Gable Mitchell

SS Vancouver Canadians

Age 23 S/R A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	22	A+TOR	109	.236/.370/.360	2	3	71	—	.204/.315/.312
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBTOR	219	.219/.294/.321	3	4	76	0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBTOR	49	.222/.298/.331	1	1	79	0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBTOR	116	.224/.300/.337	2	2	81	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$0.6M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Whiff%92

Z-Con%89

K%80

Chase%72

wRC+50

BB%46

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsPatrick Bailey (age 23) · Trent Woodward (age 23) · Brock Rodden (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 93 proj PA

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .292 / .318

PA93

HR1

K%26

BB%7

ISO103

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	109	89	21	5	0	2	12	20	7	3	1	236	370	360	730	124	279	18	11	337	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	109	93	19	4	0	2	8	27	7	3	1	204	315	312	627	108	250	25	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	109	93	19	4	0	2	8	27	7	3	1	204	315	312	627	108	262	25	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	—	109	89	21	5	0	2	12	20	7	3	1	236	370	360	730	124	279	18	11	337	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	109	93	19	4	0	2	8	27	7	3	1	204	315	312	627	108	250	25	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	109	93	19	4	0	2	8	27	7	3	1	204	315	312	627	108	250	25	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	219	196	42	8	1	3	16	57	5	4	1	219	294	321	616	103	289	26	7	280	76	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	TOR	30%	162	145	32	6	1	3	12	42	4	3	1	221	297	330	627	108	290	26	7	285	79	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	TOR	44%	263	235	52	10	1	5	20	68	6	4	1	223	299	336	635	113	290	26	8	288	81	-6	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2030	26	MLB MLE	TOR	51%	334	299	67	13	2	6	25	85	7	5	2	224	300	341	641	116	290	25	7	290	82	-7	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.4
2031	27	MLB MLE	TOR	52%	372	333	76	15	2	7	28	95	8	6	2	225	300	342	642	117	289	26	8	290	83	-8	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.5
2032	28	MLB MLE	TOR	53%	394	353	78	15	2	7	30	101	8	6	2	224	299	341	640	117	289	26	8	290	82	-8	+0	-1	+4	+9	0.4
2033	29	MLB MLE	TOR	53%	400	358	79	15	2	7	31	103	8	6	2	222	297	335	631	113	288	26	8	286	80	-10	+0	-1	+4	+9	0.2
2034	30	MLB MLE	TOR	52%	402	361	79	15	2	7	30	105	8	6	3	219	293	327	621	109	286	26	7	282	77	-11	+0	-2	+4	+9	-0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	TOR	30%	49	44	10	2	0	1	4	13	1	1	0	222	298	331	628	108	291	27	8	285	79	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	TOR	44%	116	103	23	4	1	2	9	30	3	2	1	224	300	337	637	113	291	26	8	289	81	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	TOR	51%	170	151	35	7	1	3	13	43	4	3	1	225	301	342	643	117	291	25	8	291	82	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	TOR	52%	195	174	40	8	1	4	15	50	4	3	1	225	301	343	644	117	291	26	8	291	83	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2032	28	MLB CTX	TOR	53%	210	188	42	8	1	4	16	54	4	3	1	225	300	342	642	117	290	26	8	290	82	-4	+0	-0	+2	+5	0.2
2033	29	MLB CTX	TOR	53%	210	188	42	8	1	4	16	54	4	3	1	222	297	336	633	113	289	26	8	287	80	-5	+0	-1	+2	+5	0.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	TOR	52%	209	187	42	8	1	4	16	55	4	3	1	220	294	328	622	109	287	26	8	282	77	-6	+0	-1	+2	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1159	1035	234	45	6	22	89	299	24	18	6	226	302	345	647	119	294	26	8	288	80	-27	+1	-2	+12	+25	1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	130	25	3	12	50	168	13	10	3	224	300	340	639	116	293	26	8	288	80	-15	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	2529	2261	500	97	12	45	191	650	58	41	14	221	298	334	633	113	288	26	8	286	80	-56	+2	-4	+26	+52	2.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	129	25	3	12	49	167	15	11	4	222	299	337	637	115	289	26	8	286	80	-15	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
