Angel Del Rosario
LF Fort Myers Mighty Mussels| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 20 | A+/ATOR | 236 | .267/.346/.403 | 5 | 25 | 63 | — | .222/.286/.318 |
| 2024 | 21 | A/ROKMIN | 195 | .226/.342/.287 | 0 | 28 | 31 | — | .169/.259/.221 |
| 2025 | 22 | AMIN | 214 | .234/.310/.324 | 2 | 32 | 36 | — | .190/.248/.262 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBMIN | 264 | .178/.237/.250 | 2 | 8 | 37 | -0.6 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 25 | MLBMIN | 46 | .183/.243/.265 | 0 | 1 | 43 | -0.2 |
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | — | 138 | 116 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 28 | 6 | 27 | 2 | 241 | 358 | 284 | 642 | 43 | 307 | 20 | 11 | 305 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 21 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 286 | 400 | 686 | 150 | 267 | 19 | 5 | 305 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 216 | 194 | 41 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 61 | 7 | 32 | 5 | 211 | 285 | 258 | 543 | 46 | 303 | 28 | 6 | 254 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | — | 21 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 278 | 333 | 444 | 778 | 167 | 333 | 24 | 10 | 338 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | — | 25 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 200 | 167 | 367 | 286 | 40 | 4 | 173 | -29 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 211 | 182 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 60 | 6 | 25 | 9 | 280 | 364 | 434 | 798 | 154 | 383 | 28 | 9 | 350 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 175 | 147 | 35 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 41 | 3 | 25 | 2 | 238 | 353 | 299 | 652 | 61 | 327 | 23 | 13 | 304 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | FCL Twins | — | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 118 | 250 | 176 | 426 | 59 | 182 | 30 | 15 | 214 | -27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 214 | 188 | 44 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 51 | 4 | 32 | 8 | 234 | 310 | 324 | 634 | 90 | 311 | 24 | 8 | 285 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Blue Jays | — | 138 | 121 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 40 | 6 | 27 | 2 | 182 | 277 | 215 | 492 | 33 | 249 | 29 | 7 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 21 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 286 | 400 | 686 | 150 | 270 | 24 | 5 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 216 | 198 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 82 | 7 | 32 | 5 | 177 | 238 | 217 | 455 | 40 | 280 | 38 | 4 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Blue Jays | — | 21 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 200 | 238 | 350 | 588 | 150 | 278 | 33 | 5 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 25 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 125 | 160 | 125 | 285 | 269 | 52 | 4 | 126 | -29 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 211 | 188 | 44 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 80 | 6 | 25 | 9 | 234 | 301 | 340 | 641 | 106 | 360 | 38 | 6 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 175 | 154 | 27 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 56 | 3 | 25 | 2 | 175 | 266 | 227 | 493 | 52 | 265 | 32 | 9 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Twins | — | 20 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 111 | 200 | 167 | 367 | 56 | 137 | 45 | 10 | 128 | -27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 214 | 195 | 37 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 70 | 4 | 32 | 8 | 190 | 248 | 262 | 509 | 72 | 275 | 33 | 5 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Blue Jays | — | 138 | 121 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 40 | 6 | 27 | 2 | 182 | 277 | 215 | 492 | 33 | 259 | 29 | 7 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | FCL Blue Jays | — | 138 | 116 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 28 | 6 | 27 | 2 | 241 | 358 | 284 | 642 | 43 | 307 | 20 | 11 | 305 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 258 | 238 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 94 | 7 | 40 | 5 | 181 | 238 | 227 | 465 | 46 | 289 | 36 | 4 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 258 | 232 | 51 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 70 | 7 | 40 | 5 | 220 | 289 | 284 | 574 | 65 | 302 | 27 | 6 | 265 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 236 | 212 | 47 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 93 | 6 | 25 | 10 | 222 | 286 | 316 | 602 | 94 | 370 | 39 | 6 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 236 | 206 | 55 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 70 | 6 | 25 | 10 | 267 | 346 | 403 | 749 | 136 | 373 | 30 | 8 | 331 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 195 | 172 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 65 | 3 | 28 | 3 | 163 | 254 | 209 | 463 | 47 | 259 | 33 | 9 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 195 | 164 | 37 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 47 | 3 | 28 | 3 | 226 | 342 | 287 | 629 | 61 | 314 | 24 | 13 | 295 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 214 | 195 | 37 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 70 | 4 | 32 | 8 | 190 | 248 | 262 | 509 | 72 | 285 | 33 | 5 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A RAW | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 214 | 188 | 44 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 51 | 4 | 32 | 8 | 234 | 310 | 324 | 634 | 90 | 311 | 24 | 8 | 285 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Blue Jays | — | 138 | 121 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 40 | 6 | 27 | 2 | 182 | 277 | 215 | 492 | 33 | 249 | 29 | 7 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 258 | 238 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 94 | 7 | 40 | 5 | 181 | 238 | 227 | 465 | 46 | 279 | 36 | 4 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 236 | 215 | 47 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 93 | 6 | 25 | 10 | 219 | 286 | 312 | 597 | 93 | 350 | 39 | 6 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 195 | 172 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 65 | 3 | 28 | 3 | 163 | 254 | 209 | 463 | 47 | 252 | 33 | 9 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 214 | 197 | 37 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 70 | 4 | 32 | 8 | 188 | 248 | 259 | 507 | 71 | 275 | 33 | 5 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 195 | 172 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 65 | 3 | 28 | 3 | 163 | 254 | 209 | 463 | 47 | 252 | 33 | 9 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 214 | 197 | 37 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 70 | 4 | 32 | 8 | 188 | 248 | 259 | 507 | 71 | 275 | 33 | 5 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | MIN | 0% | 264 | 243 | 44 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 73 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 178 | 237 | 250 | 487 | 71 | 242 | 28 | 6 | 223 | 37 | -20 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +6 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | MIN | 30% | 153 | 141 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 42 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 183 | 243 | 265 | 508 | 82 | 245 | 27 | 6 | 232 | 43 | -10 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +3 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | MIN | 30% | 46 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 183 | 243 | 265 | 509 | 82 | 245 | 26 | 7 | 232 | 43 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 46 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 239 | 190 | 430 | 24 | 233 | 26 | 7 | 232 | 40 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 593 | 99 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 170 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 167 | 238 | 191 | 429 | 24 | 234 | 26 | 6 | 232 | 40 | -44 | +3 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -3.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1306 | 1182 | 222 | 27 | 9 | 11 | 79 | 435 | 29 | 160 | 30 | 188 | 256 | 254 | 510 | 66 | 284 | 33 | 6 | 227 | 40 | -19 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +6 | -1.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 588 | 109 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 217 | 14 | 80 | 15 | 185 | 252 | 247 | 499 | 61 | 282 | 33 | 6 | 227 | 40 | -46 | +2 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -3.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 214 PAwOBA .278 → .222 (−56)K% 23.8% → 32.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.83% | ÷0.994 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.94% | ÷1.054 | ×0.690 | — | — | 5.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.87% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.55% | ÷1.029 | ×0.920 | ×0.995 | — | 22.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.19% | ÷1.032 | ×0.830 | ×0.995 | — | 1.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.995 | — | 2.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.46% | ÷0.898 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.30% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 106, 2B 106, 3B 100, K 99, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .278 → .222; ISO .090 → .076; BABIP .311 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 175 PAwOBA .299 → .225 (−74)K% 23.4% → 32.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.43% | ÷0.994 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.14% | ÷0.976 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 9.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.71% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.42% | ÷1.096 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 21.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.72% | ÷1.019 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 3.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.89% | ÷0.962 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 1.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.962 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 119, 2B 104, 3B 92, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .299 → .225; ISO .061 → .049; BABIP .327 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKFCL Twins · 20 PAwOBA .210 → .128 (−81)K% 30.0% → 44.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.00% | ÷0.974 | ×1.440 | — | — | 44.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.00% | ÷1.046 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 8.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.036 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.985 | 7.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.971 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 6.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.890 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 107, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 95, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .210 → .128; ISO .059 → .037; BABIP .182 → .137. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ADunedin Blue Jays · 211 PAwOBA .346 → .277 (−69)K% 28.4% → 38.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.44% | ÷1.018 | ×1.360 | — | — | 38.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.53% | ÷1.062 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 5.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.84% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 2.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.69% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×1.027 | ×1.030 | 28.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.38% | ÷1.034 | ×0.830 | ×1.027 | ×1.030 | 6.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.64% | ÷1.111 | ×0.910 | ×1.027 | ×1.030 | 1.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.10% | ÷1.279 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 2.64% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 98, 2B 107, 3B 122, K 104, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .346 → .277; ISO .154 → .107; BABIP .383 → .360. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Vancouver Canadians · 25 PAwOBA .168 → .126 (−42)K% 40.0% → 52.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 40.00% | ÷1.028 | ×1.350 | — | — | 52.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.00% | ÷0.992 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 2.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷1.006 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.042 | 26.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.949 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.253 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 151, 1B 101, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 106, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .168 → .126; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .286 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ADunedin Blue Jays · 216 PAwOBA .247 → .199 (−48)K% 28.2% → 37.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.24% | ÷1.017 | ×1.360 | — | — | 37.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.02% | ÷1.050 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 4.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.24% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 2.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.56% | ÷1.005 | ×0.920 | ×0.978 | ×1.045 | 23.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.51% | ÷0.983 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | ×1.045 | 3.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.978 | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.75% | ÷0.916 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 0.69% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 101, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 103, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .247 → .199; ISO .046 → .037; BABIP .303 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 21 PAwOBA .296 → .265 (−31)K% 19.0% → 23.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.05% | ÷1.012 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.76% | ÷0.911 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 3.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.991 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.050 | 25.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.067 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.027 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 4.99% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 98, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 102, BB 82 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .296 → .265; ISO .150 → .115; BABIP .267 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKFCL Blue Jays · 21 PAwOBA .329 → .260 (−69)K% 23.8% → 33.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.81% | ÷1.013 | ×1.440 | — | — | 33.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.52% | ÷0.970 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 6.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.77% | ÷0.981 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.008 | 25.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.953 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.904 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 6.69% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 96, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 103, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .329 → .260; ISO .167 → .140; BABIP .333 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).