Asbel Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Asbel GonzalezCF Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 20 R/R 6'2" / 170 lbs A+ HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION510 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP312

ISO49

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$15M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 48 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT48

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE61

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2032	Arb-1	$4M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-2	$7M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$9M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$12M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	173	143	35	10	2	1	19	26	7	17	11	245	361	364	725	119	286	15	11	326	107	+1	-1	—	—	+4	0.4
2024	18	ROK	ACL Royals	—	182	151	43	11	2	0	20	37	9	22	4	285	400	384	784	99	374	20	11	358	128	+6	+3	—	—	+4	1.3
2025	19	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	505	415	99	12	3	1	54	86	29	78	26	239	365	289	655	51	298	17	11	310	96	-3	+5	—	—	+11	1.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	173	150	27	7	1	1	12	38	7	17	11	180	272	260	532	80	221	22	7	236	46	-11	-1	—	—	+4	-0.9
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	182	159	33	8	1	0	12	51	9	22	4	208	300	270	570	63	297	28	7	258	61	-8	+3	—	—	+4	-0.2
2025	19	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	505	436	86	11	3	1	33	124	29	78	26	197	297	243	540	46	264	25	7	245	52	-29	+5	—	—	+11	-1.3
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	173	150	27	7	1	1	12	38	7	17	11	180	272	260	532	80	228	22	7	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Blue	—	173	143	35	10	2	1	19	26	7	17	11	245	361	364	725	119	286	15	11	326	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	182	159	33	8	1	0	12	51	9	22	4	208	300	270	570	63	303	28	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	—	182	151	43	11	2	0	20	37	9	22	4	285	400	384	784	99	374	20	11	358	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	505	436	86	11	3	1	33	124	29	78	26	197	297	243	540	46	272	25	7	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	—	505	415	99	12	3	1	54	86	29	78	26	239	365	289	655	51	298	17	11	310	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	173	152	27	7	1	1	12	38	7	17	11	178	272	257	529	79	221	22	7	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	182	159	33	8	1	0	12	51	9	22	4	208	300	270	570	63	297	28	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	505	438	86	11	3	1	33	124	29	78	26	196	297	242	539	46	264	25	7	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	173	152	27	7	1	1	12	38	7	17	11	178	272	257	529	79	221	22	7	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	182	159	33	8	1	0	12	51	9	22	4	208	300	270	570	63	297	28	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	505	438	86	11	3	1	33	124	29	78	26	196	297	242	539	46	264	25	7	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A+ MLE	KC	—	510	442	98	7	2	2	37	175	14	67	13	222	302	260	562	38	357	34	7	251	56	-27	+8	+0	+2	+11	-0.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A+ RAW	KC	—	510	427	112	9	2	3	52	130	14	67	13	262	361	314	675	52	366	25	10	306	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A+ MLE	KC	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		314	33	11	253	57	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	20	A+ MLE	KC	—	519	450	99	7	2	2	38	178	14	68	13	220	301	258	559	38	354	34	7	251	56	-27	+8	+0	+2	+11	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	KC	35%	546	486	106	12	2	6	41	166	14	37	8	218	298	288	586	70	313	30	8	272	70	-19	+4	+2	+2	+12	0.1
2028	22	MLB MLE	KC	49%	595	529	119	14	2	10	46	173	15	36	8	225	305	316	621	91	312	29	8	285	79	-15	+4	+2	+2	+13	0.7
2029	23	MLB MLE	KC	54%	615	546	126	15	3	12	49	174	15	34	8	231	311	335	647	104	312	28	8	294	85	-11	+4	+2	+2	+13	1.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	KC	55%	627	557	130	16	3	13	50	175	15	32	7	233	314	343	656	110	312	28	8	298	88	-9	+4	+2	+2	+14	1.3
2031	25	MLB MLE	KC	56%	634	561	132	16	3	14	52	176	16	30	7	235	318	349	667	114	312	28	8	301	90	-8	+3	+2	+2	+14	1.4
2032	26	MLB MLE	KC	56%	639	566	133	16	3	14	52	177	16	28	6	235	317	348	665	113	312	28	8	302	90	-7	+3	+2	+2	+14	1.5
2033	27	MLB MLE	KC	55%	637	563	132	16	3	14	53	177	16	26	6	234	318	348	666	114	312	28	8	302	90	-7	+3	+2	+2	+14	1.4
2034	28	MLB MLE	KC	55%	631	557	130	16	2	14	53	176	16	23	5	233	318	345	663	111	311	28	8	301	90	-8	+3	+2	+2	+14	1.3
2035	29	MLB MLE	KC	53%	621	548	126	15	2	13	53	174	15	20	4	230	315	336	651	106	310	28	9	299	88	-9	+2	+1	+2	+13	1.1
2036	30	MLB MLE	KC	53%	609	537	123	14	2	13	52	173	15	17	4	229	315	335	650	106	309	28	9	296	86	-10	+2	+0	+2	+13	0.8
2027	21	MLB CTX	KC	35%	189	168	36	4	1	2	14	57	5	13	3	214	294	286	580	71	310	30	7	249	70	-7	+1	+1	+1	+4	0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	KC	49%	289	258	57	7	1	4	22	84	7	18	4	221	300	302	602	81	309	29	8	263	79	-7	+2	+1	+1	+6	0.3
2029	23	MLB CTX	KC	54%	334	297	68	8	2	6	26	95	8	19	4	229	308	330	638	101	308	28	8	271	85	-6	+2	+1	+1	+7	0.6
2030	24	MLB CTX	KC	55%	348	308	72	9	2	7	28	97	9	18	4	234	316	344	660	110	309	28	8	276	88	-5	+2	+1	+1	+8	0.7
2031	25	MLB CTX	KC	56%	355	314	73	9	2	7	29	98	9	17	4	232	315	341	656	108	309	28	8	278	90	-4	+2	+1	+1	+8	0.8
2032	26	MLB CTX	KC	56%	359	318	74	9	2	7	29	99	9	15	3	233	315	340	654	107	308	28	8	279	90	-4	+2	+1	+1	+8	0.8
2033	27	MLB CTX	KC	55%	352	311	72	9	2	7	29	98	9	14	3	232	315	341	656	109	308	28	8	279	90	-4	+2	+1	+1	+8	0.8
2034	28	MLB CTX	KC	55%	346	305	69	8	1	7	29	97	9	12	3	226	312	328	640	102	308	28	8	278	90	-4	+1	+1	+1	+7	0.7
2035	29	MLB CTX	KC	53%	332	293	67	8	1	7	28	93	8	11	2	229	313	334	648	106	307	28	8	276	88	-5	+1	+1	+1	+7	0.6
2036	30	MLB CTX	KC	53%	320	282	63	7	1	6	27	91	8	9	2	223	309	319	628	96	306	28	8	273	86	-5	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3224	2854	651	78	15	60	261	909	81	146	32	228	311	329	640	101	311	28	8	273	82	-51	+16	+10	+12	+70	5.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	131	16	3	12	53	183	16	29	6	228	311	329	639	101	310	28	8	273	82	-10	+3	+2	+2	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	7023	6203	1404	176	30	125	559	1957	198	401	104	226	310	325	635	99	308	28	8	289	82	-103	+32	+19	+22	+134	10.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	130	16	3	12	52	181	18	37	10	226	311	328	638	101	307	28	8	289	82	-11	+3	+2	+2	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Corey Pattersonlast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,422 PA	6.7	4,422	116	215	254	292	403	-2	+56	15.8	16.6
/162	664	17	32	-0.3	+8.4	2.4	pk7: 17
#2Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	4.7	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
/162	664	19	34	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#3Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	4.2	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
/162	664	14	30	+2.4	+12.6	2.5	pk7: 11
#4Manuel Margotlast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,154 PA	4.8	3,154	56	94	254	307	380	-5	+27	8.4	8.8
/162	664	12	20	-1.1	+5.6	1.8	pk7: 9
#5Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#6Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	4.9	3,225	66	145	232	311	338	-19	+22	3.6	3.4
/162	664	14	30	-4.0	+4.6	0.7	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Asbel Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	20	31→48	26→40	60	49	205/285/247	42	314	1	33	32%	7%	57	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jorge Mateo 2016 · A	21	46→48	38→50	67→65	41	218/267/308	90	300	4	44	28%	6%	62	-1.4	202/246/311	109	292	7	32	32%	5%	55	-2.0	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Rafael Bautista 2013 · A	20	51→55	35→30	61→60	45	236/301/296	59	312	1	33	23%	7%	72	-0.7	244/292/310	66	304	3	32	20%	5%	72	-0.7	251/292/315	63	304	3	38	18%	4%	69	-0.5
✕Delino DeShields 2013 · A	20	46→55	41→45	61→65	44	221/284/321	100	299	9	36	28%	7%	72	-0.7	233/303/337	104	312	7	37	26%	8%	83	+0.1	236/312/340	103	313	6	38	24%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Jay Allen II 2023 · A	20	44→46	40	59→55	44	203/295/297	94	301	7	32	32%	8%	72	-0.7	187/280/274	87	279	8	28	33%	8%	62	-1.4	197/281/296	99	271	10	24	29%	7%	64	-1.0
✕Kenny Wilson 2010 · A	20	35→45	37→40	56→60	37	170/241/239	69	279	4	27	38%	6%	38	-3.2	182/256/243	61	285	3	27	34%	7%	45	-2.7	200/268/290	91	305	7	22	34%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	39→50	57→55	42	201/259/292	90	285	6	22	30%	7%	56	-1.9	230/286/359	129	289	11	21	23%	7%	82	-0.0	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Tyler Pastornicky 2010 · A	20	49→59	36→40	60	48	227/275/295	68	267	2	31	16%	6%	61	-1.5	246/293/337	91	288	6	24	16%	6%	78	-0.3	268/307/357	89	308	6	16	14%	5%	85	+0.1
✕Yhoswar Garcia 2023 · A	21	42	38→30	62→70	39	195/262/277	82	303	5	38	35%	7%	54	-2.0	205/256/272	67	280	3	38	26%	5%	50	-2.3	202/248/254	52	267	2	51	24%	5%	40	-1.4
✕Daniel Carroll 2009 · A	20	45→48	35→45	57→60	35	204/264/268	64	326	2	29	36%	5%	53	-2.1	207/272/298	91	325	8	26	36%	6%	63	-1.4	220/293/343	123	337	13	33	36%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Cameron Cauley 2023 · A	20	39→44	37→50	60	37	182/239/252	71	301	4	28	39%	6%	39	-3.1	192/245/308	116	310	11	26	39%	6%	55	-2.0	202/258/341	139	281	14	30	32%	7%	65	-1.0
✕Gabriel Mejia 2015 · A	20	54	34→30	63→70	51	245/315/301	55	327	1	43	24%	9%	78	-0.3	243/301/298	55	311	1	32	20%	7%	72	-0.7	240/290/280	40	302	0	29	19%	6%	62	-0.4
✕Derek Hill 2016 · A	20	42→52	37→55	58→60	44	202/257/277	75	271	4	24	26%	6%	51	-2.2	202/252/275	73	314	3	27	34%	6%	49	-2.4	242/294/410	167	331	20	27	32%	6%	94	+0.4
✕Leury García 2011 · A	20	48→58	36→45	58→60	39	226/261/285	58	296	3	28	24%	4%	54	-2.0	233/266/307	74	319	4	27	27%	4%	61	-1.5	271/310/387	116	339	11	22	23%	4%	94	+0.5
✕Billy Hamilton 2011 · A	20	44→54	37→40	62→70	39	207/251/284	77	292	3	28	29%	5%	50	-2.3	236/288/308	72	330	2	63	27%	7%	70	-0.9	241/300/326	84	310	4	55	22%	8%	76	-0.4
✕José Peraza 2014 · A	20	52→62	36→45	61→65	43	243/282/310	67	291	2	33	17%	4%	68	-1.0	266/291/344	78	308	3	36	14%	3%	78	-0.3	272/310/361	89	305	7	25	13%	4%	87	+0.3
✕Angel Del Rosario 2023 · AA	20	40	37→40	60→65	36	189/251/254	65	291	6	37	35%	5%	45	-2.7	195/262/271	76	314	6	34	37%	7%	53	-2.1	183/255/252	70	297	5	43	37%	7%	44	-1.0
●Mallex Smith 2014 · A	21	48→58	37→45	58→65	47	227/296/296	69	296	5	34	24%	8%	71	-0.8	258/320/347	89	337	5	44	23%	8%	91	+0.6	265/331/371	106	338	4	43	21%	8%	98	+0.8
✕Tito Polo 2016 · A	21	44→54	38→45	56→60	40	208/263/294	85	278	5	26	26%	5%	57	-1.8	230/283/338	108	305	10	27	27%	5%	76	-0.4	234/289/348	114	310	11	32	27%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Marcus Sanders 2007 · A	21	46→55	36→30	59→60	48	217/288/285	68	291	3	31	25%	8%	65	-1.2	220/289/292	72	293	3	23	24%	8%	68	-1.0	228/303/293	65	301	0	28	22%	9%	70	-0.5
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	64→65	42	204/266/281	77	293	2	27	29%	7%	56	-1.9	220/283/294	74	332	4	27	32%	7%	65	-1.2	230/297/289	60	352	4	45	33%	8%	65	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps