Asbel Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Asbel GonzalezOF Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 20 R/R 6'2" / 170 lbs A+ HR -5%BB +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 2.3 · 2032

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .302 / .297

PA320

HR3

SB28

K%25

BB%7

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

31↗48

PWR

26↗40

SPD

60→60

FLD

50↗61

EYE

44↗49

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.2peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+2.0	$18M	+$17M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.2	$20M	+$20M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.3	$22M	+$21M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+2.3	$23M	+$18M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+2.2	$22M	+$15M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$9M	+1.9	$20M	+$10M
Totals		$24M		$125M	+$101M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	173	150	28	7	1	1	12	39	7	17	11	.187	.278	.267	.545	.080	.239	23	7	.235	38	-12	-1	+0	-1	+5	-0.9
2024	18	ROK	ACL Royals	182	159	34	8	2	0	12	50	9	22	4	.214	.306	.289	.595	.075	.309	27	7	.258	56	-9	+3	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2025	19	A	Columbia Fireflies	505	436	88	11	3	1	33	124	29	78	26	.202	.301	.248	.549	.046	.279	25	7	.246	46	-31	+5	+0	-3	+14	-1.4
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	20	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	58	52	14	1	0	0	1	20	2	10	2	.269	.309	.288	.598	.019	.438	34	2	.254	53	-3	+1	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
ROS	20	MLB	KC	262	233	50	8	1	2	17	68	10	18	5	.215	.296	.283	.579	.069	.298	26	6	.278	71	-8	+2	+1	-2	+7	-0.1
TOT	20	MLB	KC	320	285	64	9	1	2	18	88	12	28	7	.225	.298	.284	.583	.060	.316	28	6	.274	68	-12	+3	+1	-2	+9	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	KC	531	466	109	17	3	7	40	120	20	31	9	.234	.321	.328	.650	.094	.294	23	8	.297	85	-9	+3	+1	-3	+15	0.7
2028	22	MLB 28%	KC	583	510	121	19	3	10	47	128	21	29	8	.237	.327	.345	.672	.108	.295	22	8	.308	94	-4	+3	+1	-3	+17	1.3
2029	23	MLB 48%	KC	619	541	131	21	3	13	52	133	21	27	7	.242	.332	.364	.696	.122	.295	21	8	.315	99	-0	+3	+1	-4	+18	1.8
2030	24	MLB 63%	KC	642	560	137	22	3	14	55	136	22	25	7	.245	.336	.370	.706	.125	.295	21	9	.320	103	+2	+2	+1	-4	+18	2.0
2031	25	MLB 80%	KC	655	570	139	22	3	15	58	137	22	23	6	.244	.337	.372	.709	.128	.296	21	9	.323	105	+4	+2	+1	-4	+19	2.2
2032	26	MLB 94%	KC	660	572	140	22	3	15	60	138	23	21	6	.245	.340	.372	.713	.128	.297	21	9	.324	106	+5	+2	+1	-4	+19	2.3
2033	27	MLB	KC	658	570	140	22	3	15	60	139	23	20	5	.246	.342	.374	.715	.128	.297	21	9	.324	106	+5	+2	+1	-4	+19	2.3
2034	28	MLB	KC	652	565	138	22	3	15	60	139	22	18	4	.244	.340	.373	.713	.129	.296	21	9	.323	106	+4	+2	+1	-4	+18	2.2
2035	29	MLB	KC	642	555	134	21	3	14	60	138	22	16	4	.241	.339	.366	.705	.124	.295	21	9	.321	104	+3	+2	-0	-4	+18	1.9
2036	30	MLB	KC	630	545	131	21	3	13	59	138	21	15	3	.240	.338	.361	.699	.121	.294	22	9	.318	102	+1	+2	-1	-4	+18	1.7
2037	31	MLB	KC	616	533	127	20	3	13	57	137	21	13	2	.238	.336	.360	.696	.122	.293	22	9	.314	99	-1	+2	-2	-4	+17	1.3
2038	32	MLB	KC	597	517	122	19	3	12	55	136	20	11	2	.236	.333	.354	.687	.118	.291	23	9	.310	95	-3	+1	-2	-4	+17	0.9
2039	33	MLB	KC	568	492	112	17	2	10	52	134	19	10	1	.228	.325	.331	.656	.104	.290	24	9	.304	91	-6	+2	-3	-3	+16	0.6
2040	34	MLB	KC	519	450	101	15	2	9	47	126	17	9	0	.224	.321	.327	.648	.102	.288	24	9	.298	86	-8	+2	-4	-3	+15	0.2
2041	35	MLB	KC	463	403	88	13	2	7	42	117	15	8	0	.218	.315	.313	.628	.094	.287	25	9	.291	81	-10	+2	-5	-3	+13	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			10157	8827	2070	327	49	186	878	2277	364	411	110	.235	.329	.346	.675	.111	.294	22	9	.307	93	-78	+38	-6	-61	+288	18.5
/ 162G	—			650	565	133	21	3	12	56	146	23	26	7	.235	.329	.347	.676	.112	.295	22	9	.307	93	-5	+2	-0	-4	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	173	143	35	10	2	1	19	26	7	17	11	.245	.361	.364	.725	.119	.286	15	11	.326	108	+2	-1	—	—	+5	0.6
2024	18	ROK	ACL Royals	182	151	43	11	2	0	20	37	9	22	4	.285	.400	.384	.784	.099	.374	20	11	.358	132	+7	+3	—	—	+5	1.5
2025	19	A	Columbia Fireflies	505	415	99	12	3	1	54	86	29	78	26	.239	.365	.289	.655	.051	.298	17	11	.310	95	-3	+5	—	—	+14	1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Asbel Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	20	31→48	26→40	60	49	.212/.302/.297	.085	.283	3	17	25%	7%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Desmond Jennings 2007 · A	20	46→56	40→50	56→60	44	.220/.278/.309	.089	.282	7	23	24%	6%	63	-0.9	.248/.308/.365	.117	.293	10	28	18%	7%	89	+1.0	.252/.331/.406	.154	.301	15	28	21%	9%	106	+2.2
✕Delino DeShields 2013 · A	20	44→53	41→45	60→65	43	.214/.272/.314	.100	.286	9	34	28%	7%	62	-0.9	.227/.295/.329	.102	.306	8	37	26%	8%	76	+0.0	.228/.305/.328	.100	.305	6	38	25%	9%	75	+0.0
●Esteury Ruiz 2019 · A	20	44→54	43→50	58→70	37	.212/.260/.329	.117	.307	9	25	33%	5%	60	-1.0	.203/.254/.314	.111	.301	11	30	34%	5%	54	-1.4	.264/.338/.396	.132	.327	13	74	22%	6%	108	+1.6
✕Derek Hill 2016 · A	20	43→53	37→50	57→60	45	.204/.260/.279	.076	.268	4	23	25%	7%	47	-1.9	.204/.254/.275	.071	.306	3	27	32%	6%	43	-2.2	.250/.300/.402	.152	.328	16	23	28%	6%	93	+0.7
✕Adrian Pinto 2023 · A	20	50	41→45	59→65	52	.234/.322/.340	.106	.284	6	29	19%	9%	90	+1.0	.231/.312/.347	.116	.294	10	19	23%	8%	88	+0.9	.235/.317/.335	.100	.305	7	18	23%	9%	81	+0.1
✕Jorge Mateo 2015 · A	20	43→46	41→50	60→65	44	.207/.271/.306	.098	.280	8	29	28%	7%	59	-1.1	.207/.252/.306	.099	.292	6	37	30%	5%	50	-1.7	.217/.264/.366	.149	.272	14	44	25%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	41→51	40→50	56→55	42	.202/.257/.295	.093	.281	7	21	30%	7%	50	-1.7	.228/.284/.359	.131	.288	12	22	24%	7%	78	+0.2	.239/.295/.382	.143	.285	14	19	21%	7%	86	+0.8
✕Maximo Rivera 2013 · A	20	44	40→45	51→60	43	.216/.269/.303	.087	.273	9	22	24%	6%	57	-1.2	.215/.266/.291	.076	.289	5	15	26%	6%	53	-1.5	.193/.242/.246	.053	.273	2	10	28%	5%	28	-0.7
✕Jay Allen II 2023 · A	20	44→39	40	59→55	45	.208/.298/.304	.097	.303	7	31	31%	8%	72	-0.2	.189/.283/.278	.089	.278	8	28	32%	8%	59	-1.1	.175/.265/.257	.082	.252	8	27	31%	8%	44	-1.3
●Mallex Smith 2014 · A	21	49→59	37→45	58→65	48	.230/.300/.300	.070	.295	5	33	23%	8%	70	-0.3	.257/.321/.348	.091	.334	5	44	23%	8%	90	+1.0	.272/.334/.371	.099	.351	5	52	22%	8%	98	+1.2
●Edward Olivares 2016 · A	20	43→53	39→55	54→55	44	.207/.294/.298	.092	.271	6	17	24%	6%	69	-0.4	.215/.272/.338	.123	.275	11	13	25%	5%	69	-0.4	.259/.316/.431	.172	.293	20	16	19%	6%	108	+1.4
✕Samad Taylor 2019 · A	21	39→49	41→50	54→65	45	.193/.257/.297	.104	.249	7	21	25%	7%	51	-1.7	.189/.265/.305	.116	.284	10	24	35%	8%	57	-1.2	.236/.312/.377	.141	.324	16	46	30%	9%	94	+0.8
✕Victor Robles 2017 · A	20	50	42→50	56→60	42	.239/.308/.351	.112	.293	8	24	21%	5%	88	+0.9	.241/.307/.368	.127	.301	10	24	22%	5%	91	+1.1	.244/.313/.382	.138	.303	11	27	22%	6%	94	+1.0
●Elvis Andrus 2009 · AA	20	50→59	37→50	55→60	43	.238/.286/.311	.073	.310	5	30	24%	6%	66	-0.6	.257/.318/.329	.072	.308	4	32	17%	8%	84	+0.6	.269/.322/.402	.134	.299	12	19	14%	7%	97	+1.5
●Luis Rengifo 2017 · A	20	44→54	37→50	55	45	.209/.269/.289	.080	.270	4	19	23%	7%	53	-1.5	.229/.288/.341	.112	.285	8	20	22%	7%	75	-0.0	.267/.318/.414	.147	.301	17	16	17%	6%	105	+1.6
✕Tito Polo 2016 · A	21	43→53	38→45	56→60	40	.204/.257/.289	.085	.272	5	26	26%	5%	49	-1.8	.225/.278/.333	.108	.296	10	27	26%	5%	69	-0.4	.231/.285/.344	.114	.305	11	32	27%	5%	71	-0.2
✕Che-Hsuan Lin 2009 · A	20	42→52	41→40	58→55	44	.205/.263/.306	.100	.258	7	20	23%	6%	56	-1.3	.230/.295/.307	.077	.279	5	20	18%	7%	69	-0.4	.236/.307/.299	.062	.282	4	22	16%	8%	69	-0.3
✕Jeffrey Baez 2014 · A	20	43→46	38→50	57→60	40	.209/.260/.292	.083	.286	5	27	28%	5%	50	-1.7	.210/.253/.312	.102	.287	9	23	29%	5%	53	-1.5	.195/.249/.339	.144	.260	18	15	32%	6%	56	-0.7
✕Jenner Emeterio 2014 · A	21	45	36→30	54→60	51	.210/.290/.269	.060	.280	4	23	25%	10%	59	-1.1	.222/.308/.288	.066	.293	2	21	22%	10%	71	-0.3	.235/.336/.301	.066	.302	0	28	19%	12%	85	+0.3
✕Rey Fuentes 2011 · A	20	45→55	37→40	58→60	37	.217/.256/.291	.074	.290	4	24	26%	4%	48	-1.9	.222/.271/.302	.080	.313	5	27	29%	5%	57	-1.2	.270/.319/.363	.092	.348	8	33	23%	6%	89	+0.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)