Marcelo Alcala

CF Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 183 lbs A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKCWS	168	.233/.325/.479	7	14	26	—	.146/.223/.291
2026	20	ACWS	146	.137/.303/.274	3	6	8	—	.081/.221/.171
2026	20	ROKCWS	126	.172/.336/.283	2	10	8	—	.093/.224/.150
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBCWS	382	.173/.250/.273	6	8	49	-1.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBCWS	111	.182/.259/.299	2	3	57	-0.3
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBCWS	196	.189/.266/.320	5	5	65	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Speed75

Chase%60

BB%57

ISO52

wOBA19

wRC+19

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJase Bowen (age 21) · Narciso Crook (age 21) · Johan Mieses (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 261 proj PA

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.172 / .248 / .271

PA261

HR4

SB6

K%36

BB%7

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	127	98	24	8	1	2	20	37	9	5	1	245	417	408	825	163	373	29	16	381	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	161	136	37	4	5	3	12	54	10	13	4	272	371	441	812	169	420	34	7	359	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	168	146	34	7	4	7	14	63	6	14	1	233	325	479	805	247	355	38	8	349	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	146	117	16	5	1	3	19	67	9	6	3	137	303	274	577	137	277	46	13	277	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	126	99	17	5	0	2	19	48	6	10	1	172	336	283	619	111	300	38	15	296	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	127	104	16	5	1	1	14	42	9	5	1	154	307	250	557	96	221	33	11	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	161	141	21	2	3	1	8	68	10	13	4	149	245	227	472	78	258	42	5	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	168	151	22	4	3	4	9	91	6	14	1	146	223	291	514	146	280	54	5	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	146	123	10	3	1	2	13	91	9	6	3	81	221	171	391	89	243	62	9	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	126	107	10	3	0	1	12	69	6	10	1	93	224	150	374	56	220	55	10	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	127	104	16	5	1	1	14	42	9	5	1	154	307	250	557	96	246	33	11	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	—	127	98	24	8	1	2	20	37	9	5	1	245	417	408	825	163	373	29	16	381	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	161	141	21	2	3	1	8	68	10	13	4	149	245	227	472	78	270	42	5	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	—	161	136	37	4	5	3	12	54	10	13	4	272	371	441	812	169	420	34	7	359	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	168	151	22	4	3	4	9	91	6	14	1	146	223	291	514	146	321	54	5	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	—	168	146	34	7	4	7	14	63	6	14	1	233	325	479	805	247	355	38	8	349	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	272	230	21	6	1	3	25	160	15	16	4	91	226	165	391	74	265	59	9	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	272	216	33	10	1	5	38	115	15	16	4	153	319	278	596	125	289	42	14	286	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	127	103	16	5	1	1	14	42	9	5	1	155	307	252	560	97	221	33	11	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	161	142	21	2	3	1	8	68	10	13	4	148	245	225	471	77	258	42	5	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	168	151	22	4	3	4	9	91	6	14	1	146	223	291	514	146	280	54	5	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	272	230	21	6	1	3	25	160	15	16	4	91	226	165	391	74	232	59	9	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	161	142	21	2	3	1	8	68	10	13	4	148	245	225	471	77	258	42	5	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	168	151	22	4	3	4	9	91	6	14	1	146	223	291	514	146	280	54	5	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	272	230	21	6	1	3	25	160	15	16	4	91	226	165	391	74	232	59	9	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	CWS	0%	382	344	60	12	2	6	27	137	8	8	2	173	250	273	523	100	262	36	7	241	49	-23	+1	+0	+1	+8	-1.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	CWS	34%	322	289	53	10	2	7	23	113	7	8	2	181	258	296	554	115	266	35	7	253	57	-16	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.8
2029	23	MLB MLE	CWS	48%	405	364	69	13	2	10	29	139	9	10	2	189	265	318	583	129	269	34	7	264	65	-17	+1	+0	+1	+9	-0.6
2030	24	MLB MLE	CWS	53%	461	414	82	15	3	13	34	155	10	11	3	194	271	334	605	139	271	34	7	273	71	-16	+1	+0	+2	+10	-0.4
2031	25	MLB MLE	CWS	55%	492	442	88	16	3	14	37	162	10	12	3	199	275	345	620	146	273	33	8	279	75	-15	+1	+0	+2	+11	-0.1
2032	26	MLB MLE	CWS	56%	508	455	93	17	3	16	38	165	10	12	3	202	278	353	632	151	274	32	7	283	78	-13	+1	+0	+2	+11	0.1
2033	27	MLB MLE	CWS	55%	514	460	93	17	3	16	39	167	10	12	3	201	277	351	628	150	273	32	8	282	77	-14	+1	+0	+2	+11	0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	CWS	34%	111	100	18	3	1	2	8	39	2	3	1	182	259	299	557	117	266	35	7	254	57	-6	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.3
2029	23	MLB CTX	CWS	48%	196	176	33	6	1	5	14	67	4	5	1	189	266	320	586	131	269	34	7	265	65	-8	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
2030	24	MLB CTX	CWS	53%	243	218	43	8	1	7	18	81	5	6	1	195	272	337	608	141	272	33	7	274	71	-8	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.2
2031	25	MLB CTX	CWS	55%	269	242	48	9	1	8	20	89	5	6	2	200	276	348	624	149	274	33	7	280	75	-8	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	CWS	56%	283	254	52	9	2	9	21	92	6	7	2	203	279	357	636	153	275	33	7	285	78	-7	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.0
2033	27	MLB CTX	CWS	55%	283	255	52	9	2	9	21	92	5	7	2	202	278	354	632	152	274	33	7	283	77	-8	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1385	1245	246	44	8	40	102	460	27	34	9	198	273	342	615	145	274	33	7	277	60	-46	+3	+0	+5	+30	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	116	21	4	19	48	216	13	16	4	199	274	346	620	147	276	33	7	277	60	-21	+2	+0	+2	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3691	3285	598	113	25	89	274	1356	102	119	27	182	266	313	579	131	274	37	7	258	60	-108	+7	+0	+11	+64	-2.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	105	20	4	16	48	239	18	21	5	181	265	313	578	131	272	37	7	258	60	-24	+2	+0	+2	+14	-0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ruben Rivera'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,818 PA	2.7	1,818	64	50	206*	292*	376*	-1	+20	4.0	4.0
/162	664	23	18	-0.3	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 4
#2Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#3Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#4Dylan Carlsonlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,987 PA	3.0	1,987	43	16	233	312	372	-9	-22	0.8	0.8
/162	664	14	5	-3.0	-7.4	0.3	pk7: 1
#5Damon Buford'93-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,072 PA	3.1	2,072	54	56	230*	296*	371*	-1	-2	0.2	0.8
/162	664	17	18	-0.4	-0.5	0.1	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.5	1,646	43	39	194	267	329	-7	+0	-2.2	-1.1
/162	664	17	16	-3.0	+0.0	-0.9	pk7: 0
#6Joe Simpson'75-'83 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	9	45	237*	289*	336*	-9	+2	-2.3	-1.8
/162	664	4	20	-4.0	+1.1	-1.0	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Marcelo Alcala (OGILVIE)	21	20	55	60	30	172/248/271	99	262	4	6	36%	7%	49	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→42	42→50	54→55	35	186/247/286	100	284	10	12	37%	5%	51	-2.2	197/249/316	119	284	14	16	34%	5%	59	-1.7	209/260/343	134	298	14	23	33%	6%	66	-0.7
✕Narciso Crook 2016 · A	21	38→43	42→50	53→50	32	191/223/294	104	286	9	12	36%	4%	42	-2.9	201/247/311	110	301	10	10	35%	5%	56	-1.9	211/273/363	152	309	16	14	35%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	40→33	45→55	52→50	40	204/250/330	126	265	12	14	28%	5%	61	-1.5	189/238/351	162	266	20	4	37%	5%	63	-1.4	192/268/358	166	237	23	7	30%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	40→38	45→50	54→50	38	199/264/327	128	286	12	13	34%	6%	67	-1.1	211/271/364	153	307	18	14	36%	6%	78	-0.3	204/267/368	165	294	22	15	37%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2024 · A	21	38→44	41→50	52→50	43	182/258/286	104	279	7	9	35%	8%	55	-1.9	220/276/370	150	298	17	10	31%	6%	81	-0.1	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	34	39→45	54→45	38	169/229/251	81	271	6	13	38%	7%	36	-3.4	173/235/269	96	305	10	11	44%	6%	42	-2.9	160/223/268	108	267	13	9	43%	6%	36	-1.2
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→45	49→50	40	186/254/299	114	273	12	9	35%	7%	57	-1.8	197/278/292	95	346	7	8	41%	8%	64	-1.3	149/272/225	76	351	3	4	50%	12%	46	-0.6
✕Estee Harris 2006 · A	21	37→32	44→50	50	37	190/237/306	116	273	11	14	34%	6%	51	-2.2	189/241/290	101	317	9	13	41%	6%	49	-2.4	173/225/264	91	319	8	13	46%	6%	34	-1.1
✕Ryan Spikes 2024 · A	21	36→30	42→45	53→55	35	175/239/277	101	299	10	17	42%	7%	45	-2.7	186/234/300	114	292	13	18	39%	5%	49	-2.4	181/223/300	119	274	14	22	38%	4%	42	-1.5
✕Angel Castillo 2010 · A	21	37→41	45→50	51→50	34	192/247/311	119	282	13	10	36%	4%	57	-1.8	199/251/321	122	287	15	12	35%	5%	60	-1.6	187/239/304	117	266	15	13	35%	5%	50	-1.6
✕Stanley Tucker 2024 · A	22	39	41→45	53→65	36	188/242/288	100	308	9	11	40%	6%	49	-2.4	187/256/270	83	274	7	23	32%	8%	50	-2.3	180/250/264	84	241	8	36	28%	8%	44	-1.3
✕Travis Witherspoon 2010 · A	21	37→47	42→45	56→55	31	185/227/286	101	289	9	10	39%	4%	42	-2.9	212/258/321	109	300	11	19	32%	5%	62	-1.4	218/269/333	115	295	13	25	29%	6%	66	-0.9
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	42	200/270/298	98	297	8	11	33%	8%	62	-1.4	192/261/284	92	292	6	14	34%	8%	55	-1.9	143/221/238	95	216	5	25	34%	8%	30	-1.0
✕Monte Harrison 2017 · A	21	38→45	39→50	52→60	35	178/247/260	82	307	6	14	41%	6%	45	-2.7	209/266/337	128	339	14	19	40%	5%	70	-0.8	201/270/324	123	349	15	41	43%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Kala'i Rosario 2023 · A	21	41→40	44→50	50	32	193/248/310	117	338	11	6	44%	6%	57	-1.8	199/275/341	142	317	15	8	39%	9%	74	-0.5	200/279/360	160	295	20	16	37%	9%	77	-0.3
✕Kevin Smith 2018 · A	22	39→45	44→55	53→50	34	195/232/312	117	284	11	8	35%	4%	51	-2.3	208/251/356	148	292	17	13	34%	5%	68	-1.0	209/261/367	157	281	19	15	32%	6%	73	-0.5
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→40	40	52→50	39	199/251/297	98	277	6	10	29%	5%	54	-2.0	219/276/320	101	333	8	10	34%	7%	69	-0.9	214/275/310	96	327	9	12	35%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A	21	39→33	43→45	51→50	42	193/261/303	109	286	10	12	34%	8%	60	-1.6	207/272/319	112	304	11	12	33%	7%	68	-1.0	183/257/295	112	268	12	11	34%	8%	56	-1.1
✕Jacob Scavuzzo 2015 · A	21	38→48	42→55	50→45	36	191/235/298	107	271	10	10	33%	5%	48	-2.5	216/259/349	133	289	14	7	30%	5%	70	-0.9	217/259/358	141	283	17	5	29%	4%	69	-0.6
✕James Simmons 2008 · A	22	37	39→50	52→55	36	176/239/269	93	301	6	11	41%	7%	43	-2.8	192/243/283	91	330	7	16	41%	6%	48	-2.5	196/254/350	155	346	21	18	47%	6%	65	-0.5

Marcelo Alcala

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps