Jonathan Schwind
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | AA/ROK2 orgs | 76 | .129/.187/.200 | 0 | 2 | -24 | — | .113/.160/.183 |
| 2016 | 26 | AAPIT | 194 | .236/.328/.345 | 3 | 2 | 58 | — | .209/.280/.291 |
| 2017 | 27 | AAPIT | 19 | .353/.389/.824 | 2 | 1 | 152 | — | .353/.389/.824 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 21 | ROK | GCL Pirates | — | 151 | 124 | 43 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 347 | 456 | 589 | 1.045 | 242 | 406 | 16 | 9 | 452 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A | West Virginia Power | — | 37 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 206 | 270 | 206 | 476 | 304 | 30 | 5 | 229 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2012 | 22 | ROK | GCL Pirates | — | 29 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 240 | 345 | 320 | 665 | 80 | 316 | 21 | 10 | 311 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A | West Virginia Power | — | 264 | 232 | 50 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 56 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 216 | 297 | 280 | 577 | 65 | 276 | 21 | 9 | 265 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ | Bradenton Marauders | — | 182 | 166 | 48 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 38 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 289 | 348 | 416 | 764 | 127 | 357 | 21 | 8 | 340 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 50 | 46 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 109 | 163 | 196 | 359 | 87 | 156 | 30 | 4 | 162 | -23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | ROK | Bristol Pirates | — | 26 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 231 | 208 | 439 | 42 | 250 | 31 | 4 | 209 | -25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 194 | 165 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 40 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 236 | 328 | 345 | 673 | 109 | 290 | 21 | 11 | 301 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 19 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 353 | 389 | 824 | 1.212 | 471 | 364 | 21 | 5 | 486 | 152 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 151 | 129 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 35 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 248 | 349 | 411 | 760 | 163 | 298 | 23 | 5 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 37 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 171 | 216 | 171 | 388 | 271 | 38 | 3 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2012 | 22 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 29 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 154 | 241 | 192 | 434 | 38 | 242 | 31 | 7 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 264 | 241 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 77 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 178 | 236 | 232 | 468 | 54 | 240 | 29 | 6 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 182 | 170 | 39 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 55 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 229 | 276 | 324 | 600 | 94 | 321 | 30 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 50 | 47 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 106 | 143 | 191 | 334 | 85 | 143 | 36 | 2 | 134 | -23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | ROK MLE | Bristol Pirates | — | 26 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 192 | 167 | 359 | 42 | 193 | 42 | 4 | 131 | -25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 194 | 172 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 50 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 209 | 280 | 291 | 571 | 81 | 268 | 26 | 8 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 19 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 353 | 389 | 824 | 1.212 | 471 | 316 | 26 | 5 | 393 | 152 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 151 | 129 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 35 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 248 | 349 | 411 | 760 | 163 | 319 | 23 | 5 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | ROK RAW | GCL Pirates | — | 151 | 124 | 43 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 347 | 456 | 589 | 1.045 | 242 | 406 | 16 | 9 | 452 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 66 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 164 | 227 | 180 | 408 | 16 | 263 | 35 | 5 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 66 | 59 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 220 | 303 | 254 | 557 | 34 | 310 | 26 | 8 | 265 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 264 | 241 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 77 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 178 | 236 | 232 | 468 | 54 | 253 | 29 | 6 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A RAW | West Virginia Power | — | 264 | 232 | 50 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 56 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 216 | 297 | 280 | 577 | 65 | 276 | 21 | 9 | 265 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 182 | 170 | 39 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 55 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 229 | 276 | 324 | 600 | 94 | 325 | 30 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ RAW | Bradenton Marauders | — | 182 | 166 | 48 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 38 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 289 | 348 | 416 | 764 | 127 | 357 | 21 | 8 | 340 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 76 | 71 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 99 | 147 | 155 | 302 | 56 | 167 | 39 | 3 | 133 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 76 | 70 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 129 | 187 | 200 | 387 | 71 | 188 | 30 | 4 | 178 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 194 | 172 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 50 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 209 | 280 | 291 | 571 | 81 | 279 | 26 | 8 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA RAW | Altoona Curve | — | 194 | 165 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 40 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 236 | 328 | 345 | 673 | 109 | 290 | 21 | 11 | 301 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 19 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 353 | 389 | 824 | 1.212 | 471 | 400 | 26 | 5 | 393 | 152 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA RAW | Altoona Curve | — | 19 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 353 | 389 | 824 | 1.212 | 471 | 364 | 21 | 5 | 486 | 152 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 151 | 130 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 35 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 246 | 349 | 408 | 757 | 162 | 298 | 23 | 5 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 66 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 164 | 227 | 180 | 408 | 16 | 258 | 35 | 5 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 264 | 244 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 77 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 176 | 236 | 230 | 465 | 53 | 240 | 29 | 6 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 182 | 169 | 39 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 55 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 231 | 276 | 325 | 602 | 95 | 321 | 30 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 76 | 72 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 97 | 147 | 153 | 299 | 56 | 160 | 39 | 3 | 133 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 194 | 175 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 50 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 206 | 280 | 286 | 566 | 80 | 268 | 26 | 8 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 19 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 333 | 389 | 778 | 1.167 | 444 | 316 | 26 | 5 | 393 | 152 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 952 | 861 | 173 | 34 | 5 | 11 | 55 | 275 | 21 | 26 | 12 | 201 | 266 | 290 | 556 | 89 | 280 | 29 | 6 | 239 | 48 | -59 | +0 | +0 | -10 | +21 | -5.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 588 | 118 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 188 | 14 | 18 | 8 | 201 | 266 | 291 | 557 | 90 | 278 | 29 | 6 | 239 | 48 | -41 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -3.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAAltoona Curve · 19 PAwOBA .471 → .393 (−78)K% 21.1% → 26.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.05% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.26% | ÷1.008 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 3.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.060 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.978 | 13.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷0.909 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.978 | 14.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.035 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 11.34% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 112, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .471 → .393; ISO .471 → .378; BABIP .364 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAltoona Curve · 194 PAwOBA .296 → .254 (−42)K% 20.6% → 25.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.62% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.82% | ÷0.988 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 7.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.03% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.40% | ÷1.050 | ×0.970 | ×1.043 | ×0.988 | 21.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.60% | ÷1.059 | ×0.860 | ×1.043 | ×0.988 | 4.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.80% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.043 | ×0.988 | 0.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.40% | ÷1.016 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 1.82% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 110, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 95, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .296 → .254; ISO .109 → .089; BABIP .290 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAltoona Curve · 50 PAwOBA .162 → .134 (−27)K% 30.0% → 36.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.00% | ÷1.005 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.00% | ÷1.004 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 2.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 6.45% | ÷0.997 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.998 | 6.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.45% | ÷0.953 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 5.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.23% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.998 | 2.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.912 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .162 → .134; ISO .087 → .072; BABIP .156 → .143. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ROKBristol Pirates · 26 PAwOBA .204 → .131 (−73)K% 30.8% → 43.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.77% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 43.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×0.945 | 2.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.85% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×0.945 | 2.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.945 | 14.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | — | ×0.945 | 4.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .204 → .131; ISO .042 → .024; BABIP .250 → .193. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Bradenton Marauders · 182 PAwOBA .333 → .259 (−74)K% 20.9% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.88% | ÷0.975 | ×1.420 | — | — | 30.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.059 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 5.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.55% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 0.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.34% | ÷1.004 | ×0.920 | ×1.007 | ×0.988 | 24.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.078 | ×0.960 | ×1.007 | ×0.988 | 5.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.56% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.007 | ×0.988 | 1.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.34% | ÷1.337 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 1.52% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 167, 1B 101, 2B 116, 3B 80, K 95, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .333 → .259; ISO .127 → .090; BABIP .357 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AWest Virginia Power · 264 PAwOBA .258 → .201 (−57)K% 21.2% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.21% | ÷0.980 | ×1.340 | — | — | 28.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.47% | ÷1.058 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 5.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.76% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.16% | ÷1.045 | ×0.920 | ×1.018 | ×0.990 | 19.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.11% | ÷1.020 | ×0.820 | ×1.018 | ×0.990 | 4.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.018 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.14% | ÷1.003 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 0.92% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 109, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 96, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .258 → .201; ISO .065 → .051; BABIP .276 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AWest Virginia Power · 37 PAwOBA .223 → .174 (−49)K% 29.7% → 38.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.73% | ÷1.040 | ×1.340 | — | — | 38.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.41% | ÷0.933 | ×0.660 | — | — | 3.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.70% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 2.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.43% | ÷1.035 | ×0.920 | — | — | 27.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.031 | ×0.820 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.040 | ×0.940 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.960 | ×0.820 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 107, 2B 106, 3B 108, K 108, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .223 → .174; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .304 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ROKGCL Pirates · 29 PAwOBA .304 → .208 (−95)K% 20.7% → 29.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.69% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 29.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.34% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 6.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.45% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 2.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 16.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 7.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .304 → .208; ISO .080 → .053; BABIP .316 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).