Francis Texido

P Tri-City Dust Devils

Age 22 LHP 6'2" / 180 lbs A+ peak 0.8 · 2031

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	ASEA	25	24	98	6.77	4.32	21.8%	16.6%	—	K 16.2% · BB 19.6% · FIP 5.40
2025	20	MIX2 levels	28	19	103	6.01	4.87	18.8%	18.8%	—	K 14.0% · BB 22.1% · FIP 5.71
2026	21	MIX3 levels	34	7	84	4.48	4.08	24.3%	13.1%	—	K 18.4% · BB 14.2% · FIP 5.06
2027PROJ	22	MLBLAA	11	11	64	6.41	6.41	14.3%	20.0%	-1.0
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBLAA	8	8	48	6.01	5.89	16.3%	17.4%	-0.5
2029PROJ70% MLB	24	MLBLAA	12	12	69	5.70	5.57	17.5%	15.8%	-0.5

Next 3 projected WAR -2.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff30Control20Command20

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsVictor Payano (age 22) · Bryce Hubbart (age 22) · Adam Laskey (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139147vR 155

ERA6.41

FIP6.41

K%14.3%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-5.7%

Proj IP64

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 64 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL2020

CMD2020

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	12	12	51	203	61	12	3	100%	4.2	20.4%	7.4%	13.0%	2.4%	2.31	3.64	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	12	12	51	203	61	12	3	100%	4.2	30.0%	5.9%	24.1%	1.5%	2.31	2.17	—
2024	19	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	25	24	98	476	104	79	7	96%	3.9	16.2%	19.6%	-3.4%	2.2%	6.77	5.40	—
2024	19	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	25	24	98	476	104	79	7	96%	3.9	16.2%	19.6%	-3.4%	2.2%	6.77	5.40	—
2024	19	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	25	24	98	476	104	79	7	96%	3.9	21.8%	16.6%	5.3%	1.5%	6.77	4.32	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	19	103	490	92	92	7	68%	3.7	14.0%	22.1%	-8.2%	1.8%	6.01	5.71	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	19	103	490	92	92	7	68%	3.7	14.0%	22.1%	-8.2%	1.8%	6.01	5.71	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	19	103	490	92	92	7	68%	3.7	18.8%	18.8%	0.0%	1.4%	6.01	4.87	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	34	7	84	367	89	48	9	21%	2.5	18.4%	14.2%	4.3%	3.1%	4.48	5.06	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	34	7	84	367	89	48	9	21%	2.5	18.4%	14.2%	4.3%	3.1%	4.48	5.06	—
2026	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	34	7	84	367	89	48	9	21%	2.5	24.3%	13.1%	11.2%	2.5%	4.48	4.08	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	LAA	11	11	64	270	39	54	8	100%	5.8	14.3%	20.0%	-5.7%	2.9%	6.41	6.41	-1.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	LAA	16	16	96	407	66	71	12	100%	6.0	16.3%	17.4%	-1.1%	2.9%	6.01	5.89	-1.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	LAA	17	17	99	418	73	66	12	100%	5.8	17.5%	15.8%	1.7%	2.9%	5.70	5.57	-0.7
2030	25	MLB MLE	LAA	17	17	100	423	77	63	12	100%	5.9	18.2%	14.8%	3.3%	2.9%	5.49	5.39	-0.5
2031	26	MLB MLE	LAA	17	17	100	423	78	62	12	100%	5.9	18.5%	14.6%	3.9%	2.9%	5.39	5.34	-0.5
2032	27	MLB MLE	LAA	16	16	99	416	77	61	12	100%	6.2	18.5%	14.7%	3.8%	2.9%	5.38	5.38	-0.5
2033	28	MLB MLE	LAA	16	16	96	404	74	60	12	100%	6.0	18.3%	14.8%	3.5%	3.0%	5.43	5.46	-0.6
2034	29	MLB MLE	LAA	15	15	91	385	70	58	12	100%	6.1	18.1%	15.1%	3.0%	3.2%	5.53	5.59	-0.7
2035	30	MLB MLE	LAA	14	14	86	362	64	56	12	100%	6.1	17.7%	15.4%	2.4%	3.4%	5.67	5.77	-0.8
2028	23	MLB CTX	LAA	8	8	48	203	33	35	6	100%	6.0	16.3%	17.4%	-1.1%	2.9%	6.01	5.89	-0.5
2029	24	MLB CTX	LAA	12	12	69	291	51	46	8	100%	5.8	17.5%	15.8%	1.7%	2.9%	5.70	5.57	-0.5
2030	25	MLB CTX	LAA	14	14	81	342	62	51	10	100%	5.8	18.2%	14.8%	3.3%	2.9%	5.49	5.39	-0.4
2031	26	MLB CTX	LAA	15	15	88	372	69	54	11	100%	5.9	18.5%	14.6%	3.9%	2.9%	5.39	5.34	-0.4
2032	27	MLB CTX	LAA	15	15	89	376	69	55	11	100%	5.9	18.5%	14.7%	3.8%	2.9%	5.38	5.38	-0.5
2033	28	MLB CTX	LAA	15	15	88	372	68	55	11	100%	5.9	18.3%	14.8%	3.5%	3.0%	5.43	5.46	-0.5
2034	29	MLB CTX	LAA	14	14	85	359	65	54	11	100%	6.1	18.1%	15.1%	3.0%	3.2%	5.53	5.59	-0.6
2035	30	MLB CTX	LAA	13	13	80	338	60	52	11	100%	6.2	17.7%	15.4%	2.4%	3.4%	5.67	5.77	-0.8
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		105	105	628	2652	477	403	79	100%	6.0	18.0%	15.2%	2.8%	3.0%	5.54	5.15	-1.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	152	128	25	100%	6.0	18.0%	15.2%	2.8%	3.0%	5.54	5.15	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		99	62	337	1536	255	269	36	63%	3.4	16.6%	17.5%	-0.9%	2.3%	5.29	5.18	-5.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		59	37	200	912	151	160	21	63%	3.4	16.6%	17.5%	-0.9%	2.3%	5.29	5.18	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Francis Texido (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.41	14.3%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.61	17.3%	1.3%	296	-0.80	—	—	—
Victor Payano L 2015 · 6.06 FIP	22	SP-	6.06	14.8%	16.5%	3.9%	.287	4.82	20.5%	7.0%	225	-1.24	3.78	341	87
Bryce Hubbart L 2023 · 5.87 FIP	22	SW	5.87	17.0%	26.0%	1.7%	.303	5.28	17.9%	4.2%	149	-0.59	4.79	194	85
Adam Laskey L 2021 · 6.39 FIP	23	SP-	6.39	16.0%	21.0%	3.6%	.383	3.25	20.1%	10.5%	188	-3.14	3.12	310	81
Matt Imhof L 2016 · 5.68 FIP	22	SP-	5.68	15.9%	21.3%	2.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	5.13	131	78
Javier Atencio L 2023 · 5.66 FIP	21	SP-	5.66	12.9%	18.4%	2.4%	.387	—	—	—	—	—	2.83	164	77
Colby Langford L 2024 · 5.34 FIP	22	SW	5.34	21.6%	22.5%	2.2%	.273	6.01	22.2%	-1.1%	110	+0.67	4.92	168	76
Parker Rigler L 2017 · 6.33 FIP	22	SP-	6.33	13.8%	13.3%	5.0%	.318	4.59	14.5%	4.0%	140	-1.74	4.59	192	75
Alex Ayala Jr. L 2023 · 5.99 FIP	21	SP-	5.99	13.6%	16.7%	3.5%	.209	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	128	75
Lane Ratliff L 2017 · 6.08 FIP	22	SP-	6.08	12.0%	12.8%	4.3%	.344	3.25	15.9%	7.7%	80	-2.83	2.85	109	74
Yordan Nodal L 2023 · 5.25 FIP	21	SW	5.25	13.2%	16.5%	2.1%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	4.94	193	72
Ryan Anderson L 2021 · 5.71 FIP	22	SP-	5.71	14.7%	26.1%	1.0%	.373	3.73	20.3%	11.0%	149	-1.98	2.80	214	72
Jake Miller L 2023 · 5.50 FIP	22	SP-	5.50	17.2%	14.1%	3.8%	.345	3.04	22.5%	16.3%	99	-2.46	3.00	143	72
Noah Dean L 2023 · 5.83 FIP	22	SP-	5.83	21.1%	28.1%	1.7%	.343	5.14	23.3%	4.2%	154	-0.69	4.41	217	72
Dominic Scheffler L 2024 · 5.54 FIP	20	SP-	5.54	19.7%	28.4%	0.9%	.348	5.19	16.1%	-4.1%	82	-0.35	4.59	110	72
Wander Cabrera L 2018 · 6.97 FIP	20	SP-	6.97	11.9%	16.7%	5.0%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	135	72
Jhordany Mezquita L 2019 · 5.69 FIP	21	SP-	5.69	16.0%	16.4%	3.4%	.294	5.15	18.5%	4.2%	90	-0.54	3.02	223	71
Nate Bertness L 2018 · 5.34 FIP	22	SP-	5.34	14.2%	15.1%	2.8%	.314	5.35	20.3%	8.6%	62	+0.01	3.78	382	70
Develson Aria L 2023 · 6.47 FIP	22	SW	6.47	16.7%	28.6%	2.1%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	137	70
Luis Cesar L 2024 · 6.24 FIP	20	SP	6.24	13.2%	19.8%	3.2%	.163	5.28	15.6%	-9.7%	44	-0.96	4.84	131	70
Jared Tobey L 2018 · 5.39 FIP	22	SP	5.39	11.9%	15.1%	2.5%	.289	4.05	22.3%	10.4%	97	-1.34	3.99	158	70

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.2	92	17.6%	15.7%	1.15	5.64
Blake Stein ('02)	2.4	95	17.4%	13.2%	1.48	5.41
Tex Shirley ('41-'46, -0 WAR*)	2.2	112	17.0%*	13.5%*	0.99*	4.92*
Mac Suzuki ('02)	2.3	93	15.4%	12.5%	1.29	5.72
Jake Wade ('36-'46, -1 WAR*)	3.3	84	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.08*	5.03*
Emmett O'Neill ('43-'46, -2 WAR*)	1.8	119	19.1%*	15.5%*	0.99*	5.94*
Paul Abbott ('04)	3.6	80	15.6%	12.3%	1.26	4.92