 · 4.33 FIP	31	SU	4.33	20.7%	6.6%	3.9%	.316	3.59	25.6%	21.2%	121	-0.74	1.39	350	68
Zach Duke L 2015 · 4.21 FIP	32	SU	4.21	25.9%	11.0%	3.5%	.250	2.85	22.9%	14.7%	131	-1.36	2.44	215	68

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	49	21.3%	11.9%	1.25	4.80
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84