#5Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.7	1,160	21	18	224	295	338	+12	+9	1.9	1.9
/162	664	12	10	+7.1	+5.2	1.1	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gable Mitchell (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	217/292/318	102	289	1	2	26%	7%	76	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Patrick Bailey 2022 · A	23	43→49	44→45	50→45	43	211/277/328	117	305	11	8	33%	8%	72	-0.7	217/286/343	126	292	13	5	28%	8%	78	-0.3	221/291/343	122	286	14	4	26%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Trent Woodward 2015 · A	23	43	41→45	47→30	47	205/283/307	102	276	7	6	27%	8%	70	-0.9	218/285/307	89	309	7	4	29%	8%	70	-0.9	217/287/303	86	307	8	1	30%	8%	66	-0.4
✕Brock Rodden 2024 · A	24	49→41	42→50	48→55	43	238/284/346	108	296	8	6	22%	5%	78	-0.3	219/280/348	129	295	13	17	29%	7%	77	-0.3	211/277/348	137	282	14	18	29%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Karexon Sanchez 2011 · A	23	45→47	43→45	47→50	44	214/288/325	111	303	9	10	31%	8%	75	-0.5	222/292/329	107	310	10	13	29%	8%	78	-0.3	220/289/321	101	298	11	15	28%	7%	72	-0.3
✕Marcus Littlewood 2015 · A	23	41	42→45	49→45	47	203/270/309	106	266	9	5	26%	8%	64	-1.3	212/271/323	111	277	10	5	26%	8%	68	-1.0	208/262/316	108	270	11	3	26%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Darrien Miller 2024 · A	23	39→42	44→45	48→45	47	194/289/310	116	258	12	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	192/313/294	102	262	8	5	27%	11%	80	-0.2	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Noah Campbell 2022 · A	23	47→46	39→45	53→50	46	218/300/307	89	319	7	14	31%	9%	76	-0.4	220/301/323	103	333	7	11	33%	9%	79	-0.2	215/305/323	108	337	7	8	34%	10%	77	-0.2
✕Johnny Monell 2009 · A	23	47→43	43→50	48→45	47	227/295/345	118	284	10	10	23%	7%	82	+0.0	228/285/359	131	288	13	6	24%	7%	82	-0.0	225/286/348	123	283	13	8	24%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Alex Isola 2021 · A	23	46→44	45→50	49→40	44	228/280/350	122	288	12	8	25%	6%	77	-0.3	216/283/360	144	273	19	4	27%	8%	82	-0.0	212/283/353	141	263	19	2	26%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Rodney Choy Foo 2006 · A	24	48→46	43→50	50	44	229/291/348	119	312	9	10	28%	7%	81	-0.1	232/297/362	130	303	13	13	26%	8%	86	+0.3	231/299/364	133	293	15	14	25%	9%	89	+0.3
✕Jose Herrera 2021 · A	24	44	40	47→40	51	210/290/306	96	280	8	5	26%	10%	72	-0.7	223/296/316	93	296	9	5	25%	9%	76	-0.4	220/296/301	80	288	8	3	24%	9%	70	-0.4
✕Jacob Berry 2023 · A	22	43→44	42→45	46→55	43	212/283/312	100	277	9	6	26%	6%	71	-0.8	206/257/315	109	263	9	12	25%	5%	61	-1.5	213/278/320	107	261	10	21	22%	7%	69	-0.8
✕BJ Murray 2023 · A	23	50→51	43→45	47→50	51	237/321/352	115	319	11	9	27%	10%	93	+0.8	215/299/345	130	287	13	13	28%	10%	84	+0.2	211/299/345	134	268	15	14	26%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Juan Mora 2023 · A	23	48	43→45	49→55	41	231/291/347	116	312	10	8	28%	6%	81	-0.1	219/276/323	104	288	9	10	26%	6%	70	-0.9	197/253/281	84	249	8	14	23%	5%	53	-0.7
✕Chase Strumpf 2021 · A	23	44→37	41→50	49→45	42	208/283/313	105	305	8	7	32%	7%	71	-0.8	199/294/337	138	307	14	5	37%	10%	81	-0.1	184/291/336	152	287	18	4	38%	11%	77	-0.2
✕Dan Nelson 2007 · A	23	47→48	40→45	48→50	47	224/285/315	91	278	7	14	21%	7%	71	-0.8	216/291/298	82	286	6	13	24%	9%	70	-0.9	234/292/343	109	281	10	8	20%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Elih Marrero 2021 · A	24	44	39→40	49→55	44	210/265/295	85	273	6	7	25%	7%	59	-1.7	215/286/290	75	307	4	21	28%	9%	66	-1.1	210/266/317	107	293	8	22	29%	6%	61	-0.4
✕Tyler McDonough 2022 · A	23	48→45	46→45	54→55	46	233/298/368	134	310	12	9	28%	8%	88	+0.5	206/258/306	100	317	8	18	35%	6%	59	-1.7	208/275/320	112	298	11	20	32%	7%	65	-0.8
✕Frank Martinez 2008 · A	23	45→52	43→45	50→45	42	222/272/332	110	281	10	9	24%	6%	70	-0.8	231/276/331	100	282	8	7	20%	5%	71	-0.8	234/279/327	93	281	6	5	19%	5%	68	-0.9
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	42→40	46→45	49	206/292/311	105	279	9	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	222/303/310	88	316	7	6	29%	9%	78	-0.3	239/331/311	72	336	7	6	28%	11%	86	+0.1

Gable Mitchell

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps