Asbel Gonzalez

CF Quad Cities River Bandits
Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 170 lbs A+ HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
OGV OFP35OGV rank#912ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKKC182.285/.400/.38402264—.215/.311/.291
202519AKC505.239/.365/.28917859—.209/.315/.258
202620A+KC510.262/.361/.31436768—.243/.323/.283
2027PROJMLE21MLBKC1.199/.284/.2450056-0.0
2028PROJ35% MLB22MLBKC166.205/.291/.26811064-0.1
2029PROJ49% MLB23MLBKC259.211/.297/.289314720.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$3M2033Arb-2$4M2034Ext$5M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Speed92
Whiff%48
K%43
Chase%38
BB%37
wOBA36
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 5.5, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 84%
CompsJay Allen II (age 21) · Yhoswar Garcia (age 21) · Jorge Mateo (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†56
AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .284 / .245
PA1
HR0
K%30
BB%8
BABIP289
ISO49
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -11.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-11BATRUN: +2.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.50-0.5WAR
0.00.51.00.00.30.40.50.527282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.3$1.0M+$0.3M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.6M
2032Arb-1$3M+0.5$1M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Arb-2$4M+0.5$1M+$0.0M (cut)
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $5M +$0.9M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Royals Blue — 173143 351021 19267 1711 245361364725 119286 1511 326 35 — — — — — —
202418 ROKACL Royals — 182151 431120 20379 224 285400384784 99374 2011 358 64 — — — — — —
202519 AColumbia Fireflies — 505415 991231 548629 7826 239365289655 51298 1711 310 59 — — — — — —
202620 A+Quad Cities River Bandits — 510427 112923 5213014 6713 262361314675 52366 2510 306 68 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Royals Blue — 173149 24611 13337 1711 161260235495 74187 198 220 35 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Royals — 182158 34820 13519 224 215311291602 76304 287 263 64 — — — — — —
202519 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 505431 901231 3811929 7826 209315258573 49272 248 256 59 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 510441 107822 3816514 6713 243323283606 41352 327 268 68 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Royals Blue — 173149 24611 13337 1711 161260235495 74195 198 220 35 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Royals Blue — 173143 351021 19267 1711 245361364725 119286 1511 326 35 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Royals — 182158 34820 13519 224 215311291602 76315 287 263 64 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWACL Royals — 182151 431120 20379 224 285400384784 99374 2011 358 64 — — — — — —
202519 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 505431 901231 3811929 7826 209315258573 49285 248 256 59 — — — — — —
202519 A RAWColumbia Fireflies — 505415 991231 548629 7826 239365289655 51298 1711 310 59 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 510441 107822 3816514 6713 243323283606 41378 327 268 68 — — — — — —
202620 A+ RAWQuad Cities River Bandits — 510427 112923 5213014 6713 262361314675 52366 2510 306 68 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Royals Blue — 173151 24611 13337 1711 159260232492 73187 198 220 35 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Royals — 182158 34820 13519 224 215311291602 76304 287 263 64 — — — — — —
202519 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 505433 901231 3811929 7826 208315256572 48272 248 256 59 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 510453 107822 3816514 6713 236323276598 40352 327 268 68 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEACL Royals — 182158 34820 13519 224 215311291602 76304 287 263 64 — — — — — —
202519 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 505433 901231 3811929 7826 208315256572 48272 248 256 59 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 510453 107822 3816514 6713 236323276598 40352 327 268 68 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLEKC 0% 620550 1101332 4618219 4110 200285247532 47291 297 251 56 -32 +4 +1 +2 +13 -0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202721 MLB CTXKC 0% 11 0000 000 00 199284245529 47289 00 250 56 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLEKC 35% 481426 881124 3713815 297 207292272564 65291 298 263 64 -20 +3 +1 +2 +10 -0.4
202923 MLB MLEKC 49% 534471 1001227 4214916 307 213298294593 81292 288 274 72 -18 +3 +2 +2 +12 0.1
203024 MLB MLEKC 53% 560495 1081429 4415316 287 218303310613 92293 278 282 77 -15 +3 +3 +2 +12 0.5
203125 MLB MLEKC 55% 578511 11315310 4615616 277 221305320625 99293 278 286 80 -14 +3 +4 +2 +13 0.8
203226 MLB MLEKC 56% 590521 11615311 4815816 256 222306325631 103293 278 289 82 -13 +3 +4 +2 +13 0.9
203327 MLB MLEKC 55% 590522 11615311 4815915 236 221305322627 101292 278 287 81 -14 +2 +4 +2 +13 0.8
202822 MLB CTXKC 35% 166147 30411 13475 102 205291268559 63289 288 261 64 -7 +1 +1 +1 +4 -0.1
202923 MLB CTXKC 49% 259229 48613 20728 144 211297289586 78290 288 272 72 -9 +1 +1 +1 +6 0.0
203024 MLB CTXKC 53% 295262 55714 23818 154 216301304605 88291 278 279 77 -8 +1 +2 +1 +6 0.3
203125 MLB CTXKC 55% 316279 60815 25859 154 218303313616 95291 278 283 80 -8 +1 +2 +1 +7 0.4
203226 MLB CTXKC 56% 328289 65926 27889 143 219304318622 99291 278 285 82 -7 +2 +2 +1 +7 0.5
203327 MLB CTXKC 55% 325287 62816 26889 133 218303315618 97290 278 284 81 -8 +1 +2 +1 +7 0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 16891493 32042725 13446148 8120 214300302602 88290 278 279 71 -46 +8 +11 +6 +37 1.6
/ 162G— A+C — 650575 12416310 5217718 318 216301306607 90292 278 279 71 -18 +3 +4 +2 +14 0.6
Career— MLE — 49134310 9331202457 3831343160 36097 216304295599 79298 278 273 71 -105 +18 +21 +13 +77 2.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650570 1241638 5117821 4813 218305298604 81299 278 273 71 -19 +3 +4 +2 +14 0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Quad Cities River Bandits · 510 PAwOBA .302 → .268 (−34)K% 25.5% → 32.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.49%÷1.000×1.270——32.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.20%÷1.000×0.710—×1.0427.54%
HBP% /PA2.75%—×0.790—×1.0422.26%
Singles /BIP33.00%÷1.000×0.920×1.016×1.04232.14%
Doubles /BIP3.03%÷1.000×0.810×1.016×1.0422.60%
Triples /BIP0.67%÷1.000×0.850×1.016×1.0420.61%
Home runs /BIP1.01%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0420.84%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .302 → .268; ISO .052 → .044; BABIP .366 → .352. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AColumbia Fireflies · 505 PAwOBA .303 → .256 (−47)K% 17.0% → 23.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.03%÷0.982×1.360——23.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.50%÷1.006×0.690—×1.0457.52%
HBP% /PA5.74%—×0.780—×1.0454.68%
Singles /BIP25.23%÷1.099×0.920×1.027×1.04522.67%
Doubles /BIP3.65%÷0.913×0.830×1.027×1.0453.56%
Triples /BIP0.91%÷0.937×0.910×1.027×1.0450.95%
Home runs /BIP0.30%÷1.086×0.800—×1.0450.23%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 120, 2B 83, 3B 87, K 96, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.

Result: wOBA .303 → .256; ISO .051 → .048; BABIP .298 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Royals · 182 PAwOBA .351 → .263 (−88)K% 20.3% → 28.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.33%÷1.036×1.440——28.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.99%÷1.010×0.620—×1.0226.89%
HBP% /PA4.95%—×0.720—×1.0223.64%
Singles /BIP26.32%÷1.029×0.820×1.023×1.02221.94%
Doubles /BIP9.65%÷0.986×0.720×1.023×1.0227.38%
Triples /BIP1.75%÷0.979×0.720×1.023×1.0221.35%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.949×0.780—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 106, 2B 97, 3B 96, K 107, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .351 → .263; ISO .099 → .074; BABIP .374 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Royals Blue · 173 PAwOBA .324 → .220 (−104)K% 15.0% → 18.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.03%÷0.977×1.220——18.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.98%÷1.010×0.700—×1.0227.78%
HBP% /PA4.05%—×0.700—×1.0222.90%
Singles /BIP18.80%÷0.990×0.680×1.006×1.02213.29%
Doubles /BIP8.55%÷1.078×0.600×1.006×1.0224.89%
Triples /BIP1.71%÷1.149×0.600×1.006×1.0220.92%
Home runs /BIP0.85%÷0.903×0.470—×1.0220.45%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 98, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.

Result: wOBA .324 → .220; ISO .119 → .069; BABIP .286 → .187. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